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Jumia Stock Plunges 41.22 Percent on 91 Percent Jump in Operating Loss

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Jumia - Investors King

In the last one month, the price of Jumia’s stock has dropped by 41.22 percent on growing uncertainty surrounding the future of Africa’s leading eCommerce company shortly after the release of its third-quarter report in November 2021.

The price of Jumia stock dropped by $7.89 or 41.22 percent in the past month to $11.25, suggesting a broad-based selloff amid weak investors’ confidence in a stock that rose to $65.51 per share on Wednesday 10 February 2020 when global investors thought it would replicate the performance of the likes of Amazon and other eCommerce companies that thrived on COVID-19.

This is in spite of the company growing orders by 28 percent to an all-time high of 8.5 million in the third quarter. Even active consumers and Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) rose 8 percent year-on-year each to 7.3 million and $238 million, respectively.

Still, global investors are not buying into the numbers. In fact, Luke Holbrook, a Morgan Stanley equity research analyst, lowered the bank’s recommendation for Jumia’s stock to underweight from neutral, according to a report by The Motley Fool. Holbrook then advised shareholders to sell their shares at $11 and move on. Indicating he does not have confidence in the company going forward.

Stifel Nicolaus, the only analyst that seems to be positive on Jumia, suggested ‘hold’ with a profit target of $18. Meaning, he is also not sticking his neck out for the once flying stock to hit $65, its COVID-19 peak.

Here is Why Investors Are Abandoning Jumia Stock

Jumia sales and advertising expenses jumped by a shocking 228 percent to $24 million year-on-year but active consumers and GMV only grew by 8.1 percent each. While the 28 percent increase in orders was because the company decided to sell more of everyday consumer items as opposed to its usual higher-value items like electronics. As of the third quarter, the average volume of Jumia sales was $28, down from $41.50 in 2019.

Also, Jumia customers are not returning to the website as much as Amazon and other global eCommerce platforms’ customers. Indicating that customers in Nigeria and other Jumia’s operating nations in Africa are not buying from the website as expected.

Chris Lau, a contributing author at InvestorPlace, put it best, “Jumia will have to spend more on its operations going forward. It needs to bring the right products to its customers. To do so, it must work with its suppliers and sellers. and add international brands to its marketplace, increasing its costs.”

And finally, Jumia operating loss increased by 91.4 percent to $64 million.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

FBN Holdings, Fidelity Bank Lead Trades as Nigerian Stock Market Closes Flat

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King

For the first time in weeks, Nigeria’s equities market closed flat on Thursday as investors adopted a cautious approach, taking a “wait-and-see” stance.

Despite active trading in major stocks such as FBN Holdings, Fidelity Bank, Transcorp, Access Holdings, and AIICO, the market showed no significant movement.

On Thursday, investors exchanged 1,299,961,984 shares worth N25.326 billion in 8,364 deals on the Exchange.

However, the trading activity did not translate into a market shift.

The NGX All-Share Index (ASI) and Market Capitalisation, which stood at 99,842.19 points and N56.478 trillion on the preceding trading day, closed Thursday at 99,842.94 points and N56.479 trillion, respectively.

This static closure occurred despite notable performances from stocks like Champion Breweries and Chams, which rallied.

Conversely, Transcorp Hotels Plc, NEM Insurance, and Fidelity Bank topped the list of laggards.

“We anticipate a mixed trading session with potential buy-side pressure in key names that could steer the market to a green close,” stated analysts from Lagos-based Vetiva Research in their post-trading note. “Investors are expected to monitor movements in high-performing stocks as well.”

Related developments highlighted the challenges facing investors. Rising diesel prices have surged by 66%, hitting the Northeast hardest.

The Naira remains weak at the official market despite rising external reserves, and prime office tenants face dilemmas with dollar-rents surging 200% in Naira value.

The flat close on Thursday underscores the cautious sentiment prevailing among investors in Nigeria’s equities market.

The market’s performance continues to reflect broader economic uncertainties and investor strategies focusing on stability and risk management.

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

Foreign Equity Trading in Nigeria Jumps 437%, Reaches N334 Billion in Early 2024

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King

Nigeria’s stock market has seen a remarkable surge in foreign investor activity, with equity trading by foreign investors skyrocketing 437% in the first four months of 2024.

This growth has pushed the total value of foreign equity trades to N334.01 billion, a significant increase from N62.18 billion during the same period in 2023.

Data from the Nigeria Exchange Limited (NGX) reveals that between January and April 2024, Nigerian stock investors exchanged equities valued at N1.894 trillion, a sharp rise from N721.44 billion recorded in the corresponding period of the previous year.

Foreign investors accounted for 17.63% of this total, while domestic investors dominated the market with 82.37%, trading N1.560 trillion worth of equities.

The increased foreign participation peaked in April 2024, with foreign investors trading N120.83 billion worth of stocks, representing 34.90% of the total value traded that month.

This surge highlights a growing confidence in Nigeria’s equity market despite broader economic challenges and a competitive fixed income market.

Analysts attribute this spike in foreign equity trading to various factors, including attractive stock valuations and improved regulatory frameworks.

“We expect continued interest in fundamentally sound stocks,” noted analysts at Comercio Partners, highlighting the positive market return of 33.64% by mid-June 2024.

Despite the attractiveness of fixed-income yields, particularly with Treasury bill rates reaching as high as 23.3% for one-year T-bills, participants remain drawn to equities, seeking growth in undervalued stocks.

Meristem research analysts predict a mixed performance in the equities market, driven by positive momentum and cautious trading.

The influx of foreign capital comes as a positive sign for Nigeria’s economic outlook, reflecting investor confidence in the nation’s regulatory and market reforms.

The NGX has been proactive in boosting market accessibility, recently launching a USSD platform to provide real-time stock market information, a move aimed at enhancing financial inclusion and market participation.

Prominent stockbroking firms have also played a crucial role in this trading boom.

CardinalStone Securities Limited led the market by trading stocks worth N197.535 billion, followed by Stanbic IBTC Stockbrokers Limited and United Capital Securities Limited.

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

Stock Market Rises by N398 Billion Last Week as Investors Target Key Sectors

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King

In a holiday-shortened trading week ending on Friday, June 14, Nigeria’s equities market saw a notable increase, rising by 0.71% or N398 billion.

This boost came as investors focused their buying on key sectors such as oil & gas, banking, insurance, and consumer goods.

The Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) All-Share Index (ASI) increased from the previous week’s 99,221.14 points to 99,925.29 points, while the Market Capitalisation rose from N56.128 trillion to N56.526 trillion.

This surge pushed the year-to-date (YtD) return higher to 33.64%, with a month-to-date (MtD) increase of 0.62%.

Leading the sector gains was the NGX Oil & Gas Index, which jumped by 5.28%, reflecting robust investor interest in the sector.

The NGX Banking Index followed with a 3.63% rise, demonstrating confidence in the financial sector.

Similarly, the NGX Insurance Index climbed by 3.42%, and the NGX Consumer Goods Index saw a 1.05% increase. The NGX Industrial Index also edged up slightly by 0.27%.

This upward movement in the stock market comes amid a backdrop of cautious optimism.

The holiday-shortened trading week provided a condensed period for trading, yet investors were keen to seize opportunities, particularly in sectors that have shown resilience and potential for growth.

Analysts suggest that the targeted investments in these key sectors indicate a strategic approach by investors to balance portfolios and capitalize on sectors poised for growth.

The oil & gas sector, in particular, has been buoyed by fluctuating global oil prices and local policies aimed at boosting production and refining capacity.

The banking sector’s performance reflects ongoing reforms and the potential for increased financial activities as the economy continues to stabilize.

The rise in the stock market is a positive signal for Nigeria’s economic outlook, indicating renewed investor confidence.

However, experts caution that sustained growth will depend on continued economic reforms, political stability, and global market conditions.

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