U.K. Sees First July Budget Surplus Since 2002 on Tax Boost

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  • U.K. Sees First July Budget Surplus Since 2002 on Tax Boost

Britain posted its first July budget surplus in 15 years last month as payments of self-assessed income tax poured in.

Revenue exceeded spending by 184 million pounds ($240 million) compared with a deficit of 308 million pounds a year earlier, the Office for National Statistics said on Tuesday. The median forecast in a survey was for a deficit of 1 billion pounds.

It left the shortfall in the first four months of the fiscal year at 22.8 billion pounds, up 9 percent on the year.

July is a good month for the public finances, with the Treasury receiving higher-than-normal receipts of income tax. Self-assessed receipts jumped 11 percent from a year earlier and there was also a boost from value-added tax revenue, which rose 5 percent.

But spending remains under pressure from higher inflation making interest payments on index-linked government bonds more expensive. Debt costs in the fiscal year to date rose by 23 percent, the biggest increase for the period since 2010. Spending is also being boosted by timing issues relating to payments to the European Union, which have risen by more than half in the year to date.

Chancellor of the Exchequer Philip Hammond is hoping to limit borrowing to 58 billion pounds in the current fiscal year, as forecast by his budget watchdog in March. Borrowing in 2016-17 was 45.1 billion pounds, revised down from a previous estimate of 46.2 billion pounds.

The deficit has fallen from 10 percent of GDP in 2010 to 2.3 percent last year. But while Hammond is pledging to balance the books by 2025, any shock to the economy from Britain leaving the EU could blow his fiscal plans off course.

July is also a big month for corporation tax, though receipts fell this month due to methodological changes that mean such payments are spread more evenly throughout the year.

A cash measure that determines bond issuance was in surplus by 6.9 billion pounds last month.

About the Author

Samed Olukoya
Samed Olukoya is the CEO/Founder of investorsking.com, a digital business media, with over 10 years' experience as a foreign exchange research analyst and trader. A graduate of University of East London, U.K. and a vivid financial markets analyst.

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