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Investors Should Prepare for the Growing Covid Aftershocks: deVere CEO

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Covid was the ‘earthquake,’ but investors now need to prepare themselves for the growing ‘aftershocks’, warns the founder and CEO of one of the world’s largest independent financial advisory, asset management and fintech organizations.

The warning from deVere Group’s Nigel Green comes as concerns mount over the economic slowdown in China, global inflationary pressures and turbulence in emerging markets.

Mr Green observes: “Covid was like a monumental earthquake that shook the world economy to its foundations – and like major earthquakes, there are potentially highly damaging aftershocks.

“For many, life is almost back to normal, but investors need to be aware of the ongoing multiple investment headwinds that have come about as a direct result of the pandemic.

“It’s our belief that there are three main causes for growing concern that could hit investors’ returns.

“First, there’s an increasing consensus that China’s economy – the world’s second-largest – is likely to slow faster than many analysts had previously anticipated.

“Growth could slump below 5% as a perfect storm is brewing with Beijing moving to reduce its dependence on real estate, to increase regulation in a range of key sectors from education to technology, plus they’re dealing with a serious energy crisis and the lingering impact of the pandemic.

“China’s slowdown will have serious and far-reaching effects for economic growth across the world.

“Second, the risk of inflation moving from ‘transitory’ to ‘permanent.’ If high prices for commodities and supply chain disruptions continue in 2022, which many are assuming they will, the global economy may face the risk of rising persistent inflation.

“This will mean that interest rates rise higher and faster than the markets expect, which could trigger ongoing global stagflation.

“And third, as this rising inflation threat has increased the pressure on central banks to ease their stimulus programmes earlier than anticipated, is likely to create turbulence in emerging markets.”

With many Covid-triggered headwinds picking up pace, how can investors prepare to mitigate the effects and seize the inevitable opportunities that arise from volatility?

“Despite these aftershocks, which would normally drive investors to increase their exposure to fixed-income, it’s almost universally agreed that stocks will continue to outperform bonds. There’s no real alternative,” says Nigel Green.

“Given the mounting upheaval, investors should stay in the market but should review their portfolios to ensure that they are properly diversified across asset class, sectors, regions and currencies.  This will best position them to get the best outcomes.”

He concludes: “The increasing worry about the aftershocks to the global economy will continue in the near term.  What will savvy investors do? Judiciously buy more stocks.”

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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British International Investment and Ecobank Sierra Leone Sign $25 Million Risk Sharing Agreement to Boost Private Sector Growth

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British International Investment (BII), the UK’s development finance institution and impact investor, today announced a $25 million risk sharing facility with Ecobank Sierra Leone to boost private sector growth in high-impact sectors of the economy.

The risk sharing facility, which includes a comprehensive technical assistance programme, will support Ecobank to increase lending to ambitious businesses in a frontier market where economic growth is hampered by lack of capital and investment.

The private sector is crucial to Sierra Leone’s economy and mainly comprises small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) who provide employment for about 70 per cent of the population. However, they struggle to gain access to capital due to various factors including limited availability of suitable financial products, high collateral requirements, high interest rates and the prevalence of short-term loans.

The new facility will support local currency lending, demonstrating BII’s ability to act as the first mover in frontier markets and drive impact through pioneering risk navigation strategies. The investment will help Ecobank Sierra Leone to grow its loan book by increasing credit limits and extend lending tenors to up to five years, which are not otherwise available in the market. This is expected to boost business growth, create more jobs and increase private sector contribution to Sierra Leone’s economy.

The transaction marks a significant milestone as the first investment under the Africa Resilience Investment Accelerator (ARIA), which is a collaborative initiative launched by BII and co-funded with FMO, the Dutch entrepreneurial development bank, to boost investment in frontier markets such as Sierra Leone.

The Sierra Leone economy faces challenges including a depreciating currency driven by high inflation, a large trade deficit due to over-reliance on imports, and insufficient investment in infrastructure and services. BII’s investment aims to spur economic growth and development by targeting critical sectors including renewable energy, agriculture, agro-processing, infrastructure and manufacturing.

The announcement builds on a $50 million trade finance facility between BII and Ecobank in 2021, which helped the bank to deepen its reach across Africa and support supply chains in frontier markets such as Burkina Faso, Chad and Togo.

UK Minister for Development, Anneliese Dodds said: “I am delighted to see BII announce this new risk sharing facility with Ecobank Sierra Leone. This agreement will support local currency lending, bringing much-needed capital into sectors with a high development impact, thereby contributing to job creation and economic growth. This is yet another example of BII innovating to address risks and enable development in frontier markets.”

Samir Abhyankar, MD and Head of Financial Services, BII, commented: “The signing of this agreement with Ecobank Sierra Leone underscores BII’s pioneering role to lead investments in countries that are often overlooked by investors. The facility will be a game-changer for Sierra Leone, providing much-needed capital for ambitious local businesses to accelerate their growth, spur job creation and deepen impact. It’s an example of BII innovating and working with partners to help address pressing challenges where it matters the most.”

​Sebastian Ashong-Katai, Managing Director, Ecobank Sierra Leone, said: “We are delighted to have secured the support of British International Investment in boosting Ecobank’s vital lending capacity for Sierra Leone businesses who are the engine room for our country’s growth, economic development and employment. This further strengthens our intent to be the bank of choice for Sierra Leone’s businesses and leverages our delivery of world class products, services, solutions, borderless digital pan-African platform and business skills training which are designed to support them in further growing their businesses.”

Alex Kucharski, BII’s Head of West Africa for ARIA, added: “ARIA aims to unlock investment in Sierra Leone, a market full of potential. We are delighted to have enabled the investment by British International Investment into Ecobank Sierra Leone, which will bring much needed growth capital to underserved businesses in the country, showing that more investment is possible.”

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Nigeria Targets $10 Billion in Deep-Water Gas Investments with New Tax Incentives

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The Federal Government has perfected plans to attract $10 billion in new investments in deep-water gas exploration through tax breaks and other incentives.

In the new policy framework forwarded to the National Assembly to be passed into law, the Federal Executive Council (FEC) said about 67% of Nigeria’s offshore gas sector remains undeveloped.

However, the FEC believes that by providing tax credits for new investments in the sector, more global players can be lured to the untapped sector.

In a statement published by Olu Verheijen, special adviser to the president, the government also plans a gas-production allowance for greenfield developments in onshore and shallow-water locations.

“We intend to unlock between $5 billion to $10 billion of new investments in Nigeria in the near- to medium-term,” Verheijen said.

According to Verheijen, who also heads the Energy Office of the Presidency, once this is passed into, it would fast-track the development of natural gas, deepen gas usage for transportation and bolster energy security.

It was estimated that global businesses will be spending about $90 billion on deep-water oil and gas projects in coming years, this, Verheijen said is what the country is targeting.

“This is the pool of funds that our reforms are targeting,” she said.

The president has implemented a series of reforms to rejig the nation’s economy and set Nigeria on the right path. In a recent broadcast, the president claimed these reforms have attracted over $30 billion in foreign direct investment.

Despite the changes made to core policies, Nigerians are yet to see its results as earnings remained low and inflation rate remained at an all-time high while economic uncertainties in the face of chronic Naira depreciation have eroded the profitability of businesses.

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FG Secures $200m Afreximbank Investment For Creative Industry

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The African Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank) has announced plans to invest a sum of $200 million in the Nigerian creative industry.

The latest development was made known in New York during the “Destination 2030: Nigeria Everywhere” event held at the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA).

Speaking at the event which was organized by Nigeria’s Ministry of Arts, Culture, and the Creative Economy, the President and Chairman of Afreximbank, Professor Benedict Oramah, said that the funding was in line with the bank’s commitment to boost the nation’s creative industry.

He revealed that the latest move, aimed at building a foundation for sustainable economic growth will position the nation as a global leader in the global creative industry.

He said, “investing in the creative industries is about building a foundation for sustainable economic growth and positioning Africa as a global cultural leader.” 

 Speaking further, the Minister of Arts, Culture, and the Creative Economy, Hannatu Musawa, called for the support of investors, development partners, and global partners in the creation of 2 million jobs.

She described the event as a roadmap to transforming Nigeria into a global cultural powerhouse.

She stated, “Destination 2030: Nigeria Everywhere is our roadmap to transforming Nigeria into a global cultural powerhouse. To fully realize this vision, I urge investors, development partners, and global collaborators to join us in creating 2 million jobs and contributing $100 billion to the national GDP.” 

Investors King learned that after the main event of UNGA, Musawa engaged in talks with other investors to boost Nigeria’s cultural and creative industry.

She engaged in discussions with the UN Deputy Secretary-General Amina Mohammed, the Executive Director of the UN Office for Partnerships, U.S. State Department Under Secretary for Public Diplomacy, Lee Satterfield, and Faisal Alibrahim, Saudi Arabia’s Minister of Economy and Planning.

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