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Shell’s Onshore Exit Marks New Era for Nigeria’s Oil Industry

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Shell profit drops 44 percent

Nigeria’s oil industry is on the cusp of significant transformation as Shell, a pioneering force in the nation’s oil sector, exits its onshore operations, signaling a shift towards local leadership.

The departure of Shell, a Western energy giant, from the Niger Delta underscores the challenges and opportunities that define Africa’s largest oil exporter.

Shell’s decision to divest its onshore assets reflects a broader trend among Western energy companies, including Exxon, Eni, Equinor, and Addax, who have also sold their interests in Nigerian oil fields in recent years.

The region, marred by pollution, oil theft, and pipeline vandalism, has long hindered investment and throttled production, impacting both economic growth and government revenues.

Andrew Matheny, a senior economist with Goldman Sachs, noted that Nigeria’s policy challenges in the oil sector coupled with foreign exchange concerns, have contributed to the exodus of major oil companies.

This trend has significantly contributed to the decline in oil production over recent years, undermining the country’s position as a major player in the global energy market.

President Bola Tinubu’s administration, which took office last year, vowed to address obstacles faced by producers, including crude theft and pipeline vandalism.

However, the ongoing asset sales, which were initiated before his election, highlight the enduring challenges within Nigeria’s oil sector.

Seyi Awojulugbe, a senior analyst at security consultancy SBM Intelligence in Lagos, emphasized the inherent risks associated with operating in Nigeria.

He pointed out that the departure of major companies from onshore operations underscores the complexities of doing business in the country despite efforts to improve conditions for investors.

While the exit of Shell and other majors raises concerns about future investments and production, it also presents opportunities for local companies to assume greater control over Nigeria’s oil resources.

Firms like Seplat, First E&P, and Heritage have already demonstrated their capacity to increase production and reduce environmental impacts on assets acquired from Shell.

However, challenges persist for local firms, as evidenced by the struggles of Aiteo Eastern E&P and Eroton Exploration with pipeline leaks and oil spills. Richard Bronze of Energy Aspects highlighted the financial limitations faced by indigenous companies compared to oil majors, which could impact future output.

Nevertheless, with access to alternative sources of capital, including local banks and international lenders, Nigerian firms are poised to play a more significant role in shaping the country’s oil industry.

As Shell bows out, the emergence of local players heralds a new era for Nigeria’s oil sector, characterized by resilience, innovation, and homegrown expertise.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Crude Oil

IOCs Stick to Dollar Dominance in Crude Oil Transactions with Modular Refineries

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Crude Oil - Investors King

International Oil Companies (IOCs) are standing firm on their stance regarding the currency denomination for crude oil transactions with modular refineries.

Despite earlier indications suggesting a potential shift towards naira payments, IOCs have asserted their preference for dollar dominance in these transactions.

The decision, communicated during a meeting involving indigenous modular refineries and crude oil producers, shows the complex dynamics shaping Nigeria’s energy landscape.

While the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) had previously hinted at the possibility of allowing indigenous refineries to purchase crude oil in either naira or dollars, IOCs have maintained a firm stance favoring the latter.

Under this framework, modular refineries would be required to pay 80% of the crude oil purchase amount in US dollars, with the remaining 20% to be settled in naira.

This arrangement, although subject to ongoing discussions, signals a significant departure from initial expectations of a more balanced currency allocation.

Representatives from the Crude Oil Refinery Owners Association of Nigeria (CORAN) said the decision was not unilaterally imposed but rather reached through deliberations with relevant stakeholders, including the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC).

While there were initial hopes of broader flexibility in currency options, the dominant position of IOCs has steered discussions towards a more dollar-centric model.

Despite reservations expressed by some participants, including modular refinery operators, the consensus appears to lean towards accommodating the preferences of major crude oil suppliers.

The development underscores the intricate negotiations and power dynamics shaping Nigeria’s energy sector, with implications for both domestic and international stakeholders.

As discussions continue, attention remains focused on how this decision will impact the operations and financial viability of modular refineries in Nigeria’s evolving oil landscape.

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Brent Crude Hits $88.42, WTI Climbs to $83.36 on Dollar Index Dip

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Brent crude oil - Investors King

Oil prices surged as Brent crude oil appreciated to $88.42 a barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed to $83.36 a barrel.

The uptick in prices comes as the U.S. dollar index dipped to its lowest level in over a week, prompting investors to shift their focus from geopolitical tensions to global economic conditions.

The weakening of the U.S. dollar, a key factor influencing oil prices, provided a boost to dollar-denominated commodities like oil. As the dollar index fell, demand for oil from investors holding other currencies increased, leading to the rise in prices.

Investors also found support in euro zone data indicating a robust expansion in business activity, with April witnessing the fastest pace of growth in nearly a year.

Andrew Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates, noted that the market had been under pressure due to sluggish growth in the euro zone, making any signs of improvement supportive for oil prices.

Market participants are increasingly looking beyond geopolitical tensions and focusing on economic indicators and supply-and-demand dynamics.

Despite initial concerns regarding tensions between Israel and Iran and uncertainties surrounding China’s economic performance, the market sentiment remained optimistic, buoyed by expectations of steady oil demand.

Analysts anticipate the release of key economic data later in the week, including U.S. first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) figures and March’s personal consumption expenditures, which serve as the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge.

These data points are expected to provide further insights into the health of the economy and potentially impact oil prices.

Also, anticipation builds around the release of U.S. crude oil inventory data by the Energy Information Administration, scheduled for Wednesday.

Preliminary reports suggest an increase in crude oil inventories alongside a decrease in refined product stockpiles, reflecting ongoing dynamics in the oil market.

As oil prices continue their upward trajectory, investors remain vigilant, monitoring economic indicators and geopolitical developments for further cues on the future direction of the market.

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NNPC and Newcross Set to Boost Awoba Unit Field Production to 12,000 bpd

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NNPC - Investors King

NNPC and Newcross Exploration and Production Ltd are working together to increase production at the Awoba Unit Field to 12,000 barrels per day (bpd) within the next 30 days.

This initiative, aimed at optimizing hydrocarbon asset production, follows the recent restart of operations at the Awoba field, which commenced this month after a hiatus.

The field, located in the mangrove swamp south of Port Harcourt, Rivers State, ceased production in 2021 due to logistical challenges and crude oil theft.

The joint venture between NNPC and Newcross is poised to bolster national revenue and meet OPEC production quotas, contributing significantly to Nigeria’s energy sector.

Mele Kyari, NNPC’s Group Chief Executive Officer, attributes this achievement to a conducive operating environment fostered by the administration of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

The endeavor underscores a collective effort involving stakeholders from various sectors, including staff, operators, host communities, and security agencies, aimed at revitalizing Nigeria’s oil and gas sector.

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