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Rising Diesel, Kerosene Prices Hit Households, Businesses

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Kerosene
  • Rising Diesel, Kerosene Prices Hit Households, Businesses

The prices of diesel and kerosene have risen significantly on the back of the increase in global oil prices, putting more pressure on households and businesses in the country.

The international oil benchmark rose to $80.50 per barrel on May 17, its highest since November 2014, but fell below $75 per barrel on Tuesday.

Many businesses, especially manufacturers, in the country have over the years continued to rely heavily on diesel-powered generators for electricity as supply from the national grid remains poor.

The price of diesel ranges from N230 to N250 per litre in many filling stations in Lagos, while kerosene, which a lot of households still depend on for cooking, sells for as high as N240 per litre in some stations.

The volume of kerosene imported into the country has dropped drastically in recent months. It declined to a low of 5.49 million litres in March from 27.15 million litres in February and 34.25 million litres in January, according to the National Bureau of Statistics.

The NBS said the average price per litre paid by consumers for kerosene increased by 3.53 per cent to N278.49 in April from N268.99 in March.

It said Abuja had the highest average price per litre of kerosene with N316.67. This, it stated, is closely followed by Cross River (N315.56) and Nasarawa (N309.52); while states with the lowest average price were given as Akwa Ibom (N247.22), Abia (N245.25) and Katsina (N244.87).

The average price paid by consumers for automotive gas oil (diesel) decreased by one per cent to N204.35 in April from N206.41 in March, according to the NBS.

“States with the highest average price of diesel were Taraba (N250.00) Adamawa (N227.50) and Sokoto (N224.00). States with the lowest average price of diesel were Oyo (N191.28), Delta (N190.77) and Bayelsa (N188.33),” it said.

The National Operations Controller, Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria, Mr. Mike Osatuyi, said, “The two products are already deregulated, and the increase in their prices is a function of crude price. Crude oil recently rose to $80 per barrel, so the landing cost of those two products is going to rise.

“As far as crude oil price remains high, the price of the products will continue to go up. Even if the exchange rate is constant, it has to be a reflection of the international price.”

The Director-General, Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Mr. Muda Yusuf, said, “This is one point that we often gloss over when we have high oil prices. We celebrate that crude oil price has gone up, that we are getting more revenue but we often don’t realise or don’t notice that high oil prices also lead to high energy cost.”

He noted that because the products had been fully deregulated, “their prices fluctuate and change in line with crude oil prices, particularly because our refineries are not functioning.

“So, we are paying dearly for the fact that we don’t have refineries that function; we pay highly for the fact that crude oil price is going up, and there is nothing in the policy framework to kind of cushion the effects on the private sector.”

According to Yusuf, the hike in the prices of the products increases businesses’ costs of production; it makes competitiveness, business sustainability, and the capacity of businesses to generate employment more difficult.

“It makes economic diversification also more difficult because energy is central to many economic activities; so my view is that it is something that we need to take proper notice of; that when we have high oil price, energy cost also goes up; and it hurts a lot of investors,” he added.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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Economy

IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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Economy

South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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