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Capital Bancorp Rates Economy, Stocks High this Year

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King
  • Capital Bancorp Rates Economy, Stocks High this Year

Capital Bancorp Plc has predicted a bullish year for the Nigerian stock market and the economy at large, given the current positive indicators in the macroeconomic environment.

The frontline capital market operator with about 30-year presence in the market space, gave the insight in its special 70-page report dubbed, ‘Economic Review and Outlook for 2018’. The report has been formally released to the financial press.

The company also highlighted some headwinds that could moderate the economy as well as market performance in the year if not managed.

The company’s Managing Director, Mr. Higo Aigboje, while addressing the media in Lagos on Tuesday, said the current price of oil and volume currently being produced in the economy as well as efforts of the current government targeted at diversifying the economy’s revenue base via improved taxation and massive agricultural development, were strong economic impetus.

He also said the performance boosters of The Exchange for the year were: stability of oil prices; effective management and improved liquidity of the foreign exchange market; improvement on corporate earnings; significant focus on the non-oil sector to increase output and lower interest rate regime.

Aigboje said, “This will be driven by effective synergy in the use of fiscal and monetary policies, government’s focus on the real sector of the economy, improved market participation by local investors and domestic institutional investors, efficient regulation of the market by the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Nigerian Stock Exchange.

“Others are passage of the Petroleum Industry Bill, unbundling of the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation and listing of resultant companies and deliberate efforts aimed at encouraging more listings on the Exchange by companies in the telecoms, power generation and distribution spaces, among others.”

Aigboje, however, explained that issues such as sudden rise in insecurity as a result of the planned general elections, could cause some sort of political instability, thus triggering the exit of the Foreign Portfolio Investors, adding that, “Sudden reversal in oil prices, an upturn in the yields of fixed income securities and failure in the banking sector may trigger a sell-off and cause further damage to the entire stock market.”

According to him, the company’s review of the global and Nigerian financial markets was designed to serve as a compass for both indigenous and foreign investors as is as potential investors.

By the review’s executive summary which was presented by the company’s Chief Analyst, Mr. Victor Chiazor, Capital Bancorp forecast that the global economic growth would hit 3.5 per cent this year as against 3.1 per cent last year.

“ With ample opportunities in some stocks in the banking sector and the consumer goods sector of the equities market , we have projected a 25 per cent return for the Nigerian stock market in 2018, though downward risks to achieving this target remain visible,”Chiazor said.

Speaking on Bancorp e-Trade, Aigboje noted that it was a high-technological innovation aimed at promoting financial inclusion in Nigeria.

According to him, the product allows an investor to trade online in the stock market and it is being upgraded for additional uses.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Loans

Akinwumi Adesina Calls for Debt Transparency to Safeguard African Economic Growth

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Akinwumi Adesina

Amidst the backdrop of mounting concerns over Africa’s ballooning external debt, Akinwumi Adesina, the President of the African Development Bank (AfDB), has emphatically called for greater debt transparency to protect the continent’s economic growth trajectory.

In his address at the Semafor Africa Summit, held alongside the International Monetary Fund and World Bank 2024 Spring Meetings, Adesina highlighted the detrimental impact of non-transparent resource-backed loans on African economies.

He stressed that such loans not only complicate debt resolution but also jeopardize countries’ future growth prospects.

Adesina explained the urgent need for accountability and transparency in debt management, citing the continent’s debt burden of $824 billion as of 2021.

With countries dedicating a significant portion of their GDP to servicing these obligations, Adesina warned that the current trajectory could hinder Africa’s development efforts.

One of the key concerns raised by Adesina was the shift from concessional financing to more expensive and short-term commercial debt, particularly Eurobonds, which now constitute a substantial portion of Africa’s total debt.

He criticized the prevailing ‘Africa premium’ that raises borrowing costs for African countries despite their lower default rates compared to other regions.

Adesina called for a paradigm shift in the perception of risk associated with African investments, advocating for a more nuanced approach that reflects the continent’s economic potential.

He stated the importance of an orderly and predictable debt resolution framework, called for the expedited implementation of the G20 Common Framework.

The AfDB President also outlined various initiatives and instruments employed by the bank to mitigate risks and attract institutional investors, including partial credit guarantees and synthetic securitization.

He expressed optimism about Africa’s renewable energy sector and highlighted the Africa Investment Forum as a catalyst for large-scale investments in critical sectors.

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Banking Sector

UBA, Access Holdings, and FBN Holdings Lead Nigerian Banks in Electronic Banking Revenue

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UBA House Marina

United Bank for Africa (UBA) Plc, Access Holdings Plc, and FBN Holdings Plc have emerged as frontrunners in electronic banking revenue among the country’s top financial institutions.

Data revealed that these banks led the pack in income from electronic banking services throughout the 2023 fiscal year.

UBA reported the highest electronic banking income of  N125.5 billion in 2023, up from N78.9 billion recorded in the previous year.

Similarly, Access Holdings grew electronic banking revenue from N59.6 billion in the previous year to N101.6 billion in the year under review.

FBN Holdings also experienced an increase in electronic banking revenue from N55 billion in 2022 to N66 billion.

The rise in electronic banking revenue underscores the pivotal role played by these banks in facilitating digital financial transactions across Nigeria.

As the nation embraces digitalization and transitions towards cashless transactions, these banks have capitalized on the growing demand for electronic banking services.

Tesleemah Lateef, a bank analyst at Cordros Securities Limited, attributed the increase in electronic banking income to the surge in online transactions driven by the cashless policy implemented in the first quarter of 2023.

The policy incentivized individuals and businesses to conduct more transactions through digital channels, resulting in a substantial uptick in electronic banking revenue.

Furthermore, the combined revenue from electronic banking among the top 10 Nigerian banks surged to N427 billion from N309 billion, reflecting the industry’s robust growth trajectory in digital financial services.

The impressive performance of UBA, Access Holdings, and FBN Holdings underscores their strategic focus on leveraging technology to enhance customer experience and drive financial inclusion.

By investing in digital payment infrastructure and promoting digital payments among their customers, these banks have cemented their position as industry leaders in the rapidly evolving landscape of electronic banking in Nigeria.

As the Central Bank of Nigeria continues to promote digital payments and reduce the country’s dependence on cash, banks are poised to further capitalize on the opportunities presented by the digital economy.

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Loans

Nigeria’s $2.25 Billion Loan Request to Receive Final Approval from World Bank in June

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IMF - Investors King

Nigeria’s $2.25 billion loan request is expected to receive final approval from the World Bank in June.

The loan, consisting of $1.5 billion in Development Policy Financing and $750 million in Programme-for-Results Financing, aims to bolster Nigeria’s developmental efforts.

Finance Minister Wale Edun hailed the loan as a “free lunch,” highlighting its favorable terms, including a 40-year term, 10 years of moratorium, and a 1% interest rate.

Edun highlighted the loan’s quasi-grant nature, providing substantial financial support to Nigeria’s economic endeavors.

While the loan request awaits formal approval in June, Edun revealed that the World Bank’s board of directors had already greenlit the credit, currently undergoing processing.

The loan signifies a vote of confidence in Nigeria’s economic resilience and strategic response to global challenges, as showcased during the recent Spring Meetings.

Nigeria’s delegation, led by Edun, underscored the nation’s commitment to addressing economic obstacles and leveraging international partnerships for sustainable development.

With the impending approval of the $2.25 billion loan, Nigeria looks poised to embark on transformative initiatives, buoyed by crucial financial backing from the World Bank.

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