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Merchandise Trade Dropped by N641bn in Q2 — NBS

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  • Merchandise Trade Dropped by N641bn in Q2 — NBS

The National Bureau of Statistics on Thursday released the country’s merchandise trade report for the second quarter of the year, with trade dropping by N641bn from N7.21tn in the first quarter to N6.56tn.

The bureau, in the report which was uploaded on its website, said the country’s second quarter merchandise trade experienced a decline of 8.89 per cent quarter-on-quarter

The report attributed the decline recorded in the second quarter trade to contraction in both imports and exports.

The report read in part, “The total value of Nigeria’s merchandise trade was N6.59tn in the second quarter of 2018, which was a 8.89 per cent contraction from the figure recorded in Q1 2018 at N7.21tn and a 14.56 per cent growth from Q2 2017’s N5.73tn.

“The contraction of total trade in the reviewing quarter was mainly driven by the decline in both imports and exports.”

During the period, the NBS put the country’s trade balance at a surplus of N2.35tn.

This, it noted, was an increase of 8.36 per cent from the N2.17tn recorded in the first quarter of this year.

The report put the total import value for the country at N2.1tn in the second quarter, noting that this was 16.3 per cent lower than the N2.51tn recorded in the first quarter.

Some of the imported items during the period were agricultural produce, N224.52bn; raw materials import, N184.49bn; solid minerals, N17.29bn; energy goods, N98.17bn; and manufactured goods, N1.17tn, among others.

For exports, the NBS said goods worth N4.46tn were exported to other countries.

This, it noted, indicated a contraction of 4.9 per cent over the N4.69tn recorded in the first quarter.

“So, it is a great thing for this country that we are now facing commercial agriculture; this is agriculture with commerce behind it, and it is going to make us rich and self-sufficient, and that is the beauty of it.

The Chairman, WHGF Limited, Capt. Hosa Okunbor (retd), explained that the project, sited on 27 hectares of land with the capacity for 28 hydroponic greenhouses, was designed to produce an estimated 4,200 tonnes per year of agricultural produce as well as earn an estimated revenue of $5m yearly.

Okunbor said that the greenhouse would also contribute towards increasing Nigeria’s food security and self-sufficiency, especially as the country was said to be spending about $360m annually on the importation of tomatoes.

According to him, the farms will directly employ 500 people at full capacity, while thousands of youths and women will be engaged indirectly in the production of many types of vegetables for local consumption as well as export.

He stated that by adopting new technologies, Nigeria could replicate the agricultural success recorded by western countries like Mexico, which generated $32.6m from agricultural exports in 2017.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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