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Asian Stocks Follow Wall Street’s Decline, Await Powell’s Speech for Interest Rate Clues

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Asian stock markets mirrored a slump on Wall Street as traders eagerly anticipated Jerome Powell’s forthcoming speech for insights into the interest-rate outlook.

Equity markets in Japan, Australia, South Korea, and China all experienced declines, with Hong Kong-listed technology stocks notably affected, echoing the heavy sell-off in US tech shares on Thursday.

The Nasdaq 100 recorded a 2.2% drop, marking its most significant decline in three weeks while the S&P 500 also experienced a drop of over 1%, nearly erasing its weekly gains.

Futures contracts for these US benchmarks saw minimal changes during Asian trading.

In the bond market, Treasury yields, particularly the two-year yields, which are sensitive to immediate policy moves, surged above 5% on Thursday.

Meanwhile, Australian and New Zealand bond yields saw slight increases in Asian trading.

The greenback further strengthened against its G-10 peers, while the yen weakened, breaching 146 per dollar for the first time since Tuesday, following slightly lower-than-expected inflation data for Tokyo.

Even with Chinese authorities urging top financial institutions to support a struggling market, Chinese stocks experienced a slump.

Morgan Stanley, for the second time in three months, cut price targets for Chinese equity benchmarks. Meituan shares also slid after the company issued a warning about a slowdown in its core meal delivery business.

Investor attention is now focused on the annual gathering of top central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, where Powell is scheduled to deliver a speech at 10:05 a.m. Washington time on Friday.

Powell is expected to outline how officials will assess the necessity of rate hikes and when to initiate rate cuts.

Leading up to Powell’s address, Susan Collins, the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, indicated that rate increases may be necessary but refrained from signaling the peak point.

Read also: Investors Loses N150 Billion as Stock Exchange Dips by 0.42% Last Week

In contrast, Patrick Harker, the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, anticipates interest rates remaining unchanged for the rest of the year, suggesting that policymakers have likely implemented sufficient tightening measures.

In an earlier interview on Bloomberg Television, former St. Louis Fed President James Bullard suggested that a surge in economic activity this summer could postpone the Fed’s plans to conclude interest-rate increases.

A survey conducted by 22V Research reveals that 78% of investors expect Powell to prioritize data dependency in his speech, with only 21% anticipating a “risk-off” market reaction, while 43% expect a mixed or negligible response, and 37% predict a “risk-on” reaction.

Dennis DeBusschere, founder of the New York-based research firm, commented, “If Powell focuses on data dependency, that ought to help 10-year yields stabilize,” highlighting the potential to provide a “tailwind” to the growth-versus-value trade.

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

Stock Investors Gain N131 Billion on Tuesday

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King

Nigeria’s equities market opened the holiday-shortened trading week in green as investors bought banking and consumer goods stocks despite record profit taking in insurance, industrial, oil & gas stocks.

“Looking forward, the equities market is expected to retain its buy interest as investors cherry-pick undervalued stocks. However, given the sentiment that rates might have peaked in the fixed income and money markets and investors locking in on current rates, we expect some bearish undertone to persist in the equities market,” according to United Capital research analysts.

The analysts said the bulls “will remain incentivised to persist in bargain hunting, given the tremendous mid-long-term opportunities in the equities market. Fund managers and businesses may begin to entertain mid-long-term (≥6 months) investment objectives, cherry-picking only sound equities with strong fundamentals and ongoing corporate actions. This strategy will maximise market opportunities, thereby optimising portfolio returns”.

The Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) All-Share Index (ASI) and equities market capitalisation appreciated by 0.23 percent and N131billion from preceding day’s 97,456.62 points and N56.002 trillion respectively to 97,685.63 points and N56.133 trillion.

The market’s year-to-date (YtD) return rose to 30.64 percent.

According to Meristem research analysts, “While we expect subdued participation in the Nigerian equities market this week, we anticipate that buying activity will outweigh profit-taking. Our outlook is hinged on the belief that no major negative catalysts are expected to shift market direction this week. We anticipate that investors will continue selective buying, seeking opportunities across various sectors.

“Additionally, macroeconomic developments and corporate actions from companies could stimulate moderate buying interest in the market. We also do not foresee a significant shift towards the fixed-income market as yields have started to stabilize. However, we acknowledge the potential for profit-taking as short-term investors may look to capitalize on recent gains. Overall, we expect the market to close in the green zone this week,” Meristem analysts said.

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Guaranty Trust Holding Company Declares N1 Interim Dividend, Sets October 7 for Payout

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GTBank -Investors King

Guaranty Trust Holding Company Plc has announced its plan to pay a sum of N1 per share of 50 kobo as interim dividends, to all registered shareholders on October 7, 2024.

According to a recent statement issued by the company on NGX , “the dividend is subject to withholding tax deduction, and will be paid to shareholders whose names appear in the register as of September 25, 2024.”

In its recently released audited consolidated and separate financial statements for the period ended June 30, the Group reported profit before tax (PBT) of N1.004 trillion, becoming the first Nigerian financial institution to cross the N1 trillion mark in profit.

This represented a 206.6 percent increase over N327.4 billion recorded in the corresponding period that ended June 2023.

The group’s profit for the period was slated at N905.67 billion, a 222 percent increase from 280.52 recorded in the corresponding period that ended June 2023.

“On October 7, 2024, the dividend will be paid electronically to ordinary shareholders whose names appear on the Register of Members as at September 25, 2024, and who have completed the e-dividend registration and mandated the Registrar to pay their dividends directly to their bank accounts,” the statement said.

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

Nigeria’s Equities Market Gains 0.32% Boosted by Nestle, Flourmills, and FBN Holdings

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stock - Investors King

Nigeria’s equities market rose by 0.32 percent or N178billion on Thursday, thanks to Nestle, Flourmills and FBN Holdings that led the league of major advancers on the Lagos Bourse.

FBN Holdings increased from N24 to N26.40, adding N2.40 or 10percent. Caverton rose from N2.10 to N2.31, up by 21kobo or 10percent.

Flour Mills moved from N45.05 to N49.55, up by N4.50 or 9.99percent. RT Briscoe increased from N3.02 to N3.32, down by 30kobo or 9.93 percent, while Nestle rallied from N810 to N890, N80 or 9.88percent.

At the close of trading, the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) All Share Index (ASI) and equities market capitalisation increased from 96,715.04 points and N55.575 trillion respectively to 97,025.17 points and N55.753 trillion.

Access Holdings, FBN Holding, UBA, Caverton and Zenith Bank shares were most trading stocks. In 9,615 deals, investors exchanged 390,546,861 shares valued at N7.974billion.

Ahead of Thursday’s trading, analysts said broader market sentiment will remain balanced, with risk-averse investors maintaining a cautious stance ahead of any major corporate earnings announcements.

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