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Macron’s Alliance and Left-Wing Bloc Consider Strategy to Block Far-Right Surge

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Emmanuel Macron

President Emmanuel Macron’s centrist alliance and the left-wing New Popular Front are contemplating strategic withdrawals of their candidates to prevent the far-right National Rally from gaining power.

Marine Le Pen’s National Rally secured a surprising 33.2% of the vote, according to interior ministry figures, outpacing both the New Popular Front’s 28% and Macron’s coalition, which garnered 20.8%.

This result has sent shockwaves through the French political landscape, heightening fears of a far-right ascendance.

“The lesson of today is that the far right is at the gates of power,” French Prime Minister Gabriel Attal told supporters on Sunday night. “Our objective is clear: to prevent the National Rally from having an absolute majority.”

A decisive victory in the second round would enable National Rally President Jordan Bardella to claim the premiership, granting the party significant legislative power.

Traditionally, France’s mainstream parties have united to keep the far right out of government.

The financial markets responded with cautious optimism after the National Rally’s smaller-than-expected margin of victory.

Futures on France’s CAC 40 index surged almost 3% at the opening bell, while the euro gained 0.5%, marking its largest intraday increase in over two weeks.

However, the political uncertainty has led to fluctuating yields on French bonds, reflecting investor unease.

In over half of the 577 constituencies, three candidates qualified for the runoffs. In these cases, the third-placed candidate can withdraw to bolster the chances of another mainstream party defeating the National Rally.

The deadline for such withdrawals is 6 p.m. on Tuesday, leaving party leaders in a frantic race to form alliances.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon, leader of the New Popular Front, an alliance of left-wing parties, announced his intention to encourage third-placed candidates from his group to withdraw in favor of a united front against the far right.

President Macron echoed this sentiment, calling for a “broad, clearly democratic and republican alliance for the second round.”

However, the situation is complicated. Mélenchon’s France Unbowed has proposed policies that conflict with European Union budget rules, potentially unsettling investors.

This has made it unclear whether Macron’s Renaissance party will withdraw in constituencies where the far left would benefit.

In a gesture toward building alliances with the left, Prime Minister Attal announced the suspension of an unpopular unemployment insurance reform on Sunday evening.

The government had argued that the changes would incentivize employment, but opposition parties criticized the timing, given rising joblessness.

Although Macron’s presidency itself is not at risk — and he has stated he has no plans to resign — the election results indicate he will either have to share governing responsibilities with the National Rally or navigate a gridlocked parliament.

The National Rally opposes many of Macron’s key initiatives, including migration policy, pension reform, and EU integration.

Market analysts suggest that while investors prefer gridlock over a far-right government, any credible alliances to block Le Pen from absolute power could restore some stability to French markets.

“A hung parliament could make it hard to get anything done in France, which is exactly what the markets would like,” said Kathleen Brooks, research director at XTB.

As the political landscape evolves rapidly, the coming days will be crucial in determining France’s legislative future and the broader implications for European politics.

The nation watches closely as Macron and Mélenchon’s parties deliberate their next moves to counter the far-right surge.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Ghana Ordered to Pay $111.5M to Power Company After U.S. Court Ruling

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ghana

The government of Ghana has been ordered to pay $111.5 million to Ghana Power Generation Company (GPGC) following a ruling by a District of Columbia Court in the United States.

This ruling was granted in favor of GPGC after Ghana failed to respond to an earlier tribunal ruling from the United Kingdom, which found the country in breach of a power purchase agreement.

The court’s decision comes after Ghana terminated its contract with GPGC on February 18, 2018. The UK tribunal, in its final award dated January 26, 2021, found that Ghana had violated its contractual obligations, resulting in significant financial damages for GPGC.

The tribunal initially awarded GPGC $134.3 million in damages, calculated using the Early Termination Payment formula as specified in the purchase agreement.

Ghana, however, did not comply with the tribunal’s verdict, prompting GPGC to pursue the matter in U.S. courts. On January 19, 2024, GPGC filed a lawsuit in the District of Columbia, citing the Federal Arbitration Act and the New York Convention, which provides for the recognition of international arbitration awards.

Court documents reveal that the petition was formally delivered to Ghana’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Regional Integration on January 23, 2024.

Despite receiving the legal documents, Ghana failed to respond to the court proceedings by the March 29, 2024, deadline. This non-response led the U.S. court to grant a default judgment in favor of GPGC.

Chief Judge James E. Boasberg emphasized that the arbitral judgment fell under the New York Convention, which requires member states, including the United States, to recognize and enforce international arbitration awards.

He further noted that Ghana had voluntarily submitted to international arbitration when entering the power purchase agreement, waiving its sovereign immunity in the process.

Although GPGC was not awarded pre-judgment interest, Ghana will be obligated to pay post-judgment interest at rates set by U.S. law.

This adds an additional financial burden to the $111.5 million judgment as the payment accrues further interest over time.

The country narrowly avoided a separate $11 billion arbitration award in the infamous P&ID case, which was eventually overturned due to findings of corruption and bribery.

However, in the GPGC case, multiple European courts have upheld enforcement orders, leaving Ghana with limited legal recourse.

The court’s decision is expected to place added pressure on Ghana as it faces mounting financial obligations related to international arbitration disputes.

GPGC has indicated that it will pursue all available legal avenues to ensure full recovery of the damages awarded by the tribunal, including possible enforcement actions in other jurisdictions.

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Zhongshang Fucheng Moves to Auction Nigerian Properties in UK Following $70M Arbitration Award

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Bola Tinubu

Zhongshang Fucheng Industrial Investment Ltd has escalated its efforts to collect a $70 million arbitration award from Nigeria by putting two residential properties in Liverpool up for sale.

This significant development follows a 2021 arbitration verdict against Nigeria, which remains unsettled.

The Chinese investment group has reportedly listed two buildings linked to the Nigerian government—15 Aigburth Hall Road and Beech Lodge, 49 Calderstones Road—on the global online marketplace eBay.

The move is part of a broader strategy to recover the outstanding $70 million, which includes a principal amount of $55,675,000, plus interest and legal costs, as stipulated by the arbitration verdict.

The arbitration stemmed from a dispute between Zhongshang Fucheng and Ogun State over a trade treaty violation.

The company claimed that Ogun State rescinded its rights to a free trade zone in 2016, prompting a legal battle that saw Zhongshang’s executives expelled from Nigeria.

The British court granted Zhongshang the authority to seize Nigerian assets in the UK after the Nigerian government failed to settle the arbitration judgment.

The seizure and subsequent auction of these properties mark a pivotal moment in the ongoing legal conflict.

The properties were confiscated because they were not classified as diplomatic or consular assets, making them subject to seizure under the court’s orders.

According to sources familiar with the situation, the properties are valued at approximately $2.2 million.

Zhongshang Fucheng has opted for an online auction to expedite the sale, aiming to reach a broad pool of potential buyers.

The decision to use eBay highlights the company’s commitment to transparency and swift asset recovery.

“This move is not just about recovering the funds; it’s a demonstration of our commitment to enforcing the arbitration award and ensuring that due process is followed,” said a consultant working with Zhongshang Fucheng, who spoke on condition of anonymity.

The Nigerian government, already grappling with similar arbitration cases, is facing increased scrutiny as European courts have granted enforcement orders in several countries, including the UK, Belgium, and France.

The ongoing conflict with Zhongshang Fucheng has intensified pressure on Nigerian authorities to address these legal and financial challenges more effectively.

In June 2024, the UK High Court, King’s Bench Division, ruled in favor of Zhongshang’s right to seize the Liverpool properties.

Master Lisa Sullivan’s ruling emphasized that the properties were used for commercial purposes, thereby excluding them from sovereign immunity protections.

The case against Nigeria underscores broader issues related to international arbitration and asset recovery, reflecting a growing trend of global legal disputes over state assets.

For Zhongshang Fucheng, the auction of the Liverpool properties represents a critical step in securing the funds awarded by the arbitration panel.

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NLC Prepares for Protest Against Alleged Intimidation of President Ajaero by Police

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Joe Ajaero

The Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC) has announced plans for mass protests and industrial action in response to what it describes as the harassment and intimidation of its president, Joe Ajaero.

This decision follows a summons by the Nigeria Police, accusing Ajaero of involvement in criminal conspiracy, terrorism financing, treasonable felony, subversion, and cybercrime.

In a communique issued at the end of an emergency meeting held on Tuesday, the NLC expressed outrage at the police’s actions and warned that if any harm befalls Ajaero or any other leader of the labour movement, the organization would mobilize its members for nationwide protests.

The congress also hinted at industrial action in defense of its leadership, which it views as being under attack.

“The Congress will not hesitate to take all necessary actions, including mass protests and industrial actions, to protect the integrity and independence of the labour movement,” read the communique signed by Sani Minjibir, Deputy President of the NLC.

“If anything happens to the President of the Congress or any other leader in furtherance of these tendentious allegations by the state, we will not stand idle.”

The NLC further called upon civil society groups and the general public to stand in solidarity with the labour movement, describing the situation as a fight against “injustice and oppression.”

The congress urged Nigerians to defend the country’s democratic values and support their cause in what they see as a critical moment for the future of the labour movement in Nigeria.

The controversy began earlier this week when the police issued an invitation to Ajaero, asking him to report to their Intelligence Response Team (IRT) in Abuja on Tuesday, August 20th, 2024.

The police warned that a warrant for his arrest would be issued if he failed to comply. According to the invitation, Ajaero is being investigated for a range of serious charges, including terrorism financing and cybercrime.

However, Ajaero’s legal counsel, led by renowned human rights lawyer Femi Falana, responded to the police on Tuesday, citing the short notice of the invitation as the reason Ajaero could not attend on the scheduled date.

The letter stated that Ajaero had prior engagements and requested an extension to Wednesday, August 29th, 2024. Falana also demanded detailed information regarding the allegations against Ajaero.

In its communique, the NLC condemned the invitation as a form of “witch-hunting, intimidation, and harassment,” insisting that the charges against Ajaero were politically motivated and intended to weaken the labour movement.

The NLC described the police’s actions as a blatant attempt to silence the leadership of the workers’ movement, warning the government to desist from further antagonizing its leaders.

“We view this as a calculated attempt to weaken and destabilize the labour movement, which has always stood as a bastion of democratic principles and the voice of the Nigerian masses,” the statement continued. “We remain resolute in our commitment to defending the rights and interests of workers and the Nigerian people. We shall not be cowed or intimidated by these desperate attempts to silence us.”

In anticipation of further escalation, the NLC directed its affiliate unions and state councils to begin mobilizing members across the country, stating that it is prepared to take any measures necessary to protect its leadership and the integrity of the labour movement.

The NLC warned the government that any attempt to undermine their rights or freedoms would be met with fierce resistance, including potential strikes and mass actions across Nigeria.

As the deadline for Ajaero’s appearance before the police approaches, tensions between the government and the labour union continue to rise.

The outcome of this confrontation could have far-reaching implications, not only for the leadership of the NLC but also for the broader landscape of Nigeria’s labour and civil rights movements.

The NLC has vowed to stand firm, declaring that it will continue to fight for justice, fairness, and the rule of law in Nigeria.

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