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OPEC: ‘No Capacity to Replace Russia’s 7 Million Barrels of Oil Per Day’

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OPEC - Investors King

Mohammed Sanusi Barkindo, Secretary-General of the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), has said that there is ‘no capacity to replace Russia’s 7 Million Barrels of Oil Per Day.’

Barkindo disclosed this to reporters during an energy industry conference held on Monday, 7th March in Houston. According to Barkindo, who has served as the organisation’s top executive since 2016, Russia exports 7% of the global oil supply, representing about 7 million barrels per day.

The secretary-general downplayed OPEC’s ability to increase oil production to override bans on Russian oil. Speaking at the event, Barkindo said: “We have no control over current events, geopolitics, and this is dictating the pace of the market.” 

Barkindo made his remarks at CERAWeek, a gathering of top global energy executives. This event was remarkably coming up only a day after U.S. President Joe Biden, officially banned Russian oil imports following Canada and Britain’s ban of the same course.

Many western countries and individuals alike have ramped up pressure on Russia with a number of sanctions and bans following the country’s invasion of Ukraine. However, these sanctions were never related to Russia’s import of oil until now.

Reports also indicate that the U.S. which had earlier severed diplomatic relations with Venezuela in 2019, is meeting up in discussions for the possibility of oil trade relations. In 2019, the U.S. placed a ban on Venezuela’s oil with sole dependency on Russia. However, this desperate moment has called for a revision of both country’s diplomatic ties.

Following the U.S. ban on Russia’s oil, a number of oil and gas companies have also exited trading ties with Russia with Shell PLC being the first major western oil and gas company to announce that it will no longer buy fuel products from Russia.

How Oil Prices May Affect Nigerians

The surge in oil prices undoubtedly comes with serious implications for both oil-producing and non-producing countries – even for a country like Nigeria, which sells crude oil and buys refined oil.

Over the years, the increase in oil prices to unprecedented amounts have shown that the Nigerian government will earn more in revenue from crude oil sales. However, with the country’s oil distribution cycle, the same money earned will be given to refineries around the world to buy refined petroleum products.

The implication of this is that the Nigerian government may now need to pay more in subsidies beyond the gauge that was received from revenue of selling crude. This will impact the potential share of revenue to all the state governments and adversely affect Nigerians in the long run.

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Crude Oil

IOCs Stick to Dollar Dominance in Crude Oil Transactions with Modular Refineries

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Crude Oil - Investors King

International Oil Companies (IOCs) are standing firm on their stance regarding the currency denomination for crude oil transactions with modular refineries.

Despite earlier indications suggesting a potential shift towards naira payments, IOCs have asserted their preference for dollar dominance in these transactions.

The decision, communicated during a meeting involving indigenous modular refineries and crude oil producers, shows the complex dynamics shaping Nigeria’s energy landscape.

While the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) had previously hinted at the possibility of allowing indigenous refineries to purchase crude oil in either naira or dollars, IOCs have maintained a firm stance favoring the latter.

Under this framework, modular refineries would be required to pay 80% of the crude oil purchase amount in US dollars, with the remaining 20% to be settled in naira.

This arrangement, although subject to ongoing discussions, signals a significant departure from initial expectations of a more balanced currency allocation.

Representatives from the Crude Oil Refinery Owners Association of Nigeria (CORAN) said the decision was not unilaterally imposed but rather reached through deliberations with relevant stakeholders, including the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC).

While there were initial hopes of broader flexibility in currency options, the dominant position of IOCs has steered discussions towards a more dollar-centric model.

Despite reservations expressed by some participants, including modular refinery operators, the consensus appears to lean towards accommodating the preferences of major crude oil suppliers.

The development underscores the intricate negotiations and power dynamics shaping Nigeria’s energy sector, with implications for both domestic and international stakeholders.

As discussions continue, attention remains focused on how this decision will impact the operations and financial viability of modular refineries in Nigeria’s evolving oil landscape.

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Crude Oil

Brent Crude Hits $88.42, WTI Climbs to $83.36 on Dollar Index Dip

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Brent crude oil - Investors King

Oil prices surged as Brent crude oil appreciated to $88.42 a barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed to $83.36 a barrel.

The uptick in prices comes as the U.S. dollar index dipped to its lowest level in over a week, prompting investors to shift their focus from geopolitical tensions to global economic conditions.

The weakening of the U.S. dollar, a key factor influencing oil prices, provided a boost to dollar-denominated commodities like oil. As the dollar index fell, demand for oil from investors holding other currencies increased, leading to the rise in prices.

Investors also found support in euro zone data indicating a robust expansion in business activity, with April witnessing the fastest pace of growth in nearly a year.

Andrew Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates, noted that the market had been under pressure due to sluggish growth in the euro zone, making any signs of improvement supportive for oil prices.

Market participants are increasingly looking beyond geopolitical tensions and focusing on economic indicators and supply-and-demand dynamics.

Despite initial concerns regarding tensions between Israel and Iran and uncertainties surrounding China’s economic performance, the market sentiment remained optimistic, buoyed by expectations of steady oil demand.

Analysts anticipate the release of key economic data later in the week, including U.S. first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) figures and March’s personal consumption expenditures, which serve as the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge.

These data points are expected to provide further insights into the health of the economy and potentially impact oil prices.

Also, anticipation builds around the release of U.S. crude oil inventory data by the Energy Information Administration, scheduled for Wednesday.

Preliminary reports suggest an increase in crude oil inventories alongside a decrease in refined product stockpiles, reflecting ongoing dynamics in the oil market.

As oil prices continue their upward trajectory, investors remain vigilant, monitoring economic indicators and geopolitical developments for further cues on the future direction of the market.

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Crude Oil

NNPC and Newcross Set to Boost Awoba Unit Field Production to 12,000 bpd

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NNPC - Investors King

NNPC and Newcross Exploration and Production Ltd are working together to increase production at the Awoba Unit Field to 12,000 barrels per day (bpd) within the next 30 days.

This initiative, aimed at optimizing hydrocarbon asset production, follows the recent restart of operations at the Awoba field, which commenced this month after a hiatus.

The field, located in the mangrove swamp south of Port Harcourt, Rivers State, ceased production in 2021 due to logistical challenges and crude oil theft.

The joint venture between NNPC and Newcross is poised to bolster national revenue and meet OPEC production quotas, contributing significantly to Nigeria’s energy sector.

Mele Kyari, NNPC’s Group Chief Executive Officer, attributes this achievement to a conducive operating environment fostered by the administration of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

The endeavor underscores a collective effort involving stakeholders from various sectors, including staff, operators, host communities, and security agencies, aimed at revitalizing Nigeria’s oil and gas sector.

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