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Ramaphosa Forms Coalition Government After ANC Loses Majority

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Cyril Ramaphosa

South African President Cyril Ramaphosa will announce a new coalition government on Sunday night, following the African National Congress (ANC) losing its parliamentary majority for the first time since coming to power three decades ago.

The new executive will be revealed in a televised address at 9 p.m. local time, the presidency confirmed in a statement on X.

The coalition cabinet has been formed after extensive negotiations between the ANC and the centrist Democratic Alliance (DA), which emerged as the two largest parties in the May 29 elections.

This unprecedented collaboration marks a significant shift in South African politics, with the ANC now working alongside the DA and eight other parties to form a government that promises to drive economic reform and revive growth.

“The cabinet will comprise a diversity of political parties,” the presidency stated, reflecting the broad spectrum of the coalition.

Investors are hopeful that this coalition will bring stability and the necessary momentum to tackle the economic challenges that South Africa faces.

The rand experienced significant fluctuations last week as speculation over the coalition talks intensified. The currency saw a 1.5% rise on Friday following news that the ANC and DA were nearing an agreement.

President Ramaphosa reportedly offered the DA six ministerial positions, including agriculture, home affairs, basic education, public works, communications, and forestry.

Also, the DA is expected to take deputy ministerial roles in finance, energy and electricity, small business, higher education, trade and industry, and water.

This coalition government marks a new era for South Africa, moving away from the single-party dominance that has characterized its post-apartheid history. The ANC’s loss of its parliamentary majority is a wake-up call, signaling the electorate’s demand for change and accountability.

The conclusion of the coalition talks and the formation of the new cabinet will be closely watched by both domestic and international observers.

The success of this coalition could set a precedent for future political collaborations in South Africa and potentially reshape the country’s political landscape.

Helen Zille, chairperson of the DA’s Federal Council, and ANC acting spokesman Zuko Godlimpi, both declined to comment on the specifics of the coalition agreement.

However, the anticipation for the official announcement is palpable, with many South Africans hoping that this new government will bring effective governance and a renewed focus on economic recovery.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Trump’s Immunity Claim Partially Upheld by Supreme Court, Trial Postponed

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donald-trump

The U.S. Supreme Court ruled that former President Donald Trump possesses partial immunity from criminal charges related to his attempts to overturn the 2020 election results.

The ruling, which splits along ideological lines with a 6-3 vote, represents a significant legal victory for Trump, effectively ensuring that a trial will not occur before the November 2024 election.

The Court found that the federal appeals court was too dismissive of Trump’s immunity arguments.

For the first time, the Supreme Court acknowledged that former presidents could be shielded from prosecution for certain official acts carried out while in office.

Chief Justice John Roberts, writing for the majority, explained that “The president is not above the law. But Congress may not criminalize the president’s conduct in carrying out the responsibilities of the Executive Branch under the Constitution.”

The ruling did not go so far as to dismiss the indictment altogether, as Trump had hoped.

However, the decision’s timing is pivotal as it narrows the opportunity for Special Counsel Jack Smith to bring Trump before a jury in Washington, D.C., before the November 5 election.

The ruling now returns the case to the lower courts to determine which specific allegations are protected under the presidential immunity doctrine.

This process will likely extend beyond the election, leaving Trump facing only one of four criminal cases against him before voters head to the polls.

Trump was previously convicted in a New York state court on May 30 for falsifying business records to cover up a hush money payment to adult film actress Stormy Daniels prior to the 2016 election.

His Washington trial, related to efforts to overturn the 2020 election, has been on hold pending the Supreme Court’s decision on his immunity claim.

The dissenting opinion, penned by Justices Sonia Sotomayor, Elena Kagan, and Ketanji Brown Jackson, criticized the majority for granting such broad immunity.

They argued that the decision undermines the principle that no one, including the president, is above the law.

The decision underscores the ongoing legal battles facing Trump as he campaigns for the 2024 presidential election.

While this ruling may provide a temporary respite, it also raises critical questions about the extent of legal protections afforded to former presidents and the balance of power within the U.S. government.

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Macron’s Alliance and Left-Wing Bloc Consider Strategy to Block Far-Right Surge

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Emmanuel Macron

President Emmanuel Macron’s centrist alliance and the left-wing New Popular Front are contemplating strategic withdrawals of their candidates to prevent the far-right National Rally from gaining power.

Marine Le Pen’s National Rally secured a surprising 33.2% of the vote, according to interior ministry figures, outpacing both the New Popular Front’s 28% and Macron’s coalition, which garnered 20.8%.

This result has sent shockwaves through the French political landscape, heightening fears of a far-right ascendance.

“The lesson of today is that the far right is at the gates of power,” French Prime Minister Gabriel Attal told supporters on Sunday night. “Our objective is clear: to prevent the National Rally from having an absolute majority.”

A decisive victory in the second round would enable National Rally President Jordan Bardella to claim the premiership, granting the party significant legislative power.

Traditionally, France’s mainstream parties have united to keep the far right out of government.

The financial markets responded with cautious optimism after the National Rally’s smaller-than-expected margin of victory.

Futures on France’s CAC 40 index surged almost 3% at the opening bell, while the euro gained 0.5%, marking its largest intraday increase in over two weeks.

However, the political uncertainty has led to fluctuating yields on French bonds, reflecting investor unease.

In over half of the 577 constituencies, three candidates qualified for the runoffs. In these cases, the third-placed candidate can withdraw to bolster the chances of another mainstream party defeating the National Rally.

The deadline for such withdrawals is 6 p.m. on Tuesday, leaving party leaders in a frantic race to form alliances.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon, leader of the New Popular Front, an alliance of left-wing parties, announced his intention to encourage third-placed candidates from his group to withdraw in favor of a united front against the far right.

President Macron echoed this sentiment, calling for a “broad, clearly democratic and republican alliance for the second round.”

However, the situation is complicated. Mélenchon’s France Unbowed has proposed policies that conflict with European Union budget rules, potentially unsettling investors.

This has made it unclear whether Macron’s Renaissance party will withdraw in constituencies where the far left would benefit.

In a gesture toward building alliances with the left, Prime Minister Attal announced the suspension of an unpopular unemployment insurance reform on Sunday evening.

The government had argued that the changes would incentivize employment, but opposition parties criticized the timing, given rising joblessness.

Although Macron’s presidency itself is not at risk — and he has stated he has no plans to resign — the election results indicate he will either have to share governing responsibilities with the National Rally or navigate a gridlocked parliament.

The National Rally opposes many of Macron’s key initiatives, including migration policy, pension reform, and EU integration.

Market analysts suggest that while investors prefer gridlock over a far-right government, any credible alliances to block Le Pen from absolute power could restore some stability to French markets.

“A hung parliament could make it hard to get anything done in France, which is exactly what the markets would like,” said Kathleen Brooks, research director at XTB.

As the political landscape evolves rapidly, the coming days will be crucial in determining France’s legislative future and the broader implications for European politics.

The nation watches closely as Macron and Mélenchon’s parties deliberate their next moves to counter the far-right surge.

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Biden’s Allies Defend Reelection Bid Amid Debate Fallout

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In the wake of President Joe Biden’s stumbling debate performance against Donald Trump last week, key Democrats have rallied to defend his reelection bid, urging him to continue focusing on his record and the stark contrast with his opponent.

The debate, held on Thursday, left many Americans questioning Biden’s ability to lead, prompting a vigorous defense from his supporters.

Representative Jim Clyburn, a pivotal figure in Biden’s 2020 campaign, acknowledged the president had a “bad” debate but maintained that Biden should persist in his campaign.

“There were some trepidations among House members afterward,” Clyburn admitted on CNN’s State of the Union. “But he should stay in this race and demonstrate going forward his capacity to lead the country.”

The fallout from the debate has intensified scrutiny on Biden’s health and leadership abilities. A CBS News poll of registered voters published Sunday revealed only 27% believe the president has the mental and cognitive health to serve, down from 35% in early June.

Despite these concerns, Biden’s campaign is pushing back against the negative narrative.

In a series of memos to donors and surrogates over the weekend, the campaign dismissed the alarm as a creation of pundits and operatives disconnected from ordinary Americans.

They asserted that Biden would unequivocally be the 2024 Democratic nominee and any dip in support was merely a temporary reflection of the media’s overreaction.

Biden’s allies took to Sunday political talk shows to reinforce their support.

“I understand there’s a lot of hand-wringing and concern and pearl-clutching amongst the commentariat,” said Senator Chris Coons, a Delaware Democrat and Biden campaign co-chair, on ABC’s This Week. “That’s great. That’s expected, frankly.”

Former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi also weighed in on CNN, stating, “Biden had a bad night. Let’s move on from that. It’s all an opportunity.”

In an effort to bolster confidence, Biden spent Sunday at Camp David with family members, a visit that had been scheduled prior to the debate.

He also engaged in a two-day campaign and fundraising swing, which included events with affluent donors in New York’s Hamptons and New Jersey.

“I understand the concern about the debate,” Biden said Saturday at a fundraiser hosted by hedge fund manager Barry Rosenstein and his wife, Lizanne, in the Hamptons. “I get it. I didn’t have a great night.”

Biden’s campaign reported on Sunday that it had raised more than $33 million since the debate, with $26 million coming from grassroots donations.

Thursday marked the campaign’s best grassroots fundraising day yet, with Friday coming in second.

Biden, 81, acknowledged after the debate that voters might have concerns about his age but remains determined to stay in the race.

Jill Biden, a significant influence in his decision to run in 2020, reinforced this resolve on Friday, saying, “We are not going to let 90 minutes define the four years that you’ve been president.”

While Biden’s debate performance has led to a temporary dip in support, his allies remain steadfast in their belief that his record and vision for the future will resonate with voters.

As the campaign continues, they are committed to showcasing Biden’s achievements and the critical differences between him and his opponent.

The CBS poll conducted June 28-29 surveyed 1,130 people and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.2 percentage points.

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