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Policy Inconsistency, Others Stifling Investment —Experts

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  • Policy Inconsistency, Others Stifling Investment —Experts

Experts in the financial and economic space have said inconsistency in government policies and corruption are stifling investment in the country.

The experts, who spoke in separate interviews with our correspondent, said there was no platform for capital inflows in Nigeria.

The Head, Department of Finance, University of Lagos, Prof Rufus Olowe, said there was a need for government to create an enabling environment for investors to bring in money.

He stated that the factors affecting investment in the country were unstable interest rate, inconsistency in policies, corruption and political uncertainty.

According to him, one of the ways to attract investment is through the exchange rate policy.

He said the exchange rate policy needed to be strong to make it easier for investors.

“Anybody trying to invest in Nigeria wants the Return on Investment to be attractive. We must have a good foreign exchange rate policy that will be favourable to investors. We must also create a good political environment where there is no uncertainty, because this can create doubt and uncertainty for investors. Investors usually look out for certainty, and this is what can facilitate investment into the country,” he added.

Olowe stated that the uncertainty in the country was due to corruption.

According to him, the people involved in corruption are the powerful people in the society, which makes it hard to curb.

He attributed the low foreign capital inflow into the country to the high level of corruption.

Olowe said, “There is large-scale corruption in Nigeria, and these are some of the things creating uncertainty and stifling investment in the country. The current government is trying to do something to curb the corruption level because corruption level is what translates into political issues.

“The government should focus on reducing corruption to the barest minimum, because many politicians are not serving and ruling genuinely. They give fake polices to their people and only enrich their pockets. Many of our leaders are unpatriotic and corrupt, and this has made many multilateral agencies to scrutinise our proposals thoroughly because of the level of corruption in the country.”

He added that if there was transparency and integrity in everything, people would invest more in the country.

The Managing Director, Cowry Asset Management Limited, Johnson Chukwu, described government policies as necessary for orderly and rapid economic development.

According to him, what the country suffers is lack of policy direction and lack of appropriate policy guidelines.

He stated that the country’s slow development was due to the direction of government policies, adding that appropriate government policies and economic directions were needed for the private sector to come in and invest in any sector.

He said, “If I were in government, I would focus on infrastructural development, human capital development, and internal security. It would take government a lot of years to get enough capital to build the infrastructure we need. It then means that a public-private partnership is needed to attract investment into the economy. Then an appropriate policy to encourage private investment would be followed.”

A professor of Economics at the University of Lagos, Olufemi Saibu, described the attraction of capital inflow into the economy as a function of a credible government.

He said if policies of government were credible and consistent, it would be easy for people to invest their resources in the country.

“The fact that the economy is going down will not drive investment inflow. Our interest rate must be competitive, and ROI must be comparable. If ROI is low, investment will be low,” Saibu stated.

He said there should be checks and balances to enable people to know the processes, procedures, and relevant agencies, as well as the documents required for investment.

He stated that if the processes were transparent and seamless, it would encourage people to invest, adding that government should streamline the process of investment in Nigeria by making the rules clear and well-established.

Saibu said, “The political environment should also be stable, because it is a major determinant of the economic environment. There will be sluggishness in our capital inflow in the next few months because of the coming elections. That is why I always say Nigeria is not ripe for a four-year election period. We need to find a way to create a longer and stable election period that will allow more time between elections.

“We need to get hold of our political environment, economic policy environment as well as the returns people get on investment. Once these areas are taken care of, the flow will come and will be sustained.”

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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Economy

IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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Economy

South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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