Connect with us

Stock Market

Stock Markets Ignore Trump’s Second Impeachment

Published

on

Stock - Investors King

Stock Markets Ignore Trump’s Second Impeachment

Stock markets are “shrugging-off” the second impeachment of Donald Trump, with the investor focus instead on the stimulus package, affirms the CEO of one of the world’s largest independent financial advisory and fintech organisations.

The comments from Nigel Green, chief executive and founder of deVere Group, comes as the Senate voted that the second impeachment trial of the former President is constitutional, despite calls from his lawyers and most Republicans to reject proceedings.

Democrats now have up to 16 hours over the next two days to make their case in the Senate to convict Trump.

Mr Green says: “The second impeachment of a U.S. President – a major, far-reaching political event in the world’s largest economy – would normally have Wall Street and stock markets around the world in a tailspin.

“But this is not the case.

“Shares in Asia-Pacific were higher on Wednesday, with Chinese stocks leading gains among the region’s major markets. The pan-European Stoxx 600 moved marginally above the flatline at the opening, whilst U.S. futures point to new record highs.”

He continues: “Markets are shrugging off the impeachment noise coming out of Washington, with Trump’s chances of acquittal high.

“Unless the Democrats are unable to get through another round of fiscal stimulus because of the proceedings, it’s likely that markets will continue to ignore the Senate.

“Investors’ focus is on President Biden’s proposed $1.9 trillion stimulus package, specifically whether it will be watered down and when it will be rolled out – with the hope it will be sooner rather than later.

“In addition, they are looking ahead to see the Biden administration’s policies in action and what they really mean for what sectors and industries.

“Investors will also be eyeing the release of January’s CPI figures as they attempt to predict when U.S. inflation will overshoot due to the fiscal stimulus.”

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell have both been keen to play down the risk of higher inflation from the stimulus. However, rising Treasury yields and measures of inflation expectations indicate otherwise.

The deVere CEO concludes: “It may be ‘round two’ for impeaching Trump, but it’s set to have very little impact on markets. They just aren’t phased. They’re looking ahead, not back.”

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

Continue Reading
Comments

Bonds

A Challenging Bond Auction for the DMO – Coronation Merchant Bank

The DMO held its monthly auction of FGN bonds yesterday. It offered N225bn but raised N200.9bn (USD466.5m) through re-openings of the 2025, 2032 and 2042 FGN bonds.

Published

on

Bonds- Investors King

The DMO held its monthly auction of FGN bonds yesterday. It offered N225bn but raised N200.9bn (USD466.5m) through re-openings of the 2025, 2032 and 2042 FGN bonds.

The participation level was higher when compared to the auction held in July. However, total subscriptions remained lower when compared with the average of the first six months of 2022. The DMO secured a total bid of N247.1bn (USD574.6m) at the bond auction held yesterday.

The bids for the 3, 10 and 20-year benchmarks were allotted at the marginal rates of 12.5% (previously; 11.0%), 13.5% (previously; 13.0%) and 14.0% (previously; 13.7%) respectively.

The relatively low demand at the auction mirrors tight system liquidity. We note that market liquidity stood at a deficit of -N3.6bn on Friday (12 August ‘22). Overnight and repo rates closed within a range of 12 – 15%. The tightness in system liquidity can be partly attributed to CBN’s continuous use of the discretionary cash reserve ratio (CRR) debits.

We suspect that the negative real interest rates given the elevated inflation figure has contributed to investors’ apathy towards FGN bond yields. The latest inflation report released by the NBS shows July’s headline inflation increased by 104bps (when compared with the previous month) to 19.64% y/y. This is the highest reading since 2005.

Meanwhile, average yield in the secondary market for FGN bonds is 12.7% (as at 16 August ’22). The CBN’s in-house estimates suggest that inflation is likely to remain considerably high, partly due to the build-up of increased spending related to the 2023 general elections.

The monetary policy committee (MPC) believes that further tightening would help moderate worsening inflationary trend and narrow the real interest rate gap. The MPC/CBN raised the policy rate by 100bps from 13% to 14% in July ‘22. However, given the upward trend in inflation, expectations of another rate hike is not far-fetched.

The DMO had set out to raise a maximum of N1.9trn by end -Q3 ’22. However, year-todate, it has raised N2.1trn. exceeding its target by 12% or N220bn. Given that the debt management office is expected to offer instruments worth N221 – 240bn through reopenings of the 13.53% FGN MAR 2025, 12.50% FGN APR 2032 and 13.00% FGN JAN 2042 bonds in September, the DMO is likely to exceed its borrowing target for FGN bonds by end -Q3 ’22.

Allowing for the smaller amounts which the FGN raises from the sale of other debt instruments such as NTBs and savings bonds, DMO is on track pro rata to meet or exceed the domestic borrowing target for the year set at N3.53trn.

The FGN was unable to meet its revenue target for Jan – Apr 2022, it underperformed by 51%. FGN’s retained revenue stood at N1.63trn, compared to the prorate target of N3.32trn. Debt service (N1.94trn) accounted for 119% of the FGN’s revenue in April ‘22.

In the near term, we expect increased borrowing (via FGN bonds) to result in an uptick in yields across the curve. We see mid-curve FGN bond yields around 12.0 – 13.5% and yields at the longer-end of the curve between 13.25% – 14.25% over the next one month.

However, the level of system liquidity (impacted by items such as auctions, CRR debits/refunds, bond/NTB maturities, coupon payments and FAAC allocation) would also influence movement in yields.

Continue Reading

Nigerian Exchange Limited

Stock Market Extends Decline as Inflation Rises to 17-Year High in Nigeria

The Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) shed 0.07% on Monday after the NBS report showed inflation rose to a 17-year

Published

on

Nigerian Stock Exchange - Investors King

The Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) shed 0.07% on Monday after the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) report showed inflation rose to a 17-year in Africa’s largest economy in the month of July.

Nigeria’s inflation expanded by 19.64% in July, the highest since September 2005. The persistent increase in prices despite efforts by the central bank to rein in prices and deepen economic productivity forced many investors to start closing their open positions.

The market capitalisation of listed equities declined by another N19 billion to N26.769 trillion following a N571 billion decline recorded last week.

Similarly, NGX All-Share Index lost another 0.07% to close at 49,629.43 index points, this was in addition to 1,058.26 index points or 2.09% depreciation suffered last week.

Investors transacted 210,835,728 shares worth N2.188 billion in 4,122 transactions during the trading hours of Monday, representing a 71.90% decline from 750,285,275 shares that exchanged hands on Friday. E-Transact and financial services stocks were the most traded stocks on Monday as shown below.

A critical look into each sector showed the banking sector gained 15 basis points (bps) on a 4.65% appreciation in the values of Unity Bank, 2.12% gain in Zenith Bank and 0.33% improvement in Fidelity Bank. Jaiz Bank, UBA and Sterling Bank closed in the red.

The industrial index appreciated by 17bps. While consumer goods and oil and gas declined 33bps and 3bps, respectively.

The Exchange year to date declined further to 16.18%. See the details of top gainers and losers below.

Top Gainers

Symbols Last Close Current Change %Change
NEIMETH N 1.40 N 1.53 0.13 9.29 %
UNITYBNK N 0.43 N 0.45 0.02 4.65 %
FCMB N 3.35 N 3.49 0.14 4.18 %
ZENITHBANK N 21.25 N 21.70 0.45 2.12 %
TRANSCORP N 1.07 N 1.08 0.01 0.93 %

Top Losers 

Symbols Last Close Current Change %Change
PRESCO N 158.40 N 142.60 -15.80 -9.97 %
MULTIVERSE N 2.44 N 2.25 -0.19 -7.79 %
IKEJAHOTEL N 1.27 N 1.20 -0.07 -5.51 %
DANGSUGAR N 16.70 N 16.00 -0.70 -4.19 %
JAIZBANK N 0.91 N 0.88 -0.03 -3.30 %

Top Trade

Symbols Volume Value
ETRANZACT 52551673.00 119835326.82
FBNH 23082685.00 249782076.95
UBA 21896502.00 153480014.60
GTCO 15517148.00 315918097.65
TRANSCORP 12741555.00 13710597.18

Continue Reading

Stock Market

Stock Investors Lose N571 Billion Last Week

Investors traded 1.511 billion shares worth N13.547 billion in 20,074 deals last week

Published

on

Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King

Investors in the Nigerian stock market lost N571 billion last week as investors continue to close their positions amid growing economic uncertainty and high borrowing cost.

Investors traded 1.511 billion shares worth N13.547 billion in 20,074 deals last week, against a total of 705.636 million shares valued at N12.850 billion that exchanged hands in 22,124 deals in the previous week.

Analysing activity across key sectors, the Financial Services Industry led the activity chart with 680.202 million shares valued at N4.672 billion traded in 9,230 deals. Therefore, contributing 45.02% and 34.48% to the total equity turnover volume and value, respectively.

The Services Industry followed with 499.178 million shares worth N3.407 billion in 866 deals. In third place was
the ICT Industry, with a turnover of 113.804 million shares worth N2.246 billion in 2,083 deals.

Capital Hotel Plc, FBN Holdings Plc and Jaiz Bank Plc were the three most traded equities. Together, the three accounted for 763.836 million shares worth N5.130 billion that were traded in 1,025 deals and contributed 50.55% and 37.87% to the total equity turnover volume and value, respectively.

The NGX All-Share Index depreciated by 1,058.26 index points or 2.09% to 49,664.07 index points from 50,722.33 index points it closed in the previous week.

Market capitalization depreciated by 2.09% or N571 billion to N26.787 trillion last week, down from N27.358 trillion it settled in the previous week.

Similarly, all other indices finished lower with the exception of  The NGX Insurance, NGX Consumer Goods and NGX Growth Indices which appreciated by 6.00%, 3.00% and 1.56% while, The NGX ASeM index closed flat.

Thirty-three equities appreciated in price during the week, lower than forty-one equities in the previous week. Twenty- six equities depreciated in price higher than Twenty-two in the previous week, while ninety-seven equities remained unchanged higher than ninety-three equities recorded in the previous week.

The Exchange year-to-date return declined to 16.26%. See the details of top gainers and losers below.

Continue Reading
Advertisement




Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement

Trending