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High Expectations Remain as Crop Production Rises

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Corn, Soybeans Decline As Favorable Weather May Boost U
  • High Expectations Remain as Cash Crop Production Rises

While the nation has seen an increase in the production of cash crops, stakeholders have highlighted the need for the Federal Government to intensify effort to boost local food production, ANNA OKON writes.

The Minister of Agriculture and Rural Development, Chief Audu Ogbeh, recently inaugurated the exportation of 72 tonnes of yam to the United States and the United Kingdom.

That was the first time Nigerian yams would be exported to Europe under the brand, ‘Nigeria’.

Before now, according to the Director-General, Standards Organisation of Nigeria, Osita Aboloma, Nigerian yams exported to Europe carried the stamp of Ghana, Cameroon or some other West African countries.

The reason for this, Aboloma explained, was poor packaging, a challenge Ogbeh has succeeded in taking care of.

Following the steep fall in global oil prices, there were increasing calls for the diversification of the Nigerian economy.

To diversify the economy, the Federal Government turned to agriculture, a sector that suffered decades of neglect due to the over-reliance on crude oil wealth.

The minister started a programme tagged, ‘Agricultural Sector Roadmap (the Green Alternative), Agricultural Promotion Policy (2016 – 2020)’.

He explained that the APP would seek to resolve inability of the country to meet local food demand and inability to export at quality levels required for market success.

The government consolidated efforts in the rice sector, which had been the anchor project of the immediate past minister.

As part of an aggressive programme to solve the rice supply deficit, the Central Bank of Nigeria deployed its Anchor Borrowers’ Scheme, an initiative that made funds available to farmers in Kebbi and other major rice producing states.

The pilot phase of the project, according to an Executive Director at the Bank of Industry, Jonathan Tobin, benefitted over 75,000 farmers and later produced over two million metric tonnes of rice.

In March 2016, the president launched dry season rice farming in Kebbi. With this initiative, the crop could now be grown round the year instead of being grown only during the rainy season.

The result was that by May 2017, the state had led the production of milled rice by 3.56 million metric tonnes, and according to a report released by Growth and Employment in States (GEMS4), a programme funded by the United Kingdom Department for International Development, Nigeria had netted 5.7 million tonnes of milled rice bringing its rice production closer to the 7 million tonnes needed to meet local demand.

Inspired by the need to conserve scarce foreign exchange, the success of the project and desirous of encouraging more investment in the sector, the government had earlier banned rice from coming in through the land borders in March 2016.

The government stuck to its guns on the ban despite opposition from several quarters.

The success of the project also opened up collaboration between the Lagos State and Kebbi, where rice was fed to the over 2.5 million metric tonnes capacity of rice mills established by the Lagos State Government.

The collaboration resulted in the production of LAKE Rice which was sold for N12, 000 per 50 kg bag to customers in December 2016 at a time when the same quantity sold for between N18, 000 and N20, 000.

The government then set plans in motion to duplicate the success in other agro produce.

Earlier in 2015, the Nigerian Export Promotion Council had identified 13 National Strategic Export Products that would replace oil as foreign exchange earner.

The Executive Director and Chief Executive Officer of NEPC, Mr. Segun Awolowo, listed five key cash crops – palm oil, cocoa, sugar, rice and cashew – as the agro produce under the NSEPs.

He noted that the crops would be grown through the One State One Product programme where each state is encouraged to produce in large quantity, a crop in which it has comparative advantage.

The government also embarked on several other initiatives including the fertiliser initiative where fertilisers and seeds were sold to farmers directly at subsidised price.

The nation’s agro export increased by 82 per cent in the first quarter of 2017 from four per cent in the last quarter of 2016.

Sesame seeds, soya beans, shrimps/prawns, cashew nuts and palm kernel became the largest agro produce exports in Q1 2017, netting combined revenue of N25.09bn, according to data obtained from the National Bureau of Statistics.

Sesame seed topped the earnings list with N13.03bn, followed by soya beans, which earned revenue of N4.97bn; frozen shrimps and prawns, N3.39bn, cashew nuts in shell, N2.44bn, and crude palm kernel, N1.26bn.

Analysts have criticised the export of yam, as the price has increased from N150 per medium tuber in 2014 to about N600.

A professor of Economics at the University of Uyo, Leo Ukpong, said the government needed to deploy research to boost local food production so that there would be enough for the local population and the surplus could be sent to the export market.

The Director-General, Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Mr. Muda Yusuf, stressed the need to invest in boosting local production before feeding the export market.

He said, “There is a need to get our priorities right. The major preoccupation of the agriculture ministry at this time should be how to improve productivity in agriculture. The sector is still dominated by small-holder farmers that do not have the capacity to support the realisation of the vision of food security for the country.

“The sector is grappling with serious issues of high cost of farm inputs including agrochemicals, high cost of agricultural machineries and equipment, access to land for mechanised farming, sustainable off-takers of agricultural products, access to finance (especially working capital by investors in the sector), security challenges faced by farmers because of the activities of herdsmen and many more. These are the issues I expect the agriculture ministry to be addressing now.”

A pharmacist, Mr. Michael Okafor, noted that the government could have turned the yam into Pharmaceutical Grade Starch and sold it to the pharmaceutical sector, which was currently importing the input.

He stated that instead of the N18m that the government could make from the 72 tonnes of yam, it could have made N84m profit from the sale of PGS locally.

He said, “If 72 tonnes of yam is processed to PGS, (that is the major component of tablets and capsules), we will get about 9.7 tonnes of pure PGS. PGS goes for anywhere from $20 – 40/kg in the international market.

“Ogbeh’s 72 tonnes of yam which will be sold at the international market for N18m is, therefore, worth a princely N102m if it was processed to PGS (assuming it is sold for $30/kg, just to be conservative). So, N18m worth of yam, processed to N102m, would have generated a profit of about 84m.”

The rush to export and earn dollars by farmers had also deprived the local poultry industry of feed.

The President, Poultry Association of Nigeria, Dr. Ayoola Oduntan, told our correspondent that farmers were more interested in selling corn and soya beans outside Nigeria to earn dollars.

He said that the situation had created scarcity, which had made the price of soya beans and maize to go up and become unreachable to poultry farmers, resulting in the increase in prices of chickens and eggs.

Eggs witnessed an increase in price from N15 to N50 between 2015 and 2017.

The government expects more investors to take interest in the agro sector while the investors are seeking an enabling environment for this to happen.

The government has been encouraging non-oil exporters by relaxing the rule on utilisation of export proceeds.

“The exchange rate is now better for exporters than before. The banks are no longer exchanging our dollars strictly at the official rate. So, there is a lot of encouragement to invest and declare exports,” the National President, Federation of Agricultural Commodities Association of Nigeria, Dr. Victor Iyama, said.

The National President, Nigerian Association of Chambers of Commerce, Industry Mines and Agriculture, Chief Alaba Lawson, advised the government to make lands and machinery and improved seedlings available, adding that the private sector was all set to invest heavily in the sector.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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DR Congo-China Deal: $324 Million Annually for Infrastructure Hinges on Copper Prices

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In a significant development for the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), a newly revealed contract sheds light on a revamped minerals-for-infrastructure deal with China, signaling billions of dollars in financing contingent upon the price of copper.

This pivotal agreement, signed in March as an extension to a 2008 pact, underscores the intricate interplay between commodity markets and infrastructure development in resource-rich nations.

Under the terms of the updated contract, the DRC stands to receive a substantial injection of $324 million annually for infrastructure projects from its Chinese partners through 2040.

However, there’s a catch: this funding stream is directly linked to the price of copper. As long as the price of copper remains above $8,000 per ton, the DRC is entitled to this considerable sum to bolster its infrastructure.

The latest data indicates that copper is currently trading at $9,910 per ton, well above the threshold specified in the contract.

This bodes well for the DRC’s ambitious infrastructure plans, as the nation seeks to rebuild its road network, which has suffered from decades of neglect and conflict.

However, the contract also outlines a dynamic mechanism that adjusts funding levels based on copper price fluctuations.

Should the price exceed $12,000 per ton, the DRC stands to benefit further, with 30% of the additional profit earmarked for additional infrastructure projects.

Conversely, if copper prices fall below $8,000, the funding will diminish, ceasing altogether if prices dip below $5,200 per ton.

One of the most striking aspects of the contract is the extensive tax exemptions granted to the project, providing a significant financial incentive for both parties involved.

The contract stipulates a total exemption from all indirect or direct taxes, duties, fees, customs, and royalties through the year 2040, further enhancing the attractiveness of the deal for both the DRC and its Chinese partners.

This minerals-for-infrastructure deal, centered around the joint mining venture known as Sicomines, underscores the DRC’s strategic partnership with China, a key player in global commodity markets.

With China Railway Group Ltd., Power Construction Corp. of China (PowerChina), and Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co. holding a majority stake in Sicomines, the project represents a significant collaboration between the DRC and Chinese entities.

According to the contract, the total value of infrastructure loans under the deal amounts to a staggering $7 billion between 2008 and 2040, with a substantial portion already disbursed.

This infusion of capital is expected to drive socio-economic development in the DRC, leveraging its vast mineral resources to fund much-needed infrastructure projects.

As the DRC navigates the intricacies of global commodity markets, particularly the volatile copper market, this minerals-for-infrastructure deal with China presents both opportunities and challenges.

While it offers a vital lifeline for infrastructure development, the nation must remain vigilant to ensure that its long-term interests are safeguarded in the face of evolving market dynamics.

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Fitch Ratings Raises Egypt’s Credit Outlook to Positive Amid $57 Billion Bailout

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Fitch ratings

Fitch Ratings has upgraded Egypt’s credit outlook to positive, reflecting growing confidence in the North African nation’s economic prospects following an international bailout of $57 billion.

The upgrade comes as Egypt secured a landmark bailout package to bolster its cash-strapped economy and provide much-needed relief amidst economic challenges exacerbated by geopolitical tensions and the global pandemic.

Fitch affirmed Egypt’s credit rating at B-, positioning it six notches below investment grade. However, the shift in outlook to positive shows the country’s progress in addressing external financing risks and implementing crucial economic reforms.

The positive outlook follows Egypt’s recent agreements, including a $35 billion investment deal with the United Arab Emirates as well as additional support from international financial institutions such as the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank.

According to Fitch Ratings, the reduction in near-term external financing risks can be attributed to the significant investment pledges from the UAE, coupled with Egypt’s adoption of a flexible exchange rate regime and the implementation of monetary tightening measures.

These measures have enabled Egypt to navigate its foreign exchange challenges and mitigate the impact of years of managed currency policies.

The recent jumbo interest rate hike has also facilitated the devaluation of the Egyptian pound, addressing one of the country’s most pressing economic issues.

Egypt has faced mounting economic pressures in recent years, including foreign exchange shortages exacerbated by geopolitical tensions in the region.

Challenges such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict and security threats in the Israel-Gaza region have further strained the country’s economic stability.

In response, Egyptian authorities have embarked on a series of reform efforts aimed at enhancing economic resilience and promoting private-sector growth.

These efforts include the sale of state-owned assets, curbing government spending, and reducing the influence of the military in the economy.

While Fitch Ratings’ positive outlook signals confidence in Egypt’s economic trajectory, other rating agencies have also expressed optimism.

S&P Global Ratings has assigned Egypt a B- rating with a positive outlook, while Moody’s Ratings assigns a Caa1 rating with a positive outlook.

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Fitch Ratings Lifts Nigeria’s Credit Outlook to Positive Amidst Reform Progress

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fitch Ratings - Investors King

Fitch Ratings has upgraded Nigeria’s credit outlook to positive, citing the country’s reform progress under President Bola Tinubu’s administration.

This decision is a turning point for Africa’s largest economy and signals growing confidence in its economic trajectory.

The announcement comes six months after Fitch Ratings acknowledged the swift pace of reforms initiated since President Tinubu assumed office in May of the previous year.

According to Fitch, the positive outlook reflects the government’s efforts to restore macroeconomic stability and enhance policy coherence and credibility.

Fitch Ratings affirmed Nigeria’s long-term foreign-currency issuer default rating at B-, underscoring its confidence in the country’s ability to navigate economic challenges and drive sustainable growth.

Previously, Fitch had expressed concerns about governance issues, security challenges, high inflation, and a heavy reliance on hydrocarbon revenues.

However, the ratings agency expressed optimism that President Tinubu’s market-friendly reforms would address these challenges, paving the way for increased investment and economic growth.

President Tinubu’s administration has implemented a series of policy changes aimed at reducing subsidies on fuel and electricity while allowing for a more flexible exchange rate regime.

These measures, coupled with a significant depreciation of the Naira and savings from subsidy reductions, have bolstered the government’s fiscal position and attracted investor confidence.

Fitch Ratings highlighted that these reforms have led to a reduction in distortions stemming from previous unconventional monetary and exchange rate policies.

As a result, sizable inflows have returned to Nigeria’s official foreign exchange market, providing further support for the economy.

Looking ahead, the Nigerian government aims to increase its tax-to-revenue ratio and reduce the ratio of revenue allocated to debt service.

Efforts to achieve these targets have been met with challenges, including a sharp increase in local interest rates to curb inflation and manage public debt.

Despite these challenges, Nigeria’s economic outlook appears promising, with Fitch Ratings’ positive credit outlook reflecting growing optimism among investors and stakeholders.

President Tinubu’s administration remains committed to implementing reforms that promote sustainable growth, foster investment, and enhance the country’s economic resilience.

As Nigeria continues on its path of reform and economic transformation, stakeholders are hopeful that the positive momentum signaled by Fitch Ratings will translate into tangible benefits for the country and its people.

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