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Cordros Capital Allays Fear of Capital Market Bubble

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Cordros Money Market Fund
  • Cordros Capital Allays Fear of Capital Market Bubble

Cordros Capital says the current rally in the country’s stock market does not, in any way, suggest a bubble scenario.

The company, in its 2018 outlook for the country, said the market was largely driven by fundamentals.

Presenting the outlook to newsmen in Lagos, the firm’s Head, Research and Strategy, Mr. Christian Orajekwe, said the equities gain of 2017 was the market’s first in three years of cumulative 40 per cent loss, adding that in dollar terms, the return was around 25 per cent.

Orajekwe said, “Back-to-back gain of more than 80 per cent total is not a new phenomenon. Bull markets do not die of old age.

“Compared to the last two years, Nigeria’s macro outlook is more favourable to equities”

He said the equities market recorded a strong January start this year like the case of 2007, 2010, and 2013, driven by a moderate improvement in the macro environment, stable to modest corporate earnings growth, modest improvement in portfolio inflows over 2017, marginal moderation of fixed income and treasury yields, and modest election concerns.”

To this end, the Head, Investment Banking, Cordros Capital, Mr. Femi Ademola, urged investors to cherry-pick stocks, and hold 2017 position and watch out for Q4 2017 and Q1 2018 earnings.

He said, “Small cap companies are to benefit from stronger recovery of economic activities, election-related spending, passage of the minimum wage bill into law, and improvement in public sector revenue while raw materials intensive companies are to benefit from the stability of the naira.

“Highly geared companies are to benefit from the expected moderation of interest rates while cement companies are to benefit from the expected improvement in public sector construction activities as well as research/development and capital expenditure-oriented companies.

For consumers goods, the 2018 catalysts, according to Orajekwe, are: improvement in consumer spending (better macro, reduced inflationary pressure, election spending, passage of minimum wage); low interest rate and deleveraged balance sheet; foreign exchange stability; and impressive 2017 performance rubbing off on consumer goods stocks in 2018.”

However, the 2018 risks for consumer goods stocks, he added, included: external pressure (continued modest or lower growth, forex and inflation risks, and constrained government spending); competition (the attractive profits of 2017 and improved access to the United States dollar will encourage mass return of the smaller players and ignite market share war); policy issues (fuel and power tariff hikes); and valuation issues (weak upside, following 2017 bull run).

-Commenting on the 2018 budget, he said early presentation was good albeit the likelihood of an early passage and signing of the budget.

“Oil revenue assumptions are realistic. Non-oil revenue estimates, particularly taxation and Internally-Generated Revenue are very ambitious. Other revenues are also ambitious, although they have strongly supported gross revenue in past years,” he said.

“A 50:50 split between domestic and external borrowing was observed. The risk of deficit exceeding budget is low to moderate. Except on extreme difficult revenue condition, priority will be given to capital expenditure,” Orajekwe added.

Major catalysts for agriculture companies in 2018, he explained, include: supportive macroeconomic environment, energy diversification and expansion drive while the major risks include: policy reversal, unfavourable weather condition and security threat.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Loans

Akinwumi Adesina Calls for Debt Transparency to Safeguard African Economic Growth

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Akinwumi Adesina

Amidst the backdrop of mounting concerns over Africa’s ballooning external debt, Akinwumi Adesina, the President of the African Development Bank (AfDB), has emphatically called for greater debt transparency to protect the continent’s economic growth trajectory.

In his address at the Semafor Africa Summit, held alongside the International Monetary Fund and World Bank 2024 Spring Meetings, Adesina highlighted the detrimental impact of non-transparent resource-backed loans on African economies.

He stressed that such loans not only complicate debt resolution but also jeopardize countries’ future growth prospects.

Adesina explained the urgent need for accountability and transparency in debt management, citing the continent’s debt burden of $824 billion as of 2021.

With countries dedicating a significant portion of their GDP to servicing these obligations, Adesina warned that the current trajectory could hinder Africa’s development efforts.

One of the key concerns raised by Adesina was the shift from concessional financing to more expensive and short-term commercial debt, particularly Eurobonds, which now constitute a substantial portion of Africa’s total debt.

He criticized the prevailing ‘Africa premium’ that raises borrowing costs for African countries despite their lower default rates compared to other regions.

Adesina called for a paradigm shift in the perception of risk associated with African investments, advocating for a more nuanced approach that reflects the continent’s economic potential.

He stated the importance of an orderly and predictable debt resolution framework, called for the expedited implementation of the G20 Common Framework.

The AfDB President also outlined various initiatives and instruments employed by the bank to mitigate risks and attract institutional investors, including partial credit guarantees and synthetic securitization.

He expressed optimism about Africa’s renewable energy sector and highlighted the Africa Investment Forum as a catalyst for large-scale investments in critical sectors.

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Banking Sector

UBA, Access Holdings, and FBN Holdings Lead Nigerian Banks in Electronic Banking Revenue

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UBA House Marina

United Bank for Africa (UBA) Plc, Access Holdings Plc, and FBN Holdings Plc have emerged as frontrunners in electronic banking revenue among the country’s top financial institutions.

Data revealed that these banks led the pack in income from electronic banking services throughout the 2023 fiscal year.

UBA reported the highest electronic banking income of  N125.5 billion in 2023, up from N78.9 billion recorded in the previous year.

Similarly, Access Holdings grew electronic banking revenue from N59.6 billion in the previous year to N101.6 billion in the year under review.

FBN Holdings also experienced an increase in electronic banking revenue from N55 billion in 2022 to N66 billion.

The rise in electronic banking revenue underscores the pivotal role played by these banks in facilitating digital financial transactions across Nigeria.

As the nation embraces digitalization and transitions towards cashless transactions, these banks have capitalized on the growing demand for electronic banking services.

Tesleemah Lateef, a bank analyst at Cordros Securities Limited, attributed the increase in electronic banking income to the surge in online transactions driven by the cashless policy implemented in the first quarter of 2023.

The policy incentivized individuals and businesses to conduct more transactions through digital channels, resulting in a substantial uptick in electronic banking revenue.

Furthermore, the combined revenue from electronic banking among the top 10 Nigerian banks surged to N427 billion from N309 billion, reflecting the industry’s robust growth trajectory in digital financial services.

The impressive performance of UBA, Access Holdings, and FBN Holdings underscores their strategic focus on leveraging technology to enhance customer experience and drive financial inclusion.

By investing in digital payment infrastructure and promoting digital payments among their customers, these banks have cemented their position as industry leaders in the rapidly evolving landscape of electronic banking in Nigeria.

As the Central Bank of Nigeria continues to promote digital payments and reduce the country’s dependence on cash, banks are poised to further capitalize on the opportunities presented by the digital economy.

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Loans

Nigeria’s $2.25 Billion Loan Request to Receive Final Approval from World Bank in June

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IMF - Investors King

Nigeria’s $2.25 billion loan request is expected to receive final approval from the World Bank in June.

The loan, consisting of $1.5 billion in Development Policy Financing and $750 million in Programme-for-Results Financing, aims to bolster Nigeria’s developmental efforts.

Finance Minister Wale Edun hailed the loan as a “free lunch,” highlighting its favorable terms, including a 40-year term, 10 years of moratorium, and a 1% interest rate.

Edun highlighted the loan’s quasi-grant nature, providing substantial financial support to Nigeria’s economic endeavors.

While the loan request awaits formal approval in June, Edun revealed that the World Bank’s board of directors had already greenlit the credit, currently undergoing processing.

The loan signifies a vote of confidence in Nigeria’s economic resilience and strategic response to global challenges, as showcased during the recent Spring Meetings.

Nigeria’s delegation, led by Edun, underscored the nation’s commitment to addressing economic obstacles and leveraging international partnerships for sustainable development.

With the impending approval of the $2.25 billion loan, Nigeria looks poised to embark on transformative initiatives, buoyed by crucial financial backing from the World Bank.

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