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FG Lost $6bn to DPR’s Poor Administration of Divested Oil Blocks

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  • FG Lost $6bn to DPR’s Poor Administration of Divested Oil Blocks

The federal government lost an estimated $6 billion as a result of the Department of Petroleum Resources’ (DPR) poor administration of the expiring oil blocks, which were sold by the international oil companies (IOCs) between 2010 and 2015 to local firms, Nigerian exploration and production (E&P) operators have said.

The Nigerian operators have, however, stated that all hope is not lost, as the country could earn over $3 billion from the next wave of asset sales if the DPR manages the outstanding onshore oil blocks set to expire soon properly.

DPR has also admitted that it was not prepared to develop the necessary guidelines for the asset divestment programme by the IOCs, as the exercise came as a “shock” to the agency, pointing out that it has learnt some lessons for future exercise.

In the first acquisitions by Seplat Petroleum Development Company Plc and First Hydrocarbon Nigeria in 2010, the IOCs raked in $471 million.

The IOCs were also paid $3.979 billion in the second divestment exercise between 2011 and 2012 by Eland Oil, Starcrest, Neconde Energy, Heritage Oil, Shoreline Energy, ND Western and Oando Energy Resources.

Under the last divestment programme between 2014 and 2015, the IOCs smiled away with $5.954 billion from Seplat, Erotron E&P, Newcross Petroleum, Crestar Integrated Natural Resources, Aiteo Group, Taleveras, Tempo Energy, Belemaoil, West African E&P, and First E&P.

But speaking in Lagos recently at the maiden edition of the Aspen Energy Roundtable, the Nigerian independents argued that 60 per cent of the $10.404 billion paid by the local operators to acquire assets from the IOCs would have gone into the federal government treasury if the DPR had better managed the licences covering the divested oil blocks.

In a keynote speech, the chief executive of Seplat Petroleum Development Company Plc, Mr. Austin Avuru stated that 70 per cent of the money used to acquire the assets came from Nigerian banks.

“The first $471 million was in 2010 and it involved Seplat and OML 26 (First Hydrocarbon), the second was also $4 billion and the third one, which was the most recent was almost $6 billion and you can see the implications of all these.

“So, if you put all these together, you are talking of over $10 billion in spend to acquire these assets. They all usually come to about $2 per probable barrel and about $4-$6 per proven barrel in terms of oil.

“It is not small money and 70 per cent of this money came from Nigerian banks,” Avuru explained.

The Seplat boss, whose company is listed on both the Nigerian and London Stock Exchanges, added that 60 per cent of the monies paid to acquire the assets would have gone into the federal government treasury if the DPR had handled the lease administration properly.

“That is another discussion entirely but I can tell you that 60 per cent of those money would have gone to the DPR if it handled the lease administration properly.

“But this is all the money that we, as Nigerian companies using Nigerian banks, paid to the IOCs and they took the money away. I think that will be a lesson for the next lease administration and bid rounds and renewals because if you have a title to these leases, especially leases that are due to expire and if you don’t take the title, the one who has the title will sell that title for all of this money,” Avuru explained.

The nine Oil Mining Leases (OMLs) – 18, 24, 25, 26, 29, 30, 34, 40, and 42, sold by Shell and its partners between 2011 and 2015 would expire in 2019.

Avuru said there were issues in the administration of the country’s oil and gas resources, which he described as wasting resources, adding that the country’s resources should be administered to ensure that “maximum value is captured without expropriation”.

“We are the victims knocking our heads together and paying three times more for these leases because we have no option. There are no leases available. So we knock our heads together and then the IOCs are smiling.

“We could have paid one third of what we paid to the government and everybody will be happy,” Avuru added.

The Seplat CEO, however, stated that there were still about $12 billion in assets in the portfolio of IOCs that will be divested, adding that the federal government could earn over $3 billion if the DPR manages the licences properly.

“There are still about $12 billion of the IOCs’ portfolio that could still be divested, given the right opportunities, depending on how DPR plays it.

“There could still be $3 billion cash available to DPR, depending on how the DPR handles the administration of those leases that are due to expire,” he said.

Shell’s 17 onshore oil blocks would expire in 2019.

In his contributions, the Managing Director of ND Western, which paid $600 million for OML 34, Dr. Layi Fatona, noted that the federal government did not create the environment for the IOCs to plough back the money realised from the sale of the assets.

Fatona also noted that some of the assets were over-priced but exonerated the IOCs, as the transactions were based on a willing buyer-willing seller basis.
He blamed the government for not creating the environment for the oil majors to reinvest in the country.

“But the most important thing is that when you look at the spending, all of the money came mostly from the Nigerian banking system. And I ask a pertinent question: should we call this capital flight?

“All that money that was taken from the Nigerian banking system by essentially indigenous E&P companies and paid to the IOCs left the shores of this country?
“How much of this money ended up as a backward reinvestment in the Nigerian petroleum industry?” he asked.

“So it is not about capital flight, it is about the fact that we have failed holistically to create the environment where the seller of an asset who makes a profit believes sufficiently in this society and puts all the money back into the system,” he said.

In her response, the Head of Upstream Monitoring and Regulation at DPR, Pat Maseli admitted that the regulatory agency was not prepared for the divestment programme at the outset.

“For the divestments and all that, that came – you know, it came as a shock. Will I say as a shock – we were not really prepared as regulators to develop the guidelines.

“But we have learnt our lessons and we are progressing them and making them better,” she said.

She added that the agency had also learnt its lessons in the marginal bid rounds.

“By the time we have the next bid round, it will be better than the previous ones, where we had forced marriages and it was not working and people were just rent seekers. This time, it is going to be different,” she added.

However, in her remarks, a former President of the Commonwealth Lawyers Association, Boma Ozobia said the IOCs should not be accused of capital flight for selling their assets.

“If you are talking about capital flight for someone who has made an investment and is exiting, you are approaching it in the wrong direction – you are going to put me off from coming back into your jurisdiction to invest again because the idea of making the investment is that I can exit at some point,” she said.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Crude Oil

Oil Prices Steady as Israel-Hamas Ceasefire Talks Offer Hope, Red Sea Attacks Persist

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Amidst geopolitical tensions and ongoing conflicts, oil prices remained relatively stable as hopes for a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas emerged, while attacks in the Red Sea continued to escalate.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, saw a modest rise of 27 cents to $88.67 a barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude oil gained 30 cents to $82.93 a barrel.

The optimism stems from negotiations between Israel and Hamas with talks in Cairo aiming to broker a potential ceasefire.

Despite these diplomatic efforts, attacks in the Red Sea by Yemen’s Houthis persist, raising concerns about potential disruptions to oil supply routes.

Vandana Hari, founder of Vanda Insights, emphasized the importance of a concrete agreement to drive market sentiment, stating that the oil market awaits a finalized deal between the conflicting parties.

Meanwhile, investor focus remains on the upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve’s policy review, particularly in light of persistent inflationary pressures.

Market expectations for any rate adjustments have been pushed out due to stubborn inflation, potentially bolstering the U.S. dollar and impacting oil demand.

Concerns over demand also weigh on sentiment, with ANZ analysts noting a decline in premiums for diesel and heating oil compared to crude oil, signaling subdued demand prospects.

As geopolitical uncertainties persist and market dynamics evolve, observers closely monitor developments in both the Middle East and global economic policies for their potential impact on oil prices and market stability.

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Crude Oil

Oil Prices Sink 1% as Israel-Hamas Talks in Cairo Ease Middle East Tensions

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Crude oil - Investors King

Oil prices declined on Monday, shedding 1% of their value as Israel-Hamas peace negotiations in Cairo alleviated fears of a broader conflict in the Middle East.

The easing tensions coupled with U.S. inflation data contributed to the subdued market sentiment and erased gains made earlier.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, dropped by as much as 1.09% to 8.52 a barrel while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil fell by 0.99% to $83.02 a barrel.

The initiation of talks to broker a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas played a pivotal role in moderating geopolitical concerns, according to analysts.

A delegation from Hamas was set to engage in peace discussions in Cairo on Monday, as confirmed by a Hamas official to Reuters.

Also, statements from the White House indicated that Israel had agreed to address U.S. concerns regarding the potential humanitarian impacts of the proposed invasion.

Market observers also underscored the significance of the upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve’s policy review on May 1.

Anticipation of a more hawkish stance from the Federal Open Market Committee added to investor nervousness, particularly in light of Friday’s data revealing a 2.7% rise in U.S. inflation over the previous 12 months, surpassing the Fed’s 2% target.

This heightened inflationary pressure reduced the likelihood of imminent interest rate cuts, which are typically seen as stimulative for economic growth and oil demand.

Independent market analysts highlighted the role of the strengthening U.S. dollar in exacerbating the downward pressure on oil prices, as higher interest rates tend to attract capital flows and bolster the dollar’s value, making oil more expensive for holders of other currencies.

Moreover, concerns about weakening demand surfaced with China’s industrial profit growth slowing down in March, as reported by official data. This trend signaled potential challenges for oil consumption in the world’s second-largest economy.

However, amidst the current market dynamics, optimism persists regarding potential upside in oil prices. Analysts noted that improvements in U.S. inventory data and China’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) could reverse the downward trend.

Also, previous gains in oil prices, fueled by concerns about supply disruptions in the Middle East, indicate the market’s sensitivity to geopolitical developments in the region.

Despite these fluctuations, the market appeared to brush aside potential disruptions to supply resulting from Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian oil refineries over the weekend. The attack temporarily halted operations at the Slavyansk refinery in Russia’s Krasnodar region, according to a plant executive.

As oil markets navigate through geopolitical tensions and economic indicators, the outcome of ongoing negotiations and future data releases will likely shape the trajectory of oil prices in the coming days.

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Commodities

Cocoa Fever Sweeps Market: Prices Set to Break $15,000 per Ton Barrier

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Cocoa

The cocoa market is experiencing an unprecedented surge with prices poised to shatter the $15,000 per ton barrier.

The cocoa industry, already reeling from supply shortages and production declines in key regions, is now facing a frenzy of speculative trading and bullish forecasts.

At the recent World Cocoa Conference in Brussels, nine traders and analysts surveyed by Bloomberg expressed unanimous confidence in the continuation of the cocoa rally.

According to their predictions, New York futures could trade above $15,000 a ton before the year’s end, marking yet another milestone in the relentless ascent of cocoa prices.

The surge in cocoa prices has been fueled by a perfect storm of factors, including production declines in Ivory Coast and Ghana, the world’s largest cocoa producers.

Shortages of cocoa beans have left buyers scrambling for supplies and willing to pay exorbitant premiums, exacerbating the market tightness.

To cope with the supply crunch, Ivory Coast and Ghana have resorted to rolling over contracts totaling around 400,000 tons of cocoa, further exacerbating the scarcity.

Traders are increasingly turning to cocoa stocks held in exchanges in London and New York, despite concerns about their quality, as the shortage of high-quality beans intensifies.

Northon Coimbrao, director of sourcing at chocolatier Natra, noted that quality considerations have taken a backseat for most processors amid the supply crunch, leading them to accept cocoa from exchanges despite its perceived inferiority.

This shift in dynamics is expected to further deplete stocks and provide additional support to cocoa prices.

The cocoa rally has already seen prices surge by about 160% this year, nearing the $12,000 per ton mark in New York.

This meteoric rise has put significant pressure on traders and chocolate makers, who are grappling with rising margin calls and higher bean prices in the physical market.

Despite the challenges posed by soaring cocoa prices, stakeholders across the value chain have demonstrated a willingness to absorb the cost increases.

Jutta Urpilainen, European Commissioner for International Partnerships, noted that the market has been able to pass on price increases from chocolate makers to consumers, highlighting the resilience of the cocoa industry.

However, concerns linger about the eventual impact of the price surge on consumers, with some chocolate makers still covered for supplies.

According to Steve Wateridge, head of research at Tropical Research Services, the full effects of the price increase may take six months to a year to materialize, posing a potential future challenge for consumers.

As the cocoa market continues to navigate uncharted territory all eyes remain on the unfolding developments, with traders, analysts, and industry stakeholders bracing for further volatility and potential record-breaking price levels in the days ahead.

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