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Nigeria’s E-commerce, Still Has Vast Room for Growth – Coronation Merchant Bank

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E-commerce - Investors King

The demand for mobile data usage as well as increased network coverage has increased the potential of Nigeria’s e-commerce market. Based on data from the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC), as at end-2021, mobile network coverage was estimated at 102% based on a population size of 190 million. However, internet data penetration via GSM was at 74.5%.

A thriving e-commerce market will enable small and medium-scale enterprises (SMEs) across the country benefit from increased business activity and reduction in operational costs, which would translate into increased profit margins. The role of e-commerce was reemphasized following the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic. There has been a visible boost to online marketplace activities.

In 2020, the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) B2C index value for e-commerce in Nigeria stood at 46.2 points (the 8th highest in Africa). The index measures an economy’s preparedness to support online shopping and takes four indicators into account. They include, (i) the percentage of the population with bank accounts or that have accounts with a mobile money service provider, (ii) the percentage of the population that use the internet, (iii) the postal reliability index, and (iv) the presence of secure internet servers.

According to industry sources, the e-commerce market in Nigeria is estimated at USD13bn (N5.4trn), with at least 87 Nigerian e-commerce platforms (including, Jumia, Jiji and Konga).

In 2021, based on ranking from Statista, Jumia was the most popular online marketplace in Nigeria, with an estimated 147 million visitors. According to Jumia’s FY 2021 financial statement, the e-commerce platform generated 34 million orders and revenue of USD177.9m (N7.4bn), compared with 27.9 million orders and a revenue of USD159.4m (N6.6bn) recorded in 2020.

Coronation Merchant Bank noted that in general, food, personal care, fashion, beauty products, and electronics were the most common items purchased online.

It is worth highlighting that logistics plays a key role in the e-commerce value chain (which includes processing, packaging and delivery of orders). This value chain generates employment for logistics personnel and services. Coronation Merchant understands that in 2021, Jumia shipped 8.3 million packages to at least c.1,500 customers. This is compared with half a million packages distributed to c.270 customers in 2020.

The latest data from the Nigeria inter-bank settlement system shows that Nigeria recorded a total of c.160 million bank accounts as at May ’20, while the number of active bank accounts stood at 111.5 million. The advent of the eNaira (a digital currency issued by the CBN) as well as the development of mobile money given the CBN’s approval of Payment Service Banks (PSB) like MOMO, Smart Cash, Money Master and 9PSB, is expected to improve financial inclusion.

The latest data on e-payment channels from the National Bureau of Statistics reveals that 3.5 billion transactions valued at N356.5trn were recorded on electronic payment channels in Q4 ’20.

For e-commerce to attain its full potential, technology infrastructure needs to be enhanced and logistical challenges need to be addressed. Furthermore, forward-thinking solutions with regards to cyber security issues are required in order to boost consumer confidence.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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E-commerce

Jumia Plans Warehouse Consolidation in Lagos Amid Nigeria Focus

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Jumia Technologies AG, the Nasdaq-listed e-commerce giant, has unveiled plans to consolidate its warehouses in Nigeria.

This decision is part of the company’s broader strategy to prioritize Nigeria, Africa’s most populous nation as it endeavors to turn profitable amidst challenging market conditions.

The consolidation initiative will see Jumia merging its three existing warehouses in Nigeria into a single expansive depot spanning 30,000 square meters, strategically located in Lagos.

Francis Dufay, CEO of Jumia, emphasized the cost-cutting benefits associated with this move, highlighting the company’s commitment to optimizing its operational efficiency.

Speaking about the rationale behind the consolidation, Dufay expressed confidence in Nigeria’s potential to provide Jumia with the scale needed to achieve profitability.

Despite facing headwinds such as currency fluctuations and a challenging economic environment, Jumia views Nigeria as a key market for growth, anticipating positive developments in the medium term.

Jumia’s decision to streamline its operations in Nigeria comes against the backdrop of its ongoing efforts to navigate the complexities of the e-commerce landscape.

Despite reporting an operating loss of $8.33 million in the first quarter of the year, the company remains optimistic about its prospects in Nigeria, where it continues to witness steady revenue growth.

The e-commerce giant’s commitment to Nigeria underscores its long-term vision and determination to succeed in the region.

With plans to expand its footprint to additional cities across the country, Jumia aims to capitalize on Nigeria’s vast market potential and consumer demand.

However, Jumia’s journey to profitability in Nigeria is not without its challenges. The country’s economic landscape has been marred by currency devaluations, infrastructural deficiencies, and logistical hurdles.

Yet, amidst these obstacles, Jumia remains resilient, banking on Nigeria’s economic revival efforts and policy reforms to fuel its growth trajectory.

As part of its strategy to adapt to evolving market dynamics, Jumia has introduced innovative initiatives such as buy-now-pay-later financing options to cater to customers grappling with rising prices.

Also, the company remains vigilant in monitoring pricing dynamics, ensuring competitive pricing to meet the needs of price-conscious consumers.

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Alibaba Eyes Gulf Expansion, Seeks Partnerships in Saudi and UAE Markets

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Alibaba CEO Jack Ma gestures as he is introduced to participate in a panel discussion at the APEC CEO Summit in Manila

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., the prominent Chinese e-commerce giant, is actively pursuing expansion into the Gulf region, notably in Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE).

Alibaba’s president, Michael Evans, revealed the company’s strategy during a panel discussion at Dubai’s World Government Summit, highlighting a commitment to local partnerships as a key aspect of their approach.

Evans underscored Alibaba’s recent endeavors in Saudi Arabia, indicating a concerted effort to deepen its presence in the region’s burgeoning e-commerce landscape.

The move signifies Alibaba’s strategic pivot towards collaborative ventures following a period of strategic realignment prompted by government scrutiny and leadership changes.

The Gulf’s growing ties with China, driven by mutual economic interests and investment diversification initiatives, present an opportune moment for Alibaba’s expansion efforts.

However, geopolitical complexities, including heightened US scrutiny of China-linked entities, add a layer of challenge to Alibaba’s Gulf aspirations.

As Alibaba seeks to reclaim its leadership position in the global tech industry, the pursuit of partnerships in Saudi Arabia and the UAE underscores the company’s adaptive approach to international expansion.

The success of these ventures could potentially reshape the Gulf’s e-commerce landscape and deepen economic ties between the region and China.

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Shoprite Shuts Down Kano Branch Due to Financial Challenges and Unfavorable Business Climate

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Shoprite

Retail Supermarkets Nigeria Limited, the owners of the renowned Shoprite Mall, announced the closure of its Kano branch, located in the Ado Bayero Mall, effective January 14, 2024.

The decision was conveyed through a circular signed by the supermarket’s management, attributing the shutdown to the current financial strain experienced by the mall in the state and the challenging business climate prevailing in Nigeria.

The circular expressed regret over the necessity of the decision, hinting at the impending layoff of all employees associated with the Kano branch.

While the closure raises concerns about the impact on the local workforce, underlying factors contributing to the move have been brought to light.

Among the primary reasons for the planned relocation is the exorbitant monthly rent of N66 million paid by Shoprite to Ado Bayero Mall.

Also, the supermarket bears the cost of independent electricity from the Kano Electricity Distribution Company (KEDCO), along with expenses for fueling and maintaining its standby generator.

When considering these substantial costs alongside staff salaries and other operational expenditures, the total financial burden becomes staggering, exceeding N1 billion annually.

Several sources within the mall have attested to a decline in customer patronage over the past two years, mainly attributed to the economic downturn affecting the purchasing power of the average Kano resident.

Shop owners within Ado Bayero Mall voiced concerns about the high cost of leasing space, with some revealing quarterly fees ranging from N3 million to N4.5 million.

The closure of Shoprite in Kano not only poses challenges for employees facing job uncertainties but also raises questions about the sustainability of businesses surrounding the mall.

Concerns about the impact on neighboring plazas and enterprises have prompted intervention efforts, with Deputy Senate President Barau Jibrin scheduled to meet with Shoprite’s management in a bid to prevent the exit and explore potential solutions.

As Kano braces for the repercussions of Shoprite’s departure, the incident underscores broader challenges facing businesses amid Nigeria’s economic realities.

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