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Equities Gain N1.5tn on Sustained Rally

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  • Equities Gain N1.5tn on Sustained Rally

The Nigerian equities market recorded an unprecedented surge of 10.2 per cent last week against the backdrop of rising oil prices and strong portfolio flows. The Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) All-Share Index(ASI) hit a 10-month high of 42,898.90, while market capitalisation added N1.5 trillion to close higher at N15.368 trillion. Having recovered from a three-year decline last year, the market has remained bullish in 2018, recording gains in the first two weeks on sustained positive sentiments.

According to analysts, the bulls came out strong this week, as the market recorded a whopping 10.21 return in the week, the highest weekly gain since the third of April 2015.

“Notable gains were recorded in the banking and industrial goods space, as the sectors recorded no losers in the week. While we expect some profit taking in the week ahead, we do not rule out the possibility of bandwagon effect driving the market to a positive close,” Meristem Securities Limited said. A review of the sectoral performance of the market showed that the NSE Industrial Goods Index led with 12.98 per cent. This was followed by the NSE Banking Index, which appreciated by 12.88 per cent.

Others are: NSE Oil & Gas Index (7.46 per cent), NSE Insurance Index (6.5 per cent), and NSE Consumer Goods Index (5.6 per cent).

Daily Performance

Right from Monday, the market showed early signs of a bullish week when the market opened on a positive note with the index rising by 2.38 per cent to close at 39,849.65. The rally was sustained on Tuesday, lifting the index to cross the 40,000 threshold to close at 40,362.97. This followed persistent rally in the market on positive sentiments. The sustained demand lifted the market by 1.29 per cent to close at 40,362.97, while market capitalisation added N182.7 billion to close N14.36 trillion.

In all, 47 stocks appreciated yesterday, while only seven depreciated. Although gains recorded in the share prices of FBN Holdings, Zenith Bank, Transcorp, Access Bank and GTBank were mainly responsible for rise in the index, Dangote Flour Mills Plc led the price gainers’ chart.

Flour Mills chalked up 10 per cent, trailed by FCMB Group Plc with 9.05 per cent, while WAPIC Insurance Plc garnered 7.4 per cent. Diamond Bank Plc and Honeywell Flour Mills Plc went up by 6.5 per cent and 5.3 per cent in that order.

Diamond Bank was recently appointed as a Forum Member Adviser to the World Economic Forum (WEF). According to a statement, Diamond Bank is the first Nigerian company and only the second African company to become a WEF Adviser.

“Membership is on an invitation only basis and is extended only to the most dynamic businesses, who are using tech-driven disruption to drive growth,” the statement explained.

Commenting on the appointment, the Chief Executive Officer of Diamond Bank, Uzoma Dozie, said: “I am delighted that Diamond Bank was invited to join as a Forum Member Adviser of the WEF as it is testament to our status as one of Nigeria’s leading innovators. I am also thrilled to be attending this year’s annual meeting in Davos, where I will be presenting my views on the three key areas of financial inclusion, Nigeria’s positive outlook and the future of banking.”

Meanwhile, UACN Property Development Company Plc led the price losers with 4.7 per cent, trailed by NAHCO with 4.6 per cent. Nestle Nigeria Plc shed 3.3 per cent, while Union Bank of Nigeria Plc closed 2.6 per cent lower.

Commenting on the market performance, analysts at FSDH said: “Sector performance was largely positive with some of the banking stocks leading the gainers, majority of which traded at the upper limit and closed on bid. Although market sentiment remains strong and positive, the bullish momentum will likely slowdown in subsequent sessions with profit taking.”

Similarly, analysts at Meristem Securities said: ”Positive sentiments dominated the market today, in line with our expectations. The market performance was driven by increased investor appetite recorded across many counters, particularly on Dangote Cement and the heavily weighted stocks in the banking sector.”

The market remained upbeat on Wednesday as the index rose 3.6 per cent to close at 41,816.11. Similarly, the market capitalisation appreciated by same margin to close at N14.88 trillion.

The appreciation recorded in the share prices of Dangote Cement, Zenith Bank, GT Bank, FBN Holdings and Nigerian Breweries was mainly responsible for the gain recorded in the index.

The three most actively traded stocks were Transcorp (184.72 million shares), Diamond Bank (136.61 million shares) and Access Bank (121.95 million shares).

“Sector performance was broadly bullish as all sectorial indices closed positive. Given the significant level of price appreciation in some stocks, we expect profit taking to set in to end the week. However, market outlook remains positive in the short-term supported by bargain hunting and positive investors’ sentiment,” stockbrokers said.

The market continued with its rally, lifting the market capitalisation to an all-time high of N15.317 trillion, while the index rose to hit 42,041.54,.

A total of 56 stocks added value, while 10 depreciated. Honeywell Flour Mills Plc led the led the gainers’ chart, rising by 9.97 per cent. It was trailed by Cement Company of Northern Nigeria Plc with 9.96 per cent, while Champion Breweries Plc, Fidelity Bank Plc and Wema Bank Plc garnered 9.92 per cent, 9.92 per cent and 9.6 per cent in that order.

Conversely, University Press Plc led the price losers with 4.7 per cent, trailed by Meyer Plc with 4.4 per cent. Learn Africa Plc, NEM Insurance Plc and Berger Paints Nigeria Plc shed 4.0 per cent, 3.1 per cent and 2.6 per cent respectively.

Also, volume of trading appreciated as investors traded 1.162 billion shares worth N17.375 billion, up from 1.089 billion shares valued at N13.296 billion the previous day.

The three most actively traded stocks were Transcorp (208.77 million shares), Diamond Bank (149.70 million shares) and Zenith Bank (129.43 million shares).

Performance across sectors was bullish as all indices closed in the green. The NSE Banking Index was the top performer, rising 4.4 per cent on the back of buying interest across board.

The NSE Industrial Goods Index trailed with 3.3 per cent growth, while the NSE Consumer Goods Index rose 2.3 per cent. The NSE Oil & Gas Index went up by 2.7 per cent, while the NSE Insurance Index ended 1.7 per cent higher.

Profit taking set on Friday causing the market to halt its gaining streak. The index fell by 0.33 per cent on the last day of the week. However, that was not enough to stop the market from recording another bullish with as the index ended with a weekly gain of 10.2 per cent.

Market Turnover

Meanwhile, the equities turnover was significantly high as investors traded 5.021 billion shares worth N68.974 billion in 41,542 deals last week, up from 2.417 billion shares valued at N18.813 billion that exchanged hands the previous week in 20,874 deals.

The Financial Services Industry led the activity chart with 3.417 billion shares valued at N31.649 billion traded in 24,375 deals, thus contributing 68.06 per cent and 45.89 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value respectively. The Conglomerates Industry followed with 894.357 million shares worth N2.180 billion in 3,032 deals. The third place was occupied by Consumer Goods Industry with a turnover of 380.493 million shares worth N26.243 billion in 7,408 deals.

Trading in the top three equities namely – Transnational Corporation of Nigeria Plc, Diamond Bank Plc and FBN Holdings Plc accounted for 1.975 billion shares worth N7.473 billion in 8,549 deals.

Price Gainers and Losers

The price movement chart showed that 66 equities appreciated in price during the week, higher than 55 of the previous week, while Seven equities depreciated in price, lower than12 equities of the previous week.

Honeywell Flour Mills Plc led the price gainers with 39.6 per cent, trailed by Skye Bank Plc with 37.7 per cent. Champion Breweries Plc went up 36.5 per cent, just as Sterling Bank Plc and Diamond Bank Plc garnered 35.5 per cent and 34.4 per cent in that order. Eterna Plc chalked up 34.1 per cent just as Conoil Plc FMCB Group Plc, Cement Company of Northern Nigeria Plc and Unity Bank Plc 33.6 per cent, 33.4 per cent and 32.3 per cent respectively.

Conversely, Meyer Plc led the price losers with 12.8 per cent, trailed by GlaxoSmithkline Consumer Nigeria Plc with 2.7 per cent. Dangote Sugar Refinery Plc shed 2.6 per cent, while UACN Property Development Company Plc, Flour Mills of Nigeria Plc, Nestle Nigeria Plc and Nigerian Aviation Handling Company Plc fell by 2.2 per cent, 1.6 per cent, 0.6 per cent and 0.22 per cent respectively.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Pension

PFAs Posted Decent Growth – Coronation Economic Note

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pension funds - Investors King

According to the latest monthly report released by Nigeria’s Pension Commission (PENCOM), the assets under management (AUM) of the regulated pension industry increased by +26.2% y/y to N19.7trn.

Meanwhile on an m/m basis, the AUM decline marginally by -0.5%.

This marks the first decline since September ’22. Notably, FGN debt securities accounted for 62% of the total AUM in March ’24. Meanwhile, other asset classes such as private equities, real estate, and infrastructure funds, accounted for 0.4%, 1.4%, and 0.8% of total AUM, respectively.

Total FGN debt securities held by the Pension Fund Administrators (PFAs) increased by +19.7%
y/y but declined marginally by -1.4% m/m.

Specifically, we note that the FGN bond instruments held by the PFAs increased by +17.2% y/y to N11.5trn, but declined by -2.4% m/m, on the back of a 10-year tenure FGN bond maturity (N719.9bn). The FGN bonds account for 58% of the total AUM.

FGN bonds remain attractive due to its lower risk profile and elevated yields. It is worth noting that the average FGN bond yield increased by +219bps m/m as at end-March ‘24.

The PENCOM report shows that NTBs held by PFAs grew by +120% y/y and increased by +42.5% m/m to N407.6bn in March ’24. We note that the average NTB yield increased by +250bps m/m as at end-March’24.

This asset class accounted for just 2.1% of the total AUM in the same month.

Meanwhile, State government securities held by the PFAs increased by 64.1% y/y to N266.2bn in March ‘24.

It is worth highlighting that domestic equity holdings surged by 99.6% y/y and 8.7% m/m to N2.1trn in the same period, accounting for 10.6% of the total AUM in March ‘24 compared with 9.7% in February ’24. The NGX-all-share index (NGX-ASI) rose by +90.6% y/y and +4.6% during the same period.

Furthermore, YTD (28-March ’24) return on index rose by +18.1% to close at 39.8% from 33.7% in February ’24.

Recently, the market has shown a bearish trajectory as the NGX-ASI declined by -6.1% m/m as at end-April ‘24, partly, on the back of relatively weak corporate earnings amid inflationary conditions. Given expectations of higher yields in the fixed income market on the back of continuous tightening or a hold stance of the CBN at the next MPC meeting, PFAs are likely to reallocate a greater portion of pension assets to fixed income securities.

According to PENCOM, the total pension contributions since inception remitted to the Individual Retirement Savings Account (RSA) increased by +17.3% y/y to N9.9trn as at end-December ‘23 compared with N8.5trn recorded as at end-December ‘22. Remittance from the public sector accounts for 52%, while private sector accounts for 48% of the total pension contributions.

This can be partly attributed to improvement in the efforts to expand pension coverage.

Notably, PENCOM added a total number of 8,927 micro pension contributors in Q4 ’23 bringing the total number of registered MPCs in the Micro pension plan from inception to 114,382 as at end-December ’23 from 89,327 as at end-December ’22.

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Banking Sector

GTCO Plc’s Profit Before Tax Grows by 587.5% to N509.35 Billion in Q1, 2024

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GTCO Commemorates Listing on Nigerian Exchange - Investors King

Guaranty Trust Holding Company (GTCO) Plc, one of Nigeria’s leading financial institutions, has unveiled its first quarter (Q1) financial results for the period ending March 31, 2024.

According to the report submitted to the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NGX), GTCO recorded a 587.5% growth in profit before tax (PBT) to N509.35 billion.

This substantial increase in pre-tax profit represents a significant jump from the N74.089 billion reported in the corresponding period of the previous year.

The financial statement also revealed a 227.93% rise in income tax to N52.213 billion, compared to N15.922 billion in the same period of 2023.

As a result, GTCO’s profit after tax (PAT) for the first quarter of 2024 rose to N457.134 billion, an exceptional growth of 685.9% from N58.167 billion recorded in the first quarter of the previous year.

The strong performance of GTCO can be attributed to several key factors. The Group’s loan book increased by 21.9% rising from N2.48 trillion recorded in December 2023 to N3.02 trillion by March 2024.

Similarly, deposit liabilities grew by 26.0% from N7.55 trillion in December 2023 to N9.51 trillion in March 2024.

Despite the challenging economic environment, GTCO’s balance sheet remained well-structured, diversified, and resilient.

Total assets closed at an impressive N13.0 trillion while shareholders’ funds stood solid at N2.0 trillion.

Commenting on the outstanding financial results, Mr. Segun Agbaje, the Group Chief Executive Officer of Guaranty Trust Holding Company Plc, expressed optimism about the future.

He said the robust performance across all business verticals reaffirmed the value of the Holding Company Structure.

“Our first quarter results reflect the unfolding value of what we have created in all our business verticals through the Holding Company Structure – from Banking and Payments to Funds Management and Pension,” said Mr. Agbaje.

“We are positioned to compete effectively on all fronts and fulfill all our customers’ needs under a unified, thriving financial ecosystem.”

The growth in profitability underscores GTCO’s resilience, strategic focus, and unwavering commitment to delivering superior value to its stakeholders amidst evolving market dynamics.

As the Group continues to leverage its strengths and innovative capabilities, it remains well-positioned to navigate the ever-changing landscape of the financial services industry with confidence and resilience.

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Banking Sector

UBA Plc Reports 166% Surge in Q1 Profit to N143 Billion

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UBA House Marina

United Bank for Africa (UBA) Plc has made a significant leap in its financial performance, reporting a 166% surge in its first-quarter profit to N143 billion.

The details, disclosed in the financial services group’s unaudited report for the first quarter, showed a robust growth trajectory despite challenging market conditions.

This surge translates to a 169.4% year-on-year increase in earnings per share (EPS) to N3.96 in the first three months of the year, up from N1.47 reported in the same quarter of 2023.

According to the financial results, interest income rose by 129.7% year on year to N440.76 billion. The bank also witnessed a significant uptick in investment, reporting a 147.1% year-on-year growth.

UBA’s interest expense saw an increase of 93.9% year on year to N140.09 billion. This was attributed to higher costs incurred on deposits from customers, deposits from financial institutions, and borrowings.

Despite this, customers’ deposits grew by 112.6% year on year to N18.38 trillion.

Net interest income also grew by 151.3% year on year to N300.68 billion from about N120 billion in the previous year.

Furthermore, non-interest income advanced by 38.9% year on year to N77.91 billion, fueled by expansions in net fees and commission income and net FX trading income.

At the end of Q1, UBA’s operating income stood at N373.31 billion, a 122.5% year-on-year increase.

However, operating expenses saw an uptick of 104.1% year on year, driven by expansions in employee benefits, regulatory costs, and inflationary pressures.

Despite these challenges, the group’s profit-before-tax surged by 154.7% year on year to N156.34 billion from N61.37 billion a year ago.

Net profit also increased by 166.1% year on year to N142.58 billion from N53.59 billion in the previous year.

UBA’s stellar performance in the first quarter underscores its resilience, strategic positioning, and commitment to delivering value to shareholders amid evolving market dynamics. As the bank continues to navigate challenges and seize opportunities, it remains poised for sustained growth and value creation in the financial services sector.

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