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Power Grid Collapsed Three Times in Q2 – TCN

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Power - Investors King
  • Power Grid Collapsed Three Times in Q2 – TCN

Nigeria’s electricity generation system collapsed three times in the second quarter of this year, the latest report from the Transmission Company of Nigeria obtained on Friday in Abuja indicated.

This is, however, considered a significant improvement over the first quarter’s performance when the grid collapsed seven times.

The report showed that the frequency in the collapse of the grid witnessed a 57.14 per cent decrease in the second quarter of 2018 when compared to what was recorded in the first quarter of this year.

The report indicated that in April, the first month in the second quarter, the grid collapsed two times within a period of five days. There was one collapse in June; but no grid collapse was recorded in May.

Electricity generation figures specifically showed that the grid recorded partial collapse on April 12 and 14.

Generated power on the grid dropped from a high of 3,946.5MW on April 11 to as low as 351.3MW on April 12.

Further findings showed that power generation remained in a partially collapsed state as it only moved up marginally from 351.3MW of April 11 to 596MW on April 14.

Electricity on the grid eventually rose to 3,500MW on April 15, before maintaining some level of stability, according to other documents obtained from the System Operator.

The Nigeria Electricity System Operator is an arm of the Transmission Company of Nigeria.

In May, the grid witnessed no collapse, although the quantum of power dropped to as low as 1,928.1MW on May 25.

It was also observed that while total power on the grid was between 2,300MW and 4,600MW for most of the days in May, the highest quantum of electricity that was supplied to the grid by power generating firms in this month was 5,162.4MW.

The grid collapsed once in June, as it dropped from the 3,659.5MW on June 7, to 41.4MW on June 8.

The highest quantum of power generated in June was 4,883.4MW and this was recorded on June 21.

Findings showed that the country’s power generation system collapsed six times in the first eight days of 2018. It also witnessed another collapse on the first day of February this year.

On February 5, 2018, the media reported the collapse of the national electricity grid from a high of 4,699.9MW on January 31, to 219MW on February 1.

Power generation then consistently hovered around 3,900MW for the most part of February and March 2018 as there was no system collapse in March.

Meanwhile, further findings showed that so far in the month of July (first month in third quarter 2018), the grid has not recorded any collapse, whether full or partial.

The highest quantum of power on the grid in July was given as 4,684MW, which was recorded on July 4, while the lowest of 2,399.5MW was recorded on July 2, according to latest documents from the TCN.

The Chief Executive Officer, TCN, Usman Mohammed, had explained that there was a need for adequate investment in order to stabilise the grid, adding that the transmission company, with the support of international financiers, had been investing in its network to boost the grid’s performance.

“There are certain things that need to be put in place for us to have grid stability and one of them is that we need to put in adequate investments,” he said.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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Economy

IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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