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Q3: Foreign Portfolio Investments Jump 259% on Renewed Demand for Equities

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Forex Weekly Outlook March 6 - 10
  • Q3: Foreign Portfolio Investments Jump 259% on Renewed Demand for Equities

Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI) jumped by 259.2 per cent in the third quarter(Q3) ended September 30, 2017 to $2.77 billion, which is a consolidation on the increase recorded in second quarter of 2017 (Q2-17). The figures are the highest since the $5.13 billion recorded in Q3 of 2014. However, the sizable increase in FPI was mostly driven by a monumental 860.7 per cent year on year(y/y) surge in equities (214.6 per cent q/q) to $1.93 billion, accounting for 70 per cent of total FPI, and a grand leap (105.6 per cent y/y and 630.2 q/q to $719 million in capital investments in the form of money market instruments.

Corroborating the significant inflows into equities, the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) latest report on FPI reveals that foreign inflows surged 205.7 per cent y/y and 64.3 per cent q/q to N252.33 billion in the three months to September, from N82.54 billion and N153.62 billion in Q3-16 and Q2-17 respectively.

Analysts at Cordros Capital Limited said the improved FPI and inflow into equities market stem from improving foreign exchange liquidity, boosting transparency in FX transactions, and increasing dollar inflows from autonomous sources) of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN)’s “Investors & Exporter’s” FX window, established towards the tail end of April.

The policy is attracting offshore inflows amid appealing valuation – supported by positively changing macroeconomic fundamentals.

“Still supportive of the potency of the I&E FX window is the sizable increase in the total turnover in the window by 171 per cent q/q to $10.16 billion in the three months to September, compared to $3.74 billion in Q2-17, and by extension, the 52.76 per cent q/q increase in total turnover in the domestic bourse to N360.73 billion in Q3-17, from N236.14 billion in the previous quarter. Equally reflective of investor confidence in the I&E window is the 15.8 per cent q/q growth (to $114.65 billion, from $99.0 billion) in the total OTC market turnover in Q3-17, as reported by the FMDQ OTC Securities Exchange,” the analysts said.

According to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), capital inflows into the domestic economy expectedly recorded a notable improvement in the three months to September 2017, expanding by 127.5% y/y and 131.3% q/q to USD4.15 billion (highest since Q4-14), from USD1.82 billion and USD1.79 billion respectively.

As was the case in Q2-17, in terms of contribution, Portfolio Investment (259.2 per cent q/q and 200.7 per cent y/y to $2.77 billion) accounted for the most (67 per cent ) capital importation of $4.15 billion, from $1.82 billion.

“In line with our earlier guidance, the surge in capital imported into the country was driven by progressing improvement in the foreign exchange market, which, by extension, sustained the rally in the equities market, in addition to an attractive interest rate environment – attracting higher inflows into the fixed income space,” analysts said.

CEO/Founder Investors King Ltd, a foreign exchange research analyst, contributing author on New York-based Talk Markets and Investing.com, with over a decade experience in the global financial markets.

Investment

Union Bank Launches Investment App M36 for Fixed-income Products, Others

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M36, a new digital platform designed to deliver a wide range of investment products directly to individuals, has launched in Nigeria.

Through an innovative, user-friendly app, M36 offers investment options not typically available on self-service digital platforms including foreign currency transactions, commercial papers, local and foreign denominated bonds, treasury bills and other fixed income products.

M36 also offers bespoke solutions for both new and experienced investors as well as a 24-hour lifestyle concierge service to meet the needs of discerning customers.

In a rapidly evolving environment with changing consumer behavior fueled by technology and growing access to information, M36 is looking to expand opportunities for investors at all levels, while also simplifying the process of investing.

M36 was developed by Union Bank as part of its strategic focus on delivering superior customer solutions leveraging technology and innovation.

The Bank partnered with several asset management companies to deliver the broad range of investment products on the M36 platform.

Chuka Emerole, Head, Treasury at Union Bank said about M36:

“M36 eliminates the traditional barriers to investing and offers investors direct access to financial instruments that would usually require the service of an investment or relationship manager.

“We’ve designed M36 to ensure simplicity in the onboarding and investing process while also empowering the customer to make sound investment choices based on their financial objectives.

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United States Firms Operating in Nigeria Plans to Invest $2.4 Billion in Nigeria – Report

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United States Firms Operating in Nigeria Plans to Invest $2.4 Billion in Nigeria – Report

A report compiled by the American Business Council, the United States Embassy, Verraki, KPMG and PwC showed American firms operating in Nigeria plans to invest $2.37 billion in the country in the next three years.

In the 2020 Nigeria Economic Impact Survey, the impact of US firms on the Nigerian economy was analysed while changes in business revenue, foreign investment, job creation, gross value added and plans for expansion were measured.

45 United States companies operating in Nigeria were surveyed and data obtained analysed, according to the report.

The report revealed that US companies in Nigeria created over 30,000 indirect jobs in 2019, a decline from three million in 2018 and over 13,100 direct jobs, down from 18,000 in 2018.

The firms realised N1.08 trillion in revenue in 2019, representing a decline from N1.47 trillion when compared to N1.47 trillion generated in 2018.

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Afreximbank, AAAM to Drive Automotive Investment

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Afreximbank

Afreximbank, AAAM to Drive Automotive Investment

The African Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank) and the African Association of Automotive Manufacturers (AAAM) have entered into a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) for the financing and promotion of the automotive industry in Africa.

President of Afreximbank, Prof. Benedict Oramah and President of AAAM/Managing Director of Nissan Africa, Mike Whitfield, signed the MoU in early February, according to a statement yesterday.

The deal formalised the basis for a partnership aimed at boosting regional automotive value chains and financing for the automotive industry while supporting the development of enabling policies, technical assistance, and capacity building initiatives.

Oramah, said, “the strategic partnership with AAAM will facilitate the implementation of the Bank’s Automotive programme which aims to catalyze the development of the automotive industry in Africa as the continent commences trade under the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA).”

Under the terms of the MoU, Afreximbank and AAAM will work together to foster the emergence of regional value chains with a focus on value-added manufacturing created through partnerships between global Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEM), suppliers, and local partners.

The two organisations plan to undertake comprehensive studies to map potential regional automotive value chains on the continent in regional economic clusters, in order to enable the manufacture of automotive components for supply to hub assemblers.

“To support the emergence of the African automotive industry, they will collaborate to provide financing to industry players along the whole automotive value chain. The potential interventions include lines of credit, direct financing, project financing, supply chain financing, guarantees, and equity financing, amongst others.

“The MoU also provides for them to support, in conjunction with the African Union Commission and the AfCFTA Secretariat, the development of coherent national, regional and continental automotive policies, and strategies.

“With an integrated market under the AfCFTA, abundant and cheap labour, natural resource wealth, and a growing middle class, African countries are increasingly turning their attention to support the emergence of their automotive industries.

“Therefore, the collaboration between Afreximbank and AAAM will be an opportunity to empower the aspirations of African countries towards re-focusing their economies on industrialisation and export manufacturing and fostering the emergence of regional value chains,” the statement added.

“The signing of the MoU with Afreximbank is an exciting milestone for the development of the automotive industry in Africa. At the 2020 digital Africa Auto Forum, the lack of affordable financing available for the automotive sector was identified as one of the key inhibiters for the growth and development of the automotive industry in Africa and having Afreximbank on board is a game changer and a hugely positive development,” CEO of AAAM, David Coffey said.

“It is wonderful to have a partner that is as committed as the AAAM to driving the development and growth of our sector on the continent; this collaboration will ensure genuine progress for our industry in Africa,” Coffey added.

Other areas covered by the MoU include working with the African Union and the African Organisation for Standardisation to harmonise automotive standards across the continent and developing an automotive focused training program for both the public and private sector.

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