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Farmers, Herders’ Clashes Threaten Output of Cash Crops

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Agriculture
  • Farmers, Herders’ Clashes Threaten Output of Cash Crops

The clashes between farmers and herdsmen in the northern part of Nigeria have threatened the output of the country’s cash crops, according to stakeholders.

Our correspondent learnt that the clashes of the past few years took a toll on the production of exportable crops such as tobacco, cassava, oil seed, fruits, nuts and others which are relied on to earn foreign exchange by the government.

Stakeholders have however regretted that oil continues to dominate the export market despite the huge potential in the agricultural commodities sector.

According to the world top export report, the total export volume from Nigeria in 2017 is $40.7bn, and the top 10 items exported during that period include crude oil – $31.9bn; ships and boats – $253.5m; cocoa – $238.1m; oil seeds – $180.9m; fertilizer – $149.8m; tobacco – $102.4m; plastics – $78.1m; fruits and nuts -$76.1m; hides and skin – $67.9m; and rubber -$55.4m.

Apart from crude oil, six of the items exported were agricultural commodities. Stakeholders noted that since there was a huge volume of agricultural produce exported, despite the shortcomings in the sector, was a pointer to the fact that a lot more exportation could be done from the sector under normal circumstances.

“We can do a lot more exportation from the agricultural sector. However, the herdsmen and farmers’ clashes in the North Central region of Nigeria have caused the output in this sector to decline. The impact of this was seen in the recently released Gross Domestic Product report. Nigeria contributed 0.26 per cent of the world trade in 2017 and 9.8 per cent in Africa, coming third after South Africa – 19.5 per cent and Guinea – 13.7 per cent,” the Chairman, Export Group, Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Mr Bamidele Ayemibo, remarked on Wednesday during the LCCI export symposium.

While delivering a presentation during the symposium, which had the theme ‘Prospects and Challenges of Export in Nigeria: The Way Forward’, Ayemibo regretted that the major foreign exchange earner for Nigeria had remained oil and gas, both constituting 96 per cent of the total exports from the country in 2017.

He said, “Despite the huge prospects that the exportation of other products like processed agricultural products and minerals presents, the challenges in the export business has prevented the country from realising the export potential in these other sectors.

He said there was a surge in non-oil exports in the first quarter of the year where the agriculture and manufacturing sectors were reported to have contributed 12 per cent to the total export, adding that the diversification drive of the Federal Government made this feat possible.

He also said Nigerian manufacturers were waking up to the reality of generating their own foreign exchange, through exportation, following the challenges of accessing foreign exchange during the last economic recession.

In his remarks, the President, LCCI, Mr Babatunde Ruwase, said despite the growth recorded in exports in the first and second quarter of the year, some key consumer-facing sectors still exhibited weakness and vulnerability.

He said, “The slow growth is a reflection of the weak purchasing power of consumers, infrastructure deficit, access and cost of credit and the lagged impact of security conditions in the North.

“The Nigerian government and all relevant stakeholders have been working towards diversifying the economy from over dependence on oil.

“Some steps taken by the government to improve the fortune of the non-oil export sector are commendable. However, more still needs to be done.”

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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