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Govt Records N3tn Revenue Shortfall in Nine Months

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Naira - Investors King
  • Govt Records N3tn Revenue Shortfall in Nine Months

The Federal Government recorded a revenue shortfall of N3.04tn from January to September this year, Ifeanyi Onuba reports

From January to September this year, the Federal Government generated a total amount of N6.93tn as revenue from oil and non-oil sources.

The N6.93tn revenue was arrived at based on the analysis of data obtained from the Central Bank of Nigeria.

A breakdown of the revenue showed that the sum of N2.08tn was generated in the first quarter while the second and third quarters recorded N2.31tn and N2.52tn respectively.

The amount generated in each of the quarter was far below the budgeted quarterly estimate of N3.32tn.

When spread over a nine-month period, the budgeted quarterly estimate amounts to about N9.96tn.

This implies that with the total actual revenue of N6.92tn, the government was unable to meet its revenue target which resulted in a revenue shortfall of N3.04tn during the nine-month period.

Out of the actual revenue of N6.93tn, the sum of N4.08tn was earned from oil sources.

This, according to the analysis of the data, is about 58.7 per cent of the total earnings of the country during the nine-month period.

An analysis of oil revenue figure of N4.08tn revealed that Petroleum Profit Tax and royalties accounted for a huge chunk of oil revenue with a total contribution of N2.68tn.

This is followed by other oil revenue with N1.08tn while crude oil and gas sales contributed the balance of N312bn.

For non-oil revenue, a breakdown of the N2.85tn collections showed that the sum of N820.95bn was generated from Value Added Taxes, N1.08trn from Companies Income Taxes while N509.08bn came in from Customs and Excise duties.

The balance of N433.36bn was generated from other non-oil revenue sources.

Speaking on the revenue shortfall, some finance and economic experts said the budgetary spending of the government needed to be reduced in a manner that would reflect the rate of revenue inflow.

The Director-General, Institute of Finance and Control of Nigeria, Mr Godwin Eohoi, said, “We have so much relied on oil revenue within the last 45 years and with the level of uncertainty in oil revenue, the time has come now for us to review our fiscal position.

“There is a need for reform of the country’s tax administration system to enable the Federal Government to raise more revenue from capital gains tax. Our tax to Gross Domestic Product ratio is one of the lowest in the world and we need to address that.”

In his comment, the Head of Banking and Finance Department, Nasarawa State University, Dr. Uche Uwaleke, said there was a need for the National Assembly to come up with legislation to improve the level of coordination between fiscal and monetary policy authorities.

He said the law would enable both authorities to effectively come up with the right policy mix in addressing the fiscal challenges facing the economy.

He argued that the failure to properly coordinate both fiscal and monetary policies was having negative influences on the economy through deficit financing.

He added that a weak policy stance on one area could burden the other area and would make the economy to suffer in the long run.

He said, “The need for policy coordination arises in the cast of structural reforms and liberalisation of the financial sector.

“Such reforms can only proceed within the framework of a supportive fiscal policy that provides macroeconomic stability, fiscal discipline and avoidance of taxes that discriminate against the financial activity.

“The constitution empowers the legislature with three basic functions of representation, lawmaking and oversight.

“To this end, the National Assembly can facilitate synergy between monetary and fiscal policies towards economic diversification by making laws designed to put an end to budget delays and fiscal deficit.”

The Minister of Finance, Mrs Zainab Ahmed, had said the decline in revenue had made it imperative for state governments to reduce unnecessary overhead costs in order to enthrone fiscal discipline.

She said the move was vital in order to increase the Internally Generated Revenue of states so as to efficiently maximise the scarce resources needed to stimulate the economy.

Ahmed, who spoke at a conference with the theme: ‘Unlocking the potential of the non-oil sector as a sustainable source of government revenue’, maintained that states should look inwards to harness various avenues for revenue.

She said, “It is on record that due to persistent domestic fall in oil revenue over the past years, it became extremely difficult, if not impossible for us to meet duly budgeted obligations.

“This happened because of the age-long over-reliance on oil, even though Nigeria is abundantly endowed with multiple resources, which provide varied sources of revenue.

“There is stupendous potential for diversification of revenue. We can reflect soberly on our national endowments and make conscious efforts to exploit and manage them effectively.

“Let me remind us that we need to develop cost-effective strategies to increase our IGR, reduce unnecessary overhead costs, enthrone fiscal discipline and transparency so as to optimise available limited resources, while efforts are sustained to broaden our revenue base.”

Ahmed said the Federal Government would continue to ensure that all federation revenues were accounted for in the most transparent manner and managed efficiently.

She said, “Let me acknowledge and commend the wisdom behind the development of the new revenue reporting template that was engineered by the Commissioners for Finance.

“It is imperative to mention that its implementation will be one of the key reforms in revenue remittances into the federation account.

“The administration of President Muhammadu Buhari has demonstrated necessary political will and has been very supportive in our drive to explore other relevant revenue sources, so as to be able to turn the tide in favour of the federation account and the nation in general.”

She further urged state governments to develop various sectors in their states to consolidate on the revenue allocation they receive from the federation account.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

Banking Sector

Central Bank of Nigeria Mandates Cybersecurity Levy on Transactions

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Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN)

In a bid to bolster cybersecurity measures within the financial sector, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has issued a directive mandating banks and financial institutions to implement a cybersecurity levy on transactions.

The circular, released on Monday, outlines the commencement of this levy within two weeks from the date of issuance.

According to the circular, all commercial, merchant, non-interest, and payment service banks, as well as other financial institutions, mobile money operators, and payment service providers, are instructed to enforce this cybersecurity levy.

The directive is a follow-up to previous communications dated June 25, 2018, and October 5, 2018, emphasizing compliance with the Cybercrimes (Prohibition, Prevention, Etc.) Act 2015.

The levy is to be applied at the point of electronic transfer origination and subsequently deducted by the financial institution.

This deducted amount will then be remitted to the designated Nigerian Cybersecurity Fund (NCF) account domiciled at the CBN. Customers will see a deduction reflected in their account statement with the narration, ‘Cybersecurity Levy’.

Exemptions from this levy include certain transactions such as loan disbursements and repayments, salary payments, and intra-bank transfers among others.

The CBN aims to streamline and fortify cybersecurity efforts across the financial sector through the implementation of this levy.

This move by the CBN aligns with recent efforts to enhance regulatory oversight and mitigate risks within the financial ecosystem.

It follows closely after directives barring fintechs from onboarding new customers and warnings against engaging in cryptocurrency transactions.

Also, the Federal Government’s directive for the deduction of stamp duty charges on mortgaged-backed loans and bonds demonstrates a broader push for fiscal transparency and regulatory compliance.

The introduction of the cybersecurity levy underscores the CBN’s commitment to safeguarding digital transactions and ensuring the integrity of Nigeria’s financial infrastructure amidst evolving cyber threats.

As financial institutions gear up for implementation, the levy is poised to play a pivotal role in fortifying the nation’s cybersecurity resilience in an increasingly digitized landscape.

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Pension

PFAs Posted Decent Growth – Coronation Economic Note

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pension funds - Investors King

According to the latest monthly report released by Nigeria’s Pension Commission (PENCOM), the assets under management (AUM) of the regulated pension industry increased by +26.2% y/y to N19.7trn.

Meanwhile on an m/m basis, the AUM decline marginally by -0.5%.

This marks the first decline since September ’22. Notably, FGN debt securities accounted for 62% of the total AUM in March ’24. Meanwhile, other asset classes such as private equities, real estate, and infrastructure funds, accounted for 0.4%, 1.4%, and 0.8% of total AUM, respectively.

Total FGN debt securities held by the Pension Fund Administrators (PFAs) increased by +19.7%
y/y but declined marginally by -1.4% m/m.

Specifically, we note that the FGN bond instruments held by the PFAs increased by +17.2% y/y to N11.5trn, but declined by -2.4% m/m, on the back of a 10-year tenure FGN bond maturity (N719.9bn). The FGN bonds account for 58% of the total AUM.

FGN bonds remain attractive due to its lower risk profile and elevated yields. It is worth noting that the average FGN bond yield increased by +219bps m/m as at end-March ‘24.

The PENCOM report shows that NTBs held by PFAs grew by +120% y/y and increased by +42.5% m/m to N407.6bn in March ’24. We note that the average NTB yield increased by +250bps m/m as at end-March’24.

This asset class accounted for just 2.1% of the total AUM in the same month.

Meanwhile, State government securities held by the PFAs increased by 64.1% y/y to N266.2bn in March ‘24.

It is worth highlighting that domestic equity holdings surged by 99.6% y/y and 8.7% m/m to N2.1trn in the same period, accounting for 10.6% of the total AUM in March ‘24 compared with 9.7% in February ’24. The NGX-all-share index (NGX-ASI) rose by +90.6% y/y and +4.6% during the same period.

Furthermore, YTD (28-March ’24) return on index rose by +18.1% to close at 39.8% from 33.7% in February ’24.

Recently, the market has shown a bearish trajectory as the NGX-ASI declined by -6.1% m/m as at end-April ‘24, partly, on the back of relatively weak corporate earnings amid inflationary conditions. Given expectations of higher yields in the fixed income market on the back of continuous tightening or a hold stance of the CBN at the next MPC meeting, PFAs are likely to reallocate a greater portion of pension assets to fixed income securities.

According to PENCOM, the total pension contributions since inception remitted to the Individual Retirement Savings Account (RSA) increased by +17.3% y/y to N9.9trn as at end-December ‘23 compared with N8.5trn recorded as at end-December ‘22. Remittance from the public sector accounts for 52%, while private sector accounts for 48% of the total pension contributions.

This can be partly attributed to improvement in the efforts to expand pension coverage.

Notably, PENCOM added a total number of 8,927 micro pension contributors in Q4 ’23 bringing the total number of registered MPCs in the Micro pension plan from inception to 114,382 as at end-December ’23 from 89,327 as at end-December ’22.

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Banking Sector

GTCO Plc’s Profit Before Tax Grows by 587.5% to N509.35 Billion in Q1, 2024

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GTCO Commemorates Listing on Nigerian Exchange - Investors King

Guaranty Trust Holding Company (GTCO) Plc, one of Nigeria’s leading financial institutions, has unveiled its first quarter (Q1) financial results for the period ending March 31, 2024.

According to the report submitted to the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NGX), GTCO recorded a 587.5% growth in profit before tax (PBT) to N509.35 billion.

This substantial increase in pre-tax profit represents a significant jump from the N74.089 billion reported in the corresponding period of the previous year.

The financial statement also revealed a 227.93% rise in income tax to N52.213 billion, compared to N15.922 billion in the same period of 2023.

As a result, GTCO’s profit after tax (PAT) for the first quarter of 2024 rose to N457.134 billion, an exceptional growth of 685.9% from N58.167 billion recorded in the first quarter of the previous year.

The strong performance of GTCO can be attributed to several key factors. The Group’s loan book increased by 21.9% rising from N2.48 trillion recorded in December 2023 to N3.02 trillion by March 2024.

Similarly, deposit liabilities grew by 26.0% from N7.55 trillion in December 2023 to N9.51 trillion in March 2024.

Despite the challenging economic environment, GTCO’s balance sheet remained well-structured, diversified, and resilient.

Total assets closed at an impressive N13.0 trillion while shareholders’ funds stood solid at N2.0 trillion.

Commenting on the outstanding financial results, Mr. Segun Agbaje, the Group Chief Executive Officer of Guaranty Trust Holding Company Plc, expressed optimism about the future.

He said the robust performance across all business verticals reaffirmed the value of the Holding Company Structure.

“Our first quarter results reflect the unfolding value of what we have created in all our business verticals through the Holding Company Structure – from Banking and Payments to Funds Management and Pension,” said Mr. Agbaje.

“We are positioned to compete effectively on all fronts and fulfill all our customers’ needs under a unified, thriving financial ecosystem.”

The growth in profitability underscores GTCO’s resilience, strategic focus, and unwavering commitment to delivering superior value to its stakeholders amidst evolving market dynamics.

As the Group continues to leverage its strengths and innovative capabilities, it remains well-positioned to navigate the ever-changing landscape of the financial services industry with confidence and resilience.

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