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Bank of America Sees Additional 20% Decline in Naira Value in 2023

Bank of America (BoA) on Tuesday predicted an additional 20% decline in the value of the Nigerian Naira against its global counterparts in 2023.

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ATM Withdrawal - Investors king

One of the world’s leading financial institutions, Bank of America (BoA) on Tuesday predicted an additional 20% decline in the value of the Nigerian Naira against its global counterparts in 2023.

This, the bank attributed the operation of the parallel market. According to Tatonga Rusike, an economist with the Bank of America, the wide exchange rate of the parallel market (black market) would pressure the central bank to adjust its exchange rate to N520 against the United State Dollar, up from the current rate of N436.98.

He said the three indicators which include the widely-used black-market rate, the central bank’s real effective exchange rate, and “our own currency fair value analysis” shows that the naira will weaken further against the dollar in 2023.

“We see scope for it to weaken by an equivalent amount over the next six-nine months, taking it to as high as N520/$,” Rusike stated in a note to clients.

Rusika also noted that Nigeria’s naira will come under increasing pressure “due to limited government external borrowing”. This will drastically reduce the inflow of foreign currency into Nigeria. 

Nigeria’s external debt rose to $40.1 billion in August 2022, a level predicted to limit the country’s ability to source for new external borrowings. 

Additionally, Nigeria has the obligation to serve its debt which will require more demand for the American dollar. For instance, between January and March 2022, Nigeria spent $694.01 million on debt servicing. 

Besides, analysts have expressed concerns about the impact of the 2023 elections on the value of the Naira against the U.S. Dollar. Nigerian politicians have a culture of spending in foreign currency during the election season which often raises the need for dollars. 

For instance, during the primary elections conducted at the end of May and early June, the demand for the dollar at both official and black markets rose to a new height as politicians mopped up the greenback for electioneering campaigns.

Investors King had earlier reported that political parties in Nigeria are expected to spend billions in the next year’s elections as INEC officially lifts the ban on political activities. 

Ayokunle Olubunmi, Head of Financial Institutions Ratings at Agusto & Co also buttressed the same sentiment. 

He said “what we are seeing is not different; it is something we see every election cycle. Election period often witnessed a high demand for foreign exchange because of the ease in moving election fund”.

Similarly, the Managing Director of Morgan Capital Securities Limited, Rotimi Olubi stated that 2023 general elections will cause Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) to remain on the sidelines.

Due to the uncertainty associated with elections, especially in the African continent, investors often reduce or halt their investment to be on the safer side until after the election. 

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Naira

CBN Will Redesign Naira Notes Every Five to Eight Years; Say Emefiele

The central bank will henceforth redesign the nation’s legal tender every five to eight years

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New Naira Notes

Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Godwin Emefiele has said the bank will henceforth redesign the nation’s legal tender every five to eight years.

The apex bank governor revealed at the unveiling of the new naira notes on Tuesday. 

Godwin Emefiele explained that the naira redesign is in line with global best practice noting that the naira needed to be redesigned and re-issued every five to eight years.

According to the CBN governor, previous administrations lacked the political will to approve the redesign of the naira notes. Stating that it is regrettable that the naira has not been redesigned for the past 19 years. 

“In the past, I have to confess that attempts by the CBN to redesign and re-issue the naira notes have been resisted. It is only President Muhammadu Buhari that has exhibited the courage to do so,” the CBN governor stated. 

Emefiele added that going forward, naira notes will be redesigned at intervals to address some peculiar issues. 

 “After today, the CBN will begin to redesign and reissue the naira every five to eight years,” he said. 

Investors King had earlier reported that President Muhammadu Buhari unveiled the redesigned naira notes at the Federal Executive Council (FEC) meeting today. 

Among those who joined the president with the unveiling include the CBN governor and the EFCC chairman.

Recall, in October, the CBN announced it will redesign the N200, N500 and N1,000 notes in line with its mandate.

Meanwhile, the CBN governor has disclosed that the new naira notes can not be counterfeited because of the features embedded in them. 

Similarly, he added that security agencies would be monitoring people making withdrawals at the counter to sniff out money laundering and unravel illegal usage. 

“The CBN has moved to a cashless economy. We will restrain the volume of cash someone will withdraw over the counter. We will follow up with the person’s data to know the reason for such withdrawal,” he concluded.

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President Buhari Unveils New Redesigned Naira Notes, See Pictures

Buhari launched the new naira notes as the CBN forges ahead with redesign plans.

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New Naira Notes

President Muhammadu Buhari on Wednesday unveiled the new redesigned Naira notes at the State House in Abuja following a series of sensitisation to ensure that Nigerians are aware of the deadline for the old notes.

New Naira Notes

Godwin Emefiele, the governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, who was also present at the launching explained that the redesigned notes would help curb counterfeit, reduce hoarding and support the apex bank’s cashless policy.

Earlier in October, the central bank announced it was redesigning the N200, N500 and N1,000 notes in line with its mandate. The apex bank further stated that the newly redesigned notes would be available on December 15, 2022.

However, Emefiele later announced the central bank won’t wait until December 15th before unveiling the new notes on November 2023.

He said, “100 days is enough for any person from any part of Nigeria to deposit his money in the bank and get his money when the new notes are released.

“For information, indeed, we are no longer waiting till December 15th to unveil and begin to release the new notes.

“By the special grace of God, tomorrow, which is the 23rd of November 2022, the President has graciously accepted to unveil the new currencies and the new currencies will be unveiled tomorrow at the Federal Executive Chamber by 10am.”

New Naira notes

Meanwhile, the central bank-led monetary policy committee raised interest rates by another 100 basis points from 15.5% to 16.5%. Bringing the total increase in 2022 to 500 basis points despite the challenges Nigerians are facing amid weak job creation and poor earnings.

The committee claimed the decision was based on the rising inflation rate that rose to 21.09% in October. However, given Nigeria’s economic structure and current situation, the persistent increase was mainly to lure foreign investors to invest in the economy against the developed economies that are equally raising rates to curb escalating inflation.

 

New Naira notes

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President Buhari to Launch New Naira Notes Today

CBN says Buhari is expected to introduce redesigned naira notes to the public today at the Federal Executive Council (FEC) meeting in Abuja.

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Nigerian President, Muhammadu Buhari is expected to launch the redesigned naira notes today at the Federal Executive Council (FEC) meeting in Abuja.

The launch will precede the circulation of the affected currency which is billed for December 15, 2022. The FEC meeting is a weekly (Wednesday) meeting of the executive arm of government often presided over by the President or the Vice President.

The Central Bank Governor, Godwin Emefiele disclosed on the sidelines of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting held in Abuja on Tuesday, that the new naira notes will be displayed for public view on Wednesday. 

Therefore, the governor added that the CBN will not shift its deadline for all old notes to be returned to commercial banks in exchange for newly designed ones.

Investors King recalls that in October 2022, the central bank announced it will issue redesigned N200, N500, and N1,000 notes, effective December 15, 2022, while the new and existing currencies will remain legal tender and circulate together until January 31, 2023.

However, in a sudden change of schedule, the CBN governor noted that the unveiling will be done by the president today stating that the bank will no longer wait till December 15th to unveil and begin to release the new notes.

” By the special grace of God, tomorrow, (today) which is the 23rd of November 2022, the President has graciously accepted to unveil the new currencies and the new currencies will be unveiled tomorrow at the Federal Executive Chamber by 10am.” Emefiele started.

Meanwhile, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) which is the highest decision-making body for any issues related to Nigerian monetary policy has hiked the interest rates from 15.5 percent to 16.5 percent. 

According to CBN, the hike in interest rate is to curtain inflation and maintain economic stability. 

Speaking at the end of a two-day Monetary Policy Committee meeting yesterday, the CBN governor noted that the MPC voted to retain the cash reserve ratio at 32.5 percent and the liquidity ratio at 30 percent.

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