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NECA, CIBN, MAN, Others Back Sanusi’s Call for Fuel Subsidy Removal

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  • NECA, CIBN, MAN, Others Back Sanusi’s Call for Fuel Subsidy Removal

Against the backdrop of the statement by the Emir of Kano, Mallam Muhammad Sanusi II, that the country was on the brink of bankruptcy, the Nigeria Employers’ Consultative Association and other stakeholders have asked the Federal Government to scrap fuel subsidy.

Sanusi, a former governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, said on Tuesday that fuel and electricity subsidies as well as debt servicing had continued to eat into government revenue and urged President Muhammadu Buhari to stop the subsidy regime, which he described as fraudulent.

NECA, in its reaction to the Emir’s statement on Wednesday, described fuel subsidy as a conduit for corruption.

The Director-General, NECA, Mr Timothy Olawale, in a telephone interview with one of our correspondents, noted that the association had made its position known on the issue, arguing that the Federal Government should allow market forces to determine the fuel price.

“The fuel subsidy should be scrapped. This has always been the position of NECA. As far as we are concerned, fuel subsidy is a conduit for corruption. It is a means of enriching certain individuals. Such money going into fuel subsidy should be channelled into a productive sector of the economy and not consumption,” he said.

On the issue of debt servicing, the NECA boss described the situation where the FG was spending over 30 per cent of the budget on debt servicing as unsustainable.

“There will be little or nothing left for infrastructure, after recurrent expenditure must have been removed also. It portends a bleak future for the nation, and a burden for the generation yet unborn; it is like going into slavery. It is not sustainable,” Olawale added.

The President, Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria, Dr Uche Olowu, also described fuel subsidy as unsustainable.

“But they (government) must find a way of how they can cushion the effect when they remove the subsidy. There will be pain in the short term. But in the long term, they will use the money from that subsidy to upgrade infrastructure that will encourage wealth creation activities, which will increase employment,” he said.

The Corporate Affairs Director, Manufacturers Association of Nigeria, Mr Ambrose Oruche, said the Organised Private Sector, which MAN belongs to, had taken a position on fuel subsidy in 2014, supporting the removal of fuel subsidy and saying that the money should be invested in infrastructure.

He told one of our correspondents that the body had yet to take a new official position on the current argument about subsidy removal and debt servicing.

The Centre for Social Justice said the continued retention of the fuel subsidy scheme would worsen the funding crisis currently facing the country.

The Lead Director, CSJ, Mr Eze Onyekpere, told one of our correspondents that the country’s revenue profile was not looking better.

“Continuing subsidies on petrol will compound our funding crisis. So, I support the Emir of Kano that the fuel subsidy should be removed because it is in line with what we have been talking about,” he said.

Onyekpere said there might be a critical challenge in the realisation of the revenue and funding needed to implement the 2019 budget.

This, according to him, is against the background of the revelation by the immediate past Minister of Finance, Mrs Zainab Ahmed, that only 55 per cent of the 2018 revenue projections were realised.

He said the revenue underperformance followed the trajectory in previous years where the Federal Government consistently failed to realise budgeted revenue.

Onyekpere said, “We are worried that despite the price of crude oil selling above the benchmark price in the last couple of years, we have hardly met the production target of 2.3 million barrels a day. The recent disclosure that the country produces less than two million barrels a day falls in line with the trajectory of this challenge.

“The dominance of oil in the revenue profile, as well as the relatively meagre revenue expected from the non-oil sector, compounds the revenue challenge. Increasing recurrent expenditure accruing from the increased public minimum wage will imply that we have to partly fund salaries with borrowed money which is not sustainable either in the short, medium or long term.”

He said proceeds from the solid minerals sector were still very low, despite overwhelming evidence of massive illegal mining, adding that revenue leakages from operating surpluses of agencies of government as well as non-remittance had yet to be fully addressed.

A professor of Economics at the Olabisi Onabanjo University, Ago Iwoye, Ogun State, Sheriffdeen Tella, said although the amount expended on fuel subsidy and debt servicing was huge, the country could not go bankrupt.

But he argued that development in some sectors would continue to suffer, saying debt servicing was becoming a big problem that the government must be concerned.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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Economy

IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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Economy

South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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