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Oil Prices Dip to Lowest Level Since Late March on Recession Fears and Rising Gasoline Inventories

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Oil prices took a sharp dive on Thursday, dropping by about $2 per barrel to their lowest level since late March.

Investors King analysis showed that the decline in oil prices was driven by growing fears that a possible recession could affect fuel demand, as well as a rise in gasoline inventories.

Brent crude oil, the international benchmark for Nigerian oil, fell by $1.98, or 2.4% to trade at $81.14 a barrel at 6:00 om while West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) futures dropped $2.05, or 2.6%, to $77.11 a barrel.

The fall in oil prices is also being linked to disappointing results from companies such as Tesla, which has impacted equities markets that often move in tandem with oil prices.

According to Bob Yawger, Executive Director of Energy Futures at Mizuho, “At the end of the day, one of the big reasons why we’re sliding is fear of recession.”

The increase in gasoline inventories is another factor contributing to the drop in oil prices. U.S. crude stockpiles fell by 4.6 million barrels, while gasoline inventories jumped unexpectedly, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Implied gasoline demand also fell 3.9% from year-ago levels to 8.5 million barrels a day.

However, there are some positive signs for the oil industry. Economists polled by Reuters expect the U.S. Federal Reserve to end its tightening with a final 25 basis point rate rise in May, easing concerns about a recession in the world’s largest oil-consuming nation.

Meanwhile, persistent double-digit inflation in Britain has bolstered expectations of a further Bank of England rate hike.

While Pakistan has placed its first order for discounted Russian crude under a new deal, which could cover 100,000 barrels per day, according to the country’s petroleum minister.

Oil loading from Russia’s western ports in April is also expected to rise to the highest since 2019, according to trading and shipping sources.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Crude Oil

Global Oil Prices Surge as US Lawmakers Suspend Debt Ceiling

Global oil prices appreciated on Friday after the United States lawmakers voted to have the country’s debt ceiling suspended for the next two years.

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Global oil prices appreciated on Friday after the United States lawmakers voted to have the country’s debt ceiling suspended for the next two years. On the final vote, 149 Republicans and 165 Democrats backed the measure, while 71 Republicans and 46 Democrats opposed it.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, rose by 77 cents, or 1% to $75.05 a barrel by 9 am while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) was up 69 cents, or 1%, at $70.79.

Markets were reassured by a bipartisan deal to suspend the limit on the U.S. government’s $31.4 billion debt ceiling, which staved off a sovereign default that would have rocked global financial markets.

Earlier signals of a potential pause in rate hikes by the Federal Reserve also provided support to oil prices, not least by weighing on the U.S. dollar , making oil cheaper for holders of other currencies.

Investor attention is now fixed on the June 4 meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies including Russia, collectively called OPEC+.

OPEC+ in April announced a surprise cut of 1.16 million barrels per day in April, but the gains from that move have since been retraced and prices are below pre-cut levels.

But signals on any fresh cut have been varied, with Reuters reporting and bank analysts indicating that further output cuts are unlikely.

On the demand side, the U.S. Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said its manufacturing PMI fell to 46.9 last month, the seventh-straight month that the PMI stayed below 50, indicating a contraction in activity.

Manufacturing data out of China painted a mixed picture. Thursday’s better-than-expected Caixin/S&P Global China manufacturing PMI contrasted with the previous day’s official government data that reported factory activity in May had contracted to the lowest level in five months.

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Weak Chinese Data Weighs on Oil Prices Today

Oil prices declined by 2% on Wednesday as weak Chinese data and a stronger United States dollar dragged on commodity prices.

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Oil prices declined by 2% on Wednesday as weak Chinese data and a stronger United States dollar dragged on commodity prices.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, dipped by $1.75, or 2.37%, to $71.96 a barrel at 3:46 pm while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) shed $1.90, or 2.74%, to $67.56.

The decline in prices was caused by weak Chinese manufacturing activity. The data released by the Chinese government showed that activity in the sector contracted faster than expected in May with the official manufacturing purchasing managers’ index declining from 49.2 posted in April to 48.8 in May, below the 49.4 predicted by economists.

Also, the strong U.S. dollar is another factor impacting the purchase of crude oil as buyers holding foreign currencies found it too expensive.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback against six major peers, saw support from cooling European inflation and progress on the U.S. debt ceiling standoff, which will advance to the House of Representatives for debate on Wednesday.

Market players are preparing for the upcoming June 4 meeting of OPEC+ – the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies including Russia.

Mixed signals by major OPEC+ producers on whether or not the group will decide to further cut oil production have sparked recent volatility in oil prices.

Despite the latest pullback in prices, HSBC and analysts do not expect OPEC+ to announce further cuts in the upcoming meeting.

HSBC said on Wednesday that stronger oil demand from China and the West from the summer onwards will bring about a supply deficit in the second half of the year.

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NNPCL Confirms Pump Price Upward Review, See New Price List

The Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation Limited (NNPCL) on Wednesday confirmed it has indeed increased the price of petrol across the country.

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The Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation Limited (NNPCL) on Wednesday confirmed it has indeed increased the price of petrol across the country.

This was made known in a statement signed by Garba Deen Muhammad, the Chief Corporate Communications Officer of NNPC Ltd, and made available to the public.

The statement reads “NNPC Limited wishes to inform our esteemed customers that we have adjusted our pump prices of PMS across our retail outlets, in line with current market realities.

“As we strive to provide you with the quality service for which we are known, it is pertinent to note that prices will continue to fluctuate to reflect market dynamics.

“We assure you that NNPC Limited is committed to ensuring a ceaseless supply of products.

“The company sincerely regrets any inconvenience this development may have caused. We greatly appreciate your continued patronage, support, and understanding during this time of change and growth.”

Price of petrol jumped up across the country immediately after President Bola Ahmed Tinubu declared that the fuel subsidy is gone on Monday during his inauguration.

Checks by Investors King show that in some parts of the country, prices rose as high as 500% before NNPCL reportedly released the widely circulated list below to curtail marketers’ excesses.

Price was cheapest in Lagos at N488 a litre because of its close proximity to the port while it was highest in the northern states with Maiduguri and Damaturu recording the highest at N557 a litre. See the list below

NNPCL outlets across the country have been directed to implement the new price, starting from May 31, 2023.

“DEAR ALL. Following Management approval of the Upward review of NNPC PMS pump price as in below table for Mega/Standard/Leased Stations, Please find below schedules for the RMSs and Wayne to handle. Please implement meter change as approved effective today 31st May 2023. Wayne is to attend to all locations as relates to their area of coverage in our network,” a statement read.

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