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Cautious Post-Jobs Report

A relatively slow start to the week as investors continue to digest Friday’s jobs report and what it means for financial markets just as some optimism was returning.

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By Craig Erlam, Senior Market Analyst, UK & EMEA, OANDA

A relatively slow start to the week as investors continue to digest Friday’s jobs report and what it means for financial markets just as some optimism was returning.

The report itself was strong almost across the board, with participation being the only outlier, but Fed officials will not have been quite so enthused which makes it a tough one for investors to get too excited about.

On the one hand, it strengthens the argument that the economy is not really experiencing a recession as the labour market is simply too strong. On the other, it’s also extremely tight and wages are continuing to rise at a fast rate which will make the task of fighting inflation that much harder.

With another 75 basis point rate hike next month now the favoured outcome, although a lot can change in that time, it could be a nervy couple of days for investors ahead of Wednesday’s inflation report. It turns out the shift to data-dependency isn’t all it was cracked up to be.

Another record Chinese trade surplus but also more lockdowns

It’s a relatively quiet day, and the economic calendar continues to look very thin. How traders continue to respond to Friday’s report will be key in how we start the week. Asia is off to a mildly positive start but it’s nothing to write home about.

Cities on the Chinese resort island of Hainan have been placed in lockdown following another Covid outbreak, reminding investors once more of the country’s commitment to its zero-Covid policy at all costs. At the same time, Hong Kong has sought to appease residents and the business community by cutting quarantine periods from seven days to three. While still very restrictive compared to much of the world at this point, it was a bolder move than anticipated and highlighted the pressure to return to normal life.

Chinese trade data highlighted the struggles of the domestic economy, with imports rising 2.3% annually last month while exports remained surprisingly strong up 18%, delivering another record trade surplus. The numbers aren’t expected to remain quite so favourable in the months ahead as reopening momentum fades, leaving the import numbers a concern.

Iran talks resume as oil makes small gains

Oil prices are a little higher today, recovering from the lows on Friday. The jobs report highlighted how strong the economy remains although traders are now increasingly nervous about more aggressive tightening sending the economy into a deeper recession further down the road. It really is a lose-lose.

The resumption of Iran nuclear talks today is one potential downside risk for the oil price, given the ability of the country to quickly ramp up production if a deal is struck. Not to mention its reportedly large oil and gas reserves. A deal could apparently be struck within days although we have heard that a lot at times this year.

Gold nervously eyeing inflation data

Gold is flat today after Friday’s jobs report took the wind out of its sails. The recovery trade was being fueled by the belief that data-dependency meant a slower pace of tightening but that’s now clearly not the case (nor was it ever, in fairness). We may see some nervy trading in the yellow metal ahead of Wednesday’s inflation report although it still seems to have an eye on $1,780-1,800 which is the next major test to the upside.

A swift recovery

Sentiment across the markets looks a little fragile this morning and yet crypto appears to have shrugged off Friday’s shock much more quickly. Up more than 3% this morning and climbing once more with its sights set on $25,000 it seems. The momentum indicators will be fascinating here as the recovery appeared to be losing steam during the last ascent in late July.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

Geregu Power Finally Lists on Nigerian Stock Market, Adds N250 Billion to NGX Liquidity

Billionaire Femi Otedola-owned energy company, Geregu Power has finally been listed on the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) today.

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Femi Otedola

Billionaire Femi Otedola-owned energy company, Geregu Power has finally been listed on the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) today.

The company listed 2.5bn shares at N100 a unit on the Main Board of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) on Wednesday, October 5, 2022.  Geregu is the first GenCo to be listed on the NGX Main Board, a segment for well-established companies with demonstrable records of accomplishments.

Investors King reported on Monday that the company planned to list on the stock exchange today.

Geregu entered the Exchange with a market capitalisation of N250 billion and with an international securities identification number (ISIN) – NGGEREGU0000.  

Geregu Power, a leading power generation company (GenCo) in Nigeria, was listed under the utilities sector and Electric Power Generation sub-sector of NGX, with the trading symbol, GEREGU.

The listing has now added N250 billion to the liquidity of the Nigerian Exchange Limited and provides more opportunities for wealth creation.

Commenting on the listing, the Chairman, Board of Directors, Mr. Femi Otedola, CON, said “the listing of the company was the actualization of a vision to bring world-class standards in governance sustainability, and business processes to the Company and the Nigerian electricity sector.” He added that “listing on the Main Board of the Exchange will ensure that the long-term growth of the company is assured and its benefits will be passed on to our esteemed shareholders”. Nigerian Exchange Limited continues to evolve in order to remain an attractive destination for issuers, meet the needs of our valued stakeholders and achieve the highest level of competitiveness.

On his part, Chairman, NGX, Mr. Abubakar Mahmood SAN, OON, said, “We are particularly pleased that Geregu Power has joined the prestigious group of companies listed on our Main Board, which will differentiate it as a professionally run power company with high standards, having met NGX’s listing criteria.

“A Main Board listing is a sign of commitment to strong corporate governance, excellence, professionalism, efficiency in service delivery, and providing increased returns to shareholders. It is our expectation that the Geregu Power listing will encourage other power generation and distribution companies to list their shares on the Exchange, thereby opening the sector up to cheaper, long-term capital that will boost infrastructural development and value creation.”

Mr. Temi Popoola, the Chief Executive Officer, NGX, highlighted the significance of the listing to the entire nation.

He said, “Today’s listing is a promising development in the country’s power sector and we are delighted to welcome Geregu Power Plc to the Exchange. Having Geregu listed in our market is proof of NGX’s commitment to building a robust and inclusive market and creating avenues for sustainable investment.

“This listing will enhance liquidity for Geregu, increase its visibility among global investors, elevate its value and boost transparency, as our marketplace is a sterling platform for raising capital and enabling sustainable growth for national development. As a listing platform of choice, we are committed to working with companies at various stages of growth to explore the different opportunities in the capital market to meet their business objectives.”

 

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Bonds

Debt Management Office Offers Two FG Savings Bonds for October

The Debt Management Office (DMO) has declared opened two Federal Government Savings Bond Offers for October 2022.

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Bonds- Investors King

The Debt Management Office (DMO) has declared opened two Federal Government Savings Bond Offers for October 2022.

In a statement released by the DMO on Tuesday, Federal Government is offering a 2-Year FGN Savings Bond due October 12, 2024 at 11.382% per annum interest rate and 3-Year FGN Savings Bond due October 12, 2025 at 12.382% per annum interest rate.

The opening date for subscription was set as today, October 4, 2022 and the closing date was three days after, October 7, 2022.

According to DMO, the settlement would be done on October 12, 2022 while coupon payment dates are January 12, April 12, July 12, and October 12.

Unit of Sale was set at N1,000 per unit subject to a minimum subscription of N5,000 and in multiples of N1,000 thereafter, subject to a maximum subscription of N50,000,000.

Meanwhile, the Director-General of DMO, Patience Oniha DMO, during a presentation at an executive course on budgeting and fiscal responsibility organised by the Fiscal Responsibility Commission in Abuja, has said the federal government cut down on borrowings by increasing revenue generation and improve on expenditure.

In her paper titled “Debt Sustainability Challenges and Strategic Revenue Mobilisation Initiative”, Oniha explained that because the federal government had run deficit budgets for many decades, borrowings from external and domestic sources are unavoidable.

She said: “A budget may be surplus, balanced or deficit. Nigeria has run deficit budgets on a consecutive basis for decades.

“The financing of the deficits through borrowing from local and external sources is the principal reason for the growth in debt stock and debt servicing.

“One way to reduce budget deficits is to grow revenues; the other way is to prioritise expenditure and cut waste and leakages.”

 

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

eTranzact Lists 2,565,433,333 Ordinary Shares

eTranzact, multi-application and multi-channel electronic transaction switching and payment processing platform, has listed additional 2,565,433,333 ordinary shares of 50 kobo each of eTranzact International Plc.

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etranzact

eTranzact, multi-application and multi-channel electronic transaction switching and payment processing platform, has listed additional 2,565,433,333 ordinary shares of 50 kobo each of eTranzact International Plc.

The company made the announcement on Friday following the listing on Wednesday, 28 September 2022.

The statement reads, “Trading Licence Holders are hereby notified that additional 2,565,433,333 ordinary shares of 50 kobo each of eTranzact International Plc (eTranzact or the Company) were on Wednesday, 28 September 2022, listed on the Daily Official List of the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX).

“The additional shares listed on NGX arose from eTranzact’s conversion of N5,772,225,000 Zero Coupon Unsecured Subordinated Irredeemable Convertible Debenture Stock to Equity at N2.25 per share.

“With this listing of the additional 2,565,433,333 ordinary shares, the total issued and fully paid up shares of eTranzact has now increased from 6,634,566,483 to 9,199,999,816 ordinary shares of 50 kobo each.”

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