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Nigeria Open for Business, Afrinvest CEO Tells Investors

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  • Nigeria Open for Business, Afrinvest CEO Tells Investors

Foreign investors have been advised to take advantage of the huge investment opportunities in the Nigerian economy.

The Chief Executive Officer, Afrinvest West Limited, Mr. Ike Chioke, made the call at a media briefing in Lagos over the weekend, ahead of the launch of the investment bank’s Banking Sector Report titled: “Nigeria Re-opens for Business,” scheduled to hold in London this Friday.

The Afrinvest boss pointed out that compared to the economic despondency of 2016 which saw the economy slip into a recession, business and investment confidence in Nigeria started to garner steam in the first quarter of 2017, as hope brightened that the business cycle had reached a trough and the economy was set to fully reverse course.

He noted that the second quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) numbers further confirmed that the recovery was on course with the economy exiting a four-quarter long recession with a mild GDP growth of 0.6 per cent.

Chioke pointed out that Nigeria’s erstwhile predominantly positive macro story suffered a setback between 2014 and 2016 as macroeconomic indicators came under pressure and underperformed medium term trends and frontier market peers.

This period, according to him, could best be described as the “lean years,” which he pointed out was one of the most challenging for policy makers since the return to democratic rule in 1999.

“As with most emerging and frontier market crises, Nigeria’s economic miseries were at first triggered by a current account imbalance and widening fiscal deficits which were a direct consequence of the fall in global oil prices which began in 2014.

“As the tide went out on commodities, Nigeria’s structural vulnerabilities – hitherto ignored by policy makers and global fund managers caught in the euphoria of the “Africa Rising” narrative – became more obvious, with the effect on the business cycle amplified by underwhelming policy responses which sapped investor confidence and led to a currency crisis,” he explained.

Against the backdrop of a recovery in the domestic oil sector, reforms in the foreign exchange (FX) market and renewed efforts at tackling deep-seated structural bottlenecks, the Afrinvest team, in the report were more optimistic on near term growth.

They projected that growth would accelerate in the third and fourth quarter of 2017, driven by improved oil output and anticipated positive knock-on effects of higher crude exports on non-oil GDP, following a boost in FX liquidity and fiscal spending.

“However, a major downside risk is the recently reported incidence of flooding in the Agrarian North Central region which is a strategic agricultural belt. “Although government agencies are still taking stock of the extent of damage to farmlands and infrastructure, we have prudently taken this into consideration in our growth forecast for full year 2017.

“Hence, we retain our full year 2017 growth forecast at 1.2 per cent, but raise full year 2018 projection by 10 basis points to 2.6,” the report stated.

The firm anticipated that the Multi Year Tariff Order (MYTO) for electricity pricing may also be revisited before the election cycle starts in mid-2018 after which such unpopular policies could be difficult to implement. Thus, it predicted that inflation would remain in double digits in 2018, but trending downwards to between 12 – 13 per cent, range due to the high base effect of food prices.

Commenting on development in the fiscal space, the firm stated: “Our view is that a low Debt to GDP ratio should not be the sole measure of borrowing capacity, considering Nigeria’s peculiar low tax revenue to GDP ratio (6.0%).

“A significant portion of economic activity takes place in the informal sector which is more difficult to tax, perhaps even more so in an economic recession.

“Debt Service obligations present a red flag, with the debt service to revenue ratio at 47 per cent in full year 2016 (one of the highest in recent times).

“We however expect a possible moderation in 2017 on account of the rebound in oil revenue. While foreign debt obligations are mostly long term multilateral facilities (up to 78.2%) and do not constitute short term risks, policymakers have to be watchful of taking on more external leverage without expanding revenue size given the debt service implication of any future currency devaluation,” it added.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Microsoft to Invest $2.2 Billion in Malaysia’s Digital Infrastructure

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Microsoft Corporation has announced plans to inject $2.2 billion into Malaysia’s digital infrastructure over the next four years.

This investment shows the company’s determination to harness the potential of Southeast Asia’s burgeoning technology market.

During his visit to Kuala Lumpur, Microsoft’s Chief Executive Officer, Satya Nadella, revealed the company’s ambitious agenda, which encompasses the construction of essential infrastructure to support its cloud computing and artificial intelligence (AI) services.

Nadella also outlined plans to provide AI training to 200,000 individuals in Malaysia and collaborate with the government to enhance the nation’s cybersecurity capabilities.

The move comes amidst intensified competition among tech giants, including Alphabet Inc., Amazon.com Inc., and Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., to gain a foothold in Southeast Asia’s rapidly digitizing landscape.

With a population exceeding 650 million people, the region presents a lucrative market for tech companies seeking to expand their operations beyond traditional strongholds like China.

“We are committed to supporting Malaysia’s AI transformation and ensure it benefits all Malaysians,” stated Nadella.

During his visit, Nadella met Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim and discussed the importance of collaboration between the public and private sectors in driving digital innovation.

Microsoft’s investment not only serves to fortify Malaysia’s technological infrastructure but also aligns with the company’s broader strategy to assert its presence in the Asian market.

Nadella has previously pledged a substantial sum of $7 billion to bolster Microsoft’s services across the region, emphasizing the pivotal role of AI as a catalyst for growth and urging countries to ramp up investment in the technology.

In Malaysia, the southern region of Johor Bahru, linked to Singapore by a causeway, is emerging as a key hub for AI data centers.

The partnership between Nvidia Corp. and local utility YTL Power International Bhd. to establish a $4.3 billion AI data center park in the area underscores the region’s growing significance in the realm of digital infrastructure.

While AI adoption in Southeast Asia is still in its nascent stages, experts predict significant economic benefits with the potential to add approximately $1 trillion to the region’s economy by 2030.

Malaysia is poised to capture a substantial portion of this growth with estimates suggesting a potential windfall of around $115 billion for the country.

Microsoft’s commitment extends beyond Malaysia, as the company announced similar investments during Nadella’s regional tour.

In Indonesia, Microsoft unveiled a $1.7 billion investment plan, while an undisclosed amount was pledged for initiatives in Thailand. Notably, Microsoft intends to invest approximately $1 billion in a new data center in Thailand, as reported by the Bangkok Post.

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Investors Flock to Nigerian Treasury Bills, Subscriptions Soar to N23.75 Trillion

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Nigeria’s Treasury Bills market has witnessed an unprecedented surge in investor interest with subscriptions soaring to N23.75 trillion in the first four months of 2024.

This increase represents a significant 292% Year-on-Year growth from N6.06 trillion recorded in the same period in 2023.

Treasury Bills, short-term government debt instruments issued by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), have become increasingly attractive to both local and foreign investors.

The double-digit interest rates offered on NTBs have lured investors seeking refuge from the uncertainties of the global economic landscape.

The surge in subscriptions comes amidst Nigeria’s efforts to bridge its budget deficit and manage monetary challenges amidst a scarcity of foreign exchange and double-digit inflation rates.

Investors’ confidence in the CBN’s ability to navigate these challenges has been bolstered by robust subscription rates, indicating a positive outlook for the country’s fiscal stability.

The 2024 Budget of ‘Renewed Hope’, proposed by President Bola Tinubu, outlines a total expenditure of N27.5 trillion, with a deficit of N9.18 trillion.

The high demand for NTBs underscores investors’ confidence in the government’s fiscal policies and its commitment to economic reform.

As interest rates on NTBs have risen in response to inflationary pressures, the CBN has capitalized on this demand by auctioning larger volumes of NTBs.

The move aims to address liquidity in the financial system while attracting foreign investors seeking higher yields.

Analysts view the surge in NTBs subscriptions as a testament to investors’ confidence in the Nigerian government and its reforms.

The massive oversubscription signals significant system liquidity and reflects the attractiveness of NTBs as a safe investment option amidst economic uncertainties.

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A.P. Moller-Maersk Pledges $600m Investment in Nigerian Ports

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A.P. Moller-Maersk, one of the world’s largest shipping and logistics companies, has committed a $600 million investment into Nigerian ports.

The decision was unveiled during a high-profile meeting between Chairman of A.P. Moller-Maersk, Mr. Robert Maersk Uggla, and Nigerian President Bola Tinubu.

The investment, aimed at expanding port infrastructure to accommodate larger container ships, comes at a pivotal moment for Nigeria’s economy.

Historically, the West African coast has been serviced by smaller vessels but with this injection of capital, A.P. Moller-Maersk envisions deploying larger ships to Nigeria, transforming the country into a major logistics hub for the region.

The move not only underscores Nigeria’s strategic importance but also highlights the company’s confidence in the country’s growth potential.

Speaking on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum Special Meeting on Global Collaboration, Growth, and Energy for Development in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, Chairman Robert Maersk Uggla expressed optimism about Nigeria’s prospects.

“We have seen a significant opportunity for Nigeria to cater for larger container ships,” Uggla stated. “To achieve this, we need to expand the port infrastructure, especially in Lagos, where we need a bigger hub for logistics services. The growth potential is hard to quantify.”

In response, President Tinubu welcomed the firm’s commitment and emphasized the government’s dedication to fostering an enabling environment for investments.

“We appreciate your business and the contribution you have made and continue to make to our country’s economy over time,” Tinubu remarked. “A bet on Nigeria is a winning bet. It is also a bet that rewards beyond what is obtainable elsewhere.”

The infusion of $600 million into Nigerian ports signifies more than just a financial transaction; it symbolizes a partnership built on mutual trust and shared objectives.

With Nigeria poised to benefit from enhanced port infrastructure and increased trade capacity, the ripple effects of this investment are expected to be felt across various sectors of the economy.

Furthermore, A.P. Moller-Maersk’s decision aligns with Nigeria’s broader vision of becoming a regional economic powerhouse. By attracting foreign investment and fostering strategic collaborations, the country is laying the groundwork for sustainable growth and development.

As Nigeria charts a course towards prosperity, the $600 million commitment from A.P. Moller-Maersk serves as a beacon of hope and a testament to the nation’s potential on the global stage. With determination and collective effort, Nigeria stands poised to capitalize on this opportunity and navigate the waters of progress with confidence.

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