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Resilient US Economy Nudges Federal Reserve to Continue Interest Rate Hikes

Chairman Powell Leaves Room for Further Rate Hikes Based on Incoming Data

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In a bold move aimed at taming inflation, the Federal Reserve has once again raised interest rates with the Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell keeping the door open for further hikes.

The unanimous decision marked the 11th rate increase since March 2022 and pushed the target range for the Fed’s benchmark federal funds rate to 5.25% to 5.5%, the highest level in over two decades.

The recent data has signaled a resilient US economy, providing the impetus for the Federal Reserve to resume its tightening campaign after a brief pause in June. Policymakers believe these rate hikes are crucial in curbing price pressures that have been plaguing the economy since 2022 when inflation reached a 40-year high.

Chairman Powell, while acknowledging that the rate hikes have shown promising results in curbing inflation, maintained that there is still a long way to go before they achieve their target of 2% inflation.

Powell refused to be pinned down on the exact timing of the next rate hike, highlighting the need to assess incoming data, including various economic reports, before making any further decisions.

The decision was met with a relatively muted response from the markets, with stocks advancing while Treasury yields and the dollar fell. Swaps traders, however, are still pricing in slightly over a 50% chance of another rate increase before the year’s end, indicating a cautious approach in the face of economic uncertainties.

Federal Reserve officials have been carefully navigating the current economic landscape, using a meeting-by-meeting basis to determine the appropriate course of action. Despite the aggressive tightening campaign initiated since early last year, they paused rate hikes last month to assess their impact, signaling a likelihood of two more increases by the end of the year.

The latest decision to hike rates was widely expected, considering the economy’s resilience in the face of previous rate increases. However, there was some uncertainty among investors due to recent data showing a sharp receding of consumer price inflation last month.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Banking Sector

Central Bank of Nigeria Postpones 293rd Monetary Policy Committee Meeting

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Central Bank of Nigeria - Investors King

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has announced the postponement of its 293rd Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, originally scheduled for September 25th and 26th, 2023.

Dr. Isa AbdulMumin, the bank’s Director of Corporate Communications, released a statement on Thursday confirming the decision.

In the statement, Dr. AbdulMumin stated, “The Monetary Policy Committee of the Central Bank of Nigeria has deferred its 293rd meeting, which was initially planned for Monday and Tuesday, September 25th and 26th, 2023, respectively. A new date will be communicated in due course. We regret any inconvenience this change may cause our stakeholders and the general public.”

While the CBN did not provide an official reason for the postponement, some industry experts suggest it may be related to the pending approvals for the newly appointed governor and deputy governors of the bank.

President Bola Tinubu recently nominated Yemi Cardoso as the potential head of the CBN. Additionally, Tinubu has endorsed the nominations of four new deputy governors for the apex bank, who are expected to serve for an initial term of five years, pending confirmation by the Senate.

The nominated deputy governors are Emem Usoro, Muhammad Abdullahi-Dattijo, Philip Ikeazor, and Bala Bello. However, the appointment of the CBN governor is contingent upon Senate confirmation, which is currently on a yearly recess.

The CBN assures stakeholders and the public that the rescheduled MPC meeting date will be communicated promptly as soon as it is confirmed.

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Banking Sector

Currency in Circulation Surges by N1.7 Trillion Amidst Rising Cash Transactions

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New Naira Notes

The currency in circulation in Nigeria has surged by N1.7 trillion, driven by a surge in cash transactions.

According to data obtained from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), as of the end of August, the currency in circulation rose to N2.7 trillion.

This substantial increase in currency in circulation comes after a 235.03 percent dip to N982.1 billion as of the end of February 2023 from N3.29 trillion at the close of October 2022, primarily due to the naira redesign policy spearheaded by the CBN.

However, the currency in circulation began its steady ascent once the policy concluded. Cash that had been previously withdrawn from circulation to promote electronic payments was reintroduced into the economy, contributing to this significant boost.

The data obtained from the CBN reveals that a whopping N2.3 trillion was removed from circulation during this period.

The CBN defines currency in circulation as all legal tender currency in the hands of the general public and within the vaults of Deposit Money Banks, excluding the central bank’s vaults.

The CBN further elucidated its methodology, stating that it employed an “accounting/statistical/withdrawals & deposits approach” to calculate the currency in circulation in Nigeria. This approach meticulously tracks the movement of currency in circulation on a transaction-by-transaction basis.

Under this methodology, each withdrawal made by a Deposit Money Bank at one of CBN’s branches results in an increase in currency in circulation (CIC), while each deposit made by a DMB at one of CBN’s branches leads to a decrease in CIC.

This surge in currency in circulation reflects the evolving landscape of financial transactions in Nigeria and underscores the importance of flexible monetary policies in facilitating economic growth and stability.

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Finance

Oyo/Osun Customs Command Exceeds Revenue Target, Collects N47.4 Billion in Nine Months

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Nigeria Customs Service

The Oyo/Osun Area Command of the Nigeria Customs Service has reported a better-than-expected achievement in revenue collection, exceeding its targets while also making significant seizures of prohibited goods.

Outgoing Customs Area Comptroller, Babajide Jaiyeoba, made this announcement during the recent handover ceremony at the command in Ibadan, Oyo State.

Between January and September, the command generated N47.4 billion in revenue, according to Jaiyeoba. The customs area comptroller attributed this success to the dedicated officers and their unwavering professionalism, urging them to continue working as a cohesive team within the bounds of the law.

Under his leadership, the command also made seizures of prohibited goods valued at N308 million over the past nine months, a testament to their commitment to suppressing smuggling and upholding the customs regulations. Moreover, the command surpassed its revenue target set for the year 2022.

In a smooth transition of leadership, Ben Oramalugo assumed office as the new Comptroller. He emphasized the core duties of customs officers, which include revenue generation, trade facilitation, and the suppression of smuggling. Oramalugo pledged to uphold these mandates and called upon all officers to extend their cooperation to him as they did to his predecessor.

With these recent achievements and a committed leadership transition, the Oyo/Osun Area Command of the Nigeria Customs Service is well on its way to achieving even greater heights in revenue collection and ensuring compliance with customs regulations.

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