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Experts Predict More Investment Inflow in 2018

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Malaysian Ringgits And Stock Boards Inside RHB Investment Bank
  • Experts Predict More Investment Inflow in 2018

Investment inflow into the country, which doubled to $4.2 billion in third quarter of 2017 from the previous quarter’s level, is expected to continue in 2018.

This is because Nigeria’s business environment remains more attractive and competitive to investors amid expectations of meaningful structural reforms, analysts at Codros Capital Limited have said.

Reviewing the 2017 economic performance and predicting the outlook of Nigeria’s macro economic environment for 2018, the Head, Research and Strategy of Codros capital, Christian Orajekwe, explained that there are strong indications that portfolio inflow into the country would increase tremendously in 2018, as investors are expected to actively involve in frontier market activities this year.

“Unless the growth expectations are being visited by some shocks and unless in a very adverse economic condition, I do not think we will experience any bubble,” he said.

Specifically, Orajekwe maintained that with oil price trading at levels not seen in over two and half years in the international market and the resurging reserves profile, there is positive outlook for Nigerian economy in 2018.

Also, sustained management of the foreign exchange market, which has reduced the countries over dependence on import and the accrued bills, is a boost to the nation’s economic growth.

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) in August 2017, released the capital importation report, stating that investment inflows into the country rose by 95.02 per cent from $884.1 million in the first quarter of 2017 to $1.79 billion in the second quarter.

The report, which was made available to newsmen, attributed the main driver of the quarterly growth in capital importation in the second quarter to 146.7 per cent increase in portfolio investments.

This, according to the report, was followed by other investments, which grew by 95.02 per cent, and then Foreign Direct Investment, which increased by 29.8 per cent over the previous quarter. Similarly, investment inflow into the country also doubled to $4.2 billion in third quarter of 2017 from the previous quarter level.

Orajekwe however, listed instability in polity as one of the downside risks to portfolio flows into the country for 2018.

“Downside risks to port folio flows, one of the reason why investors are expected to strongly bet on Nigeria assets in 2018 is because of the growth expectations. so in the events where the actual numbers begin to lag expectations, I think foreign investors reaction to this will be negative.

“Corporate earnings is also very important, last year, the size of corporate earnings growth was major drivers of the inflow that we saw in our market so where corporate earnings begin to show adverse conditions with the economy, we think investors will react negatively,” he added.

He urged investors to ensure that they pick stocks of firms with good fundamentals, meet up with post listing requirements and consistent in filing their financials to the Nigerian Stock Exchange.

“We do not expect our clients to invest in stocks without strong fundamentals and companies that have not reported their accounts for a long time and companies that are not open to analysts to discuss their numbers.So what we have seen so far is investors investing across board and in the event of shocks, those that are not fundamentally backed are the ones that will be most hit.”

Speaking further on the factor that could alter expected growth this year, the Head, Investment Banking of the firm, Femi Ademola, said stability in forex is imperative, noting that improved forex lured most of investors into the Nigerian market in 2017.

“We think investors will focus more strongly on this, via avis government ability to earn dollars, if we continue to earn good dollars with transparency in our reform policies, investors will bring in more flows.

“But when there is adverse dollar condition so that the apex bank will begin to introduce some policies that investors are not very comfortable with, perhaps even where the Import and export window is still relevant, I think investors will go away from Nigerian market,” he said.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Microsoft to Invest $2.2 Billion in Malaysia’s Digital Infrastructure

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Microsoft Corporation has announced plans to inject $2.2 billion into Malaysia’s digital infrastructure over the next four years.

This investment shows the company’s determination to harness the potential of Southeast Asia’s burgeoning technology market.

During his visit to Kuala Lumpur, Microsoft’s Chief Executive Officer, Satya Nadella, revealed the company’s ambitious agenda, which encompasses the construction of essential infrastructure to support its cloud computing and artificial intelligence (AI) services.

Nadella also outlined plans to provide AI training to 200,000 individuals in Malaysia and collaborate with the government to enhance the nation’s cybersecurity capabilities.

The move comes amidst intensified competition among tech giants, including Alphabet Inc., Amazon.com Inc., and Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., to gain a foothold in Southeast Asia’s rapidly digitizing landscape.

With a population exceeding 650 million people, the region presents a lucrative market for tech companies seeking to expand their operations beyond traditional strongholds like China.

“We are committed to supporting Malaysia’s AI transformation and ensure it benefits all Malaysians,” stated Nadella.

During his visit, Nadella met Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim and discussed the importance of collaboration between the public and private sectors in driving digital innovation.

Microsoft’s investment not only serves to fortify Malaysia’s technological infrastructure but also aligns with the company’s broader strategy to assert its presence in the Asian market.

Nadella has previously pledged a substantial sum of $7 billion to bolster Microsoft’s services across the region, emphasizing the pivotal role of AI as a catalyst for growth and urging countries to ramp up investment in the technology.

In Malaysia, the southern region of Johor Bahru, linked to Singapore by a causeway, is emerging as a key hub for AI data centers.

The partnership between Nvidia Corp. and local utility YTL Power International Bhd. to establish a $4.3 billion AI data center park in the area underscores the region’s growing significance in the realm of digital infrastructure.

While AI adoption in Southeast Asia is still in its nascent stages, experts predict significant economic benefits with the potential to add approximately $1 trillion to the region’s economy by 2030.

Malaysia is poised to capture a substantial portion of this growth with estimates suggesting a potential windfall of around $115 billion for the country.

Microsoft’s commitment extends beyond Malaysia, as the company announced similar investments during Nadella’s regional tour.

In Indonesia, Microsoft unveiled a $1.7 billion investment plan, while an undisclosed amount was pledged for initiatives in Thailand. Notably, Microsoft intends to invest approximately $1 billion in a new data center in Thailand, as reported by the Bangkok Post.

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Investors Flock to Nigerian Treasury Bills, Subscriptions Soar to N23.75 Trillion

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Nigeria’s Treasury Bills market has witnessed an unprecedented surge in investor interest with subscriptions soaring to N23.75 trillion in the first four months of 2024.

This increase represents a significant 292% Year-on-Year growth from N6.06 trillion recorded in the same period in 2023.

Treasury Bills, short-term government debt instruments issued by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), have become increasingly attractive to both local and foreign investors.

The double-digit interest rates offered on NTBs have lured investors seeking refuge from the uncertainties of the global economic landscape.

The surge in subscriptions comes amidst Nigeria’s efforts to bridge its budget deficit and manage monetary challenges amidst a scarcity of foreign exchange and double-digit inflation rates.

Investors’ confidence in the CBN’s ability to navigate these challenges has been bolstered by robust subscription rates, indicating a positive outlook for the country’s fiscal stability.

The 2024 Budget of ‘Renewed Hope’, proposed by President Bola Tinubu, outlines a total expenditure of N27.5 trillion, with a deficit of N9.18 trillion.

The high demand for NTBs underscores investors’ confidence in the government’s fiscal policies and its commitment to economic reform.

As interest rates on NTBs have risen in response to inflationary pressures, the CBN has capitalized on this demand by auctioning larger volumes of NTBs.

The move aims to address liquidity in the financial system while attracting foreign investors seeking higher yields.

Analysts view the surge in NTBs subscriptions as a testament to investors’ confidence in the Nigerian government and its reforms.

The massive oversubscription signals significant system liquidity and reflects the attractiveness of NTBs as a safe investment option amidst economic uncertainties.

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A.P. Moller-Maersk Pledges $600m Investment in Nigerian Ports

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A.P. Moller-Maersk, one of the world’s largest shipping and logistics companies, has committed a $600 million investment into Nigerian ports.

The decision was unveiled during a high-profile meeting between Chairman of A.P. Moller-Maersk, Mr. Robert Maersk Uggla, and Nigerian President Bola Tinubu.

The investment, aimed at expanding port infrastructure to accommodate larger container ships, comes at a pivotal moment for Nigeria’s economy.

Historically, the West African coast has been serviced by smaller vessels but with this injection of capital, A.P. Moller-Maersk envisions deploying larger ships to Nigeria, transforming the country into a major logistics hub for the region.

The move not only underscores Nigeria’s strategic importance but also highlights the company’s confidence in the country’s growth potential.

Speaking on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum Special Meeting on Global Collaboration, Growth, and Energy for Development in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, Chairman Robert Maersk Uggla expressed optimism about Nigeria’s prospects.

“We have seen a significant opportunity for Nigeria to cater for larger container ships,” Uggla stated. “To achieve this, we need to expand the port infrastructure, especially in Lagos, where we need a bigger hub for logistics services. The growth potential is hard to quantify.”

In response, President Tinubu welcomed the firm’s commitment and emphasized the government’s dedication to fostering an enabling environment for investments.

“We appreciate your business and the contribution you have made and continue to make to our country’s economy over time,” Tinubu remarked. “A bet on Nigeria is a winning bet. It is also a bet that rewards beyond what is obtainable elsewhere.”

The infusion of $600 million into Nigerian ports signifies more than just a financial transaction; it symbolizes a partnership built on mutual trust and shared objectives.

With Nigeria poised to benefit from enhanced port infrastructure and increased trade capacity, the ripple effects of this investment are expected to be felt across various sectors of the economy.

Furthermore, A.P. Moller-Maersk’s decision aligns with Nigeria’s broader vision of becoming a regional economic powerhouse. By attracting foreign investment and fostering strategic collaborations, the country is laying the groundwork for sustainable growth and development.

As Nigeria charts a course towards prosperity, the $600 million commitment from A.P. Moller-Maersk serves as a beacon of hope and a testament to the nation’s potential on the global stage. With determination and collective effort, Nigeria stands poised to capitalize on this opportunity and navigate the waters of progress with confidence.

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