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2019 Elections: Portfolio Investors May Pull Out Funds

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  • 2019 Elections: Portfolio Investors May Pull Out Funds

Against the backdrop of the huge debt service costs being incurred by the Federal Government, one of the nation’s Deposit Money Banks, Guaranty Trust Bank Plc, has highlighted the need for the government to reduce its borrowing cost.

The lender, in its ‘Macroeconomic and banking sector themes for 2018’ released on Tuesday, also expressed concerns that the upcoming 2019 elections might trigger repatriation of capital by foreign portfolio investors.

It said the true deregulation of the downstream oil and gas sector as well as the passage of the remaining sections of the Petroleum Industry Bill should be on the front burner of the government’s to-do list this year.

The bank noted that the Federal Government in February 2017 successfully issued $1bn 2032 notes and tapped an additional $500m a month later, adding that it raised another $300m through Diaspora Bond issuance in June 2017 and then issued $3bn dual-tranche notes comprising of 10 and 30-year Eurobonds of $1.5bn each.

The DMB said the offering of a N10.69bn Sovereign Green Bond for subscription by the Debt Management Office in December “effectively brought total funds raised to over $4.8bn in a single financial year.”

It stated that while the debt to Gross Domestic Product was low at 16.2 per cent (in June 2017) relative to Sub-Saharan African average of over 40 per cent, debt to revenue stood at over 62 per cent in the same period.

According to the report, the DMO revealed that the country spends 34 per cent of its revenue on debt servicing, while acknowledging concerns about the country’s rising debt profile and the need to bring this ratio to much lower levels.

GTBank added, “A portion of these funds has been earmarked for refinancing existing domestic debt (which accounts for around 80 per cent of total debt) to shift towards lower-priced FX external debt.

“We expect the government to work towards reducing its borrowing cost and also utilise these borrowings (net of debt servicing) to fund infrastructural investments to stimulate and reposition the economy.”

Citing the Q3 2017 report released by the National Bureau of Statistics, the report said capital inflows increased to $4.15bn, which represented a 127.5 per cent year-on-year and 131.3 per cent quarter-on-quarter increase from $1.82bn in the third quarter of 2016 and $1.79bn in the second quarter of 2017.

According to GTBank, the increase is due to improvement in forex policy vis-à-vis importers and exporters’ window and the attractive yields in fixed income securities and equities.

“We expect that the sustenance or otherwise of these capital inflows will be largely dependent on the stability of the prevailing FX and interest rate policies. In addition, the upcoming 2019 elections might drive exit concerns of foreign portfolio investors premised on political uncertainty and might trigger repatriation of capital,” the lender said.

It noted that external reserves had increased by 48 per cent year-on-year from $25.8bn in December 2016 to a 37-month high of $38.2bn in December 2017 on the back of increased foreign investments, successful $3bn Eurobond issuance as well as higher crude oil prices and production volumes.

“We expect that this commendable accretion will be sustained throughout 2018 with positive investor confidence and FX stability as key drivers,” the bank added.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Microsoft to Invest $2.2 Billion in Malaysia’s Digital Infrastructure

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Microsoft Corporation has announced plans to inject $2.2 billion into Malaysia’s digital infrastructure over the next four years.

This investment shows the company’s determination to harness the potential of Southeast Asia’s burgeoning technology market.

During his visit to Kuala Lumpur, Microsoft’s Chief Executive Officer, Satya Nadella, revealed the company’s ambitious agenda, which encompasses the construction of essential infrastructure to support its cloud computing and artificial intelligence (AI) services.

Nadella also outlined plans to provide AI training to 200,000 individuals in Malaysia and collaborate with the government to enhance the nation’s cybersecurity capabilities.

The move comes amidst intensified competition among tech giants, including Alphabet Inc., Amazon.com Inc., and Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., to gain a foothold in Southeast Asia’s rapidly digitizing landscape.

With a population exceeding 650 million people, the region presents a lucrative market for tech companies seeking to expand their operations beyond traditional strongholds like China.

“We are committed to supporting Malaysia’s AI transformation and ensure it benefits all Malaysians,” stated Nadella.

During his visit, Nadella met Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim and discussed the importance of collaboration between the public and private sectors in driving digital innovation.

Microsoft’s investment not only serves to fortify Malaysia’s technological infrastructure but also aligns with the company’s broader strategy to assert its presence in the Asian market.

Nadella has previously pledged a substantial sum of $7 billion to bolster Microsoft’s services across the region, emphasizing the pivotal role of AI as a catalyst for growth and urging countries to ramp up investment in the technology.

In Malaysia, the southern region of Johor Bahru, linked to Singapore by a causeway, is emerging as a key hub for AI data centers.

The partnership between Nvidia Corp. and local utility YTL Power International Bhd. to establish a $4.3 billion AI data center park in the area underscores the region’s growing significance in the realm of digital infrastructure.

While AI adoption in Southeast Asia is still in its nascent stages, experts predict significant economic benefits with the potential to add approximately $1 trillion to the region’s economy by 2030.

Malaysia is poised to capture a substantial portion of this growth with estimates suggesting a potential windfall of around $115 billion for the country.

Microsoft’s commitment extends beyond Malaysia, as the company announced similar investments during Nadella’s regional tour.

In Indonesia, Microsoft unveiled a $1.7 billion investment plan, while an undisclosed amount was pledged for initiatives in Thailand. Notably, Microsoft intends to invest approximately $1 billion in a new data center in Thailand, as reported by the Bangkok Post.

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Investors Flock to Nigerian Treasury Bills, Subscriptions Soar to N23.75 Trillion

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Nigeria’s Treasury Bills market has witnessed an unprecedented surge in investor interest with subscriptions soaring to N23.75 trillion in the first four months of 2024.

This increase represents a significant 292% Year-on-Year growth from N6.06 trillion recorded in the same period in 2023.

Treasury Bills, short-term government debt instruments issued by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), have become increasingly attractive to both local and foreign investors.

The double-digit interest rates offered on NTBs have lured investors seeking refuge from the uncertainties of the global economic landscape.

The surge in subscriptions comes amidst Nigeria’s efforts to bridge its budget deficit and manage monetary challenges amidst a scarcity of foreign exchange and double-digit inflation rates.

Investors’ confidence in the CBN’s ability to navigate these challenges has been bolstered by robust subscription rates, indicating a positive outlook for the country’s fiscal stability.

The 2024 Budget of ‘Renewed Hope’, proposed by President Bola Tinubu, outlines a total expenditure of N27.5 trillion, with a deficit of N9.18 trillion.

The high demand for NTBs underscores investors’ confidence in the government’s fiscal policies and its commitment to economic reform.

As interest rates on NTBs have risen in response to inflationary pressures, the CBN has capitalized on this demand by auctioning larger volumes of NTBs.

The move aims to address liquidity in the financial system while attracting foreign investors seeking higher yields.

Analysts view the surge in NTBs subscriptions as a testament to investors’ confidence in the Nigerian government and its reforms.

The massive oversubscription signals significant system liquidity and reflects the attractiveness of NTBs as a safe investment option amidst economic uncertainties.

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A.P. Moller-Maersk Pledges $600m Investment in Nigerian Ports

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A.P. Moller-Maersk, one of the world’s largest shipping and logistics companies, has committed a $600 million investment into Nigerian ports.

The decision was unveiled during a high-profile meeting between Chairman of A.P. Moller-Maersk, Mr. Robert Maersk Uggla, and Nigerian President Bola Tinubu.

The investment, aimed at expanding port infrastructure to accommodate larger container ships, comes at a pivotal moment for Nigeria’s economy.

Historically, the West African coast has been serviced by smaller vessels but with this injection of capital, A.P. Moller-Maersk envisions deploying larger ships to Nigeria, transforming the country into a major logistics hub for the region.

The move not only underscores Nigeria’s strategic importance but also highlights the company’s confidence in the country’s growth potential.

Speaking on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum Special Meeting on Global Collaboration, Growth, and Energy for Development in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, Chairman Robert Maersk Uggla expressed optimism about Nigeria’s prospects.

“We have seen a significant opportunity for Nigeria to cater for larger container ships,” Uggla stated. “To achieve this, we need to expand the port infrastructure, especially in Lagos, where we need a bigger hub for logistics services. The growth potential is hard to quantify.”

In response, President Tinubu welcomed the firm’s commitment and emphasized the government’s dedication to fostering an enabling environment for investments.

“We appreciate your business and the contribution you have made and continue to make to our country’s economy over time,” Tinubu remarked. “A bet on Nigeria is a winning bet. It is also a bet that rewards beyond what is obtainable elsewhere.”

The infusion of $600 million into Nigerian ports signifies more than just a financial transaction; it symbolizes a partnership built on mutual trust and shared objectives.

With Nigeria poised to benefit from enhanced port infrastructure and increased trade capacity, the ripple effects of this investment are expected to be felt across various sectors of the economy.

Furthermore, A.P. Moller-Maersk’s decision aligns with Nigeria’s broader vision of becoming a regional economic powerhouse. By attracting foreign investment and fostering strategic collaborations, the country is laying the groundwork for sustainable growth and development.

As Nigeria charts a course towards prosperity, the $600 million commitment from A.P. Moller-Maersk serves as a beacon of hope and a testament to the nation’s potential on the global stage. With determination and collective effort, Nigeria stands poised to capitalize on this opportunity and navigate the waters of progress with confidence.

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