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Yuletide: Stock Market Sell-off Worsens

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Oscar Onyema
  • Yuletide: Stock Market Sell-off Worsens

Investors in the nation’s stock market have continued to sell off their holdings as Yuletide approaches.

The sell-off in the market strengthened last week as reflected by the dip in the index, which declined from 30,718.72 basis points on Tuesday to its lowest point during the week at 30,568.05 bps on Thursday.

The performance of the market last week was dragged by the sell-offs in heavily weighted stocks in the consumer goods and oil and gas sectors as they both closed negatively, declining by 2.79 per cent and 0.84 per cent, respectively.

The banking, insurance and the industrial goods sector indices were the only indices that registered upward movements during the week.

During the week, the bearish performance in the equities market dragged the All Share Index lower by 0.9 per cent to settle the year-to-date return at -19.80 per cent.

There were 33 gainers and 37 losers, which pegged the market breadth at 0.89x.

A total turnover of 1.169 billion shares worth N14.762bn in 14,554 deals was traded during the week by investors on the floor of the Exchange in contrast to a total of 1.107 billion shares valued at N11.192bn that exchanged hands in the previous week in 14,430 deals.

The financial services industry (measured by volume) led the activity chart with 983.374 million shares valued at N9.358bn traded in 8,484 deals, thus contributing 84.15 per cent and 63.39 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value, respectively.

The banking sector, however, recorded an overall negative performance as it declined by 0.86 per cent, dragging its year-to-date return to -11.52 per cent.

However, the sector breadth at 1.60x was in favour of the bulls, as eight gainers outpaced five losers.

Union Bank of Nigeria Plc outperformed the sector with a share price increase of 14.02 per cent to close at N6.10.

Profit-taking prevailed in the banking sector as sell-offs dominated four of the top seven weighted counters in the sector. Consequently, the losses outweighed the gains recorded on eight counters.

Analysts at Meristem Securities Limited predicted a marginal gain in the sector this week as slight upticks were recorded across the sector’s heavyweight.

The healthcare industry followed with 44.802 million shares worth N183.753m in 253 deals.

The healthcare sector declined by 1.15 per cent to peg the year-to-date return at -21.40 per cent.

Neimeth International Pharmaceuticals Plc was the top gainer, with a share price increase of 3.45 per cent to close at 60 kobo.

Sell-offs in Fidson Healthcare Plc led to a negative close of the sector as the company emerged the top loser with a price decline of 6.12 per cent to close at N4.60.

The third place was occupied by the consumer goods industry with a turnover of 42.758 million shares worth N3.553bn in 2,227 deals.

At the close of the week, the consumer goods sector was awash with negative sentiment as it declined by 2.79 per cent, dragging its year-to-date loss to -26.33 per cent.

The consumer goods sector failed to sustain its bullish trend from the previous week, as selling pressures prevailed on large-cap stocks in the sector.

Cadbury Nigeria Plc was the best-performing stock with a share price gain of 5.82 per cent to close at N10.

On the losers’ end, Nestlé Nigeria Plc recorded the highest loss during the week with a 6.39 per cent decline.

The industrial goods sector advanced by 0.81 per cent, pegging its year-to-date return at -37.81 per cent. The sector breadth settled at 1.33x, as four gainers outpaced three losers.

Cap Plc emerged the highest gainer with an 18.25 per cent gain to close at N37.25 per share.

On the other hand, Cutix Plc led the losers’ chart, shedding 9.64 per cent to close at N1.78 per share.

At the close of the week, the notable gains on counters like Cap Plc and Berger Paints Plc drove the sector to a positive close.

The insurance index gained 0.20 per cent to settle the sector’s year to date loss at -11.90 per cent as four gainers and seven losers pegged the sector breadth at 0.57x.

The insurance sector outperformed other sectors this week, following modest gains on stocks like Continental Reinsurance Plc and Law Union and Rock Insurance Plc.

Veritas Kapital Assurance Plc closed at the top of the gainers’ list with a price increase of 19.05 per cent.

However, Cornerstone Insurance Plc led other laggards, following a decline of 9.09 per cent in its share price.

The oil and gas sector was characterised by bearish sentiment as it dipped by 0.82 per cent at the close of the week. This settled the year-to-date return at -15.59 per cent as the sector breadth closed at 0.75x.

Forte Oil Plc outperformed other stocks in the sector, after gaining 33.89 per cent to close at N24.10.

On the other hand, 11 Plc, Conoil Plc, Oando Plc and Seplat Petroleum Development Company Plc featured on the losers’ chart, closing at N156.60, N20.25, N4.95 and N594 per share, respectively.

Analysts at Meristem said the negative outing at the close of last week could be attributed to selling pressure on some of the sector’s heavily weighted counters, such as Seplat and 11 Plc.

Trading in the top three equities, namely Zenith Bank Plc, FBN Holdings Plc, and United Bank for Africa Plc (measured by volume) accounted for 438.938 million shares worth N5.691bn in 2,962 deals, contributing 37.56 per cent and 38.55 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value, respectively.

The top five gainers last week were Forte Oil, John Holt Plc, Veritas Kapital, Cap Plc and Union Bank, which saw their prices gain 33.89 per cent, 20 per cent, 19.05 per cent, 18.25 per cent and 14.02 per cent, respectively.

The top five losers were 11 Plc, Conoil, Cutix Plc, Livestock Feeds Plc and Chams Plc, whose share prices declined by 10.41 per cent, 10 per cent, 9.64 per cent, 9.62 per cent and 9.09 per cent, respectively.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Loans

Akinwumi Adesina Calls for Debt Transparency to Safeguard African Economic Growth

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Akinwumi Adesina

Amidst the backdrop of mounting concerns over Africa’s ballooning external debt, Akinwumi Adesina, the President of the African Development Bank (AfDB), has emphatically called for greater debt transparency to protect the continent’s economic growth trajectory.

In his address at the Semafor Africa Summit, held alongside the International Monetary Fund and World Bank 2024 Spring Meetings, Adesina highlighted the detrimental impact of non-transparent resource-backed loans on African economies.

He stressed that such loans not only complicate debt resolution but also jeopardize countries’ future growth prospects.

Adesina explained the urgent need for accountability and transparency in debt management, citing the continent’s debt burden of $824 billion as of 2021.

With countries dedicating a significant portion of their GDP to servicing these obligations, Adesina warned that the current trajectory could hinder Africa’s development efforts.

One of the key concerns raised by Adesina was the shift from concessional financing to more expensive and short-term commercial debt, particularly Eurobonds, which now constitute a substantial portion of Africa’s total debt.

He criticized the prevailing ‘Africa premium’ that raises borrowing costs for African countries despite their lower default rates compared to other regions.

Adesina called for a paradigm shift in the perception of risk associated with African investments, advocating for a more nuanced approach that reflects the continent’s economic potential.

He stated the importance of an orderly and predictable debt resolution framework, called for the expedited implementation of the G20 Common Framework.

The AfDB President also outlined various initiatives and instruments employed by the bank to mitigate risks and attract institutional investors, including partial credit guarantees and synthetic securitization.

He expressed optimism about Africa’s renewable energy sector and highlighted the Africa Investment Forum as a catalyst for large-scale investments in critical sectors.

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Banking Sector

UBA, Access Holdings, and FBN Holdings Lead Nigerian Banks in Electronic Banking Revenue

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UBA House Marina

United Bank for Africa (UBA) Plc, Access Holdings Plc, and FBN Holdings Plc have emerged as frontrunners in electronic banking revenue among the country’s top financial institutions.

Data revealed that these banks led the pack in income from electronic banking services throughout the 2023 fiscal year.

UBA reported the highest electronic banking income of  N125.5 billion in 2023, up from N78.9 billion recorded in the previous year.

Similarly, Access Holdings grew electronic banking revenue from N59.6 billion in the previous year to N101.6 billion in the year under review.

FBN Holdings also experienced an increase in electronic banking revenue from N55 billion in 2022 to N66 billion.

The rise in electronic banking revenue underscores the pivotal role played by these banks in facilitating digital financial transactions across Nigeria.

As the nation embraces digitalization and transitions towards cashless transactions, these banks have capitalized on the growing demand for electronic banking services.

Tesleemah Lateef, a bank analyst at Cordros Securities Limited, attributed the increase in electronic banking income to the surge in online transactions driven by the cashless policy implemented in the first quarter of 2023.

The policy incentivized individuals and businesses to conduct more transactions through digital channels, resulting in a substantial uptick in electronic banking revenue.

Furthermore, the combined revenue from electronic banking among the top 10 Nigerian banks surged to N427 billion from N309 billion, reflecting the industry’s robust growth trajectory in digital financial services.

The impressive performance of UBA, Access Holdings, and FBN Holdings underscores their strategic focus on leveraging technology to enhance customer experience and drive financial inclusion.

By investing in digital payment infrastructure and promoting digital payments among their customers, these banks have cemented their position as industry leaders in the rapidly evolving landscape of electronic banking in Nigeria.

As the Central Bank of Nigeria continues to promote digital payments and reduce the country’s dependence on cash, banks are poised to further capitalize on the opportunities presented by the digital economy.

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Loans

Nigeria’s $2.25 Billion Loan Request to Receive Final Approval from World Bank in June

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IMF - Investors King

Nigeria’s $2.25 billion loan request is expected to receive final approval from the World Bank in June.

The loan, consisting of $1.5 billion in Development Policy Financing and $750 million in Programme-for-Results Financing, aims to bolster Nigeria’s developmental efforts.

Finance Minister Wale Edun hailed the loan as a “free lunch,” highlighting its favorable terms, including a 40-year term, 10 years of moratorium, and a 1% interest rate.

Edun highlighted the loan’s quasi-grant nature, providing substantial financial support to Nigeria’s economic endeavors.

While the loan request awaits formal approval in June, Edun revealed that the World Bank’s board of directors had already greenlit the credit, currently undergoing processing.

The loan signifies a vote of confidence in Nigeria’s economic resilience and strategic response to global challenges, as showcased during the recent Spring Meetings.

Nigeria’s delegation, led by Edun, underscored the nation’s commitment to addressing economic obstacles and leveraging international partnerships for sustainable development.

With the impending approval of the $2.25 billion loan, Nigeria looks poised to embark on transformative initiatives, buoyed by crucial financial backing from the World Bank.

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