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Nigeria’s Capital Inflows Set to Hit Five-Year High, Afrinvest Reports

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Naira Exchange Rates - Investors King

Nigeria is poised to see its capital inflows reach a five-year high, according to a recent report by Afrinvest (West Africa) Limited.

This notable growth reflects increasing confidence from foreign investors despite ongoing economic challenges.

Afrinvest’s report, citing data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), reveals that total capital inflows surged by 198.1% year-on-year to $3.4 billion in the first quarter of 2024.

This marks the highest level of capital importation since the first quarter of 2020.

The report also highlights a potential for total capital importation to reach $13.5 billion by the end of the year, should the current trend continue.

“While capital importation is well on course to hitting a five-year high, it then becomes a bittersweet moment as Nigeria can’t afford to keep relying on expensive loans to boost foreign investment inflows,” Afrinvest’s report cautions.

The NBS data shows that portfolio investment dominated the capital inflows, accounting for $2.08 billion or 61.5% of the total.

This was followed by other investments, which contributed $1.18 billion or 34.9%, and foreign direct investment, which stood at $119.2 million, making up just 3.53% of the total capital importation.

Afrinvest further breaks down the inflows by sector, noting that the banking sector attracted the largest share at 61.2%, followed by trading at 14.7%, and production at 5.7%.

The significant inflows into the banking sector are partly attributed to improved Open Market Operations (OMO) issuances, while the rise in trading inflows is linked to the attraction of Nigeria’s exports due to a weaker naira.

“Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI) – the largest component of the total capital importation with a 61.5% share – advanced 219.7% year-on-year to $2.1 billion, driven by improved inflows into money markets and bonds,” the report states.

The report also notes a substantial increase in foreign currency loans, which were up 165.3% and accounted for 94% of inflows in the other investments segment.

This influx of foreign currency loans, primarily secured by private businesses, highlights a reliance on costly foreign debt due to the challenging business environment in Nigeria.

“This reality does not bode well for the nation’s economy as it implies the lack of confidence by foreign investors to directly invest their assets in Nigeria,” Afrinvest warns.

“Given the current pricey state of capital in the global market, especially for emerging economies with weak credit ratings like Nigeria, the foreign currency loans were likely secured at elevated rates.”

Despite the positive trend in capital inflows, Afrinvest emphasizes the need for Nigeria to reduce its dependency on expensive loans to sustain foreign investment.

The firm suggests that while the current inflow trajectory is promising, the reliance on costly foreign debt poses significant risks to the nation’s economic stability.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Banking Sector

UBA Grows Interest Income Jump by 169% to N1.799 Trillion

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UBA Insider dealings

United Bank for Africa, Nigeria’s leading financial institution with operations across the African continent, on Monday reported a 169.9% jump in interest income from N666.291 billion recorded in the first nine months of 2023 to N1.799 trillion in the nine months through September 2024.

In the financial statement obtained by Investors King, the lender’s interest expense inched slightly higher to N695.571 billion, 211.6% from N223.209 billion filed in the corresponding period of 2023.

Growth was broad-based as net interest income rose by 149% from N443.082 billion in 2023 to N1.103 trillion in 2024 while net fee and commission income stood at N233.853 billion, up 105% from N114.286 billion in 2023.

The bank’s total non-interest income moderated slightly to N435.840 billion. However, operating income improved by 51.25% from N1.017 trillion to N1.539 trillion.

Similarly, net operating income after impairment loss on loans and receivables appreciated 62.16% to N1.416 trillion.

Profit before tax rose by N101.392 billion to N603.483 billion in September 2024.

Speaking on the strong performance of the company in the first half (H1) of the year, Oliver Alawuba, the Group Managing Director/CEO said as of H1 2024, which constitutes the majority of the current performance, the economic environment remained challenging across the regions where we operate.

High inflation, rising debt levels, increasing interest rates, and tighter monetary policies have created significant pressure on economies globally. Despite these headwinds, our Bank has demonstrated resilience.

In H1 2024, UBA Group delivered strong double-digit growth across high-quality and sustainable revenue streams. This performance reflects our disciplined execution of strategic goals, focusing on balance sheet expansion, transaction banking, and digital banking businesses across our markets.

  • Profit before Tax: We achieved a robust Profit Before Tax of N401.6 billion, reflecting our ability to manage risks effectively amidst macroeconomic volatility.
  • Customer Deposits: Our deposits grew by 34%, from N17.4 trillion at year-end 2023 to 2 trillion in H1 2024, demonstrating the trust and loyalty of our customers.
  • Total Assets: We saw a 37% growth in total assets, reaching N28.3 trillion, up from N20.7 trillion at FYE 2023. This growth was driven by strong customer relationships and our ability to capitalize on opportunities across geographies.
  • Net Interest Income: Our intermediation business posted impressive growth, with net interest income expanding by 143% year-on-year to N675 billion, further underlining the strength of our core banking operations.
  • Digital Banking & Payments: Digital Banking income surged by 107.8% YoY to N106 billion, while funds transfer and remittance fees rose 188.7% and 228%, respectively. We continue to lead in digital banking and payment solutions, helping drive financial inclusion across Africa.
  • Trade Facilitation: Income from trade transactions grew 83% to N18 billion as we strengthened our role in facilitating intra-regional and international trade.

Our strategy of investing in technology, innovation, and data analytics continues to yield significant returns, positioning us as a leader in digital transformation.

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Finance

FAAC Distributes N1.298trn to FG, States, LGCs

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FAAC

The Federal Accounts Allocation Committee (FAAC) has shared N1.298 trillion among the Federal Government, states, and Local Government Councils (LGCs) from the revenue of September 2024.

A communique issued at the end of FAAC meeting for October held on Thursday in Abuja said N1.298 trillion total distributable revenue comprised distributable statutory revenue of N124.716 billion, and distributable Value Added Tax (VAT) revenue of N543.518 billion.

It also comprised Electronic Money Transfer Levy (EMTL) revenue of N18. 445 billion, Exchange Difference revenue of N462.191 billion and Augmentation of N150.000 billion.

It said that a total revenue of N2.258 trillion was available in the month of September.

“Total deduction for cost of collection was N80.993 billion, while total transfers, interventions and refunds was N878.946 billion,” it said.

According to the communiqué, gross statutory revenue of N1.043 trillion was received in September 2024, which was lower than the sum of N1.221 trillion received in August by N177.426 billion.

It said that gross revenue of N583.675 billion was available from VAT in September, higher than the N573.341 billion available in the month of August by N10.334 billion.

“From the N1.298 trillion total distributable revenue, the Federal Government received a total sum of N424.867 billion, and the state governments received a total sum of N453.724 billion.

“The LGCs received a total sum of N329.864 billion and a total sum of N90.415 billion (13 per cent of mineral revenue) was shared to the benefiting states as derivation revenue,” it said.

On the N124.716 billion statutory revenue, the communiqué said that the Federal Government received N43.037 billion and the state governments received N21.829 billion, while the LGCs received N16.829 billion.

It said that the sum of N43.021 billion (13 per cent of mineral revenue) was shared to the benefiting states as derivation revenue.

“From the N543.518 billion VAT revenue, the Federal Government received N81.528 billion, the state governments received N271.759 billion and the LGCs received N190.231 billion,” it said.

It said that in September, Oil and Gas Royalty, Excise Duty, EMTL and CET Levies increased considerably while VAT and Import Duty increased marginally.

It added that Petroleum Profit Tax (PPT), Companies Income Tax (CIT) and others recorded significant decreases.

 

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Finance

Former AGF, EFCC Opt For Plea Bargain Settlement in Alleged N1.6bn Fraud Case

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Anamekwe-Nwabuoku

The Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) has informed a Federal High Court sitting in Abuja of its plan to settle out of court in a subsisting N1.6 billion fraud matter against a former acting Accountant-General of the Federation (AGF), Anamekwe Nwabuoku, pending before the court.

Counsel to the anti-graft body, Ogechi Ujam, informed the presiding judge, Justice James Omotosho upon resumed hearing on Monday of its resolve to opt for plea bargain agreement with the defendant.

When the matter was called, Ujam told the court that on the last adjourned date, Nwabuoku and his co-defendant, Felix Nweke, had submitted proposal for settlement out of court.

She said the parties in the charge had agreed and that the agreement had been submitted to the EFCC’s Chairman, Ola Olukoyede, for approval.

The lawyer to the EFCC then asked the court for a date to file the agency’s plea bargain agreement and amend the charge of the defendants.

In the same vein, Nwabuoku’s lawyer, Isidal Udenko, and Emeka Onyeaka, who represented Nweke, also admitted opting for a plea bargain.

Justice Omotosho subsequently adjourned the matter till December 2 for the adoption of a plea bargain agreement.

Recall that the anti-graft agency had preferred an 11-count money laundering charge against the duo.

Nwabuoku and Nweke, a former Deputy Director in the Ministry of Defence, are being prosecuted for alleged money laundering offences to the tune of N1.6 billion.

While Nwabuoku is the 1st defendant in the charge marked: FHC/ABJ/CR/240/24 dated May 20 and filed May 27 by Ekele Iheanacho, Nweke is the 2nd defendant.

 

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