The Australian dollar continued its downward trend following series of weak economic data and fall in global copper price.
The gross domestic product number released on Wednesday showed the economy expanded 0.6 percent in the third quarter, less than experts projected and reinforced the impact of high foreign exchange rate on economic activities as stated by the Reserve Bank of Australia in September.
Accordingly, rising household debt amid strong job creation and sluggish wage growth continued to weigh on consumer buying power and retail sales, suggesting that while Christmas shopping may boost sales, sustainability will remain key issue in the first quarter of 2018. This is because consumers are likely to exhaust savings amid rising household debt, and force retailers to resume price war in order to boost sales.
Also, with China planning to cut credit facility and reduce steel importation to curb extreme pollution. The economic outlook is likely to remain weak for the first half of 2018 and revamp towards the third quarter on lower exchange rate, especially as businesses and investors tend to invest more at a lower rate.
Since AUDUSD sell opportunity was first mentioned in September, this pair has dropped 574 pips to 0.7506 supports. Hitting all our three targets and on course for the fourth target. However, with the weaker than expected Australian economic data, this AUDUSD is likely to extend its bearish move below the ascending channel. Therefore, a close below the channel should increase sellers’ interest of the pair towards 0.7385 supports as shown above.
Again, while the US economic data remain strong, the uncertainties surrounding the economy due to Russian investigation and geopolitical tension, especially after Trump recognized Jerusalem may disrupt AUDUSD outlook temporarily.
CEO/Founder Investors King Ltd, a foreign exchange research analyst, contributing author on New York-based Talk Markets and Investing.com, with over a decade experience in the global financial markets.
Naira remained pressured across key foreign exchange markets on Friday, March 5, 2021 as scarcity persists. The local currency traded at N480 to a United States Dollar at the parallel market on Friday morning while it exchanged at N675 to a British Pound and N582 to the European common currency.
Naira Exchanges at N427 Against the United States Dollar on I&E FX Window
The Nigerian Naira plunged to as low as N427.45 against the United States Dollar on the Investors and Exporters Foreign Exchange Window on Thursday, March 4, 2021.
The local currency pulled back to N406.50 a US Dollar but opened lower at N412.50 on Friday morning.
Investors traded $66.99 million during the trading hours of Thursday.
At the black market section of the foreign exchange, Naira traded at N480 against the United States Dollar while the British Pound was exchanged at N673.
The Euro common currency remained unchanged at N580, the same rate it exchanged on Monday.
Despite the surge in the oil price to N67 per barrel and a series of forex policies, the Central Bank of Nigeria continues to struggle with low dollar liquidity across the board.
Nigeria’s foreign reserves declined by about $1 billion in one month as Africa’s largest economy struggles with the weak fiscal buffer necessary to mitigate COVID-19 impacts and deepen productivity.
It would be recalled that the Central Bank of Nigeria adjusted its diaspora foreign remittance policy to curb rising foreign exchange rates and put an end to black market transactions hurting the nation’s local currency value.
However, since the new policy was enacted in November 2020, forex scarcity remained pervasive with diaspora remittance inflow expected to decline by $2 billion in 2020.
Naira exchanged lower against global counterparts on Thursday morning as scarcity persists across forex segments. Naira traded at N480 to United States Dollar on the black market while to a British Pound it sold for N672 as shown below.