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Excess Crude Account: SERAP, CSOs Flay NEC for $1bn Approval to Fight B’Haram

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  • Excess Crude Account: SERAP, CSOs Flay NEC for $1bn Approval to Fight B’Haram

The National Economic Council, on Thursday, asked the Federal Government to withdraw $1bn from the $2.3bn currently in the Excess Crude Account and use it to fight insurgency in the North-East.

The decision was taken at a meeting of the council presided over by Vice-President Yemi Osinbajo at the Presidential Villa, Abuja.

The council chaired by the Vice-President has all state governors as members.

Some civil society groups and analysts, however, faulted the move by the Federal Government on the basis that past allocations to defence and the anti-terrorism operations had yet to be judiciously accounted for.

Edo State Governor, Godwin Obaseki, disclosed the decision of NEC to State House correspondents at the end of the meeting.

Obaseki said council members expected that the money would be spent on the purchase of security equipment, procurement of intelligence and logistics, among others.

He said the Chairman of the Nigeria Governors’ Forum, Alhaji Abdulaziz Yari of Zamfara State, announced the governors’ decision at the meeting.

The governor stated, “The NEC also resolved through the Chairman of the NGF to support the effort of the Federal Government in the area of security.

“Pleased with the achievements that have been made till date in the fight against insurgency, particularly in the North-East, the governors of Nigeria, through their chairman, announced at the NEC meeting that the governors have given permission to the Federal Government to spend the sum of $1bn on the fight against insurgency.

“This money is supposed to be taken from the Excess Crude Account.

“As you know, the issue of security, particularly as regards the North-East, is a very comprehensive response by federal forces. So, we expect that the contribution of the states to these efforts will cover the whole array of activities required to secure the country and counter-insurgency.

“We expect that the amount will include but not limited to the purchase of equipment, procuring intelligence and logistics and all things required to ensure that we finally put an end to the scourge of insurgence.”

Towards the end of the administration of former President Goodluck Jonathan in 2015, the Federal Government requested and got approval from the National Assembly for a loan of $1bn to fight the Boko Haram menace.

No explanation has been given on how the money was expended to date.

FG threatens to stop budget support facility to defaulting states

Meanwhile, Gombe State Governor, Ibrahim Dankwambo, said the Minister of Finance, Kemi Adeosun, gave an update on the budget support loan granted to states by the Federal Government.

The governor quoted the minister as complaining that most states had failed to meet certain conditions for the loan as earlier agreed.

He further quoted the minister as saying that the Federal Government would not hesitate to stop giving the support to defaulting states.

Dankwambo added, “The Minister of Finance informed council that the budget support facility to states is also based on certain conditions as agreed under the fiscal responsibility plan.

“She complained that most states are yet to comply, adding that non-compliance will make her ministry stop any further payment to states that do not comply.”

The governor added that the council received the update report on the forensic audit of revenue that accrued into the federation account up to 2015.

He said as a follow-up to the report that was submitted last month, the council was informed that KPMG was still conducting the audit of the Nigeria Customs Service and the Nigerian Communications Commission.

Dankwambo also quoted the Accountant General of the Federation as putting the balance in the Natural Resources Development Fund Account as of December 13 at N106.984bn.

The balance in the Excess Crude Account was also put at $2.317bn while that of the Stabilisation Fund Account was put at N7.78bn.

Don’t touch account, SERAP, other CSOs warn NEC

But civil societies have lambasted NEC for planning to take $1bn from the ECA to fight terrorism, noting that earlier funds expended to fight Boko Haram had yet to be accounted for.

The President, Campaign for Democracy, Usman Abdul, said, “This is what happens when you have leaders who are not thinkers. They cannot think outside the box. We are bound to be faced with such challenges.

“The military have come out to say that Boko Haram was technically defeated and Camp Zero was captured. I don’t see then any rationale behind dipping our hands into our excess crude account.

“These are the proceeds of our generality and we have other presidential sources of revenue going into the North-East. What is the Presidential Committee on the North-East Initiative doing? The political leaders are rather looking for ways to steal money for the 2019 campaigns.”

Also, the Executive Director, Centre for Anti-Corruption and Open Leadership, Debo Adeniran, believed the past allocations to defence and the military should be accounted for before voting another huge amount for military operations.

Adeniran added, “Let us first know how the budgetary allocations for defence and the military have been expended. We all recall the $2.1bn Dasuki loot. The governors should not put their eyes on the excess crude oil account.

“The Ministry of Defence and the services should first give account of how the monies on fighting the Boko Haram insurgency were spent before we can start talking about dipping hands into our excess crude account.”

On its part, the Socio-Economic Rights and Accountability Project said the decision to take $1bn from the excess crude account was not rational, adding that anything outside the budgetary allocations must be tabled before the National Assembly for consideration and approval.

SERAP Director, Adetokunbo Mumuni, stated, “Whatever is not properly appropriated for should not be considered. That is the only way we can maintain sanity in our public expenditure.

“The Presidency may want to say that security matters are fundamental. But we cannot continue to have all manner of expenditures on Boko Haram. That will be reckless to me.”

North-East crisis needs extraordinary approach –Utomi, security experts

However, a frontline political economist, Prof. Pat Utomi, told one of our correspondents that the crisis in the North-East was a big issue that needed extraordinary approach to be adequately addressed

He said, “An extraordinary intervention of the nature of what you have described is needed. As a student of history, I think the North-East matter is important and should be given the right priority because we need to do something strategic about that region.

“This is because the situation in the North-East is very much akin to the situation in Ethiopia and Somalia back in the 1980s that fuelled the old view of Africa, which was known as Afro-pessimism, meaning that Africa was a lost continent of diseases and wars, etc. That is what the North-East crisis has caused Nigeria.”

Also, a security analyst, Ben Okezie, said no amount was too much to fight insurgency, noting that without addressing the security issues, there could be no development.

Okezie, who lauded the move, explained that countries like the United States had spent billions of dollars to fight insurgency and insecurity within and outside their borders.

“No amount is too much to spend on fighting insurgency because without peace, there cannot be social or economic development. I think it is a good development,” he noted.

A retired Commissioner of Police, Alhaji Abubakar Tsav, also endorsed the decision to withdraw money from the excess crude account, noting that without security, no development could take place.

The ex-Lagos CP added, “It is a good move but the government should ensure that it is judiciously utilised. I also want President Buhari to caution the governors and other office seekers against arming thugs to win elections. Insecurity is the result of proliferation of arms.”

Between 2011 and 2014, N6.21tn was shared from the Excess Crude Account by the three tiers of government.

A former Minister of Finance, Dr Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, had while releasing the figure said the Federal Government received N3.29tn, while the 36 states got a total of N2.92tn from the ECA within the four year period.

The opening balance was $4.56bn in 2011 and reached a peak the following year at $8.7bn before declining to $2.3bn in 2013.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Fitch Ratings Raises Egypt’s Credit Outlook to Positive Amid $57 Billion Bailout

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Fitch Ratings has upgraded Egypt’s credit outlook to positive, reflecting growing confidence in the North African nation’s economic prospects following an international bailout of $57 billion.

The upgrade comes as Egypt secured a landmark bailout package to bolster its cash-strapped economy and provide much-needed relief amidst economic challenges exacerbated by geopolitical tensions and the global pandemic.

Fitch affirmed Egypt’s credit rating at B-, positioning it six notches below investment grade. However, the shift in outlook to positive shows the country’s progress in addressing external financing risks and implementing crucial economic reforms.

The positive outlook follows Egypt’s recent agreements, including a $35 billion investment deal with the United Arab Emirates as well as additional support from international financial institutions such as the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank.

According to Fitch Ratings, the reduction in near-term external financing risks can be attributed to the significant investment pledges from the UAE, coupled with Egypt’s adoption of a flexible exchange rate regime and the implementation of monetary tightening measures.

These measures have enabled Egypt to navigate its foreign exchange challenges and mitigate the impact of years of managed currency policies.

The recent jumbo interest rate hike has also facilitated the devaluation of the Egyptian pound, addressing one of the country’s most pressing economic issues.

Egypt has faced mounting economic pressures in recent years, including foreign exchange shortages exacerbated by geopolitical tensions in the region.

Challenges such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict and security threats in the Israel-Gaza region have further strained the country’s economic stability.

In response, Egyptian authorities have embarked on a series of reform efforts aimed at enhancing economic resilience and promoting private-sector growth.

These efforts include the sale of state-owned assets, curbing government spending, and reducing the influence of the military in the economy.

While Fitch Ratings’ positive outlook signals confidence in Egypt’s economic trajectory, other rating agencies have also expressed optimism.

S&P Global Ratings has assigned Egypt a B- rating with a positive outlook, while Moody’s Ratings assigns a Caa1 rating with a positive outlook.

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Fitch Ratings Lifts Nigeria’s Credit Outlook to Positive Amidst Reform Progress

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Fitch Ratings has upgraded Nigeria’s credit outlook to positive, citing the country’s reform progress under President Bola Tinubu’s administration.

This decision is a turning point for Africa’s largest economy and signals growing confidence in its economic trajectory.

The announcement comes six months after Fitch Ratings acknowledged the swift pace of reforms initiated since President Tinubu assumed office in May of the previous year.

According to Fitch, the positive outlook reflects the government’s efforts to restore macroeconomic stability and enhance policy coherence and credibility.

Fitch Ratings affirmed Nigeria’s long-term foreign-currency issuer default rating at B-, underscoring its confidence in the country’s ability to navigate economic challenges and drive sustainable growth.

Previously, Fitch had expressed concerns about governance issues, security challenges, high inflation, and a heavy reliance on hydrocarbon revenues.

However, the ratings agency expressed optimism that President Tinubu’s market-friendly reforms would address these challenges, paving the way for increased investment and economic growth.

President Tinubu’s administration has implemented a series of policy changes aimed at reducing subsidies on fuel and electricity while allowing for a more flexible exchange rate regime.

These measures, coupled with a significant depreciation of the Naira and savings from subsidy reductions, have bolstered the government’s fiscal position and attracted investor confidence.

Fitch Ratings highlighted that these reforms have led to a reduction in distortions stemming from previous unconventional monetary and exchange rate policies.

As a result, sizable inflows have returned to Nigeria’s official foreign exchange market, providing further support for the economy.

Looking ahead, the Nigerian government aims to increase its tax-to-revenue ratio and reduce the ratio of revenue allocated to debt service.

Efforts to achieve these targets have been met with challenges, including a sharp increase in local interest rates to curb inflation and manage public debt.

Despite these challenges, Nigeria’s economic outlook appears promising, with Fitch Ratings’ positive credit outlook reflecting growing optimism among investors and stakeholders.

President Tinubu’s administration remains committed to implementing reforms that promote sustainable growth, foster investment, and enhance the country’s economic resilience.

As Nigeria continues on its path of reform and economic transformation, stakeholders are hopeful that the positive momentum signaled by Fitch Ratings will translate into tangible benefits for the country and its people.

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Seme Border Sees 90% Decline in Trade Activity Due to CFA Fluctuations

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The Seme Border, a vital trade link between Nigeria and its neighboring countries, has reported a 90% decline in trade activity due to the volatile fluctuations in the CFA franc against the Nigerian naira.

Licensed customs agents operating at the border have voiced concerns over the adverse impact of currency instability on cross-border trade.

In a conversation with the media in Lagos, Mr. Godon Ogonnanya, the Special Adviser to the President of the National Association of Government Approved Freight Forwarders, Seme Chapter, shed light on the drastic reduction in trade activities at the border post.

Ogonnanya explained the pivotal role of the CFA franc in facilitating trade transactions, saying the border’s bustling activities were closely tied to the relative strength of the CFA against the naira.

According to Ogonnanya, trade activities thrived at the Seme Border when the CFA franc was weaker compared to the naira.

However, the fluctuating nature of the CFA exchange rate has led to uncertainty and instability in trade transactions, causing a significant downturn in business operations at the border.

“The CFA rate is the reason activities are low here. In those days when the CFA was a little bit down, activities were much there but now that the rate has gone up, it is affecting the business,” Ogonnanya explained.

The unpredictability of the CFA exchange rate has added complexity to trade operations, with importers facing challenges in budgeting and planning due to sudden shifts in currency values.

Ogonnanya highlighted the cascading effects of currency fluctuations, wherein importers incur additional costs as the value of the CFA rises against the naira during the clearance process.

Despite the significant drop in trade activity, Ogonnanya expressed optimism that the situation would gradually improve at the border.

He attributed his optimism to the recent policy interventions by the Central Bank of Nigeria, which have led to the stabilization of the naira and restored confidence among traders.

In addition to currency-related challenges, customs agents cited discrepancies in clearance procedures between Cotonou Port and the Seme Border as a contributing factor to the decline in trade.

Importers face additional costs and complexities in clearing goods at both locations, discouraging trade activities and leading to a substantial decrease in business volume.

The decline in trade activity at the Seme Border underscores the urgent need for policy measures to address currency volatility and streamline trade processes.

As stakeholders navigate these challenges, there is a collective call for collaborative efforts between government agencies and industry players to revive cross-border trade and foster economic growth in the region.

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