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NSE Index Rises 3.4% as Stock Market Rallies

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King
  • NSE Index Rises 3.4% as Stock Market Rallies

The rally at the stock market continued for the third consecutive week as the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) All-Share Index (NSE ASI) appreciated by 3.4 per cent to close at 26,707.10. Although the market opened for only four days as Monday was declared public holiday to mark the Eid-el-Maulud celebration, the bullish trend was sustained following  investors’ swoop on oil and gas stocks due to renewed interest in the sector.

Investors’ interest in oil stocks was boosted by   the decision of  OPEC and non-OPEC members agreed a deal to curb their production leading to a rally in the price of crude oil.

At the end of the week, the market surged by 3.4 per cent to close at 26,707.10, while market capitalisation rose by same margin to close higher at N9.189 trillion. Similarly, all other indices finished higher during the week with the exception of the NSE Insurance, NSE

Consumer Goods  that depreciated by 0.53 per cent, 1.68 per cent, and 0.46 per cent  in that order. The  NSE Oil & Gas Index recorded the highest appreciation of 7.36 per cent following gains posted by  Seplat (+20.59 per cent) and Forte Oil  (+9.42 per cent). Likewise, the NSE Banking Index followed with a growth of 6.28 per cent while the NSE Industrial Goods Index went up by 3.51 per cent.

Daily Market Performance   Summary

In line with its bullish trend, the equity market opened the week on a positive note, as the NSE ASI  appreciated by 0.98 per cent to close at 26,071.16, lifted by  gains in share prices of  Seplat, Forte Oil, Access Bank, Dangote Cement and GTBank.

The total value of stocks traded on the first day was N2.41 billion, up by 47.33 per cent from N1.64 billion recorded the last trading day, while the total volume of stocks traded was 376.69 million shares in 2,885 deals.

The NSE   Oil & Gas sector led the sectors, surging by 6.3 per cent  on the back of on the back of increased buying interest in Seplat  (+10.3 per cent ) and Forte (+10.2 per cent) while the NSE  Industrial Goods Index gained 0.9 per cent. The NSE Banking Index followed suit, rising 0.7 per cent as gains in GTBank (+2.0 per cent) and Access Bank (+2.0 per cent) bolstered  the sector.

On the contrary,   the NSE Insurance Index fell by 0.7 per cent due to losses in AXA Mansard  (-4.7 per cent) and WAPIC  Insurance (-2.0 per cent). Similarly,  the  NSE Consumer Goods Index marginally went down by  0.02 per cent on account of declines in Seven-Up Bottling Company Plc (-0.8 per cent).

On Wednesday, which was the second trading day, the market sustained the uptrend as the NSE ASI appreciated by 1.29 per cent to close at 26,407.64. Just like the previous day, the NSE Oil/Gas Index  rose 4.4 per cent propelled by  gains in  the shares of  Forte Oil and  Seplat.

Investors traded 205.40 million shares valued at N4.28 billion in 3,275 deals.  The most actively traded sectors were: Financial Services (159.87 million shares), Consumer Goods (25.34 million shares) and Conglomerates (8.10 million shares), while the  most actively traded stocks were: UBA (54.69 million shares), Diamond Bank (22 million shares) and Zenith Bank (21.18 million shares).

All sectors closed in the green save for the  NSE Consumer Goods Index which lost on account of declines in Nigerian Breweries  (-2.5 per cent) and Champion(-4.2 per cent). The NSE Oil & Gas Index  remained the best performing sector  with 4.4 per cent growth, while the  NSE  Banking Index  appreciated by 2.3 per cent on the account of strong demand for  ETI (+4.9 per cent) and GTBank (+3.0 per cent). In a similar vein, Dangote Cement lifted the NSE Industrial Goods Index by 1.0 per cent, just as the NSE Insurance Index   grew by 0.5 per cent due to appreciation in the share price of WAPIC Insurance Plc.

The equity market maintained its upward trend on Thursday with the NSE ASI rising  for the 6th consecutive trading session. The positive performance was on  price appreciation  in banking stocks such as UBA (+4.8 per cent), GTBank (+4.4 per cent) and Zenith  (+1.6 per cent). Accordingly, market capitalisation rose N52.1 billion to settle at N9.2 trillion even though  market activity fell  as volume and value traded declined 2.6 per cent and 64.9 per cent to close at 200.0 million shares  and N1.5 billion  respectively.

The three most actively traded stocks were: International Energy Insurance Company (37.84 million shares), UBA (29.63 million shares) and FBN Holdings (24.04 million shares). The most actively traded sectors were: Financial Services (173.43 million shares), Conglomerates (11.99 million shares) and Oil and Gas (6.25 million shares).

The appreciation in the price of Dangote Cement shares lifted the equity market on Friday with the NSE ASI rising by 0.56 per cent to close higer at 26,707.10.  Apart from Dangote Cement, gains  recorded in the share prices of ETI, Oando, Union Bank and Honeywell also contributed to the growth.

Market turnover

Despite the fact that the market opened for four days, the volume and value of shares traded increased compared to the previous week’s performance. Investors traded  1.656 billion shares worth N12.580 billion in 12,860 deals  in  contrast to a total of 894.759 million shares valued at N10.629 billion that exchanged hands in 13,418 deals  the previous week.

The Financial Services Industry remained the most active with 1.504 billion shares valued at N6.183 billion traded in 7,311 deals; thus contributing 90.82 per cent and 49.15 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value respectively.

The Consumer Goods Industry followed with 51.395 million shares worth N4.753 billion in 2,027 deals. The third place was occupied by the Conglomerates Industry with a turnover of 46.282 million shares worth N52.408 million in 553 deals.

Also traded during the week were a total of 2.439 million units of Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) valued at N18.276 million executed in 15 deals, compared with a total of 2,850 units valued at N355,162.85 transacted the previous week  in 21 deals. Similarly,   total of 411 units of Federal Government Bonds valued at N428, 995.77 were traded last week in one deal.

Gainers and losers

Meanwhile, 40 equities appreciated last week higher than 27 equities of the previous week. Conversely, 19 equities depreciated in price, compared with 36 equities of the previous week, while 116 equities remained unchanged higher than 112 equities recorded in the preceding week.

Honeywell Flour Mills Plc  led the price gainers with 24.5 per cent, trailed by ETI with 21.1 per cent. Seplat went up by   20.5 per cent, just as United Capital Plc, Livestock Feeds Plc and Vitafoam Nigeria Plc chalked up 11.9 per cent, 11.5 per cent and 10.9 per cent respectively.

Other top price gainers included: African Prudential Registrars Plc, Neimeth International Pharmaceuticals Plc  (10.0 per cent apiece); Forte Oil Plc (9.4 per cent) and GTBank Plc (2.1 per cent).

Conversely, Portland Paints and Products Nigeria Plc led the price losers with 13.5 per cent. Unilever Nigeria Plc followed with 12.1 per cent. Fidson Healthcare Plc, Caverton and Mobil Oil shed 8.6 per cent, 8.5 per cent and 8.2 per cent in that order.

Beta Glass Company Nigeria Plc, Airline Services and Logistics Plc went down by 7.8 per cent and 5.3 per cent respectively. Avon Crowncaps Plc, AXA Mansard Insurance Plc and Cadbury Nigeria Plc rose by 5.0 per cent, 4.1 per cent and 4.0 per cent in that order.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Banking Sector

Central Bank of Nigeria Mandates Cybersecurity Levy on Transactions

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Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN)

In a bid to bolster cybersecurity measures within the financial sector, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has issued a directive mandating banks and financial institutions to implement a cybersecurity levy on transactions.

The circular, released on Monday, outlines the commencement of this levy within two weeks from the date of issuance.

According to the circular, all commercial, merchant, non-interest, and payment service banks, as well as other financial institutions, mobile money operators, and payment service providers, are instructed to enforce this cybersecurity levy.

The directive is a follow-up to previous communications dated June 25, 2018, and October 5, 2018, emphasizing compliance with the Cybercrimes (Prohibition, Prevention, Etc.) Act 2015.

The levy is to be applied at the point of electronic transfer origination and subsequently deducted by the financial institution.

This deducted amount will then be remitted to the designated Nigerian Cybersecurity Fund (NCF) account domiciled at the CBN. Customers will see a deduction reflected in their account statement with the narration, ‘Cybersecurity Levy’.

Exemptions from this levy include certain transactions such as loan disbursements and repayments, salary payments, and intra-bank transfers among others.

The CBN aims to streamline and fortify cybersecurity efforts across the financial sector through the implementation of this levy.

This move by the CBN aligns with recent efforts to enhance regulatory oversight and mitigate risks within the financial ecosystem.

It follows closely after directives barring fintechs from onboarding new customers and warnings against engaging in cryptocurrency transactions.

Also, the Federal Government’s directive for the deduction of stamp duty charges on mortgaged-backed loans and bonds demonstrates a broader push for fiscal transparency and regulatory compliance.

The introduction of the cybersecurity levy underscores the CBN’s commitment to safeguarding digital transactions and ensuring the integrity of Nigeria’s financial infrastructure amidst evolving cyber threats.

As financial institutions gear up for implementation, the levy is poised to play a pivotal role in fortifying the nation’s cybersecurity resilience in an increasingly digitized landscape.

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Pension

PFAs Posted Decent Growth – Coronation Economic Note

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pension funds - Investors King

According to the latest monthly report released by Nigeria’s Pension Commission (PENCOM), the assets under management (AUM) of the regulated pension industry increased by +26.2% y/y to N19.7trn.

Meanwhile on an m/m basis, the AUM decline marginally by -0.5%.

This marks the first decline since September ’22. Notably, FGN debt securities accounted for 62% of the total AUM in March ’24. Meanwhile, other asset classes such as private equities, real estate, and infrastructure funds, accounted for 0.4%, 1.4%, and 0.8% of total AUM, respectively.

Total FGN debt securities held by the Pension Fund Administrators (PFAs) increased by +19.7%
y/y but declined marginally by -1.4% m/m.

Specifically, we note that the FGN bond instruments held by the PFAs increased by +17.2% y/y to N11.5trn, but declined by -2.4% m/m, on the back of a 10-year tenure FGN bond maturity (N719.9bn). The FGN bonds account for 58% of the total AUM.

FGN bonds remain attractive due to its lower risk profile and elevated yields. It is worth noting that the average FGN bond yield increased by +219bps m/m as at end-March ‘24.

The PENCOM report shows that NTBs held by PFAs grew by +120% y/y and increased by +42.5% m/m to N407.6bn in March ’24. We note that the average NTB yield increased by +250bps m/m as at end-March’24.

This asset class accounted for just 2.1% of the total AUM in the same month.

Meanwhile, State government securities held by the PFAs increased by 64.1% y/y to N266.2bn in March ‘24.

It is worth highlighting that domestic equity holdings surged by 99.6% y/y and 8.7% m/m to N2.1trn in the same period, accounting for 10.6% of the total AUM in March ‘24 compared with 9.7% in February ’24. The NGX-all-share index (NGX-ASI) rose by +90.6% y/y and +4.6% during the same period.

Furthermore, YTD (28-March ’24) return on index rose by +18.1% to close at 39.8% from 33.7% in February ’24.

Recently, the market has shown a bearish trajectory as the NGX-ASI declined by -6.1% m/m as at end-April ‘24, partly, on the back of relatively weak corporate earnings amid inflationary conditions. Given expectations of higher yields in the fixed income market on the back of continuous tightening or a hold stance of the CBN at the next MPC meeting, PFAs are likely to reallocate a greater portion of pension assets to fixed income securities.

According to PENCOM, the total pension contributions since inception remitted to the Individual Retirement Savings Account (RSA) increased by +17.3% y/y to N9.9trn as at end-December ‘23 compared with N8.5trn recorded as at end-December ‘22. Remittance from the public sector accounts for 52%, while private sector accounts for 48% of the total pension contributions.

This can be partly attributed to improvement in the efforts to expand pension coverage.

Notably, PENCOM added a total number of 8,927 micro pension contributors in Q4 ’23 bringing the total number of registered MPCs in the Micro pension plan from inception to 114,382 as at end-December ’23 from 89,327 as at end-December ’22.

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Banking Sector

GTCO Plc’s Profit Before Tax Grows by 587.5% to N509.35 Billion in Q1, 2024

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GTCO Commemorates Listing on Nigerian Exchange - Investors King

Guaranty Trust Holding Company (GTCO) Plc, one of Nigeria’s leading financial institutions, has unveiled its first quarter (Q1) financial results for the period ending March 31, 2024.

According to the report submitted to the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NGX), GTCO recorded a 587.5% growth in profit before tax (PBT) to N509.35 billion.

This substantial increase in pre-tax profit represents a significant jump from the N74.089 billion reported in the corresponding period of the previous year.

The financial statement also revealed a 227.93% rise in income tax to N52.213 billion, compared to N15.922 billion in the same period of 2023.

As a result, GTCO’s profit after tax (PAT) for the first quarter of 2024 rose to N457.134 billion, an exceptional growth of 685.9% from N58.167 billion recorded in the first quarter of the previous year.

The strong performance of GTCO can be attributed to several key factors. The Group’s loan book increased by 21.9% rising from N2.48 trillion recorded in December 2023 to N3.02 trillion by March 2024.

Similarly, deposit liabilities grew by 26.0% from N7.55 trillion in December 2023 to N9.51 trillion in March 2024.

Despite the challenging economic environment, GTCO’s balance sheet remained well-structured, diversified, and resilient.

Total assets closed at an impressive N13.0 trillion while shareholders’ funds stood solid at N2.0 trillion.

Commenting on the outstanding financial results, Mr. Segun Agbaje, the Group Chief Executive Officer of Guaranty Trust Holding Company Plc, expressed optimism about the future.

He said the robust performance across all business verticals reaffirmed the value of the Holding Company Structure.

“Our first quarter results reflect the unfolding value of what we have created in all our business verticals through the Holding Company Structure – from Banking and Payments to Funds Management and Pension,” said Mr. Agbaje.

“We are positioned to compete effectively on all fronts and fulfill all our customers’ needs under a unified, thriving financial ecosystem.”

The growth in profitability underscores GTCO’s resilience, strategic focus, and unwavering commitment to delivering superior value to its stakeholders amidst evolving market dynamics.

As the Group continues to leverage its strengths and innovative capabilities, it remains well-positioned to navigate the ever-changing landscape of the financial services industry with confidence and resilience.

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