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Nigeria, Morocco Gas Pipeline to Supply 15 Countries

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Gas-Pipeline
  • Nigeria, Morocco Gas Pipeline to Supply 15 Countries

Nigeria and Morocco have completed the feasibility study for the construction of the 5,660km Nigeria-Morocco Gas Pipeline and the facility will supply gas to at least 15 countries in West Africa, the Group Managing Director of the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation, Maikanti Baru, announced on Monday.

Baru also stated that pre-Front End Engineering Design optimisation study for the pipeline was currently ongoing, adding that the facility would boost the region’s industries when completed.

This is coming as the Minister of State for Petroleum Resources, Ibe Kachikwu, announced that African countries were mobilising about $2bn to develop a financing body that will fund the energy sector.

Both the NNPC boss and the minister spoke at the Nigeria International Petroleum Summit in Abuja which had senior government officials from across Africa, Europe and America.

In his address at the summit, Baru said, “We need to collaborate especially in the area of infrastructure. Today, Nigeria and Morocco are collaborating to construct a gas pipeline that will traverse at least 15 West African countries with intake and offtake points in the various countries before it links with the existing Maghreb-Europe gas pipeline in Northern Morocco. The feasibility study has been concluded and the pre-FEED optimisation study is currently ongoing.

“This pipeline will help in the industrialisation of these countries. It will also meet the needs of consumers for heating and other uses. We see gas as a fuel to take Africa to the next level. New gas discoveries have been recorded offshore Senegal, Mauritania, Mozambique and are in various stages of development.”

He added, “Nigeria is also targeting to take FID on LNG Train 7 this year. So African countries need to collaborate and trade among each other not only in terms of oil and gas but also in other key sectors so that the multiplier effect is seen across our various economies.”

On his part, Kachikwu, who doubles as the President of African Petroleum Producers Organisation, stated that APPO was sourcing for about $2bn for an energy corporation.

He said, “We are presently looking at expanding the role of a particular financing body that we are going to be calling the African Energy Investment Corporation. The whole idea is to mobilise between $1bn and $2bn of resources to fund all the essentials necessary for us to properly collaborate.

“Today, most African countries are silos, everybody does their own thing; you build your own refineries, plants, gas turbines, etc. If we could just cross the Rubicon and be able to extend hands of infrastructural relationship across Africa, build joint pipelines, plants and refineries; begin to protect the African market, we would have taken a huge step, not only in the development of Africa but to the stabilisation of independent countries.”

The minister, however, noted that the oil sector in Africa was facing some challenges.

Kachikwu said, “On the challenge side, certain things jump out; such as shale, oil pricing, investment limitation, President Trump and so many other things. At the opportunity side, so many other things are going. However, with the opportunities arise challenges, especially those to do with the environment.

“Unless you get your policies right, unless you get your market place right, unless you get your collaborative mechanisms right and get your infrastructure right, you would face a huge amount of challenge in the competition for the very scarce resources and scarce capital.”

Kachikwu stated that aside from Nigeria’s effort in domestic gas supply, the country was also expanding frontiers in the export market.

He confirmed Baru’s position and stated that the Federal Government had executed the Memorandum of Understanding between NNPC and the Office National des Hydrocarbures et des Mines Morocco for collaboration in the construction of a gas pipeline from Nigeria to Morocco.

“The NGMP feasibility study was completed in July 2018 and the FEED Phase 1 scope is expected to be completed by end of Q1, 2019,” the minister said.

On the skills in Nigeria’s oil and gas sector, Kachikwu stated that over 90 per cent of the oil majors’ workforce was Nigerians.

“This means that some of the best skill sets are here. One of the things I found going into the NNPC in 2015 was that every detail of capability that you need to run a global company sat in NNPC. They are much trained, very well exposed. We have issues in terms of policies, but in terms of skill sets, we are solid,” the minister added.

He further noted that Africa’s place as a significant producer and net exporter of oil in the world was forecast to grow by about 15 per cent by 2020 due to new discoveries in some Sub-Saharan countries.

Kachikwu stated that in the last five years, nearly 30 per cent of the world’s oil and gas discoveries were in Sub-Saharan Africa, adding that it was estimated that Africa oil and gas would increase by 74 per cent by 2050.

“We need the right policies, the right partnerships and the right investments. And now is the only time,” he said.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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President Tinubu Defends Tough Economic Decisions at World Economic Forum

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Bola Tinubu

President Bola Tinubu stood firm in defense of Nigeria’s recent tough economic decisions during his address at the World Economic Forum in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Speaking to a gathering of global business leaders, Tinubu justified the removal of fuel subsidies and the management of Nigeria’s foreign exchange market as necessary measures to prevent the country from bankruptcy and reset its economy towards growth.

In his speech, Tinubu acknowledged the challenges and drawbacks associated with these decisions but emphasized that they were in the best interest of Nigeria.

He described the removal of fuel subsidies as a difficult yet essential action to avert bankruptcy and ensure the country’s economic stability.

Despite the expected difficulties, Tinubu highlighted the government’s efforts to implement parallel arrangements to cushion the impact on vulnerable populations, demonstrating a commitment to inclusive governance.

Regarding the management of the foreign exchange market, Tinubu emphasized the need to remove artificial value elements in Nigeria’s currency to foster competitiveness and transparency.

While acknowledging the turbulence associated with such decisions, he underscored the government’s preparedness to manage the challenges through inclusive governance and effective communication with the public.

Moreover, Tinubu used the platform to call on the global community to pay attention to the root causes of poverty and instability in Africa’s Sahel region.

He emphasized the importance of economic collaborations and inclusiveness in achieving stability and growth, urging bigger economies to actively participate in promoting prosperity in the region.

Tinubu’s defense of Nigeria’s economic policies reflects the government’s commitment to making tough but necessary decisions to steer the country towards sustainable growth and development.

As the world grapples with geopolitical tensions, inflation, and supply chain disruptions, Tinubu’s message at the World Economic Forum underscores the importance of collaborative action and inclusive governance in addressing critical global challenges.

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Economy

IMF: Nigeria’s 2024 Growth Outlook Revised Upward – Coronation Economic Note

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IMF - Investors King

In its latest World Economic Outlook (WEO), the IMF revised its global growth forecast for 2024 upward to 3.2% y/y from 3.1% y/y projected in its January ’24 WEO.

Meanwhile, the growth outlook for 2025 was unchanged at 3.2% y/y. It is worth highlighting that global growth projections for 2024 and 2025 remain below the historical (2000-2019) average of 3.8%.

Persistence inflationary pressure, turbulence in China’s property sector, ongoing geopolitical tensions, and financial stress continue to pose downside risk to global growth projection.

There was an upward growth revision for United States to 2.7% y/y from 2.1% y/y. The upward revision can be partly attributed to a stronger than expected growth in the US economy in Q4 ‘23 bolstered by healthier consumption patterns; stronger momentum is expected in 2024.

Growth in China remains steady at 4.6% y/y. This is consistent with the projection recorded in its January ’24 WEO, as post pandemic boost to consumption and fiscal stimulus eases off amid headwinds in the property sector. We expect a loosening or a hold stance in the near-term as China continues to seek ways to bolster its economy.

On the flip side, GDP growth was revised downward (marginally) for the Eurozone to 0.8% y/y from 0.9% y/y (in its January ’23 WEO) for 2024. The growth projection for the United Kingdom was also revised downwards to 0.5% y/y from 0.6% y/y.

Russia’s growth forecast was revised upward to 3.2% y/y from 2.6% y/y (in its January ’24 WEO) for 2024. This revision was largely due to high investment and robust private consumption supported by wage growth.

The projection for average global inflation was revised upward to 5.9% y/y for 2024 from 5.8% y/y (in its January ’24 WEO), with an expectation of a decline to 4.5% y/y in 2025.

This is reflective of the cooling effects of monetary policy tightening across advanced and emerging economies.

Based on IMF projections, we anticipate a swifter decline in headline inflation rates averaging near 2% in 2025 among advanced economies before the avg. inflation figure for developing economies returns to pre-pandemic rate of c.5%.

This is driven by tight monetary policies, softening labor markets, and the fading passthrough effects from earlier declines in relative prices, notably energy prices.

We understand that moderations in headline inflation have prompted central banks of select economies to slow down on further policy rate hikes.

For instance, the US Federal Reserve may consider rate cuts three times this year if macro-indicators align with expectations. Also, the UK and ECB are likely to reduce their level of policy restriction if they become more confident that inflation is moving towards the 2% target.

The growth forecast for sub-Saharan Africa remains steady at 3.8% y/y for 2024. The unchanged projection can be partly attributed to expectations around growth dynamics in Angola, notably contraction in its oil sector, which was offset by an upward revision for Nigeria’s GDP growth estimate.

For Nigeria, IMF revised its 2024 growth forecast upward to 3.3% y/y from 3.0% y/y (in its January ’24 WEO). This revision partly reflects the elevated oil price environment. Bonny Light has increased by 14.6% from the start of the year to USD89.3/b (as at April 2024).

Other upside risks include relatively stable growth in select sectors, improved fx market dynamics as well as ongoing restrictive monetary stance by the CBN.

Nigeria’s headline inflation has steadily recorded upticks (currently at 33.2% y/y as of March ‘24). Our end-year inflation forecast (base-case scenario) is 35.8% y/y. The ongoing geopolitical tension could exacerbate supply chain disruptions, driving commodity prices, and exerting pressure on purchasing
power.

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Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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