Institutional investment in Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has surged by 14% in the second quarter of 2024, according to a recent report by asset manager Bitwise.

This increase in allocations comes despite a 12% decline in Bitcoin’s price during the same period, signaling a robust appetite among institutional investors for cryptocurrency assets.

The report, released on Monday, highlights that the number of institutional investors holding Bitcoin ETFs rose from 965 in the first quarter to 1,100 in the second quarter.

This uptick showed a growing institutional interest in Bitcoin, with these investors now accounting for 21.15% of the total assets under management (AUM) in Bitcoin ETFs, up from 18.74% in the previous quarter.

Bitwise Chief Investment Officer, Matt Hougan, said “The biggest question in crypto right now is whether institutions and professional investors will allocate to crypto in a major way. The fact that they are increasing their Bitcoin ETF allocations even when prices are down is a promising sign.”

Despite the drop in Bitcoin’s price, which fell by 12% in Q2, institutional investors have continued to show strong support for Bitcoin ETFs.

This trend suggests that these investors are either confident in a future price recovery or are strategically positioning themselves for long-term gains.

The report notes that institutional investors ended the quarter holding $11 billion in Bitcoin ETFs, a significant commitment that contrasts with some criticisms suggesting that these ETFs are primarily dominated by retail investors.

Bitwise disputes this view, highlighting that Bitcoin ETFs have seen adoption at an unprecedented rate among institutional players.

“The institutions are coming, and they’re coming in size,” Bitwise’s report asserts. “If institutions are willing to invest in Bitcoin during such a volatile period, it’s exciting to consider what might happen if we enter a bull market.”

This institutional enthusiasm for Bitcoin ETFs is further supported by major financial players such as Goldman Sachs, which disclosed in a recent 13F filing that it holds positions in seven out of eleven Bitcoin ETFs available in the U.S.

This level of engagement from Wall Street giants signals a broader acceptance and potential mainstreaming of Bitcoin investment.

Looking ahead, Bitwise predicts that Bitcoin ETF inflows will continue to grow, with expectations for larger allocations in 2025 and beyond.

The report suggests that the increasing institutional investment in Bitcoin ETFs could be a precursor to more substantial market shifts, particularly if the cryptocurrency market experiences a significant upswing.

Bitcoin declined by approximately 9% in August amid the US government’s decision to move $600 million worth of seized Bitcoin to a wallet on Coinbase, the prominent cryptocurrency exchange.

The latest market turmoil has raised concerns among investors as they grapple with the potential for further government sales of confiscated digital assets.

The US government, which is believed to control roughly $12 billion in cryptocurrency, has recently transferred a significant amount of Bitcoin, sparking worries about a potential market flood.

According to Arkham Intelligence, the move is a response to the ongoing investigation into the seizure of Bitcoin from illicit activities.

The transfer to Coinbase has led to increased speculation and selling pressure in the market.

Khushboo Khullar, a venture partner at Lightning Ventures, noted, “The temporary downward pressure on Bitcoin prices is largely due to the market’s reaction to these large-scale transfers. We anticipate that this gap will close as market conditions stabilize.”

The broader cryptocurrency market has mirrored Bitcoin’s struggles. A gauge of the top 100 digital assets saw its sharpest decline since November 2022 on August 5, aligning with a broader slump in risk assets worldwide.

This downturn in digital assets contrasts sharply with the performance of global equities, which have rebounded to near record highs after initial fears of a US economic slowdown were allayed by reassuring data.

Bitcoin’s price, which reached a record $73,798 in March due to optimism over looser US monetary policy and rising interest in exchange-traded funds (ETFs), has since faced headwinds.

The funding rate for Bitcoin perpetual futures on the Binance exchange, a key indicator of speculative interest, has become notably negative, reflecting a decrease in enthusiasm from fast-money traders.

In addition to the governmental actions, the ongoing US presidential race adds another layer of uncertainty. With pro-crypto Republican candidate Donald Trump and Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris both vying for influence, the future regulatory landscape for digital assets remains unclear.

Harris, in particular, has yet to outline her stance on cryptocurrency regulation, adding to the market’s apprehension.

As of Monday morning in London, Bitcoin was trading at $58,630, with other major cryptocurrencies such as Ether and Solana also experiencing mixed performance.

Despite the current challenges, some market analysts remain hopeful that Bitcoin’s price will stabilize as the market absorbs recent developments and adjusts to the evolving regulatory environment.

Investors and analysts will be closely monitoring the impact of these government actions and broader market trends in the coming weeks, as they navigate the volatile landscape of digital assets.

After several months of declines and rangebound trading, Bitcoin (BTC) bulls have reason to cheer as the largest cryptocurrency is poised for a potential seasonal upswing this July.

Historical data and recent market movements suggest a positive outlook for Bitcoin, following a period marked by billions in sales, upcoming selling pressure, and outflows from exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Since April, Bitcoin has been trading within a narrow band of $59,000 to $74,000, weighed down by market dynamics and peak negative sentiment among retail traders.

However, July has historically been a bullish month for Bitcoin, and early indicators show a possible reversal of recent trends.

On the first day of July, U.S.-listed ETFs recorded nearly $130 million in inflows, their highest since early June.

This influx comes after a significant $900 million outflow in the previous month, signaling renewed investor confidence in the cryptocurrency.

“Bitcoin has a median return of 9.6% in July and tends to bounce back strongly, especially after a negative June,” said Singapore-based QCP Capital in a recent Telegram broadcast.

“Our options desk saw flows positioning for an upside move last Friday into the month-end, possibly in anticipation of the ETH spot ETF launch. Many signs point to a bullish July.”

Historical data supports this optimistic outlook. Over the past decade, Bitcoin has gained an average of more than 11% in July, with positive returns in seven out of the ten months.

A 2023 report by crypto fund Matrixport highlighted significant July returns in recent years, with gains of around 27% in 2019, 20% in 2020, and 24% in 2021.

Seasonality, the tendency of assets to experience regular and predictable changes that recur annually, appears to be a driving factor.

These seasonal cycles can be influenced by various factors, such as profit-taking around tax season in April and May, leading to drawdowns, and the generally bullish “Santa Claus” rally in December, which reflects increased demand.

As the cryptocurrency market enters July, Bitcoin traders and investors are optimistic about a potential rally. While the market remains cautious of underlying pressures, the historical trends and recent inflows suggest a favorable environment for Bitcoin’s resurgence.