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Yuletide: Stock Market Sell-off Worsens

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Oscar Onyema
  • Yuletide: Stock Market Sell-off Worsens

Investors in the nation’s stock market have continued to sell off their holdings as Yuletide approaches.

The sell-off in the market strengthened last week as reflected by the dip in the index, which declined from 30,718.72 basis points on Tuesday to its lowest point during the week at 30,568.05 bps on Thursday.

The performance of the market last week was dragged by the sell-offs in heavily weighted stocks in the consumer goods and oil and gas sectors as they both closed negatively, declining by 2.79 per cent and 0.84 per cent, respectively.

The banking, insurance and the industrial goods sector indices were the only indices that registered upward movements during the week.

During the week, the bearish performance in the equities market dragged the All Share Index lower by 0.9 per cent to settle the year-to-date return at -19.80 per cent.

There were 33 gainers and 37 losers, which pegged the market breadth at 0.89x.

A total turnover of 1.169 billion shares worth N14.762bn in 14,554 deals was traded during the week by investors on the floor of the Exchange in contrast to a total of 1.107 billion shares valued at N11.192bn that exchanged hands in the previous week in 14,430 deals.

The financial services industry (measured by volume) led the activity chart with 983.374 million shares valued at N9.358bn traded in 8,484 deals, thus contributing 84.15 per cent and 63.39 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value, respectively.

The banking sector, however, recorded an overall negative performance as it declined by 0.86 per cent, dragging its year-to-date return to -11.52 per cent.

However, the sector breadth at 1.60x was in favour of the bulls, as eight gainers outpaced five losers.

Union Bank of Nigeria Plc outperformed the sector with a share price increase of 14.02 per cent to close at N6.10.

Profit-taking prevailed in the banking sector as sell-offs dominated four of the top seven weighted counters in the sector. Consequently, the losses outweighed the gains recorded on eight counters.

Analysts at Meristem Securities Limited predicted a marginal gain in the sector this week as slight upticks were recorded across the sector’s heavyweight.

The healthcare industry followed with 44.802 million shares worth N183.753m in 253 deals.

The healthcare sector declined by 1.15 per cent to peg the year-to-date return at -21.40 per cent.

Neimeth International Pharmaceuticals Plc was the top gainer, with a share price increase of 3.45 per cent to close at 60 kobo.

Sell-offs in Fidson Healthcare Plc led to a negative close of the sector as the company emerged the top loser with a price decline of 6.12 per cent to close at N4.60.

The third place was occupied by the consumer goods industry with a turnover of 42.758 million shares worth N3.553bn in 2,227 deals.

At the close of the week, the consumer goods sector was awash with negative sentiment as it declined by 2.79 per cent, dragging its year-to-date loss to -26.33 per cent.

The consumer goods sector failed to sustain its bullish trend from the previous week, as selling pressures prevailed on large-cap stocks in the sector.

Cadbury Nigeria Plc was the best-performing stock with a share price gain of 5.82 per cent to close at N10.

On the losers’ end, Nestlé Nigeria Plc recorded the highest loss during the week with a 6.39 per cent decline.

The industrial goods sector advanced by 0.81 per cent, pegging its year-to-date return at -37.81 per cent. The sector breadth settled at 1.33x, as four gainers outpaced three losers.

Cap Plc emerged the highest gainer with an 18.25 per cent gain to close at N37.25 per share.

On the other hand, Cutix Plc led the losers’ chart, shedding 9.64 per cent to close at N1.78 per share.

At the close of the week, the notable gains on counters like Cap Plc and Berger Paints Plc drove the sector to a positive close.

The insurance index gained 0.20 per cent to settle the sector’s year to date loss at -11.90 per cent as four gainers and seven losers pegged the sector breadth at 0.57x.

The insurance sector outperformed other sectors this week, following modest gains on stocks like Continental Reinsurance Plc and Law Union and Rock Insurance Plc.

Veritas Kapital Assurance Plc closed at the top of the gainers’ list with a price increase of 19.05 per cent.

However, Cornerstone Insurance Plc led other laggards, following a decline of 9.09 per cent in its share price.

The oil and gas sector was characterised by bearish sentiment as it dipped by 0.82 per cent at the close of the week. This settled the year-to-date return at -15.59 per cent as the sector breadth closed at 0.75x.

Forte Oil Plc outperformed other stocks in the sector, after gaining 33.89 per cent to close at N24.10.

On the other hand, 11 Plc, Conoil Plc, Oando Plc and Seplat Petroleum Development Company Plc featured on the losers’ chart, closing at N156.60, N20.25, N4.95 and N594 per share, respectively.

Analysts at Meristem said the negative outing at the close of last week could be attributed to selling pressure on some of the sector’s heavily weighted counters, such as Seplat and 11 Plc.

Trading in the top three equities, namely Zenith Bank Plc, FBN Holdings Plc, and United Bank for Africa Plc (measured by volume) accounted for 438.938 million shares worth N5.691bn in 2,962 deals, contributing 37.56 per cent and 38.55 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value, respectively.

The top five gainers last week were Forte Oil, John Holt Plc, Veritas Kapital, Cap Plc and Union Bank, which saw their prices gain 33.89 per cent, 20 per cent, 19.05 per cent, 18.25 per cent and 14.02 per cent, respectively.

The top five losers were 11 Plc, Conoil, Cutix Plc, Livestock Feeds Plc and Chams Plc, whose share prices declined by 10.41 per cent, 10 per cent, 9.64 per cent, 9.62 per cent and 9.09 per cent, respectively.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Finance

Presidential Committee to Exempt 95% of Informal Sector from Taxes

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tax relief

The Presidential Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Committee (PFPTRC) has unveiled plans to exempt a significant portion of the informal sector from taxation.

Chaired by Taiwo Oyedele, the committee aims to alleviate the burden of multiple taxation on small businesses and low-income individuals while fostering economic growth.

The announcement came following the close-out retreat of the PFPTRC in Abuja, where Oyedele addressed reporters over the weekend.

He said the committee is committed to easing the tax burden, particularly for those operating within the informal sector that constitutes a substantial portion of Nigeria’s economy.

Under the proposed reforms, approximately 95% of the informal sector would be granted tax exemptions, sparing them from obligations such as income tax and value-added tax (VAT).

Oyedele stressed the importance of supporting individuals in the informal sector and recognizing their efforts to earn a legitimate living and their contribution to economic development.

The decision was informed by extensive deliberations and data analysis with the committee advocating for a fairer and more equitable tax system.

Oyedele highlighted that individuals earning up to N25 million annually would be exempted from various taxes, aligning with the committee’s commitment to relieving financial pressure on small businesses and low-income earners.

Moreover, the committee emphasized the need for tax reforms to address the prevailing issue of multiple taxation, which disproportionately affects small businesses and the vulnerable population.

By exempting the majority of the informal sector from taxation, the committee aims to stimulate economic growth and promote entrepreneurship.

The proposal for tax reforms is expected to be submitted to the National Assembly by the third quarter of this year, following consultations with the private sector and internal approvals.

The reforms encompass a broad range of measures, including executive orders, regulations, and constitutional amendments, aimed at creating a more conducive environment for business and investment.

In addition to tax exemptions, the committee plans to introduce executive orders and regulations to streamline tax processes and enhance compliance. This includes a new withholding tax regulation exempting small businesses from certain tax obligations, pending ministerial approval.

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Banking Sector

CBN Governor Vows to Tackle High Inflation, Signals Prolonged High Interest Rates

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Central Bank of Nigeria - Investors King

The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Dr. Olayemi Cardoso, has pledged to employ decisive measures, including maintaining high interest rates for as long as necessary.

This announcement comes amidst growing concerns over the country’s soaring inflation rates, which have posed significant economic challenges in recent times.

Speaking in an interview with the Financial Times, Cardoso emphasized the unwavering commitment of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to take whatever steps are essential to rein in inflation.

He underscored the urgency of the situation, stating that there is “every indication” that the MPC is prepared to implement stringent measures to curb the upward trajectory of inflation.

“They will continue to do what has to be done to ensure that inflation comes down,” Cardoso affirmed, highlighting the determination of the CBN to confront the inflationary pressures gripping the economy.

The CBN’s proactive stance on inflation was evident from the outset of the year, with the MPC taking bold steps to tighten monetary policy.

The committee notably raised the benchmark lending rate by 400 basis points during its February meeting, further increasing it to 24.75% in March.

Looking ahead, the next MPC meeting, scheduled for May 20-21, will likely serve as a platform for further deliberations on monetary policy adjustments in response to evolving economic conditions.

Financial analysts have projected continued tightening measures by the MPC in light of stubbornly high inflation rates. Meristem Securities, for instance, anticipates a further uptick in headline inflation for April, underscoring the persistent inflationary pressures facing the economy.

Despite the necessity of maintaining high interest rates to address inflationary concerns, Cardoso acknowledged the potential drawbacks of such measures.

He expressed hope that the prolonged high rates would not dampen investment and production activities in the economy, recognizing the need for a delicate balance in monetary policy decisions.

“Hiking interest rates obviously has had a dampening effect on the foreign exchange market, so that has begun to moderate,” Cardoso remarked, highlighting the multifaceted impacts of monetary policy adjustments.

Addressing recent fluctuations in the value of the naira, Cardoso reassured investors of the central bank’s commitment to market stability.

He emphasized the importance of returning to orthodox monetary policies, signaling a departure from previous unconventional approaches to monetary management.

As the CBN governor charts a course towards stabilizing the economy and combating inflation, his steadfast resolve underscores the gravity of the challenges facing Nigeria’s monetary authorities.

In the face of daunting inflationary pressures, the commitment to decisive action offers a glimmer of hope for achieving stability and sustainable economic growth in the country.

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Banking Sector

NDIC Managing Director Reveals: Only 25% of Customers’ Deposits Insured

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Retail banking

The Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC), Bello Hassan, has revealed that a mere 25% of customers’ deposits are insured by the corporation.

This revelation has sparked concerns about the vulnerability of depositors’ funds and raised questions about the adequacy of regulatory safeguards in Nigeria’s banking sector.

Speaking on the sidelines of the 2024 Sensitisation Seminar for justices of the court of appeal in Lagos, themed ‘Building Strong Depositors Confidence in Banks and Other Financial Institutions through Adjudication,’ Hassan shed light on the limited coverage of deposit insurance for bank customers.

Hassan addressed recent concerns surrounding the hike in deposit insurance coverage and emphasized the need for periodic reviews to ensure adequacy and credibility.

He explained that the decision to increase deposit insurance limits was based on various factors, including the average deposit size, inflation impact, GDP per capita, and exchange rate fluctuations.

Despite the coverage extending to approximately 98% of depositors, Hassan underscored the critical gap between the number of depositors covered and the value of deposits insured.

He stressed that while nearly all depositors are accounted for, only a quarter of the total value of deposits is protected, leaving a significant portion of funds vulnerable to risk.

“The coverage is just 25% of the total value of the deposits,” Hassan affirmed, highlighting the disparity between the number of depositors covered and the actual value of deposits within the banking system.

Moreover, Hassan addressed concerns about moral hazard, emphasizing that the presence of uninsured deposits would incentivize banks to exercise market discipline and mitigate risks associated with reckless behavior.

“The quantum of deposits not covered will enable banks to exercise market discipline and eliminate the issue of moral hazards,” Hassan stated, suggesting that the lack of full coverage serves as a safeguard against irresponsible banking practices.

However, Hassan’s revelations have prompted calls for greater regulatory oversight and transparency within Nigeria’s financial institutions. Critics argue that the current level of deposit insurance falls short of providing adequate protection for depositors, especially in the event of bank failures or financial crises.

The disclosure comes amid ongoing efforts by regulatory authorities to bolster depositor confidence and strengthen the resilience of the banking sector. With concerns mounting over the stability of Nigeria’s financial system, stakeholders are urging for proactive measures to address vulnerabilities and enhance consumer protection.

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