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MFBs on Brink of Mass Failure

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  • MFBs on Brink of Mass Failure

Virtually every sector is feeling the bitter pill of the growing economic recession and the microfinance banks, which form a subset of the banking and financial institutions are sadly not immune to the biting economic crunch.

Most operators have been constrained considering the dire straits confronting the sector in recent times, as many businesses are negatively affected.

A damning report

Over 70 per cent of the existing 406 licenced MFBs in the country are now exposed to high risk margin in 2016 more than was the case in 2015.

According to the latest Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) findings on the sub-sector published on its website, a cursory view of previous years’ performance when compared to this year, showed that MFBs suffered higher risk, poor patronage and low return in investment in 2016.

It classified the categories of the exposure of the banks into various risks, based on findings of 2013 through 2015, with emphasis on 2016 third quarter returns.

As at 2015 performance, microfinance banks recorded above average in terms of risk ratings, but fell below the mark at the end of third quarter of 2016.

Whereas the MFBs paid-up capital increased by 54.40 per cent to N84.18 billion at the end of 2015, representing a surge of 54.40 per cent from N54.52 billion recorded in 2014 the 2016 quarterly review indicated a loss of 1.5 per cent so far.

At the end of third quarter in 2015, the shareholders’ funds decreased by 1.51 per cent to rest at N95.36 billion from N97.03 billion.

Expectedly, managers of the various microfinance banks in the country have complained of neglect by the authorities.

Tales of woes

Mr. Austin Irene, chief executive officer of Devine Microfinance didn’t mince words when he said: “There is yet to be enough attention paid to this sub-sector, by way of government assistance, unlike in the conventional banks.

“For the commercial banks and other sectors, there is AMCON that absolves bad debts from their system. But there is none for the microfinance banks, meaning that if any of us is in a similar situation that the conventional banks find themselves, we are to bear the brunt alone.”

Other operators stated that the present economic downturn has taken away the medium and small business enterprises that form the bulk of their clientele, with many of the benefits of loans taken from the sub-sector by not servicing them.

Speaking at the second edition of the Nigerian Microfinance Platform in Abuja, Chairman, Board of Directors, NPF Microfinance Bank Plc, Mr. Joel Udah, stated that the worrisome state of economic growth and high level of poverty is one of the challenges hindering financial inclusion which is a major platform of microfinance banks.

Also speaking, Mrs. Nwanna Joel-Ezeugo, Chief Risk Control and Compliance Officer, Accion Microfinance Bank, said due to the tough operating economic conditions and foreign exchange policy of the government, businesses are finding it very difficult to cope.

“The real people in the market are actually finding it very difficult to cope because there are so many inconsistent government policies that are not enabling them to actually run their businesses the way they used to. Of course, if they are having issues, automatically, it would affect their ability to operate effectively with microfinance banks.

“The foreign exchange policy is a major issue. The reason being that in the middle of last year, the CBN came up with a list of activities that can be accessed through the official exchange rate. And we know Nigeria has so far been an import dependent economy. When that policy came up, a lot of people were taken away from their jobs and businesses.

“And of course, even the increase in the exchange rate, those that can access official rate, the funds are not available at the CBN, because of the drop in the price of oil and declining reserves. At the end of the day, you find out that either way, the economy is not favourable to the people in the market.”

She called on the federal government to churn out concrete economic blueprint that would help point out the direction of the country’s economy, stating that “If everyone knows the direction we are heading, we will begin to strategise on how to get there. But where there is no clear cut policy, these inconsistencies will kill more businesses and throw a lot of people out of jobs.”

RUFIN to the rescue

Thankfully, the Rural Finance Institution Building Programme (RUFIN) in partnership with the International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD) and the Federal Government of Nigeria, have been able to develop and strengthen microfinance banks (MFBs), other member-based microfinance institutions (MFls), by enhancing the access of the rural populace to the services of these institutions in order to expand and improve agricultural productivity and Micro-Small Rural Enterprises.

The programme is being implemented along with four participating institutions namely; the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), the National Poverty Eradication Programme (NAPEP), Nigerian Agricultural Cooperative and Rural Development Bank (NACRDB) and the Federal Department of Cooperatives (FDC). Besides, the initiative is being supported by a Loan Agreement of US$27.2 million.

Shedding light on the foregoing, the Deputy National Programme Manager, RUFIN, Mrs. Unekwu Ufaruna observed that the initiative has since developed a training manual for capacity building of MFBs and financial NGOs.

Specifically, she said: “So far 33MFBs, 10 Financial NGOs selected from the outcome of Risk Institutional Assessment of NDIC/CBN and the over 4,000 Community Based Credit and Savings Organisations in the past one and half years have been subjected to vigorous capacity building and provision of necessary hardware and software ICT equipment. In line with the identified gaps from the Risk/Institutional Assessment for MFBs, Financial NGOs and Financial Cooperatives, a tailor made curriculum was designed, to ensure their capacitation. Office equipment such as desktop computers and hardware were distributed to 32 participating MFBs.”

Besides, she said, as part of the capacity building of MFls, MFBs and RMFls, which is one of the core mandates of the programme, RUFIN trained 27 MFBs (MDs/Credit Officers) on product development. This has resulted in improved financial products piloted by MFBs and increased deposit mobilisation. Also, 33 MFBs have been trained on Risk Management while 1,524 staff of RMFls were trained on gender learning and action system, making microfinance work, enterprise management and governance and entrepreneurial skill development respectively.

In order to enhance client outreach through establishing linkages between RMFls and formal banks, 3,516 Rural Microfinance Institutions have been linked with formal banks. A total of N66,598,865.88 of voluntary savings have been mobilised from 31,149 savers in the 12 participating states. Out of these 44.68% of these savers were women, while 55.32% were men. A further analysis showed that 20.69% were youths while 0.91 % are physically challenged.

The programme has formed and strengthened 6,295 village credit and savings groups consisting of 149,990 members in the 12 participating states. In addition, 529 RMFls with 1413 members were trained on gender learning and action system, making microfinance work and governance etc in 11 states consisting of 875 men and 38 women.

Speaking recently, Mallam Adamu Ibrahim, a microfinance expert with RUFIN, said most RUFIN-mentored MFBs have benefitted immensely from capacity building training among other expert advice which has helped to improve their bottom-line ultimately.

At the risk of sounding immodest, he said: “Many MFBs have benefited from RUFIN’s capacity building programme thus far and have been able to boost their portfolio investment within this period because they are now better equipped with the right skills set.”

Echoing similar sentiments, Mr. Godbless Afor, the Executive Secretary of the Association of Non-Bank Micro Finance Institutions of Nigeria (AMFIN), said RUFIN had provided training and capacity building programmes, logistics and technical support to the association.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

Crude Oil

Oil Prices Steady as Israel-Hamas Ceasefire Talks Offer Hope, Red Sea Attacks Persist

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Amidst geopolitical tensions and ongoing conflicts, oil prices remained relatively stable as hopes for a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas emerged, while attacks in the Red Sea continued to escalate.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, saw a modest rise of 27 cents to $88.67 a barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude oil gained 30 cents to $82.93 a barrel.

The optimism stems from negotiations between Israel and Hamas with talks in Cairo aiming to broker a potential ceasefire.

Despite these diplomatic efforts, attacks in the Red Sea by Yemen’s Houthis persist, raising concerns about potential disruptions to oil supply routes.

Vandana Hari, founder of Vanda Insights, emphasized the importance of a concrete agreement to drive market sentiment, stating that the oil market awaits a finalized deal between the conflicting parties.

Meanwhile, investor focus remains on the upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve’s policy review, particularly in light of persistent inflationary pressures.

Market expectations for any rate adjustments have been pushed out due to stubborn inflation, potentially bolstering the U.S. dollar and impacting oil demand.

Concerns over demand also weigh on sentiment, with ANZ analysts noting a decline in premiums for diesel and heating oil compared to crude oil, signaling subdued demand prospects.

As geopolitical uncertainties persist and market dynamics evolve, observers closely monitor developments in both the Middle East and global economic policies for their potential impact on oil prices and market stability.

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Crude Oil

Oil Prices Sink 1% as Israel-Hamas Talks in Cairo Ease Middle East Tensions

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Crude oil - Investors King

Oil prices declined on Monday, shedding 1% of their value as Israel-Hamas peace negotiations in Cairo alleviated fears of a broader conflict in the Middle East.

The easing tensions coupled with U.S. inflation data contributed to the subdued market sentiment and erased gains made earlier.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, dropped by as much as 1.09% to 8.52 a barrel while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil fell by 0.99% to $83.02 a barrel.

The initiation of talks to broker a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas played a pivotal role in moderating geopolitical concerns, according to analysts.

A delegation from Hamas was set to engage in peace discussions in Cairo on Monday, as confirmed by a Hamas official to Reuters.

Also, statements from the White House indicated that Israel had agreed to address U.S. concerns regarding the potential humanitarian impacts of the proposed invasion.

Market observers also underscored the significance of the upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve’s policy review on May 1.

Anticipation of a more hawkish stance from the Federal Open Market Committee added to investor nervousness, particularly in light of Friday’s data revealing a 2.7% rise in U.S. inflation over the previous 12 months, surpassing the Fed’s 2% target.

This heightened inflationary pressure reduced the likelihood of imminent interest rate cuts, which are typically seen as stimulative for economic growth and oil demand.

Independent market analysts highlighted the role of the strengthening U.S. dollar in exacerbating the downward pressure on oil prices, as higher interest rates tend to attract capital flows and bolster the dollar’s value, making oil more expensive for holders of other currencies.

Moreover, concerns about weakening demand surfaced with China’s industrial profit growth slowing down in March, as reported by official data. This trend signaled potential challenges for oil consumption in the world’s second-largest economy.

However, amidst the current market dynamics, optimism persists regarding potential upside in oil prices. Analysts noted that improvements in U.S. inventory data and China’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) could reverse the downward trend.

Also, previous gains in oil prices, fueled by concerns about supply disruptions in the Middle East, indicate the market’s sensitivity to geopolitical developments in the region.

Despite these fluctuations, the market appeared to brush aside potential disruptions to supply resulting from Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian oil refineries over the weekend. The attack temporarily halted operations at the Slavyansk refinery in Russia’s Krasnodar region, according to a plant executive.

As oil markets navigate through geopolitical tensions and economic indicators, the outcome of ongoing negotiations and future data releases will likely shape the trajectory of oil prices in the coming days.

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Commodities

Cocoa Fever Sweeps Market: Prices Set to Break $15,000 per Ton Barrier

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Cocoa

The cocoa market is experiencing an unprecedented surge with prices poised to shatter the $15,000 per ton barrier.

The cocoa industry, already reeling from supply shortages and production declines in key regions, is now facing a frenzy of speculative trading and bullish forecasts.

At the recent World Cocoa Conference in Brussels, nine traders and analysts surveyed by Bloomberg expressed unanimous confidence in the continuation of the cocoa rally.

According to their predictions, New York futures could trade above $15,000 a ton before the year’s end, marking yet another milestone in the relentless ascent of cocoa prices.

The surge in cocoa prices has been fueled by a perfect storm of factors, including production declines in Ivory Coast and Ghana, the world’s largest cocoa producers.

Shortages of cocoa beans have left buyers scrambling for supplies and willing to pay exorbitant premiums, exacerbating the market tightness.

To cope with the supply crunch, Ivory Coast and Ghana have resorted to rolling over contracts totaling around 400,000 tons of cocoa, further exacerbating the scarcity.

Traders are increasingly turning to cocoa stocks held in exchanges in London and New York, despite concerns about their quality, as the shortage of high-quality beans intensifies.

Northon Coimbrao, director of sourcing at chocolatier Natra, noted that quality considerations have taken a backseat for most processors amid the supply crunch, leading them to accept cocoa from exchanges despite its perceived inferiority.

This shift in dynamics is expected to further deplete stocks and provide additional support to cocoa prices.

The cocoa rally has already seen prices surge by about 160% this year, nearing the $12,000 per ton mark in New York.

This meteoric rise has put significant pressure on traders and chocolate makers, who are grappling with rising margin calls and higher bean prices in the physical market.

Despite the challenges posed by soaring cocoa prices, stakeholders across the value chain have demonstrated a willingness to absorb the cost increases.

Jutta Urpilainen, European Commissioner for International Partnerships, noted that the market has been able to pass on price increases from chocolate makers to consumers, highlighting the resilience of the cocoa industry.

However, concerns linger about the eventual impact of the price surge on consumers, with some chocolate makers still covered for supplies.

According to Steve Wateridge, head of research at Tropical Research Services, the full effects of the price increase may take six months to a year to materialize, posing a potential future challenge for consumers.

As the cocoa market continues to navigate uncharted territory all eyes remain on the unfolding developments, with traders, analysts, and industry stakeholders bracing for further volatility and potential record-breaking price levels in the days ahead.

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