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FG to Propose N9.78trn Budget for 2020 – Zainab Ahmed

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  • FG to Propose N9.78trn Budget for 2020 – Zainab Ahmed

The Minister of Finance, Budget and National Planning, Zainab Ahmed, has said the Federal Government plans to spend around N9.78 trillion in the 2020 fiscal year.

Ahmed disclosed this while unveiling the draft 2020-2022 Medium Term Fiscal Framework and Fiscal Strategy Paper in Abuja on Tuesday.

According to her, the 2020 budget would be forecast based on a more realistic oil production level of 2.18 million barrels per day and lower oil benchmark of $55 per barrel.

This projection was $5 lower than the $60 benchmark of 2019 and 120,000 barrels per day below the 2.3 million barrels per day predicted in 2019 budget.

The minister said, “Oil production volume is projected at average 2.18mbpd for 2020. Although this is lower than the projected oil production volume of 2.3mbps for 2019, we believe that this is a more realistic projection. For 2021 and 2022, the projections are 2.22mbpd and 2.36mbps, respectively.”

The Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries, the International Energy Association and the United States Energy Information Administration had projected that non-OPEC members would increase oil production by at least two million barrel in 2019 and even produce more in 2020.

She explained that the adjustment was in anticipation of future global oil glut, “a lower oil price benchmark of $55 per barrel is assumed considering the expected oil glut in 2020 as well as the need to cushion against unexpected price shock.”

Breaking down the expenditure, the minister said N526.45 billion would go to statutory transfer in 2020, up from N502.05 billion in 2019.

While debt servicing and recurrent expenditure (non-debt) would gulp N2.45 trillion and N4.7 trillion, respectively. Again more than the N2.14 trillion and N4.38 trillion budgeted in the current year.

Capital expenditure, however, would drop by N1.13 trillion to N2.05 trillion in 2020, down from N3.18 trillion budgeted in 2019.

Speaking on funding, the minister said N7.6 trillion would be raised from non-oil and oil sources.

Another N300 billion is expected to come from special levies while according to the minister, stamp duty and exchange rate differentials should add at least N200 billion and N125.48 billion, respectively.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Sub-Saharan Africa to Double Nickel, Triple Cobalt, and Tenfold Lithium by 2050, says IMF

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In a recent report by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Sub-Saharan Africa emerges as a pivotal player in the global market for critical minerals.

The IMF forecasts a significant uptick in the production of essential minerals like nickel, cobalt, and lithium in the region by the year 2050.

According to the report titled ‘Harnessing Sub-Saharan Africa’s Critical Mineral Wealth,’ Sub-Saharan Africa stands to double its nickel production, triple its cobalt output, and witness a tenfold increase in lithium extraction over the next three decades.

This surge is attributed to the global transition towards clean energy, which is driving the demand for these minerals used in electric vehicles, solar panels, and other renewable energy technologies.

The IMF projects that the revenues generated from the extraction of key minerals, including copper, nickel, cobalt, and lithium, could exceed $16 trillion over the next 25 years.

Sub-Saharan Africa is expected to capture over 10 percent of these revenues, potentially leading to a GDP increase of 12 percent or more by 2050.

The report underscores the transformative potential of this mineral wealth, emphasizing that if managed effectively, it could catalyze economic growth and development across the region.

With Sub-Saharan Africa holding about 30 percent of the world’s proven critical mineral reserves, the IMF highlights the opportunity for the region to become a major player in the global supply chain for these essential resources.

Key countries in Sub-Saharan Africa are already significant contributors to global mineral production. For instance, the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) accounts for over 70 percent of global cobalt output and approximately half of the world’s proven reserves.

Other countries like South Africa, Gabon, Ghana, Zimbabwe, and Mali also possess significant reserves of critical minerals.

However, the report also raises concerns about the need for local processing of these minerals to capture more value and create higher-skilled jobs within the region.

While raw mineral exports contribute to revenue, processing these minerals locally could significantly increase their value and contribute to sustainable development.

The IMF calls for policymakers to focus on developing local processing industries to maximize the economic benefits of the region’s mineral wealth.

By diversifying economies and moving up the value chain, countries can reduce their vulnerability to commodity price fluctuations and enhance their resilience to external shocks.

The report concludes by advocating for regional collaboration and integration to create a more attractive market for investment in mineral processing industries.

By working together across borders, Sub-Saharan African countries can unlock the full potential of their critical mineral wealth and pave the way for sustainable economic growth and development.

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Economy

Lagos, Abuja to Host Public Engagements on Proposed Tax Policy Changes

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The Presidential Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Committee has announced a series of public engagements to discuss proposed tax policy changes.

Scheduled to kick off in Lagos on Thursday followed by Abuja on May 6, these sessions will help shape Nigeria’s tax structure.

Led by Chairman Taiwo Oyedele, the committee aims to gather insights and perspectives from stakeholders across sectors.

The focal point of these engagements is to solicit feedback on revisions to the National Tax Policy and potential amendments to tax laws and administration practices.

The significance of these public dialogues cannot be overstated. As Nigeria endeavors to fortify its economy and enhance revenue collection mechanisms, citizen input is paramount.

The engagement process underscores a commitment to democratic governance and collaborative policymaking, recognizing that tax reforms affect every facet of society.

The proposed changes are rooted in a strategic vision to stimulate economic growth while ensuring fairness and efficiency in tax administration. By harnessing diverse viewpoints, the committee seeks to craft policies that are not only robust but also reflective of the needs and aspirations of Nigerians.

Addressing the press, Chairman Taiwo Oyedele highlighted the importance of these consultations in refining the nation’s tax architecture.

He said the committee’s mandate is informed by insights gleaned from previous engagements and consultations.

The evolving nature of Nigeria’s economic landscape necessitates agility and responsiveness in policymaking, traits that these engagements seek to cultivate.

The public engagements will provide a platform for stakeholders to articulate their perspectives, concerns, and recommendations regarding tax reforms.

Participants from various sectors, including business, academia, civil society, and government agencies, are expected to contribute to robust discussions aimed at charting a path forward for Nigeria’s fiscal policy.

As the first leg of the engagements unfolds in Lagos, followed by Abuja, anticipation is high for constructive dialogue and meaningful outcomes.

The success of these engagements hinges on active participation and genuine collaboration among stakeholders, underscoring the collective responsibility to shape Nigeria’s fiscal future.

In an era marked by economic challenges and global uncertainty, proactive and inclusive policymaking is paramount.

The forthcoming public engagements represent a tangible step towards fostering transparency, accountability, and citizen engagement in Nigeria’s tax reform process.

By harnessing the collective wisdom of its citizens, Nigeria can forge a tax regime that propels sustainable economic development and fosters shared prosperity for all.

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Economy

IPMAN Threatens Nationwide Shutdown Over Unpaid N200bn Debt by FG

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Petrol Importation - investorsking.com

The Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria (IPMAN) has issued a stern warning to the Federal Government to shut down its 30,000 stations nationwide if an outstanding debt of N200 billion isn’t settled promptly.

The ultimatum comes as a result of the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority’s (NMDPRA) failure to clear a debt that has been accumulating since September 2022.

The debt pertains to bridging claims owed to oil marketers for the transportation of petroleum products from depots to various states across the country.

Yahaya Alhassan, Chairman of the IPMAN Depot Chairmen Forum, delivered the ultimatum in a communiqué issued in Abuja and declared that the consequences of the government’s inaction would be severe.

He warned that every IPMAN member’s outlet, spanning from the northern to the southern regions and from the east to the west, would be forced to close its doors.

Despite assurances from the government, including directives from the Minister of State for Petroleum Resources (Oil) to clear the debt within 40 days, IPMAN claims that only a fraction of the owed sum, a paltry N13 billion, has been paid.

Alhassan expressed disappointment at the lack of progress and accused the NMDPRA of disregarding the minister’s directive and showing a laidback attitude towards the survival of its members’ businesses.

The ramifications of the unpaid debt extend beyond the financial realm, as Alhassan highlighted the toll it has taken on IPMAN members.

Many businesses have collapsed, leading to bankruptcies and job losses. Some members have been unable to pay salaries, resulting in retrenchments and closures.

Alhassan painted a grim picture of the situation, stating that banks have seized the premises of numerous members due to their inability to meet financial obligations arising from the unpaid debt.

IPMAN’s plea for government intervention underscores the urgency of the matter. They have called on President Buhari to intervene and ensure that their demands are met promptly.

Failure to do so, they warn, will result in a nationwide shutdown of their services, causing widespread disruption to fuel distribution and exacerbating the country’s fuel crisis.

Meanwhile, the NMDPRA has stated that the payment process is ongoing, but IPMAN remains skeptical given the slow progress and mounting financial strain on its members.

As the standoff between IPMAN and the government intensifies, Nigerians brace themselves for the possibility of fuel shortages and escalating tensions in the coming days.

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