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Manufacturing Output Expands by N4.33trn to N16.7trn in 2019

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  • Manufacturing Output Expands by N4.33trn to N16.7trn in 2019

The Nigerian manufacturing output grew by N4.33 trillion in value to N16.78 trillion in 2019, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) disclosed this in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report released for the year.

The sector’s output grew by 34.78 percent when compared with the output of N12.45 trillion achieved in 2018.

Accordingly, out of the 13 subsectors that make up the manufacturing sector, 12 recorded growth during the year under review while one recorded decline in productivity.

The 12 subsectors were listed as cement which grew by N900 billion from N1.34 trillion in 2018 to N2.24 trillion; food, beverage and tobacco expanded by N1.05 trillion from N5.33 trillion to N6.38 trillion, textile apparel and footwear increased from N2.96 trillion to N3.92 trillion.

Also, listed were the wood subsector which grew by N83.07 billion from N350.35 billion in 2018 to N433.42 billion in 2019; pulp, paper and paper products climbed from N128.58 billion to N206.21 billion; chemical and pharmaceutical products jumped from N279.93 billion to N460.43 billion; and non-metallic products grew by N337.03 billion from N590.21 billion to N927.24 billion.

The report stated that plastic and rubber products subsector recorded an increase of about N258 billion from N389.82 billion in 2018 to N648.17 billion, while electrical and electronics, basic metals motor vehicle and other manufacturing grew from N9 billion, N282.3 billion, N114.02 billion and N456.82 billion to N15.29 billion, N452.67 billion, N198.97 billion and N743.95 billion, respectively.

Only oil refining subsector reported a decline of N61.87 billion to N210.65 billion to N148.78 billion.

Speaking on the sector’s economic output, Adetokunbo Kayode, the President, Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Abuja, said: “Our GDP will continue to go up if we continue to place less emphasis on oil. Why did we go into recession? It was because the price of crude oil was going down. It’s not that we are not productive as a country but we need to take our eyes away from crude oil. We need to emphasise opportunities and open new doors.

“We are not a poor country because we are potentially rich. We are depending on crude oil without focussing on the oil value chain, we import diesel, petrol and petrochemicals.

“This is unbelievable. What is difficult in turning these into opportunities for people. Let’s leave oil where it is, develop the value chain and stimulate our manufacturing sector.”

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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Economy

IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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Economy

South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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