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Senate Probes $60bn Loss in 24-year-old Oil Deal

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  • Senate Probes $60bn Loss in 24-year-old Oil Deal

The Senate has begun investigation into the alleged loss of about $60bn to the non-enforcement of the terms of Production Sharing Contracts signed between the Federal Government, through the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation, and International Oil Companies in 1993.

This followed the adoption of a motion entitled, ‘Need to Enforce the Terms of 1993 PSC Agreement between the lOCs and the Federal Government’, and moved by Senator Donald Alasoadura and co-sponsored by Senators Ahmadu Abubakar, Baba Kaka Bashir Garbai and Ali Wakili.

The upper chamber of the National Assembly mandated the Committee on Petroleum Resources (Upstream) to “investigate the implementation of Production Sharing Contract agreements of 1993 and determine the extent of revenue losses, and proffer lasting solutions to the problems of implementing the agreement.”

The lawmakers also urge all those charged with the statutory responsibility of reviewing the contract to immediately do so to reflect the current economic realities.

The motion, which was presented by Abubakar, read, “The Senate notes with shock that Nigeria lost close to $60bn to the non-enforcement of the terms of the PSCs signed between the Federal Government and the IOCs in 1993 through the NNPC.

“The Senate notes further that the 1993 PSCs provide that royalties paid by the IOCs on oil blocks located in deep water should be reviewed upward when crude oil price exceeds $20 per barrel.”

It added, “The Senate is concerned that these provisions were later backed by the Deep Offshore and Inland Basin Production Sharing Contracts Act (No. 09) of 1999. Significantly, Section 16 (1 and 2) of the Act provides that if the price of crude oil at any time exceeds $20 per barrel, the share of government shall be renegotiated to such extent that the production sharing contracts shall be economically beneficial to the government of the federation.

“The Senate is aware that in addition, the decree is subject to review after a period of 15 years from the date of its commencement (January 1, 1993) and every five years thereafter.

“The Senate is worried that oil price crossed the $20 mark (in real time) in May 2004, yet the royalties were not reviewed upward as provided by the terms and conditions of the PSCs (15 years from 1993), as provided by the terms of the contract, leading to monumental loss of revenue to the federation.”

The lawmakers explained that the PSC also provided for fiscal terms that were different from the Petroleum Profit Tax Act, noting that the tax rate for the PSCs was 50 per cent, compared to 65.75 per cent and 85 per cent rates in the PPTA.

They also noted that the PSCs also provided for the investment tax credit of 50 per cent against the rate of between five per cent and 20 per cent provided in the PPTA.

Seconding the motion, Senator Yahaya Abdullahi said serious issues had been raised on the deal “because it affects the revenue of the government and the failure of a party in the agreement.”

According to him, the non-compliance with the terms of the agreement has resulted in the colossal losses incurred by the government.

Abdullahi said, “This is not the only area; there are so many areas where either through the failure of the Executive arm of government or those who have been saddled with the responsibility of protecting the interest of Nigerians, there have been so many kinds of these instances where things have been codified in the law of the federation and the Acts of the National Assembly, but those who are saddled with the responsibility of implementing those laws are not doing true to the laws.”

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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