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Forex

Forex Weekly Outlook February 27 – March 3

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Euro currency
  •  Forex Weekly Outlook February 27 – March 3

The US dollar remained volatile even as economic data showed the labor market is strong and inflation rate is close to the Federal Reserves’ 2 percent target. Accordingly, experts have attributed last week dollar’s weakness to President Trump’s comment after saying on Thursday that the US dollar is too strong and that he will push for a weaker currency.

However, the euro-area currency is predicted to fall below parity against the US dollar this year, as central bank policies continue to differ.

Business confidence in the region has plunged in recent weeks amid lower than the expected growth rate, while Greece’s financial crisis once again threaten to break the Union apart.

The European Central Bank is therefore expected to go on with its huge quantitative easing programme, keeping the euro weak.

The growing popularity of France’s anti-Brussels candidate Marine Le Pen and her pledge to call a Frexit referendum should she win the election could also push investors to sell-off the currency.

Overall, the US dollar remained strong but uncertainty cloud its short-term outlook, while the Euro-area is yet to resolve Greece issue and face possible Frexit as it awaits both French election and official triggering of the Brexit process in March. The single currency is expected to dip further against the US dollar as traders and investors are likely to sell off the currency ahead of France election in April.

This week, EURJPY, GBPUSD and NZDJPY top my list.

EURJPY

The Euro single currency is facing low sentiment amid the political uprising in the Euro-area. While on the other hand, the Japanese yen remained a haven asset and likely to remain attractive as investors scramble to avert uncertain in both the US and Europe.

EURJPYWeekly

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Another reason why this pair is a good sell, after this pair dropped to 109.22 record-low on 19th, June 2016. It has failed to break out of post-Brexit high (124.08) since then and seems to have established a range between 124.18 and 111.96 price levels. But with the renewed sell-off of the euro single currency, we could see this pair plunging to 115.27 support levels.

Therefore, this week I am bearish on EURJPY as long as price remains below 119.86, 20-day moving average. I will be looking to see below 118.55 for 115.27 targets, a break of that level could give us 111.96 support, target 2.

Last Week Recap

GBPUSD

Last week, GBPUSD broke loose after President Trump comments on Thursday, however, the pair has gained back almost everything it lost due to that comment. This week, I remain bearish on this pair as the Brexit condition and the Euro-area financial issues deepened ahead of March Brexit date.

GBPUSDDaily

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While the US uncertainty continued to impact dollar strength, the weakness revealed in the UK consumer spending and the cooling job market is likely to reinforce sellers’ interest ahead of official Brexit in March.

NZDJPY

This pair dropped 51 pips last week but below our projection. However, it closed below 81.02 resistance levels. This week, I remain bearish on NZDJPY and will be looking to add to my position below 79.92.

NZDJPYWeekly

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Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Naira

Black Market Dollar Rate Reaches ₦1,380 Today, May 3rd, 2024

US dollar to Nigerian Naira exchange rate as of May 3rd, 2024 at the black market stood at 1 USD to ₦1,380

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New Naira notes

The black market, also known as the parallel market or Aboki fx, US dollar to Nigerian Naira exchange rate as of May 3rd, 2024 stood at 1 USD to ₦1,380.

Recent data from Bureau De Change (BDC) reveals that buyers in the Lagos Parallel Market purchased a dollar for ₦1,350 and sold it at ₦1,340 on Thursday, May 2nd, 2024.

This indicates a decline in the Naira exchange rate compared to the current rate.

The black market rate plays a crucial role for investors and participants, offering a real-time reflection of currency dynamics outside official or regulated exchange channels.

Monitoring these rates provides insights into the immediate value of the Naira against the dollar, guiding decision-making processes for individuals and businesses alike.

It’s important to note that while the black market offers valuable insights, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) does not officially recognize its existence.

The CBN advises individuals engaging in forex transactions to utilize official banking channels, emphasizing the importance of compliance with regulatory frameworks.

How much is dollar to naira today in black market

For those navigating the currency exchange landscape, here are the latest figures for the black market exchange rate:

  • Buying Rate: ₦1,380
  • Selling Rate: ₦1,370

As economic conditions continue to evolve, staying informed about currency exchange rates empowers individuals to make informed financial decisions. While the black market provides immediate insights, adherence to regulatory guidelines ensures stability and transparency in forex transactions.

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Naira

Dollar to Naira Black Market Today, May 2nd, 2024

As of May 2nd, 2024, the exchange rate for the US dollar to the Nigerian Naira stands at 1 USD to 1,350 NGN in the black market, also referred to as the parallel market or Aboki fx.

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on

New Naira Notes

As of May 2nd, 2024, the exchange rate for the US dollar to the Nigerian Naira stands at 1 USD to 1,350 NGN in the black market, also referred to as the parallel market or Aboki fx.

For those engaging in currency transactions in the Lagos Parallel Market (Black Market), buyers purchase a dollar for N1,310 and sell it at N1,300 on Monday, April 29th, 2024 based on information from Bureau De Change (BDC).

Meaning, the Naira exchange rate declined when compared to today’s rate below.

This black market rate signifies the value at which individuals can trade their dollars for Naira outside the official or regulated exchange channels.

Investors and participants closely monitor these parallel market rates for a more immediate reflection of currency dynamics.

How Much is Dollar to Naira Today in the Black Market?

Kindly be aware that the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) does not acknowledge the existence of the parallel market, commonly referred to as the black market.

The CBN has advised individuals seeking to participate in Forex transactions to utilize official banking channels.

Black Market Dollar to Naira Exchange Rate

  • Buying Rate: N1,350
  • Selling Rate: N1,340

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Forex

Yen’s Plunge Persists Despite Japan’s Late New York Trading Intervention

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yen

Japan’s attempts to shore up the yen faced yet another setback as the currency continued its downward spiral despite a late intervention in New York trading.

Despite efforts by Japanese authorities to stem the yen’s decline, traders remained unfazed, indicating a growing skepticism towards the efficacy of such measures.

The yen, which had initially weakened as much as 1.1% against the dollar during Asia trading, stubbornly clung to its downward trajectory, inching closer to levels seen before the suspected intervention.

Speculations ran rife among traders regarding Japan’s involvement in the currency market after witnessing abrupt fluctuations in the yen’s value during the final stretch of the US trading session.

This recent development underscores a deepening challenge for Japanese policymakers grappling with the yen’s persistent depreciation.

Despite their best efforts, the market sentiment appears to be increasingly immune to intervention tactics, casting doubts on the effectiveness of such measures in the long run.

Shoki Omori, chief desk strategist at Mizuho Securities Co., weighed in on the situation, remarking, “Japan’s finance ministry likely intervened but couldn’t break 152, where investors used to be cautious.”

He further noted, “Now that authorities are seen as having stepped in for a second time but gave the impression that they cannot stop the yen cheapening trend alone, market participants will likely feel more comfortable to short yen.”

The prevailing sentiment among traders suggests a growing consensus that Japan’s interventions may be insufficient to halt the yen’s depreciation trend.

Despite the authorities’ concerted efforts, the currency’s plunge persists, signaling a broader challenge for policymakers in navigating the complexities of the global currency market.

As the yen’s decline continues unabated, market participants remain on high alert, bracing for further volatility in the days ahead.

The inability of intervention measures to reverse the currency’s downward trajectory raises questions about the effectiveness of traditional policy tools in an increasingly interconnected and unpredictable financial landscape.

In the face of mounting challenges, Japanese authorities may find themselves compelled to explore alternative strategies to address the yen’s persistent weakness.

Whether through unconventional policy measures or coordinated efforts with global counterparts, finding a sustainable solution to stabilize the yen remains a pressing priority for policymakers amid evolving market dynamics.

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