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Ghana Eyes W’Africa’s Petroleum Hub Ahead of Nigeria

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Oil Prices - Investors King
  • Ghana Eyes W’Africa’s Petroleum Hub Ahead of Nigeria

While Nigeria has continued to grapple with challenges in the downstream sector of its oil and gas industry after several decades of oil production, its West African counterpart, Ghana, is gearing up to become a petroleum hub.

Ghana began crude oil production in 2010, more than 50 years after Nigeria started commercial production of the commodity.

“The vision of the government of Ghana for the downstream petroleum industry is to ensure that the industry becomes a petroleum hub in the sub-region,” the Deputy Minister of Energy, Ghana, Dr. Mohammed Adam, said in Lagos at the 11th Oil Trading and Logistics Expo.

According to him, the government of Ghana is currently developing a downstream petroleum infrastructure master plan aimed at enhancing the pace of infrastructure sourcing with a regional context in mind.

“Our unique geographical position, democratic stability and security require that we provide leadership in building an integrated infrastructure to serve the sub-regional petroleum industry,” he said.

Adam noted that the acute petroleum infrastructure deficit in Africa had led to overdependence on the refineries of other continents.

He said “Our petroleum industry infrastructure such as ports, jetties and tank farms are not only inadequate but are in deplorable state. This has increased the cost of importing products and helped build an offshore black market, which is not regulated and from which our governments do not earn any tax income.

“It is, therefore, quite refreshing to note that a major development in Nigeria relating to the proposed $12bn investment in a 650,000 barrel per day refinery has caught the attention of the world. This massive private sector initiative has sent hope to other African countries on the viability of investing in a huge refinery.”

The deputy minister said the country had fully deregulated the industry with the exception of residual fuel oil and premix fuel, still being regulated by the government.

“I wish to call on the Nigerian government to make efforts at reaching full price deregulation given that it is the largest market for products; and any failure on its part can distort the sub-regional market we all envisage.”

The Chief Executive Officer, National Petroleum Authority, Ghana, Mr. Alhassan Tampuli, said the country had reduced sulphur content in fuel from 3,000ppm to 50ppm after missing two timelines.

“Currently products that we bring into the country, both gasoline and gas oil, have to be in accordance with these quality assurances. When Nigeria comes on board together with Ghana, we would have about 70 per cent of the consumption in West African region complying with the new specification. We export to Burkina Faso, Mali and to some extent Niger, and I believe Nigeria also exports to many other countries,” he said.

The Minister of State for Petroleum Resources, Dr. Ibe Kachikwu, said Nigeria’s downstream sector, which was fully subsidised, had been partially liberalised by tackling the issue of pricing governance, efficiency and sustainability.

He, however, said the downstream sector would continue to experience challenges as long as the nation could not locally refine its domestic consumption needs.

The minister, who was represented by an official from the ministry, Mr. Busari Kamoru, said, “Our domestic refining inefficiencies have exposed us to macro-economic elements such as the rising cost of crude oil, and volatility of the foreign exchange market. An increase in crude price leads to a corresponding increase in the price of refined products, which gives the government a systemic challenge in trying to maintain affordable and sustainable supply to the local consumers.

“With crude oil hovering around $50, marketers have shifted back on importation due to cash illiquidity to source foreign exchange, leaving the NNPC to bear almost 95 per cent of the importation needs, thus absorbing the deficit of the cost of importing petroleum products to ensure supply stability.”

Highlighting financing as part of the major challenges currently plaguing the nation’s downstream sector, Kachikwu said, “A lot of money is being owed to marketers from the subsidy era and to local companies who are suffering cash constraints.”

He said the solutions to the impediments would include attracting investment into refining sector and embarking on massive rehabilitation of the existing national refineries as well as establishment of additional Greenfield and modular refineries.

He said, “Paying up outstanding subsidy debts to enhance liquidity in the sector and working with the Central Bank of Nigeria in ensuring availability and access of foreign exchange for every strand of petroleum products” would improve the ability of local companies to do business in the downstream sector.

“Going forward, the government will continue to ensure required exchange liquidity remains available, transparent and efficient to marketers who are importing petroleum products until such a time when we shall no longer have the need to import products,” the minister added.

“This will safely lead us to a point where we can minimise and eventually eliminate importation of petroleum products,” he added.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Nigeria’s Trade Surplus Hits N6.95 Trillion in Q2 2024, Marking a 33.63% Increase

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Nigeria’s trade surplus, the difference between exports and imports, rose to N6.95 trillion in the second quarter of 2024, according to the latest foreign trade statistics report released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Wednesday.

This marks a 33.63 percent increase from the N5.19 trillion recorded between January to March 2024, bringing the total value at N12.14 trillion in the first half of 2024.

This is however higher than N154.12 billion recorded in the first six months of 2023, the NBS data revealed.

The report showed that the country recorded a positive trade balance for the sixth straight quarter in Q2, signifying key economic development.

A trade surplus occurs when a country’s exports exceed its imports.

Total merchandise trade in Africa’s most populous nation stood at N31.8 trillion in Q2, a decline of 3.76 percent compared to the preceding quarter and a 150.39 percent jump compared to a year ago.

“Exports accounted for 60.89% of total trade with a value of N19,418.93 trillion, showing a marginal increase of 1.31% compared to the value recorded in Q1 2024 (N19,167.36) and a 201.76% rise over the value recorded in the second quarter of 2023 (N6,435.13),” NBS said.

Analysts attributed the surge in exports to the exchange rate depreciation caused by the foreign exchange reform implemented last June.

Tobi Ehinmosan, a fixed income and macroeconomic analyst at Lagos-based FBNQuest Capital, said the major factor for this significant trade surplus numbers is the decline in import trade.

“No doubt, our export performance has been on the rise but then the main driver is the drop in import trade, especially from June 2023 when the exchange rate was floated,” he said.

“A reasonable explanation for the lower import figure is the challenges traders face in sourcing for FX,” Ehinmosan noted, adding that the scarcity of FX has led to lower import of commodities into the country.

Echoing the same sentiment, Michael Adeyemi, an economics lecturer said the surplus suggests a reduction in imports, caused by such factors like currency devaluation or high import costs.

“A trade surplus strengthens the balance of payments, which can help stabilize Nigeria’s currency, the naira,” Adeyemi said.

“It also allows the country to build foreign reserves and pay off international debt obligations more comfortably,” the university lecturer explained.

The naira has tumbled by over 70 percent this year following a two-time devaluation last year. The official exchange rate increased from N463.38/$ on June 9, 2023, to N1.558.7/$ as of September 12, 2024.

At the parallel market, the naira depreciated to over N1,600/$ from 762/$.

Recent data from the International Monetary Fund highlighted that Nigeria’s current account balance, a measure of its net trade in goods, services, and transfers with the rest of the world, rose to $1.43 billion this year from $1.21 billion surplus in 2023.

“A growing current account surplus can be a sign of economic strength, indicating that the country’s industries are competitive internationally and that its exports are in demand,” Ibrahim Bakare, a professor of Economics said.

“It may also lead to an appreciation of the country’s currency, as increased demand for its goods and services boosts the value of its currency relative to others,” he added.

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FIRS VAT Revenue Surges to N1.56 Trillion in Q2 2024 Amid Economic Struggles

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Value added tax - Investors King

The Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS) generated N1.56 trillion in Value Added Tax (VAT) in the second quarter (Q2) of 2024, according to the latest report from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

This represents an increase of 9.11% compared to the N1.43 trillion reported in the first quarter of 2024.

A breakdown of the report showed that local VAT payments accounted for N792.58 billion of the total amount generated, while foreign VAT payments stood at N395.74 billion, and import VAT contributed N372.95 billion.

A quarterly analysis of the report revealed that human health and social work activities recorded the highest growth rate with 98.44%. This was followed by agriculture, forestry, and fishing with 70.26%, and water supply, sewerage, waste management, and remediation activities with 59.75%.

On the other hand, activities of households as employers and undifferentiated goods- and services-producing activities of households for own use had the lowest growth rate with –46.84%, followed by real estate activities with –42.59%.

Sectoral analysis showed that the manufacturing sector contributed the most at 11.78%. Information and communication and mining and quarrying contributed 9.02% and 8.79%, respectively.

Nevertheless, activities of households as employers and undifferentiated goods- and services-producing activities of households for own use recorded the least share with 0.00%, followed by activities of extraterritorial organizations and bodies with 0.01%, and water supply, sewerage, waste management, and remediation activities and real estate services with 0.04% each.

On a year-on-year basis, VAT collections grew by 99.82% from Q2 2023 despite ongoing economic challenges.

Nigeria’s inflation rate remains well above 30 percent, while new job creation is almost nonexistent.

Other key economic factors, such as investor sentiment, the purchasing managers’ index, and consumer spending, remain weak amid intermittent protests by citizens demanding improvements in quality of life.

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Economy

Nigeria Sees 9.11% Increase in VAT Revenue, Generating N1.56 Trillion in Q2 2024

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The federal government in the second quarter of 2024 generated a total of N1.56 trillion from Value Added Tax. This is a 9.11 percent increase from the N1.43 trillion in Q1 2024.

According to the National Bureau of Statistics report, local payments recorded were N792.58 billion, foreign VAT payments were N395.74 billion, while import VAT contributed N372.95 billion in Q2 2024.

“On a quarter-on-quarter basis, human health and social work activities recorded the highest growth rate with 98.44%, followed by agriculture, forestry and fishing with 70.26%, and water supply, sewerage, waste management and remediation activities with 59.75%,” NBS reported.

“On the other hand, activities of households as employers, undifferentiated goods and services producing activities of households for own use had the lowest growth rate with 46.84%, followed by Real estate activities with 42.59%.

“In terms of sectoral contributions, the top three largest shares in Q2 2024 were
manufacturing with 11.78%; information and communication with 9.02%; and Mining and quarrying with 8.79%.

“Nevertheless, activities of households as employers, undifferentiated goods- and services-producing activities of households for own use recorded the least share with 0.00%, followed by activities of extraterritorial organisations and bodies with 0.01%; and Water supply, sewerage, waste management and remediation activities with and real estate services 0.04% each.

“However, on a year-on-year basis, VAT collections in Q2 2024 increased by 99.82% from Q2 2023.”

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