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$5.8b Mambila Power Project Scales Financial Hurdle

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water projects - Investors King

The Senate Committee on Local Content has said the $5.792 billion Mambila Hydro-Electric Power Project is set for take-off following the successful resolution of financial and legal hurdles that delayed the project.

Its Chairman, Senator Teslim Folarin, gave this indication yesterday in Abuja while receiving the report of the finance sub-committee of the project.

He said the contractors handling the project are expected to commence work at the site before the end of 2021.

According to Folarin, the subcommittee was an off-shoot of the Technical Working Group on Mambila Hydro-Electric Power Local Content inaugurated in June, last yaer.

“The Federal Executive Council on 30th August, 2017, approved the contract on the Mambila Hydro Electric Power Project in the sum of $5.792billion for the construction of 3050MW.

“The project was awarded to Chinese contractors JV (CGGC-SHC-CGCC), with the site in Gembu, Taraba State,” Folarin said.

He noted that the challenges that arose in the course of the execution of the project, made the Presidential Committee on Northeast Development now the Northeast Development Commission (NEDC) to review the initial plan of the Technical Working Group.

He said the NEDC came up with a working document, wherein the work of the TWG was reshaped and streamlined for effective and seamless implementation of the project.

Folarin added: “Thereafter, the reviewed report was forwarded to the National Assembly for further legislative action.”

“Consequently, the National Assembly along with the Technical Working Group, constituted the Finance Sub-Committee under the Chairmanship of the Executive Director, NEXIM (Nigerian Export and Import) Bank.

“The Sub-Committee was inaugurated earlier this year by the Senate Committee on Local Content and it was mandated to report back to the Committee within six weeks.”

The Senator said the subcommittee was mandated to work out modalities that would facilitate the financial requirement of the local content aspect of the project, which was estimated at N1.7billion representing 30 per cent of the approved contract of $5.7billion.

He said, “The Nigerian Export and Import Bank was mandated to play the lead role in the sub-committee, while the Nigeria Sovereign Investment Authority was to serve as the secretariat of the panel.

“I have no doubt in my mind that all these issues, among others, are succinctly addressed in the report and I believe that at the end, we shall have a document that will provide a way forward on the project.”

Folarin told reporters after the session that the major legal encumbrance which had made it almost impossible for the legacy project to take off, had been resolved.

He said, “We have made some progress and breakthroughs, but we are yet to forward the report to the leadership of the Senate.

“The Federal Government was mandated to pay to the contractors – Sunrise – the sum of $200million and if we don’t pay within a stipulated time, then we have accrued interest.

“As far as the contractors are concerned, they said their money is now $400million because of the accumulated interests.

“The project was officially awarded by the Federal Executive Council on August 30, 2017, and it has been signed as a contract between the Nigerian Government, Ministry of Power and the Chinese Joint Venture of CGGC.”

On her part, the liaison officer and administrator for Hypertech, the consultant to Federal Government and Chinese Government on the Mambila project, Mrs Maimuna Muhammed, said all litigations have been effectively resolved.

Mrs Muhammed said, “We have a breakthrough concerning all the litigations about the project. All the delays we had before everything has been sorted out.

“Now we are ready to kick start the project. The next programmes we are going to have is the Business Roundtable, after that we will move to site, in Taraba State.”

The Consultant to the Senate President on Mambilla HEPP Local Content, Muhammad Mustapha, said membership of the committee also consists of the technical committee which was chaired by ministry of power and co-chaired by ministry of water resources.

He said the human capital development committee that was chaired by the Petroleum Technology Development Fund co-chaired by the energy council, was also involved.”

Muhammad added that part of the challenges that had caused significant delay over time had been the legal encumbrance.

He said, “We will like to mention that in qualifying the efforts of this committee as local content, we have been able to identify the legal aspect of the project to be a local content concern.

“The pre-commencement activity has already been approved two years before now.

“Part of the effort of the finance sub-committee is to articulate the local content aspect of the project as a whole and the pre- commencement activity in specifics.

“This activity stands at four major areas: the security of the site, access road to open up the site, the resettlement plan of over 140,000 people and air field for logistic base.

“We call on the implementation committee to work assiduously to meet the six week timeline as the project is building a new political momentum toward implementation.”

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

Economy

Discontent Among Electricity Consumers as Band A Prioritization Leads to Supply Shortages

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In Nigeria, discontent among electricity consumers is brewing as Band A prioritization by distribution companies (DisCos) exacerbates supply shortages for consumers in lower tariff bands.

The move follows the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission’s (NERC) decision to increase tariffs for customers in Band A, prompting DisCos to focus on meeting the needs of Band A customers to avoid sanctions.

Band A customers, who typically receive 20 to 24 hours of electricity supply daily, are now benefiting at the expense of consumers in Bands C, D, and E, who experience significant reductions in power supply.

The situation has ignited frustration among these consumers, who feel marginalized and neglected by DisCos.

Daily Trust investigations reveal that many consumers in lower tariff bands are experiencing prolonged power outages, despite their expectations of a minimum supply duration.

Residents like Christy Emmanuel from Lugbe, Abuja, and Damilola Akanbi from Life Camp are lamenting receiving less than the promised hours of electricity, rendering it ineffective for their daily needs.

Adding to the challenge is the low electricity generation, forcing DisCos to ration power across the grid.

As of recent records, only 3,265 megawatts were available, leading to further difficulties in meeting the demands of all consumers.

The prioritization of Band A customers has been confirmed by officials from DisCos, citing directives from the government to avoid sanctions from NERC.

An anonymous official from the Kaduna Electricity Distribution Company highlighted the pressure from the government to ensure Band A customers receive the required supply, even if it means neglecting other bands.

Meanwhile, the Transmission Company of Nigeria (TCN) has denied reports blaming it for power shortages to Band A customers. General Manager Ndidi Mbah clarified that recent outages were due to technical faults and adverse weather conditions, outside of TCN’s control.

Experts have criticized the DisCos’ prioritization strategy, arguing that it neglects the needs of consumers in lower tariff bands. Bode Fadipe, CEO of Sage Consulting & Communications, emphasized that DisCos cannot ignore the financial contributions from these bands, which sustain the sector.

Chinedu Amah, founder of Spark Nigeria, urged for optimized supply across all bands, emphasizing the importance of improving service levels for all consumers.

As discontent grows among electricity consumers, calls for fair distribution of power and equitable treatment from DisCos are gaining momentum.

The situation underscores the need for regulatory intervention to address the concerns of all stakeholders and ensure a balanced approach to electricity distribution in Nigeria

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Economy

China’s Economic Growth Surges to 5.3% in Q1, But Challenges Loom Ahead

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growth

China has kicked off the year with positive economic growth as its gross domestic product (GDP) expanded by 5.3% in the first quarter.

However, beneath this headline figure lies a story of both resilience and vulnerability as mixed data signals suggest that the road ahead may not be smooth sailing for the world’s second-largest economy.

The latest figures released by the National Bureau of Statistics indicate that China’s economy experienced a slight acceleration from the previous quarter, surpassing analyst estimates.

Much of the growth momentum was concentrated in the early months of the year with March painting a more subdued outlook.

In March, growth in retail sales slumped and industrial output decelerated below forecasts, pointing towards potential challenges on the horizon.

Xiaojia Zhi, Chief China Economist at Credit Agricole, said “Markets may find it hard to be convinced by the strong GDP growth print and difficult to reconcile with the mixed March data.”

Concerns linger that policymakers may become complacent if GDP growth remains above 5%, potentially stalling further policy easing measures.

China’s economic landscape is a tale of two narratives. On one hand, manufacturing remains resilient, buoyed by robust overseas demand and Beijing’s emphasis on fostering advanced technologies domestically.

However, a prolonged real estate crisis coupled with factory prices in deflation for over a year underscore the fragility of domestic demand and excess capacity in certain industries.

The response from economists has been varied but generally optimistic. DBS Group Holdings Ltd raised its forecast for China’s annual growth from 4.5% to 5% following the release of the data, aligning it with the government’s annual target.

Nathan Chow, Senior Economist at the bank, cited stronger-than-expected US demand and improvements in the labor market as reasons for the upgrade.

Despite the encouraging GDP figures, challenges persist. Philipp Hildebrand, Vice Chairman at BlackRock Inc., highlighted the lack of domestic demand and deflationary pressures as significant hurdles.

Moreover, tensions with major trading partners, particularly the US and Germany, have escalated, with concerns over an influx of cheap exports.

Looking ahead, policymakers face the daunting task of stabilizing the property market and stimulating consumer spending.

Efforts such as a proposed trade-in program aim to boost domestic demand by incentivizing businesses and households to invest in new machinery and appliances.

However, monetary policy support may be constrained by the robust performance of the US economy. With the likelihood of a US Federal Reserve rate cut diminishing, China’s central bank may have limited room for further easing.

Nonetheless, the recent loosening of the grip on the Chinese yuan suggests a degree of flexibility in response to evolving economic conditions.

China’s economic growth in the first quarter may have surpassed expectations, but the challenges ahead require proactive measures to navigate.

As the nation strives to maintain momentum amidst a complex global landscape, policymakers and market participants alike remain vigilant, aware that the path to sustained growth may require careful navigation through turbulent waters.

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Economy

Nigeria’s Inflation Climbs to 33.20% in March Despite Economic Mitigation Measures

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Nigeria's Inflation Rate - Investors King

Economic uncertainty in Africa’s largest economy, Nigeria, continued to push inflation higher in March despite efforts to ease rising consumer prices.

The Consumer Price Index, which measures the inflation rate, quickened to 33.20 percent in March, according to the latest report from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

This represents an increase of 1.50 percent from 31.70 percent reported in February.

On a yearly basis, the inflation rate was 11.16 percent higher when compared to the 22.04 percent filed in March 2023, indicating a broad-based increase in headline inflation.

However, on a month-on-month basis, the headline inflation rate increased at a slower pace in March compared to the previous month. In March, the inflation rate stood at 3.02%, while in February, it was 3.12%

Food Inflation

Prices of food items increased at 40.01% year-on-year basis in March 2024 from 24.45% achieved in March 2023.

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) attributed the increase to the rise in prices of the following items Garri, Millet, Akpu Uncooked Fermented (which are under the Bread and Cereals class), Yam Tuber, Water Yam (under Potatoes, Yam, and other Tubers class), Dried Fish Sadine, Mudfish Dried (under Fish class), Palm Oil, Vegetable Oil (under Oil and Fat), Beef Feet, Beef Head, Liver (under Meat class), Coconut, Water Melon (under Fruit Class), Lipton Tea, Bournvita, Milo (under Coffee, Tea and Cocoa Class).

On a monthly basis, the food inflation rate grew at a slower rate of 3.62 percent in March, a 0.17 percent decrease compared to the 3.79 percent recorded in February 2024.

The fall in Food inflation on a Month-on-Month basis was caused by a fall in the rate of increase in the average prices of Guinea corn flour, Plantain Flour etc (under Bread and Cereals class), Yam, Irish Potatoe, Coco Yam (under Potatoes, Yam & Other Tubers class), Titus fish, Mudfish Dried (under Fish class), Lipton, Bournvita, Ovaltine (under Coffee, Tea and Cocoa class).

The average annual rate of Food inflation for the twelve months ending March 2024 over the previous twelve-month average was 31.40%, which was 8.69% points increase from the average annual rate of change recorded in March 2023 (22.72%).

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