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Sub Saharan Africa Mergers and Acquisition Transactions Totalled US$ 12 Billion in H1 2023

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Refinitiv, an LSEG (London Stock Exchange Group) business, today released the H1 2023 investment banking analysis for the Sub-Saharan African. 

According to the report, an estimated US$293.4 million worth of investment banking fees were generated in Sub-Saharan Africa during the first six months of 2023, a 37% increase from the same period in 2022 and the highest first-half total since 2018.

INVESTMENT BANKING FEES

An estimated US$293.4 million worth of investment banking fees were generated in Sub-Saharan Africa during the first six months of 2023, a 37% increase from the same period in 2022 and the highest first-half total since 2018.

Equity capital markets underwriting fees totalled US$9.8 million, a 49% decline compared to year ago levels and the lowest first half total in the region since 2000, while debt capital markets underwriting fees declined 8% to a three year low of US$53.2 million.

Syndicated lending fees totalled US$160.6 million, more than three-times the value recorded last year at this time when fees fell to the lowest first half level since 2012. Advisory fees earned from completed M&A transactions in the region totalled US$69.8 million during the first six months of 2023, down 21% from 2022 levels and a two-year low.

Sixty-five percent of all Sub-Saharan African fees were generated in South Africa during the first half of 2023, followed by Nigeria (8%) and Angola (7%).  JP Morgan earned the most investment banking fees in the region during the first six months of 2023, a total of US$34.6 million or a 12% share of the total fee pool.

MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS

The value of announced M&A transactions with any Sub-Saharan African involvement reached US$12.0 billion during the first six months of 2023, a 51% decline compared to year ago levels and the lowest first half total since 2020.

The number of Sub-Saharan African deals declined 23% compared to a year ago, a ten-year low. Deals involving a Sub-Saharan African target totalled US$4.9 billion during the first half of 2023, down 77% from 2022 levels and a three-year low.

The number of deals declined 23% from last year.  Inbound deals involving a non-Sub-Saharan African acquiror declined 80% to US$3.6 billion, while domestic deals declined 58% to US$1.3 billion.  Sub-Saharan African outbound M&A totalled US$1.6 billion, up 30% compared to the value recorded during 2022 but lower than any other first-half total since 2009.

Israel is the most popular destination by value, driven by Fortune Bliss Ventures’ purchase of a stake in mobile game developer Playtika Holding Corp.  India is the most popular destination by number of deals. Energy & Power was the most targeted sector in Sub-Saharan African by value, while the highest number of deals was recorded in the technology sector.

South Africa was the most targeted nation, followed by Nigeria and Zimbabwe. JP Morgan topped the any Sub-Saharan African involvement announced M&A financial advisor league table during the first half of 2023.

EQUITY CAPITAL MARKETS

Sub-Saharan African equity and equity-related issuance totalled US$279.2 million during the first six months of 2023, a 68% decline compared to the same period in 2022 and the lowest first half total since 2021.

Just three new issues were recorded in the region, a low not seen since 1995. South African retail firm Pepkor Holdings and mining development company Premier African Minerals were the only companies in the region to raise new equity funds during the first half of 2023, through follow-on offerings.

No initial public offerings or convertible bonds were recorded. Morgan Stanley and Capitalmind Investec shared first place in the Sub-Saharan African ECM underwriting league table during the first half of 2023.

DEBT CAPITAL MARKETS

Overall Sub-Saharan African debt capital markets activity totalled US$5.9 billion during the first six months of 2023, down 67% compared to year ago levels and the weakest opening six-months for DCM activity in the region since 2013.

A total of 28 new offerings were brought to market during the first half of 2023, a 35% decline compared to a year ago and a four-year low. Ivory Coast was the most active issuer nation during the first half of 2023, accounting for 49% of total bond proceeds, followed by South Africa (38%).

Government & Agency issuers accounted for 49% of proceeds raised during first half of 2023, while Financials issuance accounts for 34%. JP Morgan took the top spot in the Sub-Saharan African bond underwriting league table during the first half of 2023, with US$1.1 billion of related proceeds, or a 19% market share.

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Loans

Federal Government Spends $1.12 Billion on Foreign Debt Servicing in Q1 2024

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The Federal Government has disclosed that it pays $1.12 billion to service foreign debts in the first quarter of 2024 alone.

This amount shows the escalating burden of external debt on the nation’s fiscal health.

Data gleaned from the international payment segment of the Central Bank of Nigeria website reveals a steady upward trajectory in debt service payments, both over the past few years and within the first quarter of 2024.

When this is compared to the same period in 2023, debt servicing rose by 39.7 percent in Q1, 2024.

The breakdown of the debt service payments paints a picture of fluctuating yet consistently high expenditure.

January 2024 commenced with an imposing debt servicing obligation of $560.52 million, a stark contrast to the $112.35 million recorded in January 2023.

While February 2024 witnessed a moderation in debt servicing payments to $283.22 million and March 2024 saw a further decrease to $276.17 million.

Alarmingly, approximately 70 percent of Nigeria’s dollar payments were allocated to service external debts during the first quarter of 2024.

Out of the total outflows amounting to $1.61 billion, a substantial $1.12 billion was directed towards debt servicing, significantly surpassing the corresponding figure of 49 percent in Q1 2023.

The depletion of foreign exchange reserves, which experienced a recent one-month dip streak has been attributed primarily to debt repayments and other financial obligations rather than efforts to defend the naira, according to CBN Governor Yemi Cardoso.

The World Bank has expressed profound concern over the escalating debt service burdens facing developing countries globally, emphasizing the urgent need for coordinated action to avert a widespread financial crisis.

With record-level debt and soaring interest rates, many developing nations, including Nigeria, face an increasingly precarious economic path, fraught with challenges regarding resource allocation and financial stability.

The Debt Management Office (DMO) has previously disclosed that Nigeria incurred a debt service of $3.5 billion for its external loans in 2023, marking a 55 percent increase from the previous year.

This worrisome trend underscores the pressing need for robust fiscal management and prudent debt repayment strategies to safeguard Nigeria’s financial stability and foster sustainable economic growth.

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Emefiele Trial: Witness Details Alleged Extortion by CBN Director Over $400,000

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In the ongoing trial of Godwin Emefiele, former governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), a significant revelation emerged as Victor Onyejiuwa, managing director of The Source Computers Limited, took the stand as the fourth witness.

His testimony shed light on alleged extortion involving a substantial sum of $400,000.

Onyejiuwa recounted his company’s involvement with the CBN from 2014 to 2019, providing technology support and securing multiple contracts, including one for enterprise storage and servers in 2017.

However, post-execution of the contract, he faced pressure from John Ikechukwu Ayoh, a former CBN director, regarding the release of funds.

According to Onyejiuwa’s testimony, Ayoh approached him, indicating that CBN management required a portion of the contract’s funds.

He alleged that Ayoh threatened to withhold payment approval if his demands were not met. Feeling coerced, Onyejiuwa acceded to Ayoh’s request after several discussions.

To ensure the contract’s payment, Onyejiuwa revealed that he organized the sum of $400,000 along with an additional $200,000, yielding a total of $600,000.

This payment, made within two to three weeks, facilitated the release of funds for the contract.

During his testimony, Onyejiuwa disclosed contract amounts, including a significant $1.2 billion contract, along with others valued at $2.1 million, N340,000, and N17 million.

These revelations provide insight into the alleged irregularities surrounding contract payments at the CBN.

Following Onyejiuwa’s testimony, Emefiele’s legal counsel requested an adjournment for cross-examination at the next hearing, which was granted by Justice Rahman Oshodi. The trial is set to resume on May 17.

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IMF Gives Nod as Congo Inches Closer to Historic Loan Program Completion

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The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) received a positive review from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Wednesday in a crucial step toward completing its first-ever IMF loan program.

Following the completion of the sixth and final review in the Congolese capital, Kinshasa, IMF staff are set to recommend to the executive board the approval of the last disbursement of Congo’s three-year $1.5 billion extended credit facility.

This development positions Congo on the brink of achieving a milestone in its financial history.

Despite facing fiscal pressures exacerbated by ongoing conflict in the eastern regions and the recent elections in December 2023, the IMF lauded Congo’s overall performance as “generally positive”.

The country’s economy heavily relies on mineral exports, particularly copper and cobalt, essential components in electric vehicle batteries.

According to the IMF, Congo’s economy exhibited robust growth, expanding by 8.3% last year, fueled largely by its ascent to become the world’s second-largest copper producer.

However, persistent insecurity in eastern Congo, attributed to the activities of over 100 armed groups vying for control over resources and political representation, has hindered the nation’s economic progress.

The positive assessment by the IMF underscores Congo’s achievements in enhancing its economic fundamentals, including an increase in reserves, which reached $5.5 billion by the end of 2023, equivalent to approximately two months of imports.

Despite these gains, challenges remain, with high inflation rates hovering around 24% at the close of last year.

The IMF emphasized the necessity of enacting a new budget law following the renegotiation of a minerals-for-infrastructure contract with China. Under the revised terms, Congo is slated to receive $324 million annually in development financing backed by revenue from a copper and cobalt joint venture.

Looking ahead, the IMF’s executive board is anticipated to deliberate on the staff recommendation in July. If approved, the disbursement of approximately $200 million will fortify Congo’s international reserves, providing a crucial buffer against economic volatility.

Also, Congo’s government intends to seek a new Extended Credit Facility (ECF) from the IMF, signaling its commitment to ongoing economic reforms and sustainable growth.

The IMF’s endorsement represents a significant validation of Congo’s economic trajectory and underscores the nation’s efforts to navigate complex challenges while advancing towards financial stability and prosperity.

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