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NMDPRA Refutes Bank of America’s Naira Projection, Says Naira to Appreciate

NMDPRA has said the Naira would appreciate against its global counterparts in 2023

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Aliko Dangote - Investors King

Following the Bank of America projection that the Nigerian Naira would decline by 20% in the next six to nine months, Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) has said the Naira would appreciate against its global counterparts in 2023.

Explaining the modalities for its position, NMDPRA said most of the challenges impacting the value of the Nigerian Naira are basically demand and supply-related issues. This, the agency explained would be addressed by the completion of Dangote Refinery.

Located in the Lagos Free Trade Zone (LFZ), Dangote Refinery is expected to meet Nigeria’s domestic demand for fuel and also leave enough for exportation.

“The refinery, with 650,000 barrels per-day installed capacity is expected to double the total output of Nigeria’s existing ailing refining infrastructure and meet 100 per cent of the Nigerian requirement of all refined products will pump out fuel any moment soon,” the agency declared.

With Nigeria presently spending about $50 billion on refined petroleum products importation per annum and Dangote Refinery expected to commence operations next year, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) would be able to boost dollar supply substantially and meet demand in 2023.

Investors King had earlier reported that the Bank of America sees an additional 20 percent decline in naira value in 2023. The global lender noted that the dollar will be exchanged for N520/$ within the next six to nine months.

However, NMDPRA argued that Dangote refinery capacity would be enough to ease dollar demand pressure on CBN and increase the apex bank fiscal space.

“Dangote Oil Refinery is a 650,000 barrels per day integrated refinery project under construction in the Lekki Free Trade Zone, Lagos. It is expected to be Africa’s biggest oil refinery and the world’s biggest single-train facility,” the NMDPRA said during the visit,” it said.

Mr. Devakumar Edwin, Group executive director, Strategy, Portfolio Development & Capital Projects, Dangote Industries Limited, on his part said the refinery would deepen Nigeria’s economic productivity and enhance CBN forex intervention.

He said “it can meet 100 per cent of the Nigerian requirement of all liquid products (Gasoline, Diesel, Kerosene and Aviation jet), and also have surplus of each of these products for export.

“The high volume of petrol output from the refinery would transform Nigeria from a petrol import-dependent country to an exporter of refined petroleum products,” he stated adding that the refinery would produce Euro-V quality gasoline, diesel, jet-fuel, kerosene and poly-propylene for local consumption and also have surplus of each of the products for export,” he stressed.

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Naira

Naira Weakens to N1,706 Per Dollar in Black Market, Sells N1,654 Officially

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Naira Exchange Rates - Investors King

The Naira weakened to N1,700 against the United States Dollar on the black market on Wednesday and extended this outcome further in the official foreign exchange (FX) market.

In the black market, the Naira lost N12.63 or 0.75 percent against the greenback to close at N1,706.43 to the US Dollar compared to N1,693.80/$1 it closed on Tuesday.

The Naira also fell by 0.06 percent on the US Dollar at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM) extending the weakening of the local currency which started earlier in the week

The local currency exchanged for the US Dollar at N1,654.09/$1, sliding by N1.07 versus N1,653.02/$1 that it closed at the previous session on Tuesday.

The FX market has been volatile as recent efforts to bring some stability to the market through a series of auctions held by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) for official dealers and Bureau de Change (BDCs) have not been able to tackle high seasonal demand.

With the year entering into the last two months, high demand has returned to the market and all eyes will be on what the CBN will do in that regard.

Data showed that there was a decrease in daily supply as the midweek turnover published on the FMDQ Group website stood at $136.68 million indicating that the session’s turnover made a 22.4 percent slide, indicating that there was a drop of $39.47 million compared to $176.15 million that was published in the last trading session.

The Naira also witnessed drops against the Pound Sterling and the Euro. It declined N9.86 on the British currency to wrap the session at N2,147.22/£1 from N2,137.36/£1 that it sold at the previous session.

In the same trend, against the Euro, the Nigerian currency dropped N9.67 and closed at N1,789.93/€1 versus N1,780.26/€1.

The Naira also dropped in its value against the British currency in the black market as it fell by N8.86 to sell at N2,212.37/£1 compared with the preceding session’s N2,203.51/£1 and followed the same pattern against the Euro as it depreciated N5.71 to quote at N1,844.79/€1 versus the previous day’s rate of N1,839.08/€1.

Meanwhile, the local currency further depreciated N3.54 to close at N1,233.01 per Canadian Dollar, compared to Monday’s N1,226.55 per CAD.

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Naira

Naira Strengthens in Parallel Market Amid Official FX Depreciation

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New Naira Notes

The Naira closed strong in the parallel market but weakened further in the official foreign exchange (FX) market as seasonal demand continued to affect the currency despite the fresh sale of FX by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

In the parallel market, the Naira gained N5.17 against the greenback to close at N1,693.80 to the US Dollar compared to N1,698.97/$1 it closed on Monday.

However, the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX), which serves as the official foreign exchange market, showed the Naira recorded a 3.1 percent depreciation against the US Dollar to N1,653.02.

At the previous session on Monday, the Naira closed lower at N1,603.16/$1, indicating a further decrease of N49.86 at the approved market.

A turnover of $176.15 million was on record at the market, according to data from the FMDQ Securities Exchange Limited. This indicated a $183.07 million or 50.9 percent decline versus the $359.22 million quoted recently.

The Naira also gained in its value against the British Pound Sterling in the official market by N9.73 to sell at N2,203.51/£1 compared with the preceding session’s N2,213.24/£1 and followed the same pattern against the Euro as it appreciated N6.21 to quote at N1,839.08/€1 versus the previous day’s rate of N1,845.29/€1.

Meanwhile, the local currency depreciated 74 Kobo to close at N1,226.56 per Canadian Dollar, compared to Monday’s N1,225.82 per CAD.

At the official market, the Naira witnessed gains against the British Currency and the Euro in the Tuesday session.

On the Pound Sterling, the local currency made a gain of N16.54 to wrap the session at N2,137.36/£1 from N2,153.90/£1 that it sold at the previous session and against the Euro, the Nigerian currency closed at N1,780.26/€1 versus N1,791.06/€1, indicating an N10.80 appreciation.

The CBN has not injected fresh FX sales into the market for yet another week after it promised to always prop the market.

Speaking in the US on Tuesday at the ongoing International Monetary Fund (IMF)/World Bank summit, the Nigerian Minister of Finance, Mr Wale Edun noted that Nigeria needed to boost its oil production to fix its FX issues.

“The key about the foreign exchange market really is supply and as you know we are an oil-producing country, we just need to get our oil production up and that will deal with that issue of foreign exchange supply and pressure on foreign exchange anytime there are large flows.”

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Naira

Naira Weakens Against Dollar at Official, Parallel FX Markets

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New Naira notes

The Naira depreciated at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM) and the parallel market on Monday, signifying more worries for the local currency.

At the official market – NAFEM – the local currency sold for the US Dollar at N1,603.16/$1 as it recorded a 0.15 percent or N2.38 drop versus N1,600.78/$1 it was valued at the previous session on Friday.

This occurred as supply rose at the opening session as turnover published on the FMDQ Group website stood at $359.22 million indicating that the session’s turnover went higher by 2.4 percent or $8.50 million compared to $350.72 million that was published the day before.

At the unofficial market, the domestic currency closed at N1,698.97 to the US Dollar, a drop of N8.15 compared to N1,690.82/$1 it closed during the Friday trading session.

The weakening of the Naira is happening as the nation’s external reserves continue to swell due to lower US Dollar volume sales to boost liquidity in the official FX market.

Latest data showed the balance in Nigeria’s foreign reserves inched to about $39 billion as CBN data revealed that Nigeria now has $38.992 billion as gross balance in the nation’s external reserves.

The CBN has not made do with its promise to prop up the market as it appears to have halted its weekly FX sales

In a different trend, the domestic currency witnessed a flat outcome against the British currency and the Euro in the week’s opening session.

On the Pound Sterling, the local currency closed at N2,153.90/£1 and N1,800.79/€1 on the Euro.

In the parallel market, the local currency depreciated in its value against the British Pound Sterling by N11.69 to sell at N2,213.25/£1 compared with the preceding session’s N2,201.56/£1 and followed the same pattern against the Euro as it lost N10 to quote at N1,845.29/€1 versus the previous day’s rate of N1,835.29/€1.

The local currency also depreciated further by N8.64 to close at N1,225.82 per Canadian Dollar, compared to Friday’s N1,217.18 per CAD.

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