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Sub-Saharan Africa Mergers and Acquisition Transactions Totalled US$39.6 Billion in the First Nine Months of 2022

An estimated US$327.5 million worth of investment banking fees were generated in Sub-Saharan Africa during the first nine months of 2022

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Refinitiv, a London Stock Exchange Group business, today released the investment banking analysis for the Sub-Saharan African for the third quarter of 2022. 

Investment Banking Fees

An estimated US$327.5 million worth of investment banking fees were generated in Sub Saharan Africa during the first nine months of 2022, 21% less than the same period in 2021 and the lowest first nine-month total in the region since 2013.  Fees totalled US$112.9 million during the third quarter of 2022, an increase of 46% from the previous quarter.

Advisory fees earned from completed M&A transactions in the region reached US120.8 million, a 64% increase from the first nine months of last year and a three-year high.  Equity capital markets underwriting fees declined 39% to US$30.8 million, the lowest first nine-month total since 2003, while debt capital markets fees declined 50% to US$59.3 million.  Syndicated lending fees declined 33% to US$116.6 million, the lowest first nine-month total since 2014.

Seventy-two percent of all Sub-Saharan African fees were generated in South Africa during the first nine months of 2022, followed by Mauritius (10%) and Nigeria (5%). Citi earned the most investment banking fees in the region during the first nine months of 2022, a total of US$26.7 million or an 8% share of the total fee pool.

Mergers & Acquisitions

The value of announced M&A transactions with any Sub-Saharan African involvement reached US$39.6 billion during the first nine months of 2022, 50% less than the value recorded during the same period in 2021.  Despite the decline in value, the number of deal announcements in the region increased 6% from last year to the highest first nine-month total since 2017.

Deals involving a Sub-Saharan African target totalled US$24.4 billion during the first nine months of 2022, down 61% from the same period last year but higher than the level recorded during each of the previous seven years.  Domestic deals declined 82% from last year’s record high value to US$9.3 billion, while inbound deals increased 47% to US$15.1 billion as the number of transactions increased 11% to an all-time high of 243. Sub-Saharan African outbound M&A totalled US$11.1 billion, down 1% from last year but the second highest first nine-month total since our records began in 1980.

The Energy & Power sector was most active, with deals targeting energy & power companies accounting for 39% of Sub-Saharan African target M&A during the first nine months of 2022, followed by Healthcare with 20%. South Africa was the most targeted nation, followed by Angola and Nigeria. Scotiabank topped the any Sub-Saharan African involvement announced M&A financial advisor league table during the first nine months of 2022.

Equity Capital Markets

Sub-Saharan African equity and equity-related issuance totalled US$993.2 million during the first nine months of 2022, the lowest first nine-month total since 2003.  Proceeds raised by companies in the region declined 15% compared to the first nine months of 2021, while the number of issues fell 18%.

All proceeds were raised by follow-on issuance with Pepkor Holdings, MTN Nigeria Communications and South African coal exporter ThungelaResources among those in the region raising new equity funds from follow-ons.  No convertible or initial public offerings were recorded in Sub-Saharan Africa during the first nine months of 2022.

Issuers in South Africa raised more in the equity capital markets than any other Sub-Saharan African nation during the first nine months of 2022, a total of US$716.1 million, while Nigerian issuers raised a combined US$277.1 million. Citi took first place in the Sub-Saharan African ECM underwriting league table during the first nine months of 2022 with a 37% market share.

Debt Capital Markets

Sub-Saharan African debt issuance totalled US$21.6 billion during the first nine months of 2022, down 43% from the value recorded during the same period in 2021.  The number of issues declined 40% from last year at this time. US$4.2 billion was raised during the third quarter of 2022, down 35% from the previous quarter and the lowest quarterly total in two years.

South Africa was the most active issuer nation during the first nine months of 2022, accounting for 47% of total bond proceeds, followed by Ivory Coast (27%) and Nigeria (10%). Government & agency issuers account for 62% of proceeds raised during the first nine months of 2022, while issuers in the technology sector account for 24%. Citi took the top spot in the Sub-Saharan African bond bookrunner ranking during the first nine months of 2022, with US$3.1 billion of related proceeds, or a 14% market share.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Finance

Presidential Committee to Exempt 95% of Informal Sector from Taxes

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The Presidential Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Committee (PFPTRC) has unveiled plans to exempt a significant portion of the informal sector from taxation.

Chaired by Taiwo Oyedele, the committee aims to alleviate the burden of multiple taxation on small businesses and low-income individuals while fostering economic growth.

The announcement came following the close-out retreat of the PFPTRC in Abuja, where Oyedele addressed reporters over the weekend.

He said the committee is committed to easing the tax burden, particularly for those operating within the informal sector that constitutes a substantial portion of Nigeria’s economy.

Under the proposed reforms, approximately 95% of the informal sector would be granted tax exemptions, sparing them from obligations such as income tax and value-added tax (VAT).

Oyedele stressed the importance of supporting individuals in the informal sector and recognizing their efforts to earn a legitimate living and their contribution to economic development.

The decision was informed by extensive deliberations and data analysis with the committee advocating for a fairer and more equitable tax system.

Oyedele highlighted that individuals earning up to N25 million annually would be exempted from various taxes, aligning with the committee’s commitment to relieving financial pressure on small businesses and low-income earners.

Moreover, the committee emphasized the need for tax reforms to address the prevailing issue of multiple taxation, which disproportionately affects small businesses and the vulnerable population.

By exempting the majority of the informal sector from taxation, the committee aims to stimulate economic growth and promote entrepreneurship.

The proposal for tax reforms is expected to be submitted to the National Assembly by the third quarter of this year, following consultations with the private sector and internal approvals.

The reforms encompass a broad range of measures, including executive orders, regulations, and constitutional amendments, aimed at creating a more conducive environment for business and investment.

In addition to tax exemptions, the committee plans to introduce executive orders and regulations to streamline tax processes and enhance compliance. This includes a new withholding tax regulation exempting small businesses from certain tax obligations, pending ministerial approval.

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Banking Sector

CBN Governor Vows to Tackle High Inflation, Signals Prolonged High Interest Rates

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Central Bank of Nigeria - Investors King

The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Dr. Olayemi Cardoso, has pledged to employ decisive measures, including maintaining high interest rates for as long as necessary.

This announcement comes amidst growing concerns over the country’s soaring inflation rates, which have posed significant economic challenges in recent times.

Speaking in an interview with the Financial Times, Cardoso emphasized the unwavering commitment of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to take whatever steps are essential to rein in inflation.

He underscored the urgency of the situation, stating that there is “every indication” that the MPC is prepared to implement stringent measures to curb the upward trajectory of inflation.

“They will continue to do what has to be done to ensure that inflation comes down,” Cardoso affirmed, highlighting the determination of the CBN to confront the inflationary pressures gripping the economy.

The CBN’s proactive stance on inflation was evident from the outset of the year, with the MPC taking bold steps to tighten monetary policy.

The committee notably raised the benchmark lending rate by 400 basis points during its February meeting, further increasing it to 24.75% in March.

Looking ahead, the next MPC meeting, scheduled for May 20-21, will likely serve as a platform for further deliberations on monetary policy adjustments in response to evolving economic conditions.

Financial analysts have projected continued tightening measures by the MPC in light of stubbornly high inflation rates. Meristem Securities, for instance, anticipates a further uptick in headline inflation for April, underscoring the persistent inflationary pressures facing the economy.

Despite the necessity of maintaining high interest rates to address inflationary concerns, Cardoso acknowledged the potential drawbacks of such measures.

He expressed hope that the prolonged high rates would not dampen investment and production activities in the economy, recognizing the need for a delicate balance in monetary policy decisions.

“Hiking interest rates obviously has had a dampening effect on the foreign exchange market, so that has begun to moderate,” Cardoso remarked, highlighting the multifaceted impacts of monetary policy adjustments.

Addressing recent fluctuations in the value of the naira, Cardoso reassured investors of the central bank’s commitment to market stability.

He emphasized the importance of returning to orthodox monetary policies, signaling a departure from previous unconventional approaches to monetary management.

As the CBN governor charts a course towards stabilizing the economy and combating inflation, his steadfast resolve underscores the gravity of the challenges facing Nigeria’s monetary authorities.

In the face of daunting inflationary pressures, the commitment to decisive action offers a glimmer of hope for achieving stability and sustainable economic growth in the country.

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Banking Sector

NDIC Managing Director Reveals: Only 25% of Customers’ Deposits Insured

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Retail banking

The Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC), Bello Hassan, has revealed that a mere 25% of customers’ deposits are insured by the corporation.

This revelation has sparked concerns about the vulnerability of depositors’ funds and raised questions about the adequacy of regulatory safeguards in Nigeria’s banking sector.

Speaking on the sidelines of the 2024 Sensitisation Seminar for justices of the court of appeal in Lagos, themed ‘Building Strong Depositors Confidence in Banks and Other Financial Institutions through Adjudication,’ Hassan shed light on the limited coverage of deposit insurance for bank customers.

Hassan addressed recent concerns surrounding the hike in deposit insurance coverage and emphasized the need for periodic reviews to ensure adequacy and credibility.

He explained that the decision to increase deposit insurance limits was based on various factors, including the average deposit size, inflation impact, GDP per capita, and exchange rate fluctuations.

Despite the coverage extending to approximately 98% of depositors, Hassan underscored the critical gap between the number of depositors covered and the value of deposits insured.

He stressed that while nearly all depositors are accounted for, only a quarter of the total value of deposits is protected, leaving a significant portion of funds vulnerable to risk.

“The coverage is just 25% of the total value of the deposits,” Hassan affirmed, highlighting the disparity between the number of depositors covered and the actual value of deposits within the banking system.

Moreover, Hassan addressed concerns about moral hazard, emphasizing that the presence of uninsured deposits would incentivize banks to exercise market discipline and mitigate risks associated with reckless behavior.

“The quantum of deposits not covered will enable banks to exercise market discipline and eliminate the issue of moral hazards,” Hassan stated, suggesting that the lack of full coverage serves as a safeguard against irresponsible banking practices.

However, Hassan’s revelations have prompted calls for greater regulatory oversight and transparency within Nigeria’s financial institutions. Critics argue that the current level of deposit insurance falls short of providing adequate protection for depositors, especially in the event of bank failures or financial crises.

The disclosure comes amid ongoing efforts by regulatory authorities to bolster depositor confidence and strengthen the resilience of the banking sector. With concerns mounting over the stability of Nigeria’s financial system, stakeholders are urging for proactive measures to address vulnerabilities and enhance consumer protection.

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