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Government’s Failure Boosts Illegal Refineries’ Operations in Niger Delta

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  • Government’s Failure Boosts Illegal Refineries’ Operations in Niger Delta

Illegal refining of crude oil in the Niger Delta region may continue longer than anticipated due to the failure of the Federal Government to unveil solutions it earlier promised to stop the menace.

Experts and leaders from the region have raised an alarm of looming hostility that could upset oil output, frustrate budget implementation, and international investments even as oil communities in the Niger Delta flay elusive promises by the current administration.

The Government had said it would build modular refineries in the region in order to engage jobless youths, who resort to unruly operations and militancy activities to push out 1,000 barrels of refined petroleum products daily from each of the refineries to meet supply shortfall in Nigeria.

Modular refineries are the smallest form of refineries, although expandable.Although the move would douse tension, and create a sense of ownership, however, the Ministry of Petroleum Resources could not ascertain when the projects would become a reality, but said about three licences could be issued soon.Apart from the three, four other applicants have also been identified especially in Edo State, Spokesperson for the Ministry, Idang Alibi said.

“There are three serious requests that stand a chance of getting a licence and taking off. There are requests, particularly from Edo State. Three are close to meeting the requirements and go offshore. The project requires so much capital up to about $100million; that is a lot of money.“So individuals are required to come together and get foreign partnership. Then they apply and are shortlisted, and interviewed. The Ministry is very eager to get people on and they are working on it,” he said.

But some of the stakeholders, especially leaders from the region, including the National Leader, Pan Niger Delta Forum (PANDEF), Chief Edwin Clark; National Coordinator, Pan Niger Delta People’s Congress (PNDPC), Mike Loyibo; and Ijaw Youth Council (IYC), led by Eric Omare, toldThe Guardian they are unaware of these moves.

President, South-South Chamber of Commerce, Industry, Mines and Agriculture (FOSSCCIMA), Billy Hillary, said: “We are not seeing any discussion going forward in that direction. Illegal refineries are not beneficial to the country’s economy. These refineries are springing up daily out of the need for these young men to be engaged and economically empowered.”

Harry said chambers of commerce across the region were directed to work with government in achieving lasting solutions to the challenges in the region.While Nigeria is faced with perennial fuel scarcity, record huge capital flight, and increasing subsidy to import refined products, expectations were that efforts to build local refineries and rectify dangers of illegal refineries would be prioritised.

Indeed, with brimming environmental challenges, heightened security crisis, and agitations backed by demand to make the creeks dwellers benefit from oil money, experts are worried that lawlessness may escalate in the oil producing region unless government acted responsibly, and honour the promise to convert illegal refineries to modular refineries.

Past President, Nigerian Association of Petroleum Explorationists (NAPE), Abiodun Adesanya, is optimistic that sustainable plans on refinery in the country would go a long way to address products supply challenges.

“Strategically, modular refinery will slow down illegality. But those things don’t happen in a day. The problem is that government sometimes make pronouncement without the details. The Federal Government needs to get to work with technocrats to make the plan work,” Adesanya said.Besides, the operation remained a top concern for the Nigerian Navy, as it destroyed no fewer than 1,000 illegal refineries, and arrested many suspected oil thieves in the region between January and September of last year.

Expectations were that government would organise the youths now engaged in illegal refining of crude into consortia, and assist each consortium refine about 1,000 barrels of crude daily, but government’s inability fulfil it promises has forced some militant groups to threaten pulling out of the ceasefire agreement.Describing illegal refinery as the highest employer of labour in the region, some of the leaders who spoke with The Guardian were very cynical of government’s commitment to its pledge, noting requirements for establishing the refineries were too stringent, and would deprive beneficiaries the opportunity of owning a stake in the business.

For instance, Clark insisted that the Government has not been transparent nor shown needed concern on the issue. “At the moment, we don’t know the plans of the federal government. Sometimes they will say they are inviting people for interview, sometimes they say some people have applied. We don’t know where they are going.

“You cannot say you don’t want illegal refinery, and at the same time you have no plans connecting to modular refinery, that’s why we are having problems in the area.”Like Harry, the PANDEF leader believes prioritising the plan would address the agitations from the region. “If modular refinery has been established with the local people fully participating in it, it will reduce stealing and illegal refining; it will also reduce environmental degradation. The people in the area will have something to do.”

He wants the legalisation of the illegal refineries with proper condition and regulatory framework.PNDPC’s Labiyo recalled that the region had presented a seven- point agenda on sustaining peace in the region, especially building modular refineries, which has not been considered.

“This is a scam. Our people came together, some contributed money, some formed cooperatives, but as I speak to you, nothing has happened. We are no longer interested. It is glaring that this administration does not keep their words.

“The Niger Delta is key to the economy of this country. But government has failed to recognise this fact. Building modular refineries in the Niger Delta will end the agitations from the region. We feel that we own the oil, and there is need for government to allow us to benefit and participate in management,” Labiyo said.

IYC’s Omare noted that the government’s promise to create modular refineries is a mere political statement. “What we advocated for the Federal Government is to give legal access to the local refiners to get crude oil, and secondly, help them to acquire some technological know-how so that their activities will not be hazardous on the environment.”

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Crude Oil

Oil Prices Rebound After Three Days of Losses

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After enduring a three-day decline, oil prices recovered on Thursday, offering a glimmer of hope to investors amid a volatile market landscape.

The rebound was fueled by a combination of factors ranging from geopolitical developments to supply concerns.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigeria oil is priced, surged by 79 cents, or 0.95% to $84.23 a barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed 69 cents, or 0.87% to $79.69 per barrel.

This turnaround came on the heels of a significant downturn that had pushed prices to their lowest levels since mid-March.

The recent slump in oil prices was primarily attributed to a confluence of factors, including the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain interest rates and concerns surrounding stubborn inflation, which could potentially dampen economic growth and limit oil demand.

Also, unexpected data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) revealing a substantial increase in U.S. crude inventories added further pressure on oil prices.

“The updated inventory statistics were probably the most salient price driver over the course of yesterday’s trading session,” said Tamas Varga, an analyst at PVM.

Crude inventories surged by 7.3 million barrels to 460.9 million barrels, significantly exceeding analysts’ expectations and casting a shadow over market sentiment.

However, the tide began to turn as ceasefire talks between Israel and Hamas gained traction, offering a glimmer of hope for stability in the volatile Middle East region.

The prospect of a ceasefire agreement, spearheaded by Egypt, injected optimism into the market, offsetting concerns surrounding geopolitical tensions.

“As the impact of the U.S. crude stock build and the Fed signaling higher-for-longer rates is close to being fully baked in, attention will turn towards the outcome of the Gaza talks,” noted Vandana Hari, founder of Vanda Insights.

The potential for a resolution in the Israel-Hamas conflict provided a ray of hope, contributing to the positive momentum in oil markets.

Despite the optimism surrounding ceasefire talks, tensions in the Middle East remain palpable, with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reiterating plans for a military offensive in the southern Gaza city of Rafah.

The precarious geopolitical climate continues to underpin volatility in oil markets, reminding investors of the inherent risks associated with the commodity.

In addition to geopolitical developments, speculation regarding U.S. government buying for strategic reserves added further support to oil prices.

With the U.S. expressing intentions to replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) at prices below $79 a barrel, market participants closely monitored price movements, anticipating potential intervention to stabilize prices.

“The oil market was supported by speculation that if WTI falls below $79, the U.S. will move to build up its strategic reserves,” highlighted Hiroyuki Kikukawa, president of NS Trading, owned by Nissan Securities.

As oil markets navigate a complex web of geopolitical uncertainties and supply dynamics, the recent rebound underscores the resilience of the commodity in the face of adversity.

While challenges persist, the renewed optimism offers a ray of hope for stability and growth in the oil sector, providing investors with a semblance of confidence amidst a volatile landscape.

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Gold

Gold Soars as Fed Signals Patience

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Gold emerged as a star performer as the Federal Reserve adopted a more patient stance, sending the precious metal soaring to new heights.

Amidst a backdrop of uncertainty, gold’s ascent mirrored investors’ appetite for safe-haven assets and reflected their interpretation of the central bank’s cautious approach.

Following the Fed’s decision to maintain interest rates at their current levels, gold prices surged toward $2,330 an ounce in early Asian trade, building on a 1.5% gain from the previous session – the most significant one-day increase since mid-April.

The dovish tone struck by Fed Chair Jerome Powell during the announcement provided the impetus for gold’s rally, as he downplayed the prospects of imminent rate hikes while underscoring the need for further evidence of cooling inflation before considering adjustments to borrowing costs.

This tempered outlook from the Fed, which emphasized patience and data dependence, bolstered gold’s appeal as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty.

Investors interpreted the central bank’s stance as a signal of continued support for accommodative monetary policies, providing a tailwind for the precious metal.

Simultaneously, the Japanese yen surged more than 3% against the dollar, sparking speculation of intervention by Japanese authorities to support the currency.

This move further weakened the dollar, enhancing the attractiveness of gold to investors seeking refuge from currency volatility.

Gold’s ascent in recent months has been underpinned by a confluence of factors, including robust central bank purchases, strong demand from Asian markets – particularly China – and geopolitical tensions ranging from conflicts in Ukraine to instability in the Middle East.

These dynamics have propelled gold’s price upwards by approximately 13% this year, culminating in a record high last month.

At 9:07 a.m. in Singapore, spot gold was up 0.3% to $2,326.03 an ounce, with silver also experiencing gains as it rose towards $27 an ounce.

The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index concurrently fell by 0.3%, further underscoring the inverse relationship between the dollar’s strength and gold’s allure.

However, amidst the fervor surrounding gold’s surge, palladium found itself trading below platinum after dipping below its sister metal for the first time since February.

The erosion of palladium’s long-standing premium was attributed to a pessimistic outlook for demand in gasoline-powered cars, highlighting the nuanced dynamics within the precious metals market.

As gold continues its upward trajectory, investors remain attuned to evolving macroeconomic indicators and central bank policy shifts, navigating a landscape defined by uncertainty and volatility.

In this environment, the allure of gold as a safe-haven asset is likely to endure, providing solace to investors seeking stability amidst turbulent times.

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Crude Oil

Oil Prices Steady as Israel-Hamas Ceasefire Talks Offer Hope, Red Sea Attacks Persist

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Amidst geopolitical tensions and ongoing conflicts, oil prices remained relatively stable as hopes for a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas emerged, while attacks in the Red Sea continued to escalate.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, saw a modest rise of 27 cents to $88.67 a barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude oil gained 30 cents to $82.93 a barrel.

The optimism stems from negotiations between Israel and Hamas with talks in Cairo aiming to broker a potential ceasefire.

Despite these diplomatic efforts, attacks in the Red Sea by Yemen’s Houthis persist, raising concerns about potential disruptions to oil supply routes.

Vandana Hari, founder of Vanda Insights, emphasized the importance of a concrete agreement to drive market sentiment, stating that the oil market awaits a finalized deal between the conflicting parties.

Meanwhile, investor focus remains on the upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve’s policy review, particularly in light of persistent inflationary pressures.

Market expectations for any rate adjustments have been pushed out due to stubborn inflation, potentially bolstering the U.S. dollar and impacting oil demand.

Concerns over demand also weigh on sentiment, with ANZ analysts noting a decline in premiums for diesel and heating oil compared to crude oil, signaling subdued demand prospects.

As geopolitical uncertainties persist and market dynamics evolve, observers closely monitor developments in both the Middle East and global economic policies for their potential impact on oil prices and market stability.

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