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Asian Stocks Follow Wall Street’s Decline, Await Powell’s Speech for Interest Rate Clues

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Asian stock markets mirrored a slump on Wall Street as traders eagerly anticipated Jerome Powell’s forthcoming speech for insights into the interest-rate outlook.

Equity markets in Japan, Australia, South Korea, and China all experienced declines, with Hong Kong-listed technology stocks notably affected, echoing the heavy sell-off in US tech shares on Thursday.

The Nasdaq 100 recorded a 2.2% drop, marking its most significant decline in three weeks while the S&P 500 also experienced a drop of over 1%, nearly erasing its weekly gains.

Futures contracts for these US benchmarks saw minimal changes during Asian trading.

In the bond market, Treasury yields, particularly the two-year yields, which are sensitive to immediate policy moves, surged above 5% on Thursday.

Meanwhile, Australian and New Zealand bond yields saw slight increases in Asian trading.

The greenback further strengthened against its G-10 peers, while the yen weakened, breaching 146 per dollar for the first time since Tuesday, following slightly lower-than-expected inflation data for Tokyo.

Even with Chinese authorities urging top financial institutions to support a struggling market, Chinese stocks experienced a slump.

Morgan Stanley, for the second time in three months, cut price targets for Chinese equity benchmarks. Meituan shares also slid after the company issued a warning about a slowdown in its core meal delivery business.

Investor attention is now focused on the annual gathering of top central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, where Powell is scheduled to deliver a speech at 10:05 a.m. Washington time on Friday.

Powell is expected to outline how officials will assess the necessity of rate hikes and when to initiate rate cuts.

Leading up to Powell’s address, Susan Collins, the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, indicated that rate increases may be necessary but refrained from signaling the peak point.

Read also: Investors Loses N150 Billion as Stock Exchange Dips by 0.42% Last Week

In contrast, Patrick Harker, the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, anticipates interest rates remaining unchanged for the rest of the year, suggesting that policymakers have likely implemented sufficient tightening measures.

In an earlier interview on Bloomberg Television, former St. Louis Fed President James Bullard suggested that a surge in economic activity this summer could postpone the Fed’s plans to conclude interest-rate increases.

A survey conducted by 22V Research reveals that 78% of investors expect Powell to prioritize data dependency in his speech, with only 21% anticipating a “risk-off” market reaction, while 43% expect a mixed or negligible response, and 37% predict a “risk-on” reaction.

Dennis DeBusschere, founder of the New York-based research firm, commented, “If Powell focuses on data dependency, that ought to help 10-year yields stabilize,” highlighting the potential to provide a “tailwind” to the growth-versus-value trade.

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

Nigerian Exchange Sees 0.05% Uptick After Bearish Streak: Investors Gain N26bn

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After enduring a prolonged period of bearish trading, the Nigerian Exchange has finally witnessed a slight uptick, bringing a glimmer of hope to investors.

The modest increase of 0.05% in the All-Share Index signals a potential reversal of the recent downward trend with investors collectively gaining N26 billion in market value.

In recent days, the local bourse has been grappling with a bearish run, characterized by sell-offs and waning investor interest. Major indexes had faltered, dipping below milestones achieved earlier in the year.

However, Thursday’s trading session brought a much-needed reprieve as the market saw a marginal increase, instilling cautious optimism among market participants.

At the close of trading on Thursday, the All-Share Index edged up by 48 basis points, settling at 98,169.30 points.

Similarly, the market capitalization appreciated by 0.05%, reaching N55.52 trillion. While the increase may seem modest, it marks a significant shift from the downward trajectory that had persisted in previous sessions.

The market movers for the day included stocks of Zenith Bank Plc, Access Holdings, and Transcorp, which contributed to the gains observed.

Transcorp Hotels, Livestock, Tantalizer Plc, Sunu Assurance, and WAPIC led the pack with notable share price increases ranging from 6.15% to 9.75%.

Despite the overall uptrend, the exchange recorded more losers than gainers, reflecting subdued trading activity. Total deals, volume, and value experienced declines, indicating lingering caution among investors.

Sectoral performance was mixed, with the banking and consumer goods indexes witnessing declines, while the insurance index posted gains.

The announcement of corporate earnings and the proposed banking sector recapitalization exercise failed to significantly reignite interest in the market.

While these developments may have influenced investor sentiment to some extent, broader economic factors and global market conditions continue to shape investor behavior.

Zenith Bank emerged as the most traded security by volume and value, further underlining its significance in the market.

With 48.49 million units valued at N1.77 billion exchanged in 577 deals, Zenith Bank remains a key player in driving trading activity on the exchange.

As the market navigates through uncertainties and volatility, investors remain cautiously optimistic about future prospects.

While the recent uptick offers a glimmer of hope, market participants are keenly observing developments and adjusting their strategies accordingly, cognizant of the dynamic nature of the financial markets.

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

Nigerian Exchange Continues Bearish Trend, Investors Lose N673bn

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The Nigerian exchange closed another day in the red as market capitalisation dipped by N673 billion on Wednesday.

The persistent downward trend has left stakeholders grappling with uncertainty and heightened volatility in the financial markets.

During midweek trading, the All-Share Index (ASI) endured a decline of 1.20% or 1,190.24 index points to settle at 98,121.30 index points.

Similarly, the market capitalization of listed equities plummeted by 1.20% to N55.494 trillion, this downturn further reduced the year-to-date return to 31.22%.

The Nigerian exchange has been mired in a bearish sentiment for weeks, marked by successive declines attributed to sell-offs driven by prevailing market dynamics and shifts in fundamentals.

Factors such as a high-interest rate environment and improved yields in alternative investment avenues have contributed to the sustained downward pressure on the exchange.

Despite the overall negative sentiment, there were more gainers than decliners, with 22 stocks recording gains compared to 19 stocks in the red. This shift in market dynamics was reflected in trading activity levels, with total deals and value experiencing gains of 7.96% and 22.10%, respectively.

However, traded volume witnessed a notable decline of 31.10% to 395.75 million units.

Sectoral performance exhibited a mixed trend, with the Banking and Insurance sectors posting losses due to sell-offs in key stocks such as FBN Holdings, United Bank for Africa, AIICO, and others.

Conversely, the Consumer and Industrial Goods sectors recorded marginal gains driven by positive sentiment in select stocks.

Guaranty Trust Holding Company Plc emerged as the most traded security in terms of volume and value, followed closely by Zenith Bank Plc. However, key stocks such as MTN Nigeria, Transcorp Hotels, Oando Plc, and FBNH experienced significant declines, contributing to the overall market downturn.

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

Nigerian Stocks Open Week with 0.17% Gain, Banking Sector Leads Market Rally

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King

Nigerian stocks commenced the week on a positive note as the Exchange gained 0.17% in Monday’s trading session, with the banking sector spearheading the market rally.

The positive close pushed this year’s return to date to 33.34%, one of the highest in the world at the moment.

Analysts attributed the market’s positive momentum to increased investor interest in banking, insurance and industrial goods stocks.

This surge in buying activity follows recent widespread selloffs in the banking sector, presenting attractive opportunities for bargain hunters.

According to Vetiva Research analysts, the banking space witnessed significant bargain-hunting activity, indicating renewed confidence in the sector after previous weeks of sell-offs.

This sentiment propelled the overall market performance, with expectations of mixed trading sessions in the coming days as first-quarter earnings reports start to trickle in.

The Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) All-Share Index (ASI) and Market Capitalization reflected the market’s upward trajectory, appreciating from 99,539.75 points and N56.296 trillion respectively to 99,665.05 points and N56.367 trillion.

In total, investors exchanged 306,620,144 shares worth N5.300 billion in 8,298 deals.

Despite the positive market sentiment, analysts from Lagos-based United Capital Research cautioned that activities in the fixed income market could continue to deter equities investments.

However, they highlighted the potential for bargain-hunting activities, particularly in the banking sector, amidst the recent bearish trend.

Overall, the Nigerian equities market’s resilient performance underscores investor confidence and optimism, driven by strategic sectoral investments and expectations of improved corporate earnings.

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