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Nigeria’s Economic Struggle Contrasted with Norway’s Tech-Driven Prosperity

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Nigeria is currently grappling with a pressing need for foreign currency, particularly dollars, while Norway, a nation sharing a comparable oil production capacity, witnessed its oil wealth surge by an astounding $142.65 billion during the initial half of 2023.

In a remarkable turnaround, Norway’s sovereign wealth fund, established to safeguard the nation’s future beyond oil, has experienced a substantial infusion of $142.65 billion due to a surge in AI-driven technological advancements.

The leap of $142.65 billion by Norway dwarfs Nigeria’s 2023 budget of $49 billion (equivalent to N21.83 trillion), underscoring the striking divergence in their economic trajectories, as calculated by BusinessDay.

“In an era of scarce dollar reserves, Nigeria squandered opportunities to channel surplus oil revenue towards securing future generations’ prosperity,” stated Niyi Awoyemi, a prominent public finance expert and the Managing Director of Brightlve Capitals.

Awoyemi emphasized that Nigeria’s Excess Crude Account (ECA) had, regrettably, been at times diverted for political motives rather than being allocated for economic advancement or targeted projects.

“This juncture could have been the ideal opportunity for Nigeria to amass foreign currency to bolster its waning economy. However, challenges stemming from struggling oil production and an absence of clear guidelines governing deposits and withdrawals from the special account persist as major stumbling blocks,” lamented Awoyemi.

It was discovered that the holdings of the $1.4 trillion fund in tech companies had surged nearly 39 percent in the initial half of 2023. Notably, contributions from stocks such as Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia played a pivotal role in propelling the fund’s overall return of 10 percent.

“The stock market has exhibited remarkable resilience throughout the first half of this year, marking a stark contrast from the previous lackluster performance in 2022,” observed Nicolai Tangen, CEO of Norges Bank Investment Management, the entity responsible for managing the fund.

Read also: Oil Prices Experience Slight Dip Amid Anticipation of Iraqi Oil Export Resumption

Tangen accentuated the role of technology stocks, particularly those linked to the burgeoning field of artificial intelligence, in driving this upswing. He noted that the upsurge is in response to the escalating demand for innovative solutions in the realm of AI.

In a pertinent statement on the significance of artificial intelligence, the fund highlighted its belief that responsible development and application of this technology are pivotal for maintaining well-functioning markets.

“The impact of artificial intelligence on our investments’ financial returns over time cannot be overlooked. We advocate for the establishment of a comprehensive and coherent regulatory framework for AI, fostering secure innovation and the mitigation of adverse consequences,” the fund expressed.

Norway, recognized as the world’s fifth-largest oil exporter, boasts a daily oil production capacity of 2.4 million barrels. As the nation propels itself towards a future beyond oil, Nigeria continues to grapple with the reality of transitioning from its heavy reliance on oil revenue.

This struggle is amplified by the persistent foreign currency shortages plaguing Nigeria, causing impediments for investors eager to engage with Africa’s largest economy.

Investigations by BusinessDay have shown that Nigeria’s ECA balance remained stagnant at approximately $474 million over the past two years. This, despite a remittance of N907 billion to the Federal Account Allocation Committee by the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited.

“Regrettably, apart from the administration led by Obasanjo, subsequent governments have recurrently mismanaged the ECA. It is deeply disconcerting that despite global oil prices consistently exceeding the federal budget benchmark, the Buhari administration failed to manage the account judiciously,” lamented Charles Akinbobola, a financial analyst at Creditville Limited.

Akinbobola attributed the squandering of extra oil proceeds to poor transparency levels exhibited by various government agencies and officials entrusted with fund management. He decried the penchant for diverting funds towards frivolous expenditures and rampant corruption.

“Such behavior is deeply regrettable. Utilizing the funds without informing the account holders signifies a disregard for creating a foundation for future generations,” criticized an authoritative source within Nigeria’s energy sector.

Merely two weeks ago, the House of Representatives embarked on an inquiry into the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), citing alleged fund mismanagement and the non-disclosure of investment interest details from the excess crude oil/petroleum profits tax/royalty account.

The motion was spearheaded by Esosa Iyawe, a legislator from Edo State, who underlined that the CBN serves as the federal government’s banker and guardian of investment conduits, encompassing the petroleum profits tax (PPT) and the ECA, among others.

Iyawe emphasized concerns over the CBN’s steadfast refusal to comply with the Auditor General for the Federation’s requests for divulging information regarding interest management from the Petroleum Profit tax (PPT)/Royalty and Foreign Excess Crude Account.

“The House is further perturbed by reports revealing unauthorized and indiscriminate withdrawals from the ECA, spanning current year expenditures, fuel subsidies, debt financing, and power projects—ventures that lie beyond the fund’s designated scope,” Iyawe asserted.

Experts underscore that the sustained demand by states to fund diverse programs, coupled with the federal government’s struggle to generate sufficient revenue for its operations, has compelled the ECA to be drawn down.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Nigeria’s N3.3tn Power Sector Rescue Package Unveiled

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President Bola Tinubu has given the green light for a comprehensive N3.3 trillion rescue package.

This ambitious initiative seeks to tackle the country’s mounting power sector debts, which have long hindered the efficiency and reliability of electricity supply across the nation.

The unveiling of this rescue package represents a pivotal moment in Nigeria’s quest for a sustainable energy future. With power outages being a recurring nightmare for both businesses and households, the need for decisive action has never been more urgent.

At the heart of the rescue package are measures aimed at settling the staggering debts accumulated within the power sector. President Tinubu has approved a phased approach to debt repayment, encompassing cash injections and promissory notes.

This strategic allocation of funds aims to provide immediate relief to power-generating companies (Gencos) and gas suppliers, while also ensuring long-term financial stability within the sector.

Chief Adebayo Adelabu, the Minister of Power, revealed details of the rescue package at the 8th Africa Energy Marketplace held in Abuja.

Speaking at the event themed, “Towards Nigeria’s Sustainable Energy Future,” Adelabu emphasized the government’s commitment to eliminating bottlenecks and fostering policy coherence within the power sector.

One of the key highlights of the rescue package is the allocation of funds from the Gas Stabilisation Fund to settle outstanding debts owed to gas suppliers.

This critical step not only addresses the immediate liquidity concerns of gas companies but also paves the way for enhanced cooperation between gas suppliers and power generators.

Furthermore, the rescue package includes provisions for addressing the legacy debts owed to power-generating companies.

By utilizing future royalties and income streams from the gas sub-sector, the government aims to provide a sustainable solution that incentivizes investment in power generation capacity.

The announcement of the N3.3 trillion rescue package comes amidst ongoing efforts to revitalize Nigeria’s power sector.

Recent initiatives, including tariff adjustments and regulatory reforms, underscore the government’s determination to overcome longstanding challenges and enhance the sector’s effectiveness.

However, challenges persist, as highlighted by Barth Nnaji, a former Minister of Power, who emphasized the need for a robust transmission network to support increased power generation.

Nnaji’s advocacy for a super grid underscores the importance of infrastructure development in ensuring the reliability and stability of Nigeria’s power supply.

In light of these developments, stakeholders have welcomed the unveiling of the N3.3 trillion rescue package as a decisive step towards transforming Nigeria’s power sector.

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Nigeria’s Inflation Climbs to 28-Year High at 33.69% in April

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Nigeria's Inflation Rate - Investors King

Nigeria is grappling with soaring inflation as data from the statistics agency revealed that the country’s headline inflation surged to a new 28-year high in April.

The consumer price index, which measures the inflation rate, rose to 33.69% year-on-year, up from 33.20% in March.

This surge in inflation comes amid a series of economic challenges, including subsidy cuts on petrol and electricity and twice devaluing the local naira currency by the administration of President Bola Tinubu.

The sharp rise in inflation has been a pressing concern for policymakers, leading the central bank to take measures to address the growing price pressures.

The central bank has raised interest rates twice this year, including its largest hike in around 17 years, in an attempt to contain inflationary pressures.

Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria has indicated that interest rates will remain high for as long as necessary to bring down inflation.

The bank is set to hold another rate-setting meeting next week to review its policy stance.

A report by the National Bureau of Statistics highlighted that the food and non-alcoholic beverages category continued to be the biggest contributor to inflation in April.

Food inflation, which accounts for the bulk of the inflation basket, rose to 40.53% in annual terms, up from 40.01% in March.

In response to the economic challenges posed by soaring inflation, President Tinubu’s administration has announced a salary hike of up to 35% for civil servants to ease the pressure on government workers.

Also, to support vulnerable households, the government has restarted a direct cash transfer program and distributed at least 42,000 tons of grains such as corn and millet.

The rising inflation rate presents significant challenges for Nigeria’s economy, impacting the purchasing power of consumers and adding strains to household budgets.

As the government continues to grapple with inflationary pressures, policymakers are faced with the task of implementing measures to stabilize prices and mitigate the adverse effects on the economy and livelihoods of citizens.

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FG Acknowledges Labour’s Protest, Assures Continued Dialogue

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Power - Investors King

The Federal Government through the Ministry of Power has acknowledged the organised Labour request for a reduction in electric tariff.

The Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC) and Trade Union Congress (TUC) had picketed offices of the National Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) and Distribution Companies nationwide over the hike in electricity tariff.

The unions had described the upward review, demanding outright cancellation.

Addressing State House correspondents after the Federal Executive Council (FEC) meeting on Tuesday, Minister of Power, Adebayo Adelabu, said labour had the right to protest.

“We cannot stop them from organizing peaceful protest or laying down their demands. Let me make that clear. President Bola Tinubu’s administration is also a listening government.”

“We have heard their demands, we’re going to look at it, we’ll make further engagements and I believe we’re going to reach a peaceful resolution with the labor because no government can succeed without the cooperation, collaboration and partnership with the Labour unions. So we welcome the peaceful protest and I’m happy that it was not a violent protest. They’ve made their positions known and government has taken in their demands and we’re looking at it.

“But one thing that I want to state here is from the statistics of those affected by the hike in tariff, the people on the road yesterday, who embarked on the peaceful protests, more than 95% of them are not affected by the increase in the tariff of electricity. They still enjoy almost 70% government subsidy in the tariff they pay because the average costs of generating, transmitting and distributing electricity is not less than N180 today.

“A lot of them are paying below N60 so they still enjoy government’s subsidy. So when they say we should reverse the recently increased tariff, sincerely it’s not affecting them. That’s one position.

“My appeal again is that they should please not derail or distract our transformation plan for the industry. We have a clearly documented reform roadmap to take us to our desired destination, where we’re going to have reliable, functional, cost-effective and affordable electricity in Nigeria. It cannot be achieved overnight because this is a decay of almost 60 years, which we are trying to correct.”

He said there was the need for sacrifice from everybody, “from the government’s side, from the people’s side, from the private sector side. So we must bear this sacrifice for us to have a permanent gain”.

“I don’t want us to go back to the situation we were in February and March, where we had very low generation. We all felt the impact of this whereby electricity supply was very low and every household, every company, every institution, felt it. From the little reform that we’ve embarked upon since the beginning of April, we have seen the impact that electricity has improved and it can only get better.”

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